Pigskin Pick’em Analysis

Game: Pigskin Pick’em
From: ESPN
Link to Play: Pigskin Pick’Em
Join our Public Group: StreakEdge

How does it work?: The NFL regular season runs from early September to the beginning of January. There are 17 weeks in total with the number of games varying depending on which teams are on byes. Each week there is also a score tiebreaker for one of the games. The following is an explanation of the scoring breakdown:

Each week the contestant is provided with the week’s games and must pick the winner of each. Every game must then be assigned a point value between 1 and however many games there are in that given week (16 when there are no byes).

Strategy: Our numbers below are based on the strategy of maximizing score. Thus, we always take the favorites (or the side with the highest % chance of winning the proposition.)

Week 13 Pigskin Pick’em Analysis

Confidence Team Implied Odds DRatings Small Win Prob
9
 Buffalo Bills
-190
64.1%
69.4%
65.7%
N/A
 New England Patriots
+172
35.9%
30.6%
34.3%
N/A
 Pittsburgh Steelers
-103
50%
47%
49.1%
1
 Atlanta Falcons
-103
50%
53%
50.9%
8
 Green Bay Packers
-190
64.7%
67.5%
65.5%
N/A
 Chicago Bears
+180
35.3%
32.5%
34.5%
N/A
 Jacksonville Jaguars
-118
52%
42%
49%
2
 Detroit Lions
+100
48%
58%
51%
N/A
 New York Jets
+140
40.7%
31.6%
38%
6
 Minnesota Vikings
-155
59.3%
68.4%
62%
4
 Washington Commanders
-135
55.8%
51.5%
54.5%
N/A
 New York Giants
+120
44.2%
48.5%
45.5%
N/A
 Tennessee Titans
+200
32.1%
16.1%
27.3%
12
 Philadelphia Eagles
-240
67.9%
83.9%
72.7%
N/A
 Denver Broncos
+325
22.9%
14.8%
20.5%
14
 Baltimore Ravens
-380
77.1%
85.2%
79.5%
13
 Cleveland Browns
-310
73.7%
73.4%
73.6%
N/A
 Houston Texans
+270
26.3%
26.6%
26.4%
11
 Seattle Seahawks
-340
74.8%
64.6%
71.7%
N/A
 Los Angeles Rams
+285
25.2%
35.4%
28.3%
N/A
 Miami Dolphins
+173
35.7%
39%
36.7%
7
 San Francisco 49ers
-195
64.3%
61%
63.3%
5
 Kansas City Chiefs
-125
54.4%
59.9%
56.1%
N/A
 Cincinnati Bengals
+115
45.6%
40.1%
44%
3
 Los Angeles Chargers
-123
53.1%
51%
52.5%
N/A
 Las Vegas Raiders
+105
46.9%
49%
47.5%
N/A
 Indianapolis Colts
+460
17.3%
13.3%
16.1%
15
 Dallas Cowboys
-570
82.7%
86.7%
83.9%
N/A
 New Orleans Saints
+173
35.9%
25%
32.6%
10
 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
-190
64.1%
75%
67.4%

Results

Last Week (Week 12): Straight Up: 11-5, Points: 111.
2022-2023 Season: Straight Up: 112-67-1, Points: 936.
2021-2022 Season: Straight Up: 171-100, Points: 1517.
2020-2021 Season: Straight Up: 159-69, Points: 1388.
2019-2020 Season: Straight Up: 166-89, Points: 1446.
2018-2019 Season: Straight Up: 158-80-2, Points: 1400.
2017-2018 Season: Straight Up: 180-76, Points: 1537.
2016-2017 Season: Straight Up: 153-85-2, Points: 1288.
2015-2016 Season: Straight Up: 162-94.

