Pigskin Pick’em Analysis


Game: Pigskin Pick’em
From: ESPN
Link to Play: Pigskin Pick’Em
Join our Public Group: StreakEdge

How does it work?: The NFL regular season runs from early September to the beginning of January. There are 17 weeks in total with the number of games varying depending on which teams are on byes. Each week there is also a score tiebreaker for one of the games. The following is an explanation of the scoring breakdown:

Each week the contestant is provided with the week’s games and must pick the winner of each. Every game must then be assigned a point value between 1 and however many games there are in that given week (16 when there are no byes).

Strategy: Our numbers below are based on the strategy of maximizing score. Thus, we always take the favorites (or the side with the highest % chance of winning the proposition.)

Week 7 Pigskin Pick’em Analysis

Confidence Team Implied Odds DRatings Small Win Prob
N/A
New York Giants
+175
34.9%
24.1%
31.7%
10
Philadelphia Eagles
-210
65.1%
75.9%
68.3%
N/A
Detroit Lions
+120
43.8%
48.3%
45.2%
3
Atlanta Falcons
-140
56.2%
51.7%
54.9%
14
Buffalo Bills
-650
83.9%
91.3%
86.1%
N/A
New York Jets
+500
16.1%
8.7%
13.9%
7
Cleveland Browns
-170
61.2%
74.5%
65.2%
N/A
Cincinnati Bengals
+150
38.8%
25.5%
34.8%
4
Dallas Cowboys
-120
52.2%
73.3%
58.5%
N/A
Washington
+100
47.8%
26.7%
41.5%
8
Green Bay Packers
-190
63.5%
73.4%
66.5%
N/A
Houston Texans
+165
36.5%
26.6%
33.5%
N/A
Carolina Panthers
+270
25.8%
20.4%
24.2%
11
New Orleans Saints
-350
74.2%
79.6%
75.8%
2
Pittsburgh Steelers
-130
54.3%
56%
54.8%
N/A
Tennessee Titans
+110
45.7%
44%
45.2%
6
Seattle Seahawks
-180
62.6%
69.5%
64.7%
N/A
Arizona Cardinals
+160
37.4%
30.5%
35.3%
13
Kansas City Chiefs
-450
78.6%
90.2%
82.1%
N/A
Denver Broncos
+350
21.4%
9.8%
17.9%
N/A
San Francisco 49ers
+120
43.8%
52.9%
46.5%
1
New England Patriots
-140
56.2%
47.1%
53.5%
N/A
Jacksonville Jaguars
+290
24.6%
22%
23.8%
12
Los Angeles Chargers
-370
75.4%
78%
76.2%
5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
-160
59.6%
64.8%
61.2%
N/A
Las Vegas Raiders
+140
40.4%
35.2%
38.8%
N/A
Chicago Bears
+210
31.1%
36.9%
32.8%
9
Los Angeles Rams
-250
68.9%
63.1%
67.2%

Results

Last Week (Week 6): Straight Up: 9-5, Points: 79.
2020-2021 Season: Straight Up: 63-28-1, Points: 541.
2019-2020 Season: Straight Up: 166-89, Points: 1446.
2018-2019 Season: Straight Up: 158-80-2, Points: 1400.
2017-2018 Season: Straight Up: 180-76, Points: 1537.
2016-2017 Season: Straight Up: 153-85-2, Points: 1288.
2015-2016 Season: Straight Up: 162-94.

