Pigskin Pick’em Analysis

Game: Pigskin Pick’em
From: ESPN
Link to Play: Pigskin Pick’Em
Join our Public Group: StreakEdge

How does it work?: The NFL regular season runs from early September to the beginning of January. There are 17 weeks in total with the number of games varying depending on which teams are on byes. Each week there is also a score tiebreaker for one of the games. The following is an explanation of the scoring breakdown:

Each week the contestant is provided with the week’s games and must pick the winner of each. Every game must then be assigned a point value between 1 and however many games there are in that given week (16 when there are no byes).

Strategy: Our numbers below are based on the strategy of maximizing score. Thus, we always take the favorites (or the side with the highest % chance of winning the proposition.)

Week 17 Pigskin Pick’em Analysis

Confidence Team Implied Odds DRatings Small Win Prob
N/A
 Atlanta Falcons
-105
50%
35.9%
45.8%
2
 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
-105
50%
64.1%
54.2%
N/A
 New York Jets
+103
48.1%
18.8%
39.3%
7
 Buffalo Bills
-113
51.9%
81.2%
60.7%
1
 Chicago Bears
-160
60.6%
27.3%
50.6%
N/A
 Minnesota Vikings
+150
39.4%
72.7%
49.4%
6
 Cleveland Browns
-140
57.3%
68%
60.5%
N/A
 Cincinnati Bengals
+130
42.7%
32%
39.5%
14
 Green Bay Packers
-660
84.8%
78.1%
82.8%
N/A
 Detroit Lions
+540
15.2%
21.9%
17.2%
N/A
 Los Angeles Chargers
+345
22.1%
21.5%
21.9%
12
 Kansas City Chiefs
-385
77.9%
78.5%
78.1%
N/A
 Miami Dolphins
+800
10.9%
2.6%
8.4%
16
 New England Patriots
-1000
89.1%
97.4%
91.6%
13
 New Orleans Saints
-660
84.8%
74.1%
81.6%
N/A
 Carolina Panthers
+540
15.2%
25.9%
18.4%
N/A
 Washington Redskins
+500
16.3%
11.4%
14.8%
15
 Dallas Cowboys
-600
83.7%
88.6%
85.2%
N/A
 Oakland Raiders
+160
37.9%
30.5%
35.7%
9
 Denver Broncos
-170
62.1%
69.5%
64.3%
5
 Tennessee Titans
-250
70.2%
35%
59.6%
N/A
 Houston Texans
+230
29.8%
65%
40.4%
8
 Indianapolis Colts
-225
67.9%
53.5%
63.6%
N/A
 Jacksonville Jaguars
+205
32.1%
46.5%
36.4%
N/A
 Arizona Cardinals
+230
29.8%
21.9%
27.4%
11
 Los Angeles Rams
-250
70.2%
78.1%
72.6%
10
 Philadelphia Eagles
-190
64.3%
65.9%
64.8%
N/A
 New York Giants
+175
35.7%
34.1%
35.2%
N/A
 Pittsburgh Steelers
-123
54%
15.3%
42.4%
3
 Baltimore Ravens
+113
46%
84.7%
57.6%
4
 San Francisco 49ers
-170
62.1%
53.3%
59.5%
N/A
 Seattle Seahawks
+160
37.9%
46.7%
40.5%

Results

Last Week (Week 17): Straight Up: 11-5, Points: 97.
2019-2020 Season: Straight Up: 166-89, Points: 1446.
2018-2019 Season: Straight Up: 158-80-2, Points: 1400.
2017-2018 Season: Straight Up: 180-76, Points: 1537.
2016-2017 Season: Straight Up: 153-85-2 (64.3%), Points: 1288.
2015-2016 Season: Straight Up: 162-94 (63.3%).

