Pigskin Pick’em Analysis

Game: Pigskin Pick’em
From: ESPN
Link to Play: Pigskin Pick’Em
Join our Public Group: StreakEdge

How does it work?: The NFL regular season runs from early September to the beginning of January. There are 17 weeks in total with the number of games varying depending on which teams are on byes. Each week there is also a score tiebreaker for one of the games. The following is an explanation of the scoring breakdown:

Each week the contestant is provided with the week’s games and must pick the winner of each. Every game must then be assigned a point value between 1 and however many games there are in that given week (16 when there are no byes).

Strategy: Our numbers below are based on the strategy of maximizing score. Thus, we always take the favorites (or the side with the highest % chance of winning the proposition.)

Week 12 Pigskin Pick’em Analysis

Confidence Team Implied Odds DRatings Small Win Prob
7
 Chicago Bears
-285
66.7%
63.8%
65.8%
N/A
 Detroit Lions
+170
33.3%
36.2%
34.2%
N/A
 Washington Redskins
+280
25.8%
33.5%
28.1%
10
 Dallas Cowboys
-310
74.2%
66.5%
71.9%
N/A
 Atlanta Falcons
+540
15.2%
14.7%
15.1%
15
 New Orleans Saints
-660
84.8%
85.3%
85%
2
 Jacksonville Jaguars
-167
60.7%
67.1%
62.6%
N/A
 Buffalo Bills
+147
39.3%
32.9%
37.4%
N/A
 Cleveland Browns
+150
38.8%
29.8%
36.1%
5
 Cincinnati Bengals
-170
61.2%
70.2%
63.9%
N/A
 Oakland Raiders
+450
17.5%
10.5%
15.4%
14
 Baltimore Ravens
-600
82.5%
89.5%
84.6%
12
 New England Patriots
-425
78.1%
79%
78.4%
N/A
 New York Jets
+340
21.9%
21%
21.6%
N/A
 New York Giants
+210
31.1%
29.8%
30.7%
8
 Philadelphia Eagles
-250
68.9%
70.2%
69.3%
N/A
 San Francisco 49ers
+160
37.2%
31.1%
35.4%
6
 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
-185
62.8%
68.9%
64.6%
N/A
 Seattle Seahawks
+155
38.1%
36.5%
37.6%
1
 Carolina Panthers
-175
61.9%
63.5%
62.4%
N/A
 Arizona Cardinals
+465
17%
12.1%
15.5%
13
 Los Angeles Chargers
-630
83%
87.9%
84.5%
3
 Pittsburgh Steelers
-165
60.4%
70.5%
63.4%
N/A
 Denver Broncos
+145
39.6%
29.5%
36.6%
N/A
 Miami Dolphins
+350
21.4%
24.1%
22.2%
11
 Indianapolis Colts
-440
78.6%
75.9%
77.8%
N/A
 Green Bay Packers
+158
37.6%
33.8%
36.5%
4
 Minnesota Vikings
-180
62.4%
66.2%
63.5%
N/A
 Tennessee Titans
30.4%
30.4%
9
 Houston Texans
69.6%
69.6%

Results

Last Week (Week 11): Straight Up: 9-4, Points: 57.
2018-2019 Season: Straight Up: 100-45-2, Points: 924.
2017-2018 Season: Straight Up: 180-76, Points: 1537.
2016-2017 Season: Straight Up: 153-85-2 (64.3%), Points: 1288.
2015-2016 Season: Straight Up: 162-94 (63.3%).