2022-2023 Results

Week Pick Probability Confidence Result
Week 1 Buffalo Bills 52.6% 1 Win
Week 1 New Orleans Saints 67.3% 10 Win
Week 1 San Francisco 49ers 70.8% 13 Loss
Week 1 Cincinnati Bengals 71.2% 15 Loss
Week 1 Philadelphia Eagles 63.2% 7 Win
Week 1 Miami Dolphins 60.9% 6 Win
Week 1 Baltimore Ravens 71.1% 14 Win
Week 1 Washington Commanders 58.4% 5 Win
Week 1 Carolina Panthers 53.7% 3 Loss
Week 1 Indianapolis Colts 74.6% 16 Tie
Week 1 Tennessee Titans 69.7% 11 Loss
Week 1 Green Bay Packers 52.9% 2 Loss
Week 1 Kansas City Chiefs 65.2% 9 Win
Week 1 Los Angeles Chargers 64.6% 8 Win
Week 1 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 55.5% 4 Win
Week 1 Denver Broncos 69.8% 12 Loss
Week 2 Kansas City Chiefs 63.1% 7 Win
Week 2 Cleveland Browns 70.5% 11 Win
Week 2 Detroit Lions 53.2% 2 Win
Week 2 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 60.5% 5 Loss
Week 2 New York Giants 55.4% 4 Win
Week 2 New England Patriots 52.1% 1 Win
Week 2 Indianapolis Colts 63.7% 8 Loss
Week 2 Baltimore Ravens 61.7% 6 Loss
Week 2 Los Angeles Rams 83.8% 16 Win
Week 2 San Francisco 49ers 77.3% 12 Win
Week 2 Cincinnati Bengals 70.4% 10 Loss
Week 2 Denver Broncos 83.1% 15 Win
Week 2 Las Vegas Raiders 64.7% 9 Loss
Week 2 Green Bay Packers 79.9% 13 Win
Week 2 Buffalo Bills 80.2% 14 Win
Week 2 Philadelphia Eagles 53.9% 3 Win
Week 3 Cleveland Browns 65.6% 10 Win
Week 3 Chicago Bears 58.8% 7 Win
Week 3 Las Vegas Raiders 51.4% 2 Loss
Week 3 Kansas City Chiefs 70% 14 Loss
Week 3 Buffalo Bills 65.7% 11 Loss
Week 3 Minnesota Vikings 72.1% 15 Win
Week 3 Baltimore Ravens 58.1% 6 Win
Week 3 Cincinnati Bengals 66.6% 12 Win
Week 3 Philadelphia Eagles 66.9% 13 Win
Week 3 New Orleans Saints 58% 5 Loss
Week 3 Los Angeles Chargers 75% 16 Loss
Week 3 Los Angeles Rams 63% 9 Win
Week 3 Seattle Seahawks 56.4% 3 Loss
Week 3 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 56.7% 4 Loss
Week 3 San Francisco 49ers 50.5% 1 Loss
Week 3 New York Giants 59.7% 8 Loss
Week 4 Cincinnati Bengals 61.8% 9 Win
Week 4 Minnesota Vikings 55.5% 6 Win
Week 4 Cleveland Browns 55.4% 5 Loss
Week 4 Dallas Cowboys 59.7% 7 Win
Week 4 Detroit Lions 68.4% 13 Loss
Week 4 Indianapolis Colts 62.1% 10 Loss
Week 4 New York Giants 61.7% 8 Win
Week 4 Philadelphia Eagles 70.6% 15 Win
Week 4 Pittsburgh Steelers 63.7% 12 Loss
Week 4 Buffalo Bills 62.2% 11 Win
Week 4 Los Angeles Chargers 68.6% 14 Win
Week 4 Carolina Panthers 52.9% 1 Loss
Week 4 Green Bay Packers 78.5% 16 Win
Week 4 Las Vegas Raiders 54.7% 3 Win
Week 4 Kansas City Chiefs 53.5% 2 Win
Week 4 San Francisco 49ers 55.3% 4 Win
Week 5 Denver Broncos 60.8% 4 Loss
Week 5 Green Bay Packers 75.5% 14 Loss
Week 5 Buffalo Bills 86.7% 16 Win
Week 5 Los Angeles Chargers 57.5% 2 Win
Week 5 Minnesota Vikings 74.2% 11 Win
Week 5 New England Patriots 62% 6 Win
Week 5 New Orleans Saints 68.7% 10 Win
Week 5 Miami Dolphins 61.9% 5 Loss
Week 5 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 78.6% 15 Win
Week 5 Tennessee Titans 54.8% 1 Win
Week 5 Jacksonville Jaguars 75% 13 Loss
Week 5 San Francisco 49ers 67.4% 8 Win
Week 5 Los Angeles Rams 68% 9 Loss
Week 5 Philadelphia Eagles 65.6% 7 Win
Week 5 Baltimore Ravens 58.8% 3 Win
Week 5 Kansas City Chiefs 74.8% 12 Win
Week 6 Chicago Bears 52.7% 1 Loss
Week 6 San Francisco 49ers 68.3% 10 Loss
Week 6 Cleveland Browns 56.3% 4 Loss
Week 6 Green Bay Packers 76.5% 13 Loss
Week 6 Indianapolis Colts 58.4% 7 Win
Week 6 Minnesota Vikings 58.1% 6 Win
Week 6 Cincinnati Bengals 53.2% 2 Win
Week 6 Baltimore Ravens 68.2% 9 Loss
Week 6 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 74.9% 12 Loss
