Pigskin Pick’em Analysis

Game: Pigskin Pick’em
From: ESPN
Link to Play: Pigskin Pick’Em
Join our Public Group: StreakEdge

How does it work?: The NFL regular season runs from early September to the beginning of January. There are 17 weeks in total with the number of games varying depending on which teams are on byes. Each week there is also a score tiebreaker for one of the games. The following is an explanation of the scoring breakdown:

Each week the contestant is provided with the week’s games and must pick the winner of each. Every game must then be assigned a point value between 1 and however many games there are in that given week (16 when there are no byes).

Strategy: Our numbers below are based on the strategy of maximizing score. Thus, we always take the favorites (or the side with the highest % chance of winning the proposition.)

Week 18 Pigskin Pick’em Analysis

Confidence Team Odds Implied Odds DRatings Small Win Prob
14
 Kansas City Chiefs
-515
81.5%
81.6%
81.5%
N/A
 Denver Broncos
+425
18.5%
18.4%
18.5%
2
 Dallas Cowboys
-210
66.3%
55.3%
63%
N/A
 Philadelphia Eagles
+190
33.7%
44.7%
37%
N/A
 Cincinnati Bengals
+230
29.6%
41.9%
33.3%
6
 Cleveland Browns
-260
70.4%
58.1%
66.7%
4
 Green Bay Packers
-185
63.2%
70.7%
65.5%
N/A
 Detroit Lions
+165
36.8%
29.3%
34.6%
N/A
 Chicago Bears
+210
31.4%
30.9%
31.3%
8
 Minnesota Vikings
-240
68.6%
69.1%
68.8%
9
 Washington Football Team
-310
73.2%
60%
69.2%
N/A
 New York Giants
+262
26.8%
40%
30.8%
15
 Indianapolis Colts
-1040
88.5%
78.1%
85.4%
N/A
 Jacksonville Jaguars
+740
11.5%
21.9%
14.6%
N/A
 Pittsburgh Steelers
+190
33.7%
42%
36.2%
3
 Baltimore Ravens
-210
66.3%
58%
63.8%
13
 Tennessee Titans
-515
81.6%
72.1%
78.8%
N/A
 Houston Texans
+430
18.4%
27.9%
21.3%
5
 New Orleans Saints
-178
62.9%
74%
66.2%
N/A
 Atlanta Falcons
+165
37.1%
26%
33.8%
N/A
 New York Jets
+780
11.1%
11.3%
11.2%
16
 Buffalo Bills
-1000
88.9%
88.7%
88.8%
11
 New England Patriots
-265
71.3%
67.6%
70.2%
N/A
 Miami Dolphins
+243
28.7%
32.4%
29.8%
N/A
 Carolina Panthers
+305
23.9%
15.8%
21.5%
12
 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
-365
76.1%
84.2%
78.5%
N/A
 San Francisco 49ers
+195
33.2%
27.9%
31.6%
7
 Los Angeles Rams
-215
66.8%
72.1%
68.4%
N/A
 Seattle Seahawks
+250
28%
34.5%
30%
10
 Arizona Cardinals
-277
72%
65.5%
70.1%
1
 Los Angeles Chargers
-158
60%
52.4%
57.7%
N/A
 Las Vegas Raiders
+145
40%
47.6%
42.3%

Results

Last Week (Week 18): Straight Up: 9-7, Points: 85.
2021-2022 Season: Straight Up: 171-100, Points: 1517.
2020-2021 Season: Straight Up: 159-69, Points: 1388.
2019-2020 Season: Straight Up: 166-89, Points: 1446.
2018-2019 Season: Straight Up: 158-80-2, Points: 1400.
2017-2018 Season: Straight Up: 180-76, Points: 1537.
2016-2017 Season: Straight Up: 153-85-2, Points: 1288.
2015-2016 Season: Straight Up: 162-94.

