Pigskin Pick’em Analysis


Game: Pigskin Pick’em
From: ESPN
Link to Play: Pigskin Pick’Em
Join our Public Group: StreakEdge

How does it work?: The NFL regular season runs from early September to the beginning of January. There are eighteen weeks in total with the number of games varying depending on which teams are on byes. Each week there is also a score tiebreaker for one of the games. The following is an explanation of the scoring breakdown:

Each week the contestant is provided with the week’s games and must pick the winner of each. Every game must then be assigned a point value between 1 and however many games there are in that given week (16 when there are no byes).

Strategy: Our numbers below are based on the strategy of maximizing score. Thus, we always take the favorites (or the side with the highest % chance of winning the proposition.)

Week 18 Pigskin Pick’em Analysis

Confidence Team Implied Odds DRatings Small Win Prob
8
Pittsburgh Steelers
-190
64.3%
60.6%
63.2%
N/A
Baltimore Ravens
+175
35.7%
39.4%
36.8%
1
Houston Texans
-115
52.3%
45.2%
50.2%
N/A
Indianapolis Colts
+105
47.7%
54.8%
49.8%
N/A
Cleveland Browns
+260
26.9%
42.4%
31.6%
13
Cincinnati Bengals
-310
73.1%
57.6%
68.5%
N/A
Minnesota Vikings
+155
38.6%
28.2%
35.5%
10
Detroit Lions
-165
61.4%
71.8%
64.5%
9
Jacksonville Jaguars
-210
67%
54.6%
63.3%
N/A
Tennessee Titans
+200
33%
45.4%
36.7%
N/A
New York Jets
+105
47.2%
46.2%
46.9%
2
New England Patriots
-120
52.8%
53.8%
53.1%
N/A
Atlanta Falcons
+155
38.6%
35.3%
37.6%
7
New Orleans Saints
-165
61.4%
64.7%
62.4%
11
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
-220
67.3%
63%
66%
N/A
Carolina Panthers
+200
32.7%
37%
34%
N/A
Chicago Bears
+140
40.7%
34.7%
38.9%
6
Green Bay Packers
-155
59.3%
65.3%
61.1%
N/A
Denver Broncos
+135
41.2%
46.4%
42.8%
3
Las Vegas Raiders
-155
58.8%
53.6%
57.2%
14
Philadelphia Eagles
-220
67.3%
76.1%
69.9%
N/A
New York Giants
+200
32.7%
23.9%
30.1%
5
Seattle Seahawks
-145
58.2%
61.2%
59.1%
N/A
Arizona Cardinals
+135
41.8%
38.8%
40.9%
N/A
Kansas City Chiefs
+170
36.3%
26.8%
33.5%
12
Los Angeles Chargers
-185
63.7%
73.2%
66.6%
N/A
Los Angeles Rams
+180
35.3%
17.7%
30%
15
San Francisco 49ers
-190
64.7%
82.3%
70%
16
Dallas Cowboys
-800
86.6%
76.2%
83.5%
N/A
Washington Commanders
+625
13.4%
23.8%
16.5%
4
Buffalo Bills
-160
60.1%
51.8%
57.6%
N/A
Miami Dolphins
+145
39.9%
48.2%
42.4%

Results

Last Week (Week 18): Straight Up: 11-5, Points: 84.
2023-2024 Season: Straight Up: 175-98, Points: 1493.
2022-2023 Season: Straight Up: 172-97-2, Points: 1515.
2021-2022 Season: Straight Up: 171-100, Points: 1517.
2020-2021 Season: Straight Up: 159-69, Points: 1388.
2019-2020 Season: Straight Up: 166-89, Points: 1446.
2018-2019 Season: Straight Up: 158-80-2, Points: 1400.
2017-2018 Season: Straight Up: 180-76, Points: 1537.
2016-2017 Season: Straight Up: 153-85-2, Points: 1288.
2015-2016 Season: Straight Up: 162-94.

