Pigskin Pick’em Analysis

Game: Pigskin Pick’em
From: ESPN
Link to Play: Pigskin Pick’Em
Join our Public Group: StreakEdge

How does it work?: The NFL regular season runs from early September to the beginning of January. There are 17 weeks in total with the number of games varying depending on which teams are on byes. Each week there is also a score tiebreaker for one of the games. The following is an explanation of the scoring breakdown:

Each week the contestant is provided with the week’s games and must pick the winner of each. Every game must then be assigned a point value between 1 and however many games there are in that given week (16 when there are no byes).

Strategy: Our numbers below are based on the strategy of maximizing score. Thus, we always take the favorites (or the side with the highest % chance of winning the proposition.)

Week 7 Pigskin Pick’em Analysis

Confidence Team Odds Implied Odds DRatings Small Win Prob
N/A
 Denver Broncos
+155
38.4%
36.8%
37.9%
4
 Cleveland Browns
-170
61.6%
63.2%
62.1%
N/A
 Washington
+330
22.4%
23.2%
22.6%
10
 Green Bay Packers
-410
77.6%
76.8%
77.4%
6
 Kansas City Chiefs
-200
65.1%
67.1%
65.7%
N/A
 Tennessee Titans
+180
34.9%
32.9%
34.3%
1
 Atlanta Falcons
-135
55.8%
51.5%
54.5%
N/A
 Miami Dolphins
+120
44.2%
48.5%
45.5%
N/A
 New York Jets
+265
26.5%
26%
26.4%
9
 New England Patriots
-315
73.5%
74%
73.7%
2
 Carolina Panthers
-150
58%
55.5%
57.3%
N/A
 New York Giants
+130
42%
44.5%
42.8%
N/A
 Cincinnati Bengals
+235
29%
23.8%
27.4%
8
 Baltimore Ravens
-270
71%
76.2%
72.6%
N/A
 Philadelphia Eagles
+150
38.8%
37.2%
38.3%
3
 Las Vegas Raiders
-170
61.2%
62.8%
61.7%
N/A
 Detroit Lions
+700
12.1%
7.2%
10.6%
12
 Los Angeles Rams
-1000
87.9%
92.8%
89.4%
N/A
 Houston Texans
+875
10%
4.6%
8.4%
13
 Arizona Cardinals
-1260
90%
95.4%
91.6%
N/A
 Chicago Bears
+610
13.8%
12.3%
13.4%
11
 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
-750
86.2%
87.7%
86.7%
N/A
 Indianapolis Colts
+165
36.8%
34.2%
36%
5
 San Francisco 49ers
-184
63.2%
65.8%
64%
7
 New Orleans Saints
-225
67.5%
73.2%
69.2%
N/A
 Seattle Seahawks
+200
32.5%
26.8%
30.8%

Results

Last Week (Week 6): Straight Up: 9-5, Points: 79.
2020-2021 Season: Straight Up: 180-76-1, Points: 1570.
2019-2020 Season: Straight Up: 166-89, Points: 1446.
2018-2019 Season: Straight Up: 158-80-2, Points: 1400.
2017-2018 Season: Straight Up: 180-76, Points: 1537.
2016-2017 Season: Straight Up: 153-85-2, Points: 1288.
2015-2016 Season: Straight Up: 162-94.

