College Football Pick’em Analysis


Game: College Football Pick’em
From: ESPN
Link to Play: College Football Pick’Em
Join our Public Group: StreakEdge

How does it work?: The College Football regular season runs from the beginning of September to the end of November. There are 14 weeks in total with 10 games each week plus a score tiebreaker. The following is an explanation of the scoring breakdown:

Each week the contestant is provided with 10 games and must pick the winner. The contestant must also assign a confidence level (1-10) to each game. Each confidence level can only be used once. Points are awarded by multiplying the confidence level points assigned by 1 if the contestant chooses the winner correctly.

Strategy: Our numbers below are based on the strategy of maximizing score. Thus, we always take the favorites and assign the confidence level by giving the most points to the team with highest odds of winning. In the case of ties, we present the confidence level as the average and leave you to choose which game to assign higher confidence.

College Football Pick’em Analysis – Week 14

Confidence Team Implied Odds DRatings Small Win Prob
N/A
Kansas State Wildcats
+170
35.7%
42.7%
37.8%
3
TCU Horned Frogs
-200
64.3%
57.3%
62.2%
N/A
Temple Owls
+130
42%
50.2%
44.5%
1
Navy Midshipmen
-150
58%
49.8%
55.5%
N/A
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
+305
23.9%
26.8%
24.8%
5
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
-365
76.1%
73.2%
75.2%
N/A
Oklahoma State Cowboys
+345
21.7%
21.6%
21.7%
7
Oklahoma Sooners
-430
78.3%
78.4%
78.3%
N/A
Baylor Bears
+575
14.2%
30.4%
19.1%
8
West Virginia Mountaineers
-850
85.8%
69.6%
80.9%
10
Alabama Crimson Tide
-2300
93.3%
92.3%
93%
N/A
Florida Gators
+1350
6.7%
7.7%
7%
9
Grambling State Tigers
84.6%
84.6%
N/A
Alcorn State Braves
15.4%
15.4%
4
San Diego State Aztecs
-255
69.4%
65.9%
68.4%
N/A
Wyoming Cowboys
+215
30.6%
34.1%
31.7%
6
Clemson Tigers
-410
77.6%
78.7%
77.9%
N/A
Virginia Tech Hokies
+330
22.4%
21.3%
22.1%
2
Wisconsin Badgers
-145
57.1%
56.6%
57%
N/A
Penn State Nittany Lions
+125
42.9%
43.4%
43.1%

Results

Last Week (Week 14): Straight Up: 7-3 (70.0%), Points: 49.
2016-2017 Season: Straight Up: 95-45 (67.9%), Points: 570.
2015-2016 Season: Straight Up: 89-41 (68.5%), Points: 511.