2023-2024 Results

Week Pick Probability Confidence Result
Week 1 Kansas City Chiefs 72.8% 14 Loss
Week 1 Atlanta Falcons 64.5% 8 Win
Week 1 Cincinnati Bengals 57.1% 3 Loss
Week 1 Jacksonville Jaguars 66.5% 11 Win
Week 1 Minnesota Vikings 68.4% 13 Loss
Week 1 New Orleans Saints 64.6% 9 Win
Week 1 San Francisco 49ers 56.9% 2 Win
Week 1 Washington Commanders 76% 15 Win
Week 1 Baltimore Ravens 81.6% 16 Win
Week 1 Chicago Bears 51.7% 1 Loss
Week 1 Denver Broncos 64.3% 7 Loss
Week 1 Philadelphia Eagles 64.9% 10 Win
Week 1 Los Angeles Chargers 59.3% 5 Loss
Week 1 Seattle Seahawks 68.1% 12 Loss
Week 1 Dallas Cowboys 61.5% 6 Win
Week 1 Buffalo Bills 58.7% 4 Loss
Week 2 Philadelphia Eagles 74.7% 14 Win
Week 2 Green Bay Packers 50.3% 1 Loss
Week 2 Buffalo Bills 79.6% 16 Win
Week 2 Cincinnati Bengals 62.7% 9 Loss
Week 2 Detroit Lions 67.4% 11 Loss
Week 2 Los Angeles Chargers 60.9% 8 Loss
Week 2 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 60.4% 6 Win
Week 2 Kansas City Chiefs 58.8% 5 Win
Week 2 Indianapolis Colts 51.8% 2 Win
Week 2 San Francisco 49ers 73.3% 13 Win
Week 2 New York Giants 69.5% 12 Win
Week 2 Dallas Cowboys 78.7% 15 Win
Week 2 Denver Broncos 63.2% 10 Loss
Week 2 Miami Dolphins 55.4% 4 Win
Week 2 New Orleans Saints 60.8% 7 Win
Week 2 Cleveland Browns 54.4% 3 Loss
Week 3 San Francisco 49ers 81.8% 14 Win
Week 3 Cleveland Browns 64.3% 7 Win
Week 3 Detroit Lions 61.7% 6 Win
Week 3 Green Bay Packers 53.9% 3 Win
Week 3 Miami Dolphins 70.2% 10 Win
Week 3 Minnesota Vikings 51.5% 1 Loss
Week 3 New England Patriots 55.4% 4 Win
Week 3 Buffalo Bills 72.6% 11 Win
Week 3 Jacksonville Jaguars 80.2% 13 Loss
Week 3 Baltimore Ravens 77.8% 12 Loss
Week 3 Seattle Seahawks 70.1% 9 Win
Week 3 Kansas City Chiefs 86% 16 Win
Week 3 Dallas Cowboys 85.9% 15 Loss
Week 3 Las Vegas Raiders 52.6% 2 Loss
Week 3 Philadelphia Eagles 65.7% 8 Win
Week 3 Cincinnati Bengals 57.6% 5 Win
Week 4 Detroit Lions 51.7% 2 Win
Week 4 Jacksonville Jaguars 57.9% 7 Win
Week 4 Buffalo Bills 60.9% 9 Win
Week 4 Denver Broncos 58.1% 8 Win
Week 4 Cleveland Browns 56.7% 5 Loss
Week 4 Cincinnati Bengals 57.7% 6 Loss
Week 4 Indianapolis Colts 50.5% 1 Loss
Week 4 New Orleans Saints 62.5% 12 Loss
Week 4 Philadelphia Eagles 78.4% 15 Win
Week 4 Minnesota Vikings 62.2% 11 Win
Week 4 Pittsburgh Steelers 61.3% 10 Loss
Week 4 Los Angeles Chargers 69.2% 13 Win
Week 4 Dallas Cowboys 53.5% 4 Win
Week 4 San Francisco 49ers 88.8% 16 Win
Week 4 Kansas City Chiefs 74.1% 14 Win
Week 4 New York Giants 51.8% 3 Loss
Week 5 Washington Commanders 71.3% 12 Loss
Week 5 Buffalo Bills 70.8% 11 Loss
Week 5 Atlanta Falcons 57% 6 Win
Week 5 Detroit Lions 79% 13 Win