2019-2020 Results

Week Pick Probability Confidence Result
Week 1 Chicago Bears 58.7% 5 Loss
Week 1 Minnesota Vikings 64.3% 8 Win
Week 1 New York Jets 59.3% 6 Loss
Week 1 Cleveland Browns 67.2% 9 Loss
Week 1 Kansas City Chiefs 61.2% 7 Win
Week 1 Los Angeles Rams 54.8% 3 Win
Week 1 Baltimore Ravens 70.6% 11 Win
Week 1 Philadelphia Eagles 79.4% 16 Win
Week 1 Seattle Seahawks 78.2% 15 Win
Week 1 Los Angeles Chargers 70.9% 12 Win
Week 1 Dallas Cowboys 75% 14 Win
Week 1 Detroit Lions 55.1% 4 Push
Week 1 San Francisco 49ers 50.4% 1 Win
Week 1 New England Patriots 69% 10 Win
Week 1 New Orleans Saints 71.8% 13 Win
Week 1 Denver Broncos 51.2% 2 Loss
Week 2 Carolina Panthers 72.3% 12 Loss
Week 2 Buffalo Bills 52.7% 2 Win
Week 2 Cincinnati Bengals 51.4% 1 Loss
Week 2 Dallas Cowboys 62.4% 11 Win
Week 2 Los Angeles Chargers 58.6% 6 Loss
Week 2 Green Bay Packers 61% 9 Win
Week 2 Tennessee Titans 59.8% 8 Loss
Week 2 New England Patriots 87.9% 16 Win
Week 2 Baltimore Ravens 81.4% 15 Win
Week 2 Pittsburgh Steelers 61.2% 10 Loss
Week 2 Houston Texans 77.4% 14 Win
Week 2 Kansas City Chiefs 73.5% 13 Win
Week 2 Chicago Bears 54.7% 5 Win
Week 2 Los Angeles Rams 59.4% 7 Win
Week 2 Philadelphia Eagles 52.8% 3 Loss
Week 2 Cleveland Browns 54.3% 4 Win
Week 3 Tennessee Titans 54% 1 Loss
Week 3 Indianapolis Colts 58.9% 4 Win
Week 3 Buffalo Bills 70% 8 Win
Week 3 Dallas Cowboys 91.6% 15 Win
Week 3 Green Bay Packers 76.6% 14 Win
Week 3 Philadelphia Eagles 71.6% 11 Loss
Week 3 Kansas City Chiefs 73.5% 12 Win
Week 3 Minnesota Vikings 76.1% 13 Win
Week 3 New England Patriots 93.5% 16 Win
Week 3 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 70.9% 10 Loss
Week 3 Carolina Panthers 55% 2 Win
Week 3 Seattle Seahawks 65.4% 7 Win
Week 3 San Francisco 49ers 70.6% 9 Win
Week 3 Los Angeles Chargers 64.2% 5 Loss
Week 3 Los Angeles Rams 58.4% 3 Win
Week 3 Chicago Bears 64.7% 6 Win
Week 4 Green Bay Packers 66.7% 8 Loss
Week 4 Atlanta Falcons 61.2% 5 Loss
Week 4 New England Patriots 71.8% 11 Win
Week 4 Baltimore Ravens 72.2% 12 Loss
Week 4 Kansas City Chiefs 68.8% 10 Win
Week 4 Indianapolis Colts 74% 13 Loss
Week 4 Los Angeles Chargers 85.4% 15 Win
Week 4 New York Giants 57.6% 3 Win
Week 4 Houston Texans 66.5% 6 Loss
Week 4 Los Angeles Rams 81.3% 14 Loss
Week 4 Seattle Seahawks 66.6% 7 Win
Week 4 Chicago Bears 54.4% 2 Win
Week 4 Denver Broncos 58.3% 4 Loss
Week 4 Dallas Cowboys 50.9% 1 Loss
Week 4 Pittsburgh Steelers 67.4% 9 Win
Week 4 0% Loss
Week 6 New England Patriots 88.8% 14 Win
Week 6 Carolina Panthers 54.4% 5 Win
Week 6 Baltimore Ravens 80.9% 13 Win
Week 6 Seattle Seahawks 54% 3 Win
Week 6 Kansas City Chiefs 68% 10 Loss
Week 6 Washington Redskins 60.1% 7 Win
