Pigskin Pick’em Analysis

Game: Pigskin Pick’em
From: ESPN
Link to Play: Pigskin Pick’Em
Join our Public Group: StreakEdge

How does it work?: The NFL regular season runs from early September to the beginning of January. There are 17 weeks in total with the number of games varying depending on which teams are on byes. Each week there is also a score tiebreaker for one of the games. The following is an explanation of the scoring breakdown:

Each week the contestant is provided with the week’s games and must pick the winner of each. Every game must then be assigned a point value between 1 and however many games there are in that given week (16 when there are no byes).

Strategy: Our numbers below are based on the strategy of maximizing score. Thus, we always take the favorites (or the side with the highest % chance of winning the proposition.)

Week 17 Pigskin Pick’em Analysis

Confidence Team Implied Odds DRatings Small Win Prob
N/A
 Chicago Bears
+575
14.5%
15.3%
14.7%
15
 Minnesota Vikings
-710
85.5%
84.7%
85.3%
N/A
 Cleveland Browns
+225
30.2%
10.5%
24.3%
12
 Pittsburgh Steelers
-245
69.8%
89.5%
75.7%
1
 Dallas Cowboys
-170
62.1%
32%
53.1%
N/A
 Philadelphia Eagles
+160
37.9%
68%
46.9%
N/A
 Green Bay Packers
+295
24.9%
30.4%
26.6%
11
 Detroit Lions
-325
75.1%
69.6%
73.5%
N/A
 Houston Texans
+215
31.2%
50.2%
36.9%
7
 Indianapolis Colts
-235
68.8%
49.8%
63.1%
N/A
 New York Jets
+1025
8.8%
10.7%
9.4%
16
 New England Patriots
-1250
91.2%
89.3%
90.6%
6
 Washington Redskins
-175
62.8%
56.5%
60.9%
N/A
 New York Giants
+165
37.2%
43.5%
39.1%
N/A
 Carolina Panthers
+175
35.7%
33.2%
35%
8
 Atlanta Falcons
-190
64.3%
66.8%
65.1%
3
 Buffalo Bills
-128
55%
51.7%
54%
N/A
 Miami Dolphins
+118
45%
48.3%
46%
N/A
 Cincinnati Bengals
+360
21.3%
22.2%
21.6%
14
 Baltimore Ravens
-405
78.7%
77.8%
78.4%
N/A
 Kansas City Chiefs
+175
35.7%
51.9%
40.6%
5
 Denver Broncos
-190
64.3%
48.1%
59.4%
N/A
 Jacksonville Jaguars
+108
47%
32.6%
42.7%
4
 Tennessee Titans
-118
53%
67.4%
57.3%
N/A
 Oakland Raiders
+260
27.2%
30.4%
28.2%
10
 Los Angeles Chargers
-290
72.8%
69.6%
71.8%
2
 San Francisco 49ers
-215
66.8%
22.1%
53.4%
N/A
 Los Angeles Rams
+195
33.2%
77.9%
46.6%
9
 New Orleans Saints
-260
71.1%
72.3%
71.5%
N/A
 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
+240
28.9%
27.7%
28.5%
N/A
 Arizona Cardinals
+328
22.9%
22.1%
22.7%
13
 Seattle Seahawks
-365
77.1%
77.9%
77.3%

Results

Last Week (Week 17): Straight Up: 11-5, Points: 89.
2017-2018 Season: Straight Up: 180-76, Points: 1537.
2016-2017 Season: Straight Up: 153-85-2 (64.3%), Points: 1288.
2015-2016 Season: Straight Up: 162-94 (63.3%).