Week 5 Tennessee Titans 51.2% 1 Loss
Week 5 Miami Dolphins 79.7% 14 Win
Week 5 New England Patriots 54.4% 4 Loss
Week 5 Baltimore Ravens 61.6% 7 Loss
Week 5 Philadelphia Eagles 68.2% 10 Win
Week 5 Cincinnati Bengals 63.1% 8 Win
Week 5 Denver Broncos 55.2% 5 Loss
Week 5 Kansas City Chiefs 68% 9 Win
Week 5 Dallas Cowboys 53% 2 Loss
Week 5 Green Bay Packers 53.1% 3 Loss
Week 6 Kansas City Chiefs 84.3% 13 Win
Week 6 Baltimore Ravens 64.4% 8 Win
Week 6 Atlanta Falcons 57.1% 3 Loss
Week 6 Minnesota Vikings 58.5% 6 Win
Week 6 Cincinnati Bengals 57.5% 4 Win
Week 6 San Francisco 49ers 68.8% 10 Loss
Week 6 Miami Dolphins 84.7% 14 Win
Week 6 Jacksonville Jaguars 68.3% 9 Win
Week 6 New Orleans Saints 53.6% 2 Loss
Week 6 Las Vegas Raiders 60.4% 7 Win
Week 6 Detroit Lions 58.3% 5 Win
Week 6 Los Angeles Rams 74.5% 11 Win
Week 6 Philadelphia Eagles 77.7% 12 Loss
Week 6 Buffalo Bills 87.2% 15 Win
Week 6 Dallas Cowboys 53.4% 1 Win
Week 7 New Orleans Saints 50.8% 1 Loss
Week 7 Las Vegas Raiders 60.7% 9 Loss
Week 7 Cleveland Browns 54% 3 Win
Week 7 Buffalo Bills 78.5% 13 Loss
Week 7 Washington Commanders 53.7% 2 Loss
Week 7 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 58.6% 7 Loss
Week 7 Baltimore Ravens 59.3% 8 Win
Week 7 Los Angeles Rams 57.3% 6 Loss
Week 7 Seattle Seahawks 77.8% 11 Win
Week 7 Green Bay Packers 54.1% 4 Loss
Week 7 Kansas City Chiefs 72.4% 10 Win
Week 7 Philadelphia Eagles 56.8% 5 Win
Week 7 San Francisco 49ers 78% 12 Loss
Week 8 Buffalo Bills 79.7% 16 Win
Week 8 Dallas Cowboys 73.2% 10 Win
Week 8 Green Bay Packers 51.6% 3 Loss
Week 8 Atlanta Falcons 50.8% 1 Loss
Week 8 Indianapolis Colts 51.2% 2 Loss
Week 8 Miami Dolphins 79.1% 14 Win
Week 8 New York Jets 59.5% 6 Win
Week 8 Jacksonville Jaguars 55.7% 4 Win
Week 8 Philadelphia Eagles 71.3% 9 Win
Week 8 Houston Texans 61.5% 7 Loss
Week 8 Seattle Seahawks 58.7% 5 Win
Week 8 Kansas City Chiefs 78.1% 12 Loss
Week 8 Baltimore Ravens 79.2% 15 Win
Week 8 San Francisco 49ers 70% 8 Loss
Week 8 Los Angeles Chargers 78.7% 13 Win
Week 8 Detroit Lions 76.8% 11 Win
Week 9 Pittsburgh Steelers 59.2% 8 Win
Week 9 Kansas City Chiefs 57.2% 3 Win
Week 9 Atlanta Falcons 65.5% 11 Loss
Week 9 Cleveland Browns 76.2% 13 Win
Week 9 Green Bay Packers 59.5% 9 Win
Week 9 New England Patriots 58.7% 7 Loss
Week 9 New Orleans Saints 76.7% 14 Win
Week 9 Baltimore Ravens 69.7% 12 Win
Week 9 Houston Texans 58.4% 5 Win
Week 9 Indianapolis Colts 57.3% 4 Win
Week 9 Las Vegas Raiders 59.9% 10 Win
Week 9 Philadelphia Eagles 58.5% 6 Win
Week 9 Cincinnati Bengals 56.8% 2 Win
Week 9 Los Angeles Chargers 55.6% 1 Win
Week 10 Chicago Bears 61.5% 8 Win
Week 10 Indianapolis Colts 53.6% 4 Win
