College Football Pick’em Analysis


Game: College Football Pick’em
From: ESPN
Link to Play: College Football Pick’Em
Join our Public Group: StreakEdge

How does it work?: The College Football regular season runs from the beginning of September to the end of November. There are 14 weeks in total with 10 games each week plus a score tiebreaker. The following is an explanation of the scoring breakdown:

Each week the contestant is provided with 10 games and must pick the winner. The contestant must also assign a confidence level (1-10) to each game. Each confidence level can only be used once. Points are awarded by multiplying the confidence level points assigned by 1 if the contestant chooses the winner correctly.

Strategy: Our numbers below are based on the strategy of maximizing score. Thus, we always take the favorites and assign the confidence level by giving the most points to the team with highest odds of winning. In the case of ties, we present the confidence level as the average and leave you to choose which game to assign higher confidence.

College Football Pick’em Analysis – Week 8

Confidence Team Implied Odds DRatings Small Win Prob
N/A
Louisville Cardinals
+235
28.9%
30.4%
29.4%
4
Florida State Seminoles
-275
71.1%
69.6%
70.7%
5
Oklahoma State Cowboys
-280
71.5%
71.3%
71.4%
N/A
Texas Longhorns
+240
28.5%
28.7%
28.6%
N/A
Iowa State Cyclones
+230
29.3%
35.9%
31.3%
3
Texas Tech Red Raiders
-270
70.7%
64.1%
68.7%
2
UCF Knights
-290
72%
58.4%
67.9%
N/A
Navy Midshipmen
+245
28%
41.6%
32.1%
9
Oklahoma Sooners
-570
82%
79.6%
81.3%
N/A
Kansas State Wildcats
+435
18%
20.4%
18.7%
N/A
Kentucky Wildcats
+360
21%
22.5%
21.5%
8
Mississippi State Bulldogs
-450
79%
77.5%
78.6%
N/A
USC Trojans
+155
38.1%
44.1%
39.9%
1
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
-175
61.9%
55.9%
60.1%
N/A
Michigan Wolverines
+290
24.8%
22.4%
24.1%
7
Penn State Nittany Lions
-350
75.2%
77.6%
75.9%
N/A
Wyoming Cowboys
+425
18.4%
12.7%
16.7%
10
Boise State Broncos
-550
81.6%
87.3%
83.3%
N/A
Fresno State Bulldogs
+250
27.6%
20.5%
25.5%
6
San Diego State Aztecs
-300
72.4%
79.5%
74.5%

Results

Last Week (Week 7): Straight Up: 7-3 (70.0%), Points: 43.
2017-2018 Season: Straight Up: 52-18 (74.3%), Points: 304.
2016-2017 Season: Straight Up: 95-45 (67.9%), Points: 570.
2015-2016 Season: Straight Up: 89-41 (68.5%), Points: 511.

2017-2018 Results

Week Pick Probability Confidence Result
Week 7 West Virginia Mountaineers 61% 3 Win
Week 7 TCU Horned Frogs 67.1% 4 Win
Week 7 Oklahoma Sooners 74.7% 7 Win
Week 7 Auburn Tigers 70.9% 6 Loss
Week 7 Memphis Tigers 56.4% 2 Win
Week 7 Ohio State Buckeyes 92.3% 10 Win
Week 7 USC Trojans 83.2% 9 Win
Week 7 UCLA Bruins 52.4% 1 Loss
Week 7 San Diego State Aztecs 69.5% 5 Loss
Week 7 Stanford Cardinal 76.3% 8 Win
Week 6 Georgia Bulldogs 84.1% 10 Win
Week 6 Florida Gators 60.4% 5 Loss
Week 6 Purdue Boilermakers 57% 2 Win
Week 6 TCU Horned Frogs 78.7% 9 Win
Week 6 Miami (FL) Hurricanes 57.5% 3 Win
Week 6 Texas Longhorns 58.1% 4 Win
Week 6 Michigan Wolverines 78.2% 7 Loss
Week 6 Wisconsin Badgers 78.5% 8 Win
Week 6 Oregon Ducks 53.2% 1 Loss
Week 6 Stanford Cardinal 63.3% 6 Win
Week 5 Minnesota Golden Gophers 77.3% 8 Loss
Week 5 Florida Gators 75% 5 Win
Week 5 Georgia Bulldogs 71.2% 4 Win
Week 5 Auburn Tigers 76.6% 7 Win
Week 5 UCF Knights 62.3% 1 Win
Week 5 Clemson Tigers 71.1% 3 Win
Week 5 Oklahoma State Cowboys 75.6% 6 Win
Week 5 San Diego State Aztecs 80.7% 10 Win
Week 5 Oregon Ducks 78% 9 Win
Week 5 UCLA Bruins 63.2% 2 Win
Week 4 Texas A&M Aggies 56.4% 2 Win
Week 4 Houston Cougars 68.5% 6 Loss
Week 4 Oklahoma State Cowboys 78.4% 9 Loss
Week 4 Duke Blue Devils 50.6% 1 Win
Week 4 Georgia Bulldogs 65.9% 5 Win
Week 4 Penn State Nittany Lions 79.6% 10 Win
Week 4 Florida Gators 57% 3 Win
Week 4 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 61.5% 4 Win
Week 4 Washington Huskies 75.9% 8 Win
Week 4 Stanford Cardinal 73.1% 7 Win
Week 3 Duke Blue Devils 78.7% 6 Win
Week 3 Florida Gators 66.5% 5 Win
Week 3 Wisconsin Badgers 82.1% 8 Win
Week 3 TCU Horned Frogs 87.6% 10 Win
Week 3 Oregon Ducks 79.7% 7 Win
Week 3 South Carolina Gamecocks 64.8% 4 Loss
Week 3 Kansas State Wildcats 64.5% 3 Loss
Week 3 Clemson Tigers 58.2% 1 Win
Week 3 USC Trojans 85.7% 9 Win
Week 3 Ole Miss Rebels 59.6% 2 Loss
Week 2 Iowa Hawkeyes 61.5% 4 Win
Week 2 Louisville Cardinals 68.7% 6 Win
Week 2 TCU Horned Frogs 54.7% 2 Win
Week 2 Penn State Nittany Lions 87.2% 10 Win
Week 2 Oregon Ducks 72.7% 9 Win
Week 2 Clemson Tigers 66.1% 5 Win
Week 2 Ohio State Buckeyes 71.8% 8 Loss
Week 2 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 61.2% 3 Loss
Week 2 USC Trojans 68.8% 7 Win
Week 2 Utah Utes 54.1% 1 Win
Week 1 Penn State Nittany Lions 97.8% 10 Win
Week 1 Texas Longhorns 86.1% 7 Loss
Week 1 North Carolina Tar Heels 81.7% 4 Loss
Week 1 North Carolina State Wolfpack 70.2% 2 Loss
Week 1 Michigan Wolverines 66.8% 1 Win
Week 1 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 82.6% 6 Win
Week 1 USC Trojans 94.3% 9 Win
Week 1 Louisville Cardinals 94% 8 Win
Week 1 Alabama Crimson Tide 71.7% 3 Win
Week 1 LSU Tigers 82.2% 5 Win