2017-2018 Results

Week Pick Probability Confidence Result
Week 17 Minnesota Vikings 85.3% 15 Win
Week 17 Pittsburgh Steelers 75.7% 12 Win
Week 17 Dallas Cowboys 53.1% 1 Win
Week 17 Detroit Lions 73.5% 11 Win
Week 17 Indianapolis Colts 63.1% 7 Win
Week 17 New England Patriots 90.6% 16 Win
Week 17 Washington Redskins 60.9% 6 Loss
Week 17 Atlanta Falcons 65.1% 8 Win
Week 17 Buffalo Bills 54% 3 Win
Week 17 Baltimore Ravens 78.4% 14 Loss
Week 17 Denver Broncos 59.4% 5 Loss
Week 17 Tennessee Titans 57.3% 4 Win
Week 17 Los Angeles Chargers 71.8% 10 Win
Week 17 San Francisco 49ers 53.4% 2 Win
Week 17 New Orleans Saints 71.5% 9 Loss
Week 17 Seattle Seahawks 77.3% 13 Loss
Week 16 Baltimore Ravens 87.3% 16 Win
Week 16 Minnesota Vikings 74.6% 10 Win
Week 16 New Orleans Saints 67.8% 6 Win
Week 16 New England Patriots 83.3% 15 Win
Week 16 Chicago Bears 73.2% 9 Win
Week 16 Detroit Lions 63.6% 2 Loss
Week 16 Washington Redskins 64.5% 4 Win
Week 16 Los Angeles Rams 69.5% 7 Win
Week 16 Kansas City Chiefs 79.3% 14 Win
Week 16 Los Angeles Chargers 72.6% 8 Win
Week 16 Carolina Panthers 78% 12 Win
Week 16 Jacksonville Jaguars 67.2% 5 Loss
Week 16 Dallas Cowboys 63.1% 1 Loss
Week 16 Arizona Cardinals 64.4% 3 Win
Week 16 Pittsburgh Steelers 77.5% 11 Win
Week 16 Philadelphia Eagles 78.1% 13 Win
Week 15 Denver Broncos 55.1% 4 Win
Week 15 Detroit Lions 68.9% 11 Win
Week 15 Kansas City Chiefs 51.5% 2 Win
Week 15 Buffalo Bills 64.4% 8 Win
Week 15 Minnesota Vikings 82.1% 15 Win
Week 15 Baltimore Ravens 76.3% 13 Win
Week 15 Carolina Panthers 62.4% 7 Win
Week 15 New Orleans Saints 89.7% 16 Win
Week 15 Philadelphia Eagles 75.5% 12 Win
Week 15 Washington Redskins 66.9% 9 Win
Week 15 Jacksonville Jaguars 80.8% 14 Win
Week 15 Seattle Seahawks 54.9% 3 Loss
Week 15 San Francisco 49ers 50.4% 1 Win
Week 15 New England Patriots 56.5% 5 Win
Week 15 Dallas Cowboys 57% 6 Win
Week 15 Atlanta Falcons 68.8% 10 Win
Week 14 Atlanta Falcons 51.6% 3 Win
Week 14 Buffalo Bills 75.9% 15 Win
Week 14 Cincinnati Bengals 70% 14 Loss
Week 14 Green Bay Packers 65.8% 10 Win
Week 14 Dallas Cowboys 62.5% 9 Win
Week 14 Detroit Lions 51% 2 Win
Week 14 Kansas City Chiefs 65.9% 11 Win
Week 14 Minnesota Vikings 55.3% 5 Loss
Week 14 Houston Texans 61.5% 8 Loss
Week 14 New York Jets 50.2% 1 Loss
Week 14 Tennessee Titans 57.9% 7 Loss
Week 14 Los Angeles Chargers 68.4% 13 Win
Week 14 Los Angeles Rams 53.8% 4 Loss
Week 14 Jacksonville Jaguars 55.4% 6 Win
Week 14 Pittsburgh Steelers 66.9% 12 Win