Week 10 Cincinnati Bengals 72% 12 Loss
Week 10 New Orleans Saints 57.8% 6 Loss
Week 10 Pittsburgh Steelers 62% 9 Win
Week 10 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 52.5% 1 Win
Week 10 San Francisco 49ers 57.3% 5 Win
Week 10 Baltimore Ravens 71.6% 11 Loss
Week 10 Atlanta Falcons 57.9% 7 Loss
Week 10 Detroit Lions 52.8% 2 Win
Week 10 Dallas Cowboys 90.1% 14 Win
Week 10 Seattle Seahawks 70.3% 10 Win
Week 10 New York Jets 52.9% 3 Loss
Week 10 Buffalo Bills 76.1% 13 Loss
Week 11 Baltimore Ravens 64.7% 6 Win
Week 11 Cleveland Browns 62.3% 5 Win
Week 11 Detroit Lions 82.7% 11 Win
Week 11 Los Angeles Chargers 59.9% 4 Loss
Week 11 Miami Dolphins 83% 13 Win
Week 11 Washington Commanders 78% 10 Loss
Week 11 Dallas Cowboys 82.8% 12 Win
Week 11 Jacksonville Jaguars 72.2% 8 Win
Week 11 Houston Texans 66% 7 Win
Week 11 San Francisco 49ers 83.2% 14 Win
Week 11 Buffalo Bills 73% 9 Win
Week 11 Seattle Seahawks 52.1% 1 Loss
Week 11 Denver Broncos 57.2% 2 Win
Week 11 Kansas City Chiefs 59.6% 3 Loss
Week 12 Detroit Lions 75.6% 14 Loss
Week 12 Dallas Cowboys 83.5% 16 Win
Week 12 San Francisco 49ers 71.1% 12 Win
Week 12 Miami Dolphins 75.1% 13 Win
Week 12 New Orleans Saints 51.2% 2 Loss
Week 12 Pittsburgh Steelers 51.7% 3 Win
Week 12 Tennessee Titans 66.5% 11 Win
Week 12 Indianapolis Colts 56.1% 5 Win
Week 12 New England Patriots 59.8% 7 Loss
Week 12 Jacksonville Jaguars 53.5% 4 Win
Week 12 Denver Broncos 56.2% 6 Win
Week 12 Los Angeles Rams 50.3% 1 Win
Week 12 Kansas City Chiefs 77.7% 15 Win
Week 12 Philadelphia Eagles 62% 8 Win
Week 12 Baltimore Ravens 63.1% 10 Win
Week 12 Minnesota Vikings 62.8% 9 Loss
Week 13 Dallas Cowboys 78.4% 12 Win
Week 13 Indianapolis Colts 52.7% 1 Win
Week 13 Los Angeles Chargers 68.4% 7 Win
Week 13 Detroit Lions 62.4% 5 Win
Week 13 Atlanta Falcons 56% 3 Win
Week 13 Pittsburgh Steelers 72.2% 10 Loss
Week 13 Miami Dolphins 78.6% 13 Win
Week 13 Houston Texans 61.1% 4 Win
Week 13 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 70.8% 8 Win
Week 13 Los Angeles Rams 63.2% 6 Win
Week 13 San Francisco 49ers 55.8% 2 Win
Week 13 Kansas City Chiefs 71.7% 9 Loss
Week 13 Jacksonville Jaguars 77.6% 11 Loss
Week 14 Pittsburgh Steelers 72.2% 12 Loss
Week 14 Atlanta Falcons 56.7% 3 Loss
Week 14 Detroit Lions 65.6% 8 Loss
Week 14 Indianapolis Colts 51.3% 1 Loss
Week 14 Cleveland Browns 54.2% 2 Win
Week 14 New Orleans Saints 71.4% 10 Win
Week 14 Houston Texans 67.8% 9 Loss
Week 14 Baltimore Ravens 75.6% 13 Win
Week 14 Minnesota Vikings 57.5% 4 Win
Week 14 San Francisco 49ers 82.8% 14 Win
Week 14 Kansas City Chiefs 58.7% 5 Loss
Week 14 Los Angeles Chargers 60.2% 6 Loss