2020-2021 Results

Week Pick Probability Confidence Result
Week 1 Kansas City Chiefs 81.4% 16 Win
Week 1 Seattle Seahawks 54.7% 3 Win
Week 1 Buffalo Bills 73.3% 10 Win
Week 1 Detroit Lions 56% 4 Loss
Week 1 Baltimore Ravens 78% 14 Win
Week 1 Minnesota Vikings 57.2% 5 Loss
Week 1 Indianapolis Colts 78.6% 15 Loss
Week 1 Las Vegas Raiders 53.2% 2 Win
Week 1 New England Patriots 74.4% 12 Win
Week 1 Philadelphia Eagles 73.5% 11 Loss
Week 1 Los Angeles Chargers 62.7% 7 Win
Week 1 New Orleans Saints 63% 8 Win
Week 1 San Francisco 49ers 75.7% 13 Loss
Week 1 Dallas Cowboys 59.3% 6 Loss
Week 1 Pittsburgh Steelers 69.9% 9 Win
Week 1 Tennessee Titans 51.9% 1 Win
Week 2 Cleveland Browns 70.3% 7 Win
Week 2 Dallas Cowboys 67.6% 4 Win
Week 2 Buffalo Bills 67.7% 5 Win
Week 2 Chicago Bears 69.2% 6 Win
Week 2 Pittsburgh Steelers 73.8% 11 Win
Week 2 Green Bay Packers 71.3% 8 Win
Week 2 Tennessee Titans 81.5% 16 Win
Week 2 Indianapolis Colts 58.1% 2 Win
Week 2 Philadelphia Eagles 52% 1 Loss
Week 2 San Francisco 49ers 75% 13 Win
Week 2 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 79% 15 Win
Week 2 Arizona Cardinals 72.5% 10 Win
Week 2 Kansas City Chiefs 75.5% 14 Win
Week 2 Baltimore Ravens 74.5% 12 Win
Week 2 Seattle Seahawks 61.1% 3 Win
Week 2 New Orleans Saints 72.3% 9 Loss
Week 3 Jacksonville Jaguars 60.2% 5 Loss
Week 3 Atlanta Falcons 61.4% 6 Loss
Week 3 Buffalo Bills 58.5% 2 Win
Week 3 Philadelphia Eagles 72.4% 14 Loss
Week 3 Cleveland Browns 73.5% 15 Win
Week 3 Tennessee Titans 54% 1 Win
Week 3 New England Patriots 68.3% 9 Win
Week 3 San Francisco 49ers 71% 13 Win
Week 3 Pittsburgh Steelers 68.5% 10 Win
Week 3 Indianapolis Colts 80.5% 16 Win
Week 3 Los Angeles Chargers 70.2% 12 Loss
Week 3 Seattle Seahawks 62.5% 7 Win
Week 3 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 69.3% 11 Win
Week 3 Arizona Cardinals 67.4% 8 Loss
Week 3 New Orleans Saints 59.4% 4 Loss
Week 3 Baltimore Ravens 59.2% 3 Loss
Week 4 Denver Broncos 55.8% 1 Win
Week 4 Indianapolis Colts 57.6% 3 Win
Week 4 Cincinnati Bengals 57.5% 2 Win
Week 4 Dallas Cowboys 65.2% 7 Loss
Week 4 New Orleans Saints 68.1% 8 Win
Week 4 Seattle Seahawks 71.3% 10 Win
Week 4 Houston Texans 60.3% 4 Loss
Week 4 Arizona Cardinals 63.7% 6 Win
Week 4 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 74.1% 12 Win
Week 4 Baltimore Ravens 87.3% 15 Win
Week 4 Los Angeles Rams 83.4% 14 Win
Week 4 Buffalo Bills 61.3% 5 Win
Week 4 Kansas City Chiefs 74.6% 13 Win
Week 4 San Francisco 49ers 71.6% 11 Loss
Week 4 Green Bay Packers 71.2% 9 Win
Week 5 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 67.3% 4 Loss
Week 5 Atlanta Falcons 60% 3 Loss
Week 5 Tennessee Titans 54.3% 1 Win
Week 5 Baltimore Ravens 89% 13 Win
Week 5 Kansas City Chiefs 92.9% 14 Loss
Week 5 Los Angeles Rams 80% 11 Win
Week 5 Arizona Cardinals 72.8% 6 Win
Week 5 Pittsburgh Steelers 73.6% 8 Win
Week 5 Houston Texans 70.7% 5 Win
Week 5 San Francisco 49ers 77% 10 Loss
Week 5 Indianapolis Colts 57.6% 2 Loss
Week 5 Dallas Cowboys 80.5% 12 Win
Week 5 Seattle Seahawks 73.3% 7 Win
Week 5 New Orleans Saints 75.1% 9 Win
Week 6 Minnesota Vikings 61.8% 6 Loss
Week 6 Carolina Panthers 53.9% 2 Loss
Week 6 Indianapolis Colts 78.2% 14 Win
Week 6 Pittsburgh Steelers 65.4% 9 Win
Week 6 New England Patriots 75.9% 12 Loss
Week 6 Detroit Lions 64.6% 7 Win
Week 6 Tennessee Titans 65.3% 8 Win
Week 6 New York Giants 56.3% 4 Win
Week 6 Baltimore Ravens 77.3% 13 Win
Week 6 Miami Dolphins 74.7% 11 Win
Week 6 Green Bay Packers 52.5% 1 Loss
Week 6 Los Angeles Rams 59.3% 5 Loss
Week 6 Kansas City Chiefs 65.9% 10 Win
Week 6 Arizona Cardinals 56% 3 Win