2021-2022 Results

Week Pick Probability Confidence Result
Week 1 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 73.4% 14 Win
Week 1 Atlanta Falcons 62.6% 8 Loss
Week 1 Buffalo Bills 69.8% 12 Loss
Week 1 Minnesota Vikings 60.8% 7 Loss
Week 1 San Francisco 49ers 73.7% 15 Win
Week 1 Tennessee Titans 59.1% 5 Loss
Week 1 Seattle Seahawks 54.5% 2 Win
Week 1 Washington 51.2% 1 Loss
Week 1 Carolina Panthers 66.4% 11 Win
Week 1 Jacksonville Jaguars 56.6% 3 Loss
Week 1 Kansas City Chiefs 71.6% 13 Win
Week 1 New England Patriots 59.7% 6 Loss
Week 1 Green Bay Packers 64.9% 9 Loss
Week 1 Denver Broncos 57% 4 Win
Week 1 Los Angeles Rams 74.8% 16 Win
Week 1 Baltimore Ravens 66.3% 10 Loss
Week 2 Washington 63.5% 8 Win
Week 2 Chicago Bears 57.9% 1 Win
Week 2 Cleveland Browns 82.5% 15 Win
Week 2 Los Angeles Rams 62.6% 6 Win
Week 2 Buffalo Bills 60.4% 3 Win
Week 2 New England Patriots 67.4% 10 Win
Week 2 San Francisco 49ers 63.2% 7 Win
Week 2 Pittsburgh Steelers 67.7% 11 Loss
Week 2 New Orleans Saints 62.3% 5 Loss
Week 2 Denver Broncos 68.2% 12 Win
Week 2 Arizona Cardinals 65.5% 9 Loss
Week 2 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 83% 16 Win
Week 2 Los Angeles Chargers 58.9% 2 Loss
Week 2 Seattle Seahawks 69.2% 13 Loss
Week 2 Kansas City Chiefs 61% 4 Loss
Week 2 Green Bay Packers 82.3% 14 Win
Week 3 Carolina Panthers 76.3% 13 Win
Week 3 Buffalo Bills 78.2% 15 Win
Week 3 Cleveland Browns 74.8% 11 Win
Week 3 Baltimore Ravens 77% 14 Win
Week 3 Tennessee Titans 66.8% 8 Win
Week 3 Kansas City Chiefs 73.7% 10 Loss
Week 3 New England Patriots 57.4% 5 Loss
Week 3 New York Giants 56.8% 4 Loss
Week 3 Pittsburgh Steelers 68.7% 9 Loss
Week 3 Arizona Cardinals 74.9% 12 Win
Week 3 Denver Broncos 81% 16 Win
Week 3 Las Vegas Raiders 63.1% 6 Win
Week 3 Los Angeles Rams 15.3% 1 Win
Week 3 Seattle Seahawks 53.5% 3 Loss
Week 3 San Francisco 49ers 17.4% 2 Loss
Week 3 Dallas Cowboys 65.7% 7 Win
Week 4 Cincinnati Bengals 74.1% 14 Win
Week 4 Washington 51% 1 Win
Week 4 Buffalo Bills 91% 16 Win
Week 4 Chicago Bears 61.1% 6 Win
Week 4 Dallas Cowboys 65.3% 8 Win
Week 4 Miami Dolphins 53.6% 4 Loss
Week 4 Cleveland Browns 53.5% 3 Win
Week 4 New Orleans Saints 76.9% 15 Loss
Week 4 Tennessee Titans 74% 13 Loss
Week 4 Kansas City Chiefs 73.8% 12 Win
Week 4 Los Angeles Rams 67.5% 9 Loss
Week 4 San Francisco 49ers 57.9% 5 Loss
Week 4 Denver Broncos 52% 2 Loss
Week 4 Green Bay Packers 72% 11 Win
Week 4 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 69.8% 10 Win
Week 4 Los Angeles Chargers 63.9% 7 Win
Week 5 Los Angeles Rams 54.5% 2 Win
Week 5 Atlanta Falcons 61.1% 6 Win
Week 5 Green Bay Packers 62% 7 Win
Week 5 Minnesota Vikings 75.4% 14 Win
Week 5 Pittsburgh Steelers 54.7% 3 Win
Week 5 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 81.3% 16 Win
Week 5 New Orleans Saints 54.8% 4 Win
Week 5 Carolina Panthers 63.9% 8 Loss
Week 5 Tennessee Titans 65.9% 9 Win
Week 5 New England Patriots 78.4% 15 Win
Week 5 Las Vegas Raiders 69.9% 10 Loss
Week 5 Los Angeles Chargers 51.6% 1 Win
Week 5 Dallas Cowboys 73.2% 12 Win
Week 5 Arizona Cardinals 70% 11 Win
Week 5 Kansas City Chiefs 58.7% 5 Loss
Week 5 Baltimore Ravens 73.4% 13 Win
Week 6 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 73.7% 12 Win
Week 6 Miami Dolphins 65.7% 7 Loss
Week 6 Green Bay Packers 66.8% 9 Win
Week 6 Cincinnati Bengals 60% 3 Win
Week 6 Indianapolis Colts 81% 13 Win
Week 6 Los Angeles Rams 81.1% 14 Win
Week 6 Kansas City Chiefs 71.5% 11 Win
Week 6 Carolina Panthers 53.6% 1 Loss
Week 6 Baltimore Ravens 61.5% 5 Win
Week 6 Cleveland Browns 55.2% 2 Loss
Week 6 Denver Broncos 62.8% 6 Loss
Week 6 Dallas Cowboys 60.8% 4 Win
Week 6 Pittsburgh Steelers 66.6% 8 Win
Week 6 Buffalo Bills 68.6% 10 Loss