Week 14 New England Patriots 81.2% 16 Loss
Week 13 Washington Redskins 58.7% 6 Loss
Week 13 Atlanta Falcons 55.4% 3 Loss
Week 13 New England Patriots 81.1% 15 Win
Week 13 Chicago Bears 66.4% 8 Loss
Week 13 Miami Dolphins 53.2% 1 Win
Week 13 Baltimore Ravens 55.3% 2 Win
Week 13 Green Bay Packers 55.8% 5 Win
Week 13 Tennessee Titans 73.8% 12 Win
Week 13 Jacksonville Jaguars 74.8% 13 Win
Week 13 Kansas City Chiefs 66.8% 9 Loss
Week 13 Los Angeles Chargers 85% 16 Win
Week 13 Oakland Raiders 75% 14 Win
Week 13 Los Angeles Rams 65.2% 7 Win
Week 13 New Orleans Saints 55.5% 4 Win
Week 13 Philadelphia Eagles 72% 11 Loss
Week 13 Pittsburgh Steelers 71.3% 10 Win
Week 12 Minnesota Vikings 56.1% 3 Win
Week 12 Dallas Cowboys 52.2% 1 Loss
Week 12 Washington Redskins 73% 8 Win
Week 12 Atlanta Falcons 78% 12 Win
Week 12 Kansas City Chiefs 79.1% 13 Loss
Week 12 Philadelphia Eagles 85.6% 14 Win
Week 12 Cincinnati Bengals 77.4% 11 Win
Week 12 Tennessee Titans 60.9% 4 Win
Week 12 New England Patriots 90.7% 16 Win
Week 12 Carolina Panthers 66.5% 5 Win
Week 12 Seattle Seahawks 73.9% 9 Win
Week 12 Oakland Raiders 67.7% 7 Win
Week 12 Los Angeles Rams 54.5% 2 Win
Week 12 Jacksonville Jaguars 67.4% 6 Loss
Week 12 Pittsburgh Steelers 86% 15 Win
Week 12 Baltimore Ravens 74.4% 10 Win
Week 11 Pittsburgh Steelers 74.3% 11 Win
Week 11 Detroit Lions 56.4% 7 Win
Week 11 Jacksonville Jaguars 77.1% 13 Win
Week 11 Baltimore Ravens 52% 3 Win
Week 11 Kansas City Chiefs 77.2% 14 Loss
Week 11 Minnesota Vikings 55.4% 4 Win
Week 11 New Orleans Saints 77% 12 Win
Week 11 Arizona Cardinals 51.7% 1 Loss
Week 11 Miami Dolphins 51.8% 2 Loss
Week 11 Los Angeles Chargers 56.5% 8 Win
Week 11 Denver Broncos 56.3% 6 Loss
Week 11 New England Patriots 73.9% 10 Win
Week 11 Philadelphia Eagles 58.5% 9 Win
Week 11 Seattle Seahawks 56.2% 5 Loss
Week 10 Seattle Seahawks 67.2% 9 Win
Week 10 New Orleans Saints 56.7% 5 Win
Week 10 Chicago Bears 64.9% 6 Loss
Week 10 Tennessee Titans 66.9% 8 Win
Week 10 Detroit Lions 83.9% 14 Win
Week 10 Pittsburgh Steelers 79.8% 12 Win
Week 10 Minnesota Vikings 52.6% 2 Win
Week 10 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 51.2% 1 Win
Week 10 Jacksonville Jaguars 65.9% 7 Win
Week 10 Los Angeles Rams 81.5% 13 Win
Week 10 Atlanta Falcons 56.3% 4 Win
Week 10 New York Giants 55.6% 3 Loss
Week 10 New England Patriots 72.8% 10 Win
Week 10 Carolina Panthers 76.6% 11 Win
Week 9 Buffalo Bills 80.6% 12 Loss
Week 9 Carolina Panthers 51.7% 1 Win
Week 9 Jacksonville Jaguars 66.9% 8 Win