Week 14 Dallas Cowboys 64.4% 7 Win
Week 14 Miami Dolphins 86.4% 15 Loss
Week 14 Green Bay Packers 72.1% 11 Loss
Week 15 Las Vegas Raiders 58% 4 Win
Week 15 Cincinnati Bengals 59.3% 5 Win
Week 15 Indianapolis Colts 55.2% 3 Win
Week 15 Detroit Lions 67% 11 Win
Week 15 Cleveland Browns 60% 6 Win
Week 15 Atlanta Falcons 60.9% 7 Loss
Week 15 Green Bay Packers 61.4% 8 Loss
Week 15 Tennessee Titans 53.7% 2 Loss
Week 15 Miami Dolphins 79.8% 15 Win
Week 15 New Orleans Saints 71.1% 12 Win
Week 15 Kansas City Chiefs 77.9% 14 Win
Week 15 Los Angeles Rams 72.4% 13 Win
Week 15 San Francisco 49ers 85.3% 16 Win
Week 15 Buffalo Bills 53.4% 1 Win
Week 15 Baltimore Ravens 62.7% 9 Win
Week 15 Philadelphia Eagles 63.3% 10 Loss
Week 16 Los Angeles Rams 64% 9 Win
Week 16 Cincinnati Bengals 50.9% 1 Loss
Week 16 Buffalo Bills 81.3% 15 Win
Week 16 Atlanta Falcons 51.9% 2 Win
Week 16 Seattle Seahawks 55.5% 5 Win
Week 16 Detroit Lions 58.2% 7 Win
Week 16 New York Jets 59.5% 8 Win
Week 16 Green Bay Packers 66.7% 12 Win
Week 16 Houston Texans 55.6% 6 Loss
Week 16 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 53.2% 4 Win
Week 16 Chicago Bears 65.4% 10 Win
Week 16 Miami Dolphins 52.7% 3 Win
Week 16 Denver Broncos 71.3% 13 Loss
Week 16 Kansas City Chiefs 80.1% 14 Loss
Week 16 Philadelphia Eagles 85.7% 16 Win
Week 16 San Francisco 49ers 66.1% 11 Loss
Week 17 Cleveland Browns 74.7% 13 Win
Week 17 Dallas Cowboys 69.9% 10 Win
Week 17 Buffalo Bills 84.5% 15 Win
Week 17 Chicago Bears 57.5% 2 Win
Week 17 Indianapolis Colts 58.4% 3 Win
Week 17 Los Angeles Rams 69.7% 9 Win
Week 17 Philadelphia Eagles 81.5% 14 Loss
Week 17 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 59.2% 4 Loss
Week 17 San Francisco 49ers 84.6% 16 Win
Week 17 Jacksonville Jaguars 71.7% 11 Win
Week 17 Baltimore Ravens 60.8% 5 Win
Week 17 Houston Texans 63.6% 7 Win
Week 17 Seattle Seahawks 62.1% 6 Loss
Week 17 Denver Broncos 69.1% 8 Win
Week 17 Kansas City Chiefs 71.8% 12 Win
Week 17 Minnesota Vikings 57% 1 Loss
Week 18 Pittsburgh Steelers 63.2% 8 Win
Week 18 Houston Texans 50.2% 1 Win
Week 18 Cincinnati Bengals 68.5% 13 Win
Week 18 Detroit Lions 64.5% 10 Win
Week 18 Jacksonville Jaguars 63.3% 9 Loss
Week 18 New England Patriots 53.1% 2 Loss
Week 18 New Orleans Saints 62.4% 7 Win
Week 18 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 66% 11 Win
Week 18 Green Bay Packers 61.1% 6 Win
Week 18 Las Vegas Raiders 57.2% 3 Win
Week 18 Philadelphia Eagles 69.9% 14 Loss
Week 18 Seattle Seahawks 59.1% 5 Win
Week 18 Los Angeles Chargers 66.6% 12 Loss
Week 18 San Francisco 49ers 70% 15 Loss
Week 18 Dallas Cowboys 83.5% 16 Win
Week 18 Buffalo Bills 57.6% 4 Win