2016-2017 Results

Week Pick Probability Confidence Result
Week 14 TCU Horned Frogs 62.2% 3 Loss
Week 14 Navy Midshipmen 55.5% 1 Loss
Week 14 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 75.2% 5 Win
Week 14 Oklahoma Sooners 78.3% 7 Win
Week 14 West Virginia Mountaineers 80.9% 8 Win
Week 14 Alabama Crimson Tide 93% 10 Win
Week 14 Grambling State Tigers 84.6% 9 Win
Week 14 San Diego State Aztecs 68.4% 4 Win
Week 14 Clemson Tigers 77.9% 6 Win
Week 14 Wisconsin Badgers 57% 2 Loss
Week 13 Ohio State Buckeyes 66.3% 3 Win
Week 13 Louisville Cardinals 95.9% 10 Loss
Week 13 Alabama Crimson Tide 87.3% 8 Win
Week 13 USC Trojans 85.4% 7 Win
Week 13 West Virginia Mountaineers 74.6% 5 Win
Week 13 Oregon Ducks 62.3% 2 Loss
Week 13 Colorado Buffaloes 76.9% 6 Win
Week 13 Clemson Tigers 94.8% 9 Win
Week 13 Florida State Seminoles 71.6% 4 Win
Week 13 Wyoming Cowboys 52.8% 1 Loss
Week 12 TCU Horned Frogs 61.1% 4 Loss
Week 12 Ohio State Buckeyes 91.4% 10 Win
Week 12 LSU Tigers 80.2% 8 Loss
Week 12 San Diego State Aztecs 74.6% 7 Loss
Week 12 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 51.6% 2 Loss
Week 12 Minnesota Golden Gophers 50.1% 1 Win
Week 12 Colorado Buffaloes 65.9% 5 Win
Week 12 South Florida Bulls 80.3% 9 Win
Week 12 Oklahoma Sooners 58.9% 3 Win
Week 12 USC Trojans 74.4% 6 Win
Week 11 Tulsa Golden Hurricane 52.2% 2 Loss
Week 11 Oklahoma Sooners 81.2% 7 Win
Week 11 Texas Longhorns 54% 3 Loss
Week 11 Tennessee Volunteers 83.7% 9 Win
Week 11 Troy Trojans 50.7% 1 Win
Week 11 LSU Tigers 71.3% 4 Win
Week 11 Washington Huskies 75.4% 6 Loss
Week 11 Nebraska Cornhuskers 71.8% 5 Win
Week 11 Michigan Wolverines 90.7% 10 Loss
Week 11 Washington State Cougars 81.4% 8 Win
Week 10 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 70.1% 5 Loss
Week 10 Army Black Knights 50.8% 1 Loss
Week 10 Baylor Bears 74.5% 7 Loss
Week 10 Florida Gators 61.5% 3 Loss
Week 10 Kansas State Wildcats 54.7% 2 Loss
Week 10 Florida State Seminoles 69.6% 4 Win
Week 10 Penn State Nittany Lions 71.5% 6 Win
Week 10 Ohio State Buckeyes 86.6% 9 Win
Week 10 Alabama Crimson Tide 74.6% 8 Win
Week 10 Washington Huskies 86.9% 10 Win
Week 9 Michigan Wolverines 91.9% 10 Win
Week 9 West Virginia Mountaineers 58.8% 3 Loss
Week 9 Miami (FL) Hurricanes 54.1% 1 Loss
Week 9 Washington Huskies 77.2% 8 Win
Week 9 Florida Gators 70.5% 6 Win
Week 9 Baylor Bears 63.2% 5 Loss
Week 9 Wisconsin Badgers 72.6% 7 Win
Week 9 Boise State Broncos 83.6% 9 Loss
Week 9 Auburn Tigers 57.7% 2 Win
Week 9 Clemson Tigers 61.2% 4 Win
Week 8 Wisconsin Badgers 60.4% 3 Win
Week 8 Toledo Rockets 77.4% 8 Win
Week 8 Stanford Cardinal 59.6% 2 Loss
Week 8 Alabama Crimson Tide 86.4% 9 Win
Week 8 West Virginia Mountaineers 62.8% 4 Win
Week 8 UCLA Bruins 55.9% 1 Loss
Week 8 Auburn Tigers 73.9% 7 Win
Week 8 Ohio State Buckeyes 89.4% 10 Loss
Week 8 LSU Tigers 63.6% 5 Win