2018-2019 Results

Week Pick Probability Confidence Result
Week 11 Seattle Seahawks 59% 5 Win
Week 11 Atlanta Falcons 59.9% 6 Loss
Week 11 Baltimore Ravens 77.2% 12 Win
Week 11 Carolina Panthers 61.7% 8 Loss
Week 11 Indianapolis Colts 53% 2 Win
Week 11 New York Giants 50.5% 1 Win
Week 11 Pittsburgh Steelers 68.1% 10 Win
Week 11 Houston Texans 56% 4 Win
Week 11 Los Angeles Chargers 75.6% 11 Loss
Week 11 Arizona Cardinals 66.6% 9 Loss
Week 11 New Orleans Saints 77.5% 13 Win
Week 11 Chicago Bears 60% 7 Win
Week 11 Los Angeles Rams 53.2% 3 Win
Week 10 Pittsburgh Steelers 66.1% 6 Win
Week 10 Atlanta Falcons 61.6% 4 Loss
Week 10 New York Jets 72.7% 10 Loss
Week 10 Chicago Bears 70.7% 8 Win
Week 10 New Orleans Saints 63% 5 Win
Week 10 New England Patriots 66.8% 7 Loss
Week 10 Indianapolis Colts 56% 1 Win
Week 10 Kansas City Chiefs 90.2% 14 Win
Week 10 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 60.5% 3 Loss
Week 10 Los Angeles Chargers 78.9% 13 Win
Week 10 Green Bay Packers 76.2% 11 Win
Week 10 Los Angeles Rams 77.4% 12 Win
Week 10 Philadelphia Eagles 70.9% 9 Loss
Week 10 San Francisco 49ers 57.8% 2 Loss
Week 9 San Francisco 49ers 60.1% 7 Win
Week 9 Washington Redskins 57% 5 Loss
Week 9 Chicago Bears 79.7% 13 Win
Week 9 Kansas City Chiefs 79.6% 12 Win
Week 9 Minnesota Vikings 66.3% 8 Win
Week 9 Miami Dolphins 57.9% 6 Win
Week 9 Baltimore Ravens 55.8% 3 Loss
Week 9 Carolina Panthers 72.8% 11 Win
Week 9 Denver Broncos 50.7% 1 Loss
Week 9 Seattle Seahawks 56% 4 Loss
Week 9 New Orleans Saints 52.9% 2 Win
Week 9 New England Patriots 71.1% 10 Win
Week 9 Dallas Cowboys 70.8% 9 Loss
Week 8 Houston Texans 73.5% 10 Win
Week 8 Philadelphia Eagles 58.9% 7 Win
Week 8 Chicago Bears 71.3% 9 Win
Week 8 Cincinnati Bengals 66.4% 8 Win
Week 8 Pittsburgh Steelers 76.8% 11 Win
Week 8 Kansas City Chiefs 83.2% 13 Win
Week 8 Detroit Lions 58% 6 Loss
Week 8 Washington Redskins 51.6% 2 Win
Week 8 Baltimore Ravens 53.5% 4 Loss
Week 8 Indianapolis Colts 56.5% 5 Win
Week 8 Los Angeles Rams 80.1% 12 Win
Week 8 Arizona Cardinals 52% 3 Win
Week 8 Minnesota Vikings 50.6% 1 Loss
Week 8 New England Patriots 86.2% 14 Win
Week 7 Denver Broncos 50.6% 1 Win
Week 7 Los Angeles Chargers 70.2% 11 Win
Week 7 Indianapolis Colts 72.1% 13 Win
Week 7 New England Patriots 54.8% 4 Win
Week 7 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 67.9% 9 Win
Week 7 Detroit Lions 54.1% 3 Win
Week 7 Minnesota Vikings 59% 5 Win
Week 7 Philadelphia Eagles 66.8% 7 Loss
Week 7 Jacksonville Jaguars 67.7% 8 Loss
Week 7 Baltimore Ravens 60.9% 6 Loss
Week 7 Washington Redskins 53.2% 2 Win
Week 7 Los Angeles Rams 80.4% 14 Win
Week 7 Kansas City Chiefs 70.7% 12 Win
Week 7 Atlanta Falcons 69.3% 10 Win
Week 6 Philadelphia Eagles 61.2% 10 Win
Week 6 Atlanta Falcons 64.1% 11 Win
Week 6 Houston Texans 68.3% 12 Win
Week 6 Chicago Bears 57.9% 6 Loss
Week 6 Cincinnati Bengals 54.2% 3 Loss
Week 6 Los Angeles Chargers 52% 2 Win
Week 6 New York Jets 60.2% 8 Win
Week 6 Seattle Seahawks 60.8% 9 Win
Week 6 Minnesota Vikings 80.2% 15 Win
Week 6 Washington Redskins 50.8% 1 Win
Week 6 Los Angeles Rams 74% 13 Win