Week 6 Los Angeles Rams 81.3% 14 Win
Week 6 Arizona Cardinals 56.9% 5 Loss
Week 6 Buffalo Bills 54.8% 3 Win
Week 6 Philadelphia Eagles 68.4% 11 Win
Week 6 Los Angeles Chargers 68% 8 Win
Week 7 Arizona Cardinals 52.3% 1 Win
Week 7 Cincinnati Bengals 70.7% 7 Win
Week 7 Dallas Cowboys 74.6% 12 Win
Week 7 Tennessee Titans 59.3% 4 Win
Week 7 Green Bay Packers 66.4% 6 Loss
Week 7 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 80.2% 14 Loss
Week 7 Jacksonville Jaguars 61.8% 5 Loss
Week 7 Baltimore Ravens 72.7% 9 Win
Week 7 Denver Broncos 58.9% 3 Loss
Week 7 Las Vegas Raiders 73.2% 11 Win
Week 7 Los Angeles Chargers 72.9% 10 Loss
Week 7 Kansas City Chiefs 57.5% 2 Win
Week 7 Miami Dolphins 70.8% 8 Win
Week 7 New England Patriots 74.7% 13 Loss
Week 8 Baltimore Ravens 52% 4 Win
Week 8 Jacksonville Jaguars 58.7% 6 Loss
Week 8 Atlanta Falcons 68.3% 12 Win
Week 8 Dallas Cowboys 77.5% 13 Win
Week 8 Miami Dolphins 62% 9 Win
Week 8 Minnesota Vikings 68.1% 11 Win
Week 8 Las Vegas Raiders 51.5% 2 Loss
Week 8 New England Patriots 51.7% 3 Win
Week 8 Philadelphia Eagles 83.1% 15 Win
Week 8 Tennessee Titans 60.5% 8 Win
Week 8 Indianapolis Colts 59.6% 7 Loss
Week 8 San Francisco 49ers 50.3% 1 Win
Week 8 Seattle Seahawks 56.1% 5 Win
Week 8 Buffalo Bills 79.9% 14 Win
Week 8 Cincinnati Bengals 63.3% 10 Loss
Week 9 Philadelphia Eagles 88.1% 13 Win
Week 9 Los Angeles Chargers 58.7% 4 Win
Week 9 Miami Dolphins 65.2% 8 Win
Week 9 Cincinnati Bengals 76% 10 Win
Week 9 Green Bay Packers 64.9% 7 Loss
Week 9 New England Patriots 68.7% 9 Win
Week 9 Buffalo Bills 82.6% 12 Loss
Week 9 Minnesota Vikings 64.6% 6 Win
Week 9 Jacksonville Jaguars 51.1% 1 Win
Week 9 Arizona Cardinals 56.5% 2 Loss
Week 9 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 58.4% 3 Win
Week 9 Kansas City Chiefs 81% 11 Win
Week 9 Baltimore Ravens 60.6% 5 Win
Week 10 Atlanta Falcons 56.7% 2 Loss
Week 10 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 60.5% 4 Win
Week 10 Buffalo Bills 69.7% 10 Loss
Week 10 Chicago Bears 57.1% 3 Loss
Week 10 Tennessee Titans 61.2% 5 Win
Week 10 Kansas City Chiefs 79.8% 13 Win
Week 10 Miami Dolphins 65.8% 8 Win
Week 10 New York Giants 73.5% 12 Win
Week 10 New Orleans Saints 55.6% 1 Loss
Week 10 Las Vegas Raiders 69% 9 Loss
Week 10 Dallas Cowboys 61.9% 6 Loss
Week 10 Los Angeles Rams 63.3% 7 Loss
Week 10 San Francisco 49ers 71.9% 11 Win
Week 10 Philadelphia Eagles 83.5% 14 Loss
Week 11 Green Bay Packers 63.3% 8 Loss
Week 11 Atlanta Falcons 59.4% 4 Win
Week 11 Buffalo Bills 80.7% 13 Win
Week 11 Philadelphia Eagles 77.2% 12 Win
Week 11 New England Patriots 62.1% 7 Win
Week 11 New Orleans Saints 59.3% 3 Win
Week 11 New York Giants 61.9% 6 Loss
Week 11 Baltimore Ravens 85.5% 14 Win
Week 11 Washington Commanders 60.6% 5 Win
Week 11 Denver Broncos 56.7% 2 Loss
Week 11 Minnesota Vikings 52.6% 1 Loss
Week 11 Cincinnati Bengals 67.5% 9 Win
Week 11 Kansas City Chiefs 72.2% 10 Win
Week 11 San Francisco 49ers 76.5% 11 Win
Week 12 Buffalo Bills 79.8% 13 Win
Week 12 Dallas Cowboys 81.6% 14 Win
Week 12 Minnesota Vikings 58.1% 4 Win
Week 12 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 62.1% 5 Loss
Week 12 Cincinnati Bengals 55.2% 2 Win
Week 12 Miami Dolphins 87.2% 15 Win
Week 12 New York Jets 67.6% 9 Win
Week 12 Washington Commanders 65.4% 8 Win
Week 12 Denver Broncos 53.9% 1 Loss
Week 12 Baltimore Ravens 68.1% 10 Loss
Week 12 Los Angeles Chargers 63.9% 7 Win
Week 12 Seattle Seahawks 62.8% 6 Loss
Week 12 Kansas City Chiefs 88.9% 16 Win
Week 12 San Francisco 49ers 77.9% 12 Win
Week 12 Philadelphia Eagles 74% 11 Win
Week 12 Indianapolis Colts 56.7% 3 Loss