Week 8 Washington State Cougars 69.6% 6 Win
Week 7 West Virginia Mountaineers 51.5% 1 Win
Week 7 Clemson Tigers 87% 9 Win
Week 7 Alabama Crimson Tide 80.3% 8 Win
Week 7 Miami (FL) Hurricanes 73.3% 4 Loss
Week 7 Western Michigan Broncos 78.8% 7 Win
Week 7 Florida State Seminoles 93.1% 10 Win
Week 7 Ole Miss Rebels 70.6% 3 Loss
Week 7 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 51.8% 2 Loss
Week 7 Ohio State Buckeyes 78.4% 6 Win
Week 7 Colorado Buffaloes 76.6% 5 Win
Week 6 LSU Tigers 59.1% 4 Win
Week 6 Oklahoma Sooners 58.8% 3 Win
Week 6 Maryland Terrapins 50.7% 1 Loss
Week 6 Texas A&M Aggies 67.2% 6 Win
Week 6 North Carolina Tar Heels 59.6% 5 Loss
Week 6 Ohio State Buckeyes 97.4% 10 Win
Week 6 Alabama Crimson Tide 82.3% 9 Win
Week 6 Washington Huskies 71% 8 Win
Week 6 Miami (FL) Hurricanes 55.2% 2 Loss
Week 6 UCLA Bruins 69.6% 7 Loss
Week 5 Oklahoma State Cowboys 60% 4 Win
Week 5 Michigan Wolverines 78.7% 10 Win
Week 5 Florida State Seminoles 78.3% 9 Loss
Week 5 Tennessee Volunteers 62.2% 5 Win
Week 5 Air Force Falcons 65.5% 8 Win
Week 5 West Virginia Mountaineers 63.2% 7 Win
Week 5 Oklahoma Sooners 59.6% 3 Win
Week 5 California Golden Bears 52.6% 1 Win
Week 5 South Florida Bulls 62.8% 6 Win
Week 5 Clemson Tigers 52.8% 2 Win
Week 4 Ole Miss Rebels 73.3% 9 Win
Week 4 Michigan State Spartans 67.3% 7 Loss
Week 4 Florida State Seminoles 66.5% 6 Win
Week 4 West Virginia Mountaineers 65.5% 5 Win
Week 4 Tennessee Volunteers 70.9% 8 Win
Week 4 LSU Tigers 62.5% 2 Loss
Week 4 Baylor Bears 75.2% 10 Win
Week 4 Stanford Cardinal 61.4% 1 Win
Week 4 Texas A&M Aggies 62.7% 3 Win
Week 4 Arizona State Sun Devils 65.1% 4 Win
Week 3 Florida State Seminoles 58.4% 4 Loss
Week 3 Miami (FL) Hurricanes 58.8% 5 Win
Week 3 Nebraska Cornhuskers 58% 3 Win
Week 3 Alabama Crimson Tide 78% 10 Win
Week 3 Oklahoma State Cowboys 69.5% 7 Win
Week 3 Auburn Tigers 60.5% 6 Loss
Week 3 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 71.6% 8 Loss
Week 3 Ohio State Buckeyes 53.9% 1 Win
Week 3 Stanford Cardinal 75.1% 9 Win
Week 3 UCLA Bruins 57.6% 2 Win
Week 2 Pittsburgh Panthers 65.8% 4 Win
Week 2 North Carolina State Wolfpack 63.7% 3 Loss
Week 2 Duke Blue Devils 67.8% 5 Loss
Week 2 TCU Horned Frogs 74.3% 6 Loss
Week 2 Utah Utes 63.6% 2 Win
Week 2 Iowa Hawkeyes 85.2% 9 Win
Week 2 Tennessee Volunteers 79.3% 8 Win
Week 2 Arizona State Sun Devils 59.1% 1 Win
Week 2 Boise State Broncos 75.6% 7 Win
Week 2 Oregon Ducks 92.5% 10 Win
Week 1 Oklahoma Sooners 73.7% 6 Loss
Week 1 West Virginia Mountaineers 75.3% 7 Win
Week 1 Michigan Wolverines 99.5% 10 Win
Week 1 Washington Huskies 93.6% 9 Win
Week 1 Texas A&M Aggies 57.2% 2 Win
Week 1 LSU Tigers 69.6% 5 Loss
Week 1 Georgia Bulldogs 59.7% 3 Win
Week 1 Alabama Crimson Tide 78.7% 8 Win
Week 1 Clemson Tigers 69% 4 Win
Week 1 Arizona Wildcats 50.6% 1 Loss