Week 6 Jacksonville Jaguars 56.9% 4 Loss
Week 6 Baltimore Ravens 57.1% 5 Win
Week 6 New England Patriots 59.8% 7 Win
Week 6 Green Bay Packers 77.1% 14 Win
Week 5 New England Patriots 80.3% 15 Win
Week 5 Pittsburgh Steelers 60.4% 5 Win
Week 5 Tennessee Titans 59.7% 4 Loss
Week 5 Cincinnati Bengals 69.7% 11 Win
Week 5 Baltimore Ravens 62.2% 8 Loss
Week 5 New York Jets 52.1% 2 Win
Week 5 Green Bay Packers 50.6% 1 Loss
Week 5 Kansas City Chiefs 61.9% 7 Win
Week 5 Carolina Panthers 74% 14 Win
Week 5 Los Angeles Chargers 69.4% 10 Win
Week 5 Los Angeles Rams 70.4% 12 Win
Week 5 Philadelphia Eagles 61.6% 6 Loss
Week 5 San Francisco 49ers 65.2% 9 Loss
Week 5 Houston Texans 58.1% 3 Win
Week 5 New Orleans Saints 71.6% 13 Win
Week 4 Los Angeles Rams 71% 11 Win
Week 4 Atlanta Falcons 68.8% 10 Loss
Week 4 Green Bay Packers 74.9% 13 Win
Week 4 Chicago Bears 58.7% 3 Win
Week 4 Dallas Cowboys 58.8% 4 Win
Week 4 Philadelphia Eagles 62% 5 Loss
Week 4 Indianapolis Colts 56.4% 1 Loss
Week 4 New England Patriots 72.9% 12 Win
Week 4 Jacksonville Jaguars 76.8% 14 Win
Week 4 Oakland Raiders 58.4% 2 Win
Week 4 Seattle Seahawks 62.2% 7 Win
Week 4 New Orleans Saints 64.4% 8 Win
Week 4 Los Angeles Chargers 79.5% 15 Win
Week 4 Pittsburgh Steelers 62.1% 6 Loss
Week 4 Kansas City Chiefs 66.1% 9 Win
Week 3 Cleveland Browns 63.5% 7 Win
Week 3 Atlanta Falcons 60.8% 4 Loss
Week 3 Minnesota Vikings 89.3% 16 Loss
Week 3 Carolina Panthers 61.4% 5 Win
Week 3 Baltimore Ravens 68.1% 11 Win
Week 3 Green Bay Packers 61.5% 6 Loss
Week 3 Jacksonville Jaguars 71.8% 13 Loss
Week 3 Philadelphia Eagles 73.2% 15 Win
Week 3 Kansas City Chiefs 66.8% 10 Win
Week 3 Miami Dolphins 59.1% 3 Win
Week 3 Houston Texans 65.3% 9 Loss
Week 3 Los Angeles Rams 71.9% 14 Win
Week 3 Chicago Bears 64.6% 8 Win
Week 3 Seattle Seahawks 51.7% 1 Win
Week 3 New England Patriots 70.9% 12 Loss
Week 3 Pittsburgh Steelers 54.2% 2 Win
Week 2 Baltimore Ravens 51.7% 2 Loss
Week 2 Atlanta Falcons 67.3% 11 Win
Week 2 Los Angeles Chargers 68% 12 Win
Week 2 New Orleans Saints 79.1% 15 Win
Week 2 Green Bay Packers 51.5% 1 Loss
Week 2 Tennessee Titans 64.7% 9 Win
Week 2 Washington Redskins 69.1% 14 Loss
Week 2 Pittsburgh Steelers 65.9% 10 Loss
Week 2 New York Jets 56.5% 4 Loss
Week 2 Philadelphia Eagles 62.3% 7 Loss
Week 2 San Francisco 49ers 68.7% 13 Win
Week 2 Los Angeles Rams 84.3% 16 Win
Week 2 Denver Broncos 63.5% 8 Win
Week 2 New England Patriots 53.4% 3 Loss
Week 2 Dallas Cowboys 61.8% 6 Win
Week 2 Chicago Bears 58.3% 5 Win
Week 1 Philadelphia Eagles 59.3% 6 Win
Week 1 Baltimore Ravens 72.7% 13 Win
Week 1 Indianapolis Colts 57% 4 Loss
Week 1 Pittsburgh Steelers 68.3% 10 Loss
Week 1 Tennessee Titans 52.2% 2 Loss
Week 1 Minnesota Vikings 71.8% 11 Win
Week 1 New England Patriots 73.6% 14 Win
Week 1 New Orleans Saints 78.9% 16 Loss
Week 1 Jacksonville Jaguars 57.9% 5 Win
Week 1 Los Angeles Chargers 63.4% 9 Loss
Week 1 Carolina Panthers 60.8% 7 Win
Week 1 Denver Broncos 55.8% 3 Win
Week 1 Arizona Cardinals 50.6% 1 Loss
Week 1 Green Bay Packers 73.9% 15 Win
Week 1 Detroit Lions 72.5% 12 Loss
Week 1 Los Angeles Rams 61.6% 8 Win