2021-2022 Results

Week Pick Probability Confidence Result
Week 1 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 73.4% 14 Win
Week 1 Atlanta Falcons 62.6% 8 Loss
Week 1 Buffalo Bills 69.8% 12 Loss
Week 1 Minnesota Vikings 60.8% 7 Loss
Week 1 San Francisco 49ers 73.7% 15 Win
Week 1 Tennessee Titans 59.1% 5 Loss
Week 1 Seattle Seahawks 54.5% 2 Win
Week 1 Washington 51.2% 1 Loss
Week 1 Carolina Panthers 66.4% 11 Win
Week 1 Jacksonville Jaguars 56.6% 3 Loss
Week 1 Kansas City Chiefs 71.6% 13 Win
Week 1 New England Patriots 59.7% 6 Loss
Week 1 Green Bay Packers 64.9% 9 Loss
Week 1 Denver Broncos 57% 4 Win
Week 1 Los Angeles Rams 74.8% 16 Win
Week 1 Baltimore Ravens 66.3% 10 Loss
Week 2 Washington 63.5% 8 Win
Week 2 Chicago Bears 57.9% 1 Win
Week 2 Cleveland Browns 82.5% 15 Win
Week 2 Los Angeles Rams 62.6% 6 Win
Week 2 Buffalo Bills 60.4% 3 Win
Week 2 New England Patriots 67.4% 10 Win
Week 2 San Francisco 49ers 63.2% 7 Win
Week 2 Pittsburgh Steelers 67.7% 11 Loss
Week 2 New Orleans Saints 62.3% 5 Loss
Week 2 Denver Broncos 68.2% 12 Win
Week 2 Arizona Cardinals 65.5% 9 Loss
Week 2 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 83% 16 Win
Week 2 Los Angeles Chargers 58.9% 2 Loss
Week 2 Seattle Seahawks 69.2% 13 Loss
Week 2 Kansas City Chiefs 61% 4 Loss
Week 2 Green Bay Packers 82.3% 14 Win
Week 3 Carolina Panthers 76.3% 13 Win
Week 3 Buffalo Bills 78.2% 15 Win
Week 3 Cleveland Browns 74.8% 11 Win
Week 3 Baltimore Ravens 77% 14 Win
Week 3 Tennessee Titans 66.8% 8 Win
Week 3 Kansas City Chiefs 73.7% 10 Loss
Week 3 New England Patriots 57.4% 5 Loss
Week 3 New York Giants 56.8% 4 Loss
Week 3 Pittsburgh Steelers 68.7% 9 Loss
Week 3 Arizona Cardinals 74.9% 12 Win
Week 3 Denver Broncos 81% 16 Win
Week 3 Las Vegas Raiders 63.1% 6 Win
Week 3 Los Angeles Rams 15.3% 1 Win
Week 3 Seattle Seahawks 53.5% 3 Loss
Week 3 San Francisco 49ers 17.4% 2 Loss
Week 3 Dallas Cowboys 65.7% 7 Win
Week 4 Cincinnati Bengals 74.1% 14 Win
Week 4 Washington 51% 1 Win
Week 4 Buffalo Bills 91% 16 Win
Week 4 Chicago Bears 61.1% 6 Win
Week 4 Dallas Cowboys 65.3% 8 Win
Week 4 Miami Dolphins 53.6% 4 Loss
Week 4 Cleveland Browns 53.5% 3 Win
Week 4 New Orleans Saints 76.9% 15 Loss
Week 4 Tennessee Titans 74% 13 Loss
Week 4 Kansas City Chiefs 73.8% 12 Win
Week 4 Los Angeles Rams 67.5% 9 Loss
Week 4 San Francisco 49ers 57.9% 5 Loss
Week 4 Denver Broncos 52% 2 Loss
Week 4 Green Bay Packers 72% 11 Win
Week 4 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 69.8% 10 Win
Week 4 Los Angeles Chargers 63.9% 7 Win
Week 5 Los Angeles Rams 54.5% 2 Win
Week 5 Atlanta Falcons 61.1% 6 Win
Week 5 Green Bay Packers 62% 7 Win
Week 5 Minnesota Vikings 75.4% 14 Win
Week 5 Pittsburgh Steelers 54.7% 3 Win