Week 6 Minnesota Vikings 62.2% 8 Win
Week 6 Jacksonville Jaguars 51.7% 1 Loss
Week 6 Atlanta Falcons 54.1% 4 Loss
Week 6 Los Angeles Rams 59.8% 6 Loss
Week 6 Dallas Cowboys 76.3% 12 Loss
Week 6 Denver Broncos 53.1% 2 Win
Week 6 Los Angeles Chargers 71.1% 11 Loss
Week 6 Green Bay Packers 67.3% 9 Win
Week 7 Kansas City Chiefs 57.6% 4 Win
Week 7 Los Angeles Rams 60.8% 7 Win
Week 7 Buffalo Bills 89.9% 14 Win
Week 7 Jacksonville Jaguars 59.8% 6 Win
Week 7 Minnesota Vikings 54% 2 Win
Week 7 Green Bay Packers 69% 11 Win
Week 7 Houston Texans 50.7% 1 Loss
Week 7 New York Giants 61.2% 8 Loss
Week 7 San Francisco 49ers 80.3% 12 Win
Week 7 Tennessee Titans 54.3% 3 Win
Week 7 Chicago Bears 63.6% 9 Loss
Week 7 Seattle Seahawks 63.7% 10 Loss
Week 7 Dallas Cowboys 59.5% 5 Win
Week 7 New England Patriots 82.7% 13 Win
Week 8 Minnesota Vikings 88.5% 15 Win
Week 8 Seattle Seahawks 60.8% 4 Win
Week 8 Buffalo Bills 57% 2 Loss
Week 8 Chicago Bears 66.7% 5 Loss
Week 8 Los Angeles Rams 82.1% 12 Win
Week 8 Indianapolis Colts 70.5% 7 Win
Week 8 Detroit Lions 71.8% 9 Win
Week 8 Tennessee Titans 53.9% 1 Win
Week 8 New Orleans Saints 79.3% 11 Win
Week 8 Jacksonville Jaguars 72.4% 10 Win
Week 8 San Francisco 49ers 69% 6 Win
Week 8 New England Patriots 84.4% 13 Win
Week 8 Houston Texans 70.9% 8 Win
Week 8 Green Bay Packers 57.4% 3 Win
Week 8 Pittsburgh Steelers 86.9% 14 Win
Week 9 San Francisco 49ers 81.2% 14 Win
Week 9 Houston Texans 53.3% 2 Win
Week 9 Buffalo Bills 77.3% 13 Win
Week 9 Philadelphia Eagles 62.5% 7 Win
Week 9 Carolina Panthers 66.7% 10 Win
Week 9 Pittsburgh Steelers 54.6% 3 Win
Week 9 Kansas City Chiefs 50% 1 Win
Week 9 New York Jets 57.9% 6 Loss
Week 9 Oakland Raiders 55.1% 4 Win
Week 9 Seattle Seahawks 68.6% 11 Win
Week 9 Cleveland Browns 56.4% 5 Loss
Week 9 Green Bay Packers 63.9% 9 Loss
Week 9 New England Patriots 63.8% 8 Loss
Week 9 Dallas Cowboys 71.9% 12 Win
Week 10 Los Angeles Chargers 51.7% 1 Loss
Week 10 New Orleans Saints 85% 13 Loss
Week 10 Cleveland Browns 57.7% 4 Win
Week 10 Chicago Bears 58.9% 6 Win
Week 10 Baltimore Ravens 79.1% 11 Win
Week 10 Kansas City Chiefs 66% 7 Loss
Week 10 New York Giants 53.4% 2 Loss
Week 10 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 67.6% 8 Win
Week 10 Indianapolis Colts 81.8% 12 Loss
Week 10 Green Bay Packers 67.7% 9 Win
Week 10 Los Angeles Rams 58.1% 5 Loss
Week 10 Dallas Cowboys 57.4% 3 Loss
Week 10 San Francisco 49ers 73.1% 10 Loss
Week 11 Cleveland Browns 50.9% 2 Win
Week 11 Carolina Panthers 69.6% 10 Loss
Week 11 Buffalo Bills 69.5% 9 Win
Week 11 Dallas Cowboys 58.4% 4 Win
Week 11 Minnesota Vikings 82% 13 Win
Week 11 Indianapolis Colts 56% 3 Win
Week 11 New Orleans Saints 67.7% 8 Win
Week 11 Washington Redskins 50.8% 1 