Week 9 Philadelphia Eagles 75.4% 11 Win
Week 9 Tennessee Titans 54.7% 5 Win
Week 9 Houston Texans 83.8% 13 Loss
Week 9 Los Angeles Rams 58.8% 7 Win
Week 9 New Orleans Saints 74.3% 10 Win
Week 9 Arizona Cardinals 53.8% 3 Win
Week 9 Seattle Seahawks 73.9% 9 Loss
Week 9 Kansas City Chiefs 52% 2 Loss
Week 9 Oakland Raiders 57.3% 6 Win
Week 9 Detroit Lions 54.3% 4 Win
Week 8 Baltimore Ravens 57.6% 5 Win
Week 8 Minnesota Vikings 79.2% 11 Win
Week 8 Atlanta Falcons 65.1% 6 Win
Week 8 Buffalo Bills 57.2% 4 Win
Week 8 New Orleans Saints 77.5% 10 Win
Week 8 Cincinnati Bengals 80.2% 12 Win
Week 8 New England Patriots 76.3% 9 Win
Week 8 Philadelphia Eagles 85.5% 13 Win
Week 8 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 53.4% 2 Loss
Week 8 Seattle Seahawks 68.8% 7 Win
Week 8 Dallas Cowboys 53% 1 Win
Week 8 Pittsburgh Steelers 56% 3 Win
Week 8 Kansas City Chiefs 74.6% 8 Win
Week 7 Kansas City Chiefs 58.4% 2 Loss
Week 7 Buffalo Bills 68% 11 Win
Week 7 Carolina Panthers 62.7% 4 Loss
Week 7 Tennessee Titans 69.1% 14 Win
Week 7 New Orleans Saints 67.4% 10 Win
Week 7 Jacksonville Jaguars 63.4% 6 Win
Week 7 Los Angeles Rams 60.1% 3 Win
Week 7 Miami Dolphins 64.2% 7 Win
Week 7 Minnesota Vikings 68.7% 12 Win
Week 7 Dallas Cowboys 69.6% 15 Win
Week 7 Pittsburgh Steelers 68.8% 13 Win
Week 7 Los Angeles Chargers 51.9% 1 Win
Week 7 Seattle Seahawks 63.1% 5 Win
Week 7 New England Patriots 64.6% 8 Win
Week 7 Philadelphia Eagles 67.3% 9 Win
Week 6 Carolina Panthers 61.2% 4 Loss
Week 6 Atlanta Falcons 84.2% 14 Loss
Week 6 Baltimore Ravens 69.4% 7 Loss
Week 6 Houston Texans 77.9% 9 Loss
Week 6 New Orleans Saints 66.2% 6 Win
Week 6 Green Bay Packers 56.7% 2 Loss
Week 6 New England Patriots 78.4% 10 Win
Week 6 Washington Redskins 79.9% 12 Win
Week 6 Jacksonville Jaguars 58.3% 3 Loss
Week 6 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 53.6% 1 Loss
Week 6 Kansas City Chiefs 65.5% 5 Loss
Week 6 Oakland Raiders 69.6% 8 Loss
Week 6 Denver Broncos 80.2% 13 Win
Week 6 Tennessee Titans 79% 11 Win
Week 5 New England Patriots 67.9% 12 Win
Week 5 Cincinnati Bengals 56.5% 9 Win
Week 5 Cleveland Browns 52.2% 3 Loss
Week 5 Detroit Lions 54.6% 6 Loss
Week 5 Miami Dolphins 52.7% 4 Win
Week 5 Indianapolis Colts 54.2% 5 Win
Week 5 New York Giants 64.2% 11 Loss
Week 5 Philadelphia Eagles 70.6% 13 Win
Week 5 Pittsburgh Steelers 77.5% 14 Loss
Week 5 Oakland Raiders 60.9% 10 Loss
Week 5 Seattle Seahawks 51.7% 1 Win
Week 5 Dallas Cowboys 54.7% 7 Loss
Week 5 Kansas City Chiefs 56% 8 Win