Week 5 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 81.3% 16 Win
Week 5 New Orleans Saints 54.8% 4 Win
Week 5 Carolina Panthers 63.9% 8 Loss
Week 5 Tennessee Titans 65.9% 9 Win
Week 5 New England Patriots 78.4% 15 Win
Week 5 Las Vegas Raiders 69.9% 10 Loss
Week 5 Los Angeles Chargers 51.6% 1 Win
Week 5 Dallas Cowboys 73.2% 12 Win
Week 5 Arizona Cardinals 70% 11 Win
Week 5 Kansas City Chiefs 58.7% 5 Loss
Week 5 Baltimore Ravens 73.4% 13 Win
Week 6 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 73.7% 12 Win
Week 6 Miami Dolphins 65.7% 7 Loss
Week 6 Green Bay Packers 66.8% 9 Win
Week 6 Cincinnati Bengals 60% 3 Win
Week 6 Indianapolis Colts 81% 13 Win
Week 6 Los Angeles Rams 81.1% 14 Win
Week 6 Kansas City Chiefs 71.5% 11 Win
Week 6 Carolina Panthers 53.6% 1 Loss
Week 6 Baltimore Ravens 61.5% 5 Win
Week 6 Cleveland Browns 55.2% 2 Loss
Week 6 Denver Broncos 62.8% 6 Loss
Week 6 Dallas Cowboys 60.8% 4 Win
Week 6 Pittsburgh Steelers 66.6% 8 Win
Week 6 Buffalo Bills 68.6% 10 Loss
Week 7 Cleveland Browns 62.1% 4 Win
Week 7 Green Bay Packers 77.4% 10 Win
Week 7 Kansas City Chiefs 65.7% 6 Loss
Week 7 Atlanta Falcons 54.5% 1 Win
Week 7 New England Patriots 73.7% 9 Win
Week 7 Carolina Panthers 57.3% 2 Loss
Week 7 Baltimore Ravens 72.6% 8 Loss
Week 7 Las Vegas Raiders 61.7% 3 Win
Week 7 Los Angeles Rams 89.4% 12 Win
Week 7 Arizona Cardinals 91.6% 13 Win
Week 7 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 86.7% 11 Win
Week 7 San Francisco 49ers 64% 5 Loss
Week 7 New Orleans Saints 69.2% 7 Win
Week 8 Arizona Cardinals 61.1% 7 Loss
Week 8 Atlanta Falcons 58.7% 4 Loss
Week 8 Buffalo Bills 86% 15 Win
Week 8 San Francisco 49ers 62.5% 8 Win
Week 8 Cleveland Browns 60.2% 6 Loss
Week 8 Philadelphia Eagles 63.1% 9 Win
Week 8 Indianapolis Colts 55.7% 2 Loss
Week 8 Cincinnati Bengals 77.6% 12 Loss
Week 8 Los Angeles Rams 84.1% 14 Win
Week 8 Los Angeles Chargers 59.4% 5 Loss
Week 8 Seattle Seahawks 56.2% 3 Win
Week 8 Denver Broncos 64.1% 11 Win
Week 8 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 64% 10 Loss
Week 8 Dallas Cowboys 55.4% 1 Win
Week 8 Kansas City Chiefs 79.4% 13 Win
Week 8 0% Loss
Week 9 Indianapolis Colts 81% 13 Win
Week 9 Cincinnati Bengals 56.1% 1 Loss
Week 9 Dallas Cowboys 75.8% 12 Loss
Week 9 Miami Dolphins 73.2% 10 Win
Week 9 New Orleans Saints 72.3% 8 Loss
Week 9 Las Vegas Raiders 60.3% 5 Loss
Week 9 New England Patriots 61.3% 6 Win
Week 9 Buffalo Bills 88% 14 Loss
Week 9 Baltimore Ravens 69.6% 7 Win
Week 9 Los Angeles Chargers 56.8% 3 Win
Week 9 Kansas City Chiefs 56.2% 2 Win
Week 9 Arizona Cardinals 59.8% 4 Win
Week 9 Los Angeles Rams 75.6% 11 Loss
Week 9 Pittsburgh Steelers 73.1% 9 Win
Week 10 Baltimore Ravens 78.4% 8 Loss
Week 10 Dallas Cowboys 79.6% 9 Win
Week 10 Tennessee Titans 62.6% 5 Win
Week 10 Indianapolis Colts 80.8% 11 Win
Week 10 New England Patriots 52.2% 1 Win
Week 10 Buffalo Bills 85.6% 14 Win
Week 10 Pittsburgh Steelers 81.5% 12 Loss
Week 10 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 81.7% 13 Loss
Week 10 Arizona Cardinals 80.3% 10 Loss
Week 10 Los Angeles Chargers 58.1% 2 Loss
Week 10 Denver Broncos 60% 4 Loss
Week 10 Green Bay Packers 63.7% 6 Win
Week 10 Kansas City Chiefs 59.5% 3 Win
Week 10 Los Angeles Rams 65.7% 7 Loss
Week 11 New England Patriots 69.9% 10 Win
Week 11 Buffalo Bills 74.4% 12 Loss
Week 11 Baltimore Ravens 69% 9 Win
Week 11 Cleveland Browns 82% 14 Win
Week 11 Tennessee Titans 82.1% 15 Loss
Week 11 Green Bay Packers 54.7% 3 Loss
Week 11 Miami Dolphins 58.8% 6 Win
Week 11 Philadelphia Eagles 53.5% 2 Win
Week 11 Carolina Panthers 59.3% 7 Loss
Week 11 San Francisco 49ers 72.2% 11 Win
Week 11 Cincinnati Bengals 51.6% 1 Win
Week 11 Kansas City Chiefs 57.4% 5 Win
Week 11 Arizona Cardinals 54.9% 4 Win
Week 11 Los Angeles Chargers 63.9% 8 Win
Week 11 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 81.1% 13 Win
Week 12 Chicago Bears 61.2% 10 Win
Week 12 Dallas Cowboys 75.4% 15 Loss
Week 12 Buffalo Bills 67.8% 13 Win
Week 12 Cincinnati Bengals 63.5% 12 Win
Week 12 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 58.4% 7 Win
Week 12 Carolina Panthers 51.4% 3 Loss
Week 12 New England Patriots 68.2% 14 Win
Week 12 Philadelphia Eagles 59.7% 8 Loss
Week 12 Atlanta Falcons 51.9% 4 Win
Week 12 Houston Texans 56.7% 6 Loss
Week 12 Los Angeles Chargers 54.3% 5 Loss
Week 12 Los Angeles Rams 51% 1 Loss
Week 12 San Francisco 49ers 60.5% 9 Win
Week 12 Baltimore Ravens 61.7% 11 Win
Week 12 Washington 51.1% 2 Win
Week 13 Dallas Cowboys 61.2% 5 Win
Week 13 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 79.7% 13 Win
Week 13 Arizona Cardinals 73.3% 9 Win
Week 13 Cincinnati Bengals 59.2% 4 Loss
Week 13 Minnesota Vikings 74.1% 10 Loss
Week 13 Miami Dolphins 65.9% 7 Win
Week 13 Philadelphia Eagles 70.6% 8 Win
Week 13 Indianapolis Colts 76.4% 11 Win
Week 13 Las Vegas Raiders 57.1% 1 Loss
Week 13 Los Angeles Rams 85.3% 14 Win
Week 13 Baltimore Ravens 63.4% 6 Loss
Week 13 San Francisco 49ers 58.4% 3 Loss
Week 13 Kansas City Chiefs 78% 12 Win
Week 13 Buffalo Bills 58.1% 2 Loss
Week 14 Minnesota Vikings 61.1% 5 Win
Week 14 Cleveland Browns 55.8% 2 Win
Week 14 Tennessee Titans 80.8% 13 Win
Week 14 Kansas City Chiefs 78.2% 11 Win
Week 14 New Orleans Saints 67.5% 8 Win
Week 14 Dallas Cowboys 62.4% 7 Win
Week 14 Carolina Panthers 58.3% 4 Loss
Week 14 Seattle Seahawks 73.9% 9 Win
Week 14 Denver Broncos 76.9% 10 Win
Week 14 Los Angeles Chargers 80.5% 12 Win
Week 14 Cincinnati Bengals 51.6% 1 Loss