Week 5 Minnesota Vikings 52.1% 2 Win
Week 4 Green Bay Packers 78.4% 14 Win
Week 4 New Orleans Saints 58% 5 Win
Week 4 Atlanta Falcons 77.6% 13 Loss
Week 4 Cincinnati Bengals 64.6% 8 Win
Week 4 Dallas Cowboys 75.7% 11 Loss
Week 4 Minnesota Vikings 65.6% 9 Loss
Week 4 Tennessee Titans 52.1% 2 Loss
Week 4 New England Patriots 78.6% 15 Loss
Week 4 Jacksonville Jaguars 58.6% 6 Loss
Week 4 Pittsburgh Steelers 57.8% 4 Win
Week 4 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 59.5% 7 Win
Week 4 Los Angeles Chargers 51.7% 1 Loss
Week 4 Arizona Cardinals 76.7% 12 Win
Week 4 Denver Broncos 56.2% 3 Win
Week 4 Seattle Seahawks 85.4% 16 Win
Week 4 Kansas City Chiefs 71.6% 10 Win
Week 3 Los Angeles Rams 55.8% 4 Win
Week 3 Baltimore Ravens 65.1% 10 Loss
Week 3 Atlanta Falcons 61.5% 8 Win
Week 3 Denver Broncos 57.2% 5 Loss
Week 3 Pittsburgh Steelers 75.6% 14 Loss
Week 3 Indianapolis Colts 53.7% 1 Win
Week 3 Miami Dolphins 69.1% 12 Loss
Week 3 Minnesota Vikings 54.7% 3 Win
Week 3 New England Patriots 85.8% 16 Win
Week 3 Carolina Panthers 68.3% 11 Loss
Week 3 Philadelphia Eagles 69.9% 13 Win
Week 3 Tennessee Titans 54.2% 2 Win
Week 3 Green Bay Packers 76.7% 15 Win
Week 3 Kansas City Chiefs 62.7% 9 Win
Week 3 Oakland Raiders 57.4% 6 Loss
Week 3 Dallas Cowboys 58.4% 7 Win
Week 2 Cincinnati Bengals 68.5% 9 Loss
Week 2 Carolina Panthers 70.7% 11 Win
Week 2 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 73.2% 13 Win
Week 2 Baltimore Ravens 78.6% 14 Win
Week 2 Tennessee Titans 52.5% 2 Win
Week 2 Arizona Cardinals 66.8% 8 Win
Week 2 Kansas City Chiefs 66.5% 7 Win
Week 2 Pittsburgh Steelers 71.3% 12 Win
Week 2 New England Patriots 70.5% 10 Win
Week 2 Oakland Raiders 86% 15 Win
Week 2 Los Angeles Chargers 63.5% 5 Loss
Week 2 Dallas Cowboys 53.7% 3 Loss
Week 2 Washington Redskins 51.3% 1 Win
Week 2 Seattle Seahawks 86.1% 16 Win
Week 2 Atlanta Falcons 59.4% 4 Win
Week 2 New York Giants 64.6% 6 Loss
Week 1 New England Patriots 76.3% 14 Loss
Week 1 Atlanta Falcons 71.5% 12 Win
Week 1 Buffalo Bills 75.5% 13 Win
Week 1 Cincinnati Bengals 57.8% 5 Loss
Week 1 Pittsburgh Steelers 77.8% 15 Win
Week 1 Arizona Cardinals 52.5% 2 Loss
Week 1 Tennessee Titans 52.4% 1 Loss
Week 1 Washington Redskins 56.7% 3 Loss
Week 1 Houston Texans 67.7% 11 Loss
Week 1 Los Angeles Rams 56.8% 4 Win
Week 1 Green Bay Packers 61.5% 7 Win
Week 1 Carolina Panthers 67.1% 10 Win
Week 1 Dallas Cowboys 65.9% 9 Win
Week 1 Minnesota Vikings 59.3% 6 Win
Week 1 Denver Broncos 63.7% 8 Win