Week 14 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 61.2% 6 Win
Week 14 Green Bay Packers 83.7% 14 Win
Week 14 Arizona Cardinals 57.5% 3 Loss
Week 15 Kansas City Chiefs 59.2% 4 Win
Week 15 Cleveland Browns 66.7% 9 Loss
Week 15 Indianapolis Colts 53.9% 2 Win
Week 15 Buffalo Bills 80.1% 15 Win
Week 15 Miami Dolphins 76.8% 12 Win
Week 15 Philadelphia Eagles 66.6% 8 Win
Week 15 Arizona Cardinals 84% 16 Loss
Week 15 Dallas Cowboys 79.8% 14 Win
Week 15 Tennessee Titans 52.8% 1 Loss
Week 15 Jacksonville Jaguars 61.1% 6 Loss
Week 15 Denver Broncos 54.5% 3 Loss
Week 15 San Francisco 49ers 76.4% 11 Win
Week 15 Green Bay Packers 60.1% 5 Win
Week 15 Los Angeles Rams 72.7% 10 Win
Week 15 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 79.6% 13 Loss
Week 15 Minnesota Vikings 63.4% 7 Win
Week 16 San Francisco 49ers 58.6% 7 Loss
Week 16 Green Bay Packers 74.1% 11 Win
Week 16 Arizona Cardinals 50% 1 Loss
Week 16 Atlanta Falcons 69% 9 Win
Week 16 Cincinnati Bengals 56% 5 Win
Week 16 Los Angeles Rams 56.4% 6 Win
Week 16 New England Patriots 55.5% 4 Loss
Week 16 New York Jets 54.1% 3 Win
Week 16 Philadelphia Eagles 81.1% 16 Win
Week 16 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 77.8% 13 Win
Week 16 Los Angeles Chargers 77.9% 14 Loss
Week 16 Seattle Seahawks 72.1% 10 Loss
Week 16 Kansas City Chiefs 77.5% 12 Win
Week 16 Las Vegas Raiders 52.4% 2 Win
Week 16 Dallas Cowboys 80% 15 Win
Week 16 New Orleans Saints 60.8% 8 Loss
Week 17 Buffalo Bills 85.7% 15 Win
Week 17 Chicago Bears 67.8% 7 Win
Week 17 Kansas City Chiefs 64.2% 5 Loss
Week 17 Tennessee Titans 62.1% 4 Win
Week 17 Indianapolis Colts 69.8% 10 Loss
Week 17 New England Patriots 87.4% 16 Win
Week 17 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 83.6% 14 Win
Week 17 Philadelphia Eagles 59.4% 2 Win
Week 17 Los Angeles Rams 61.5% 3 Win
Week 17 Los Angeles Chargers 69% 9 Win
Week 17 San Francisco 49ers 83% 13 Win
Week 17 Dallas Cowboys 66.6% 6 Loss
Week 17 New Orleans Saints 67.9% 8 Win
Week 17 Seattle Seahawks 74.9% 12 Win
Week 17 Green Bay Packers 70.1% 11 Win
Week 17 Cleveland Browns 56.9% 1 Loss
Week 18 Kansas City Chiefs 81.5% 14 Win
Week 18 Dallas Cowboys 63% 2 Win
Week 18 Cleveland Browns 66.7% 6 Win
Week 18 Green Bay Packers 65.5% 4 Loss
Week 18 Minnesota Vikings 68.8% 8 Win
Week 18 Washington Football Team 69.2% 9 Win
Week 18 Indianapolis Colts 85.4% 15 Loss
Week 18 Baltimore Ravens 63.8% 3 Loss
Week 18 Tennessee Titans 78.8% 13 Win
Week 18 New Orleans Saints 66.2% 5 Win
Week 18 Buffalo Bills 88.8% 16 Win
Week 18 New England Patriots 70.2% 11 Loss
Week 18 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 78.5% 12 Win
Week 18 Los Angeles Rams 68.4% 7 Loss
Week 18 Arizona Cardinals 70.1% 10 Loss
Week 18 Los Angeles Chargers 57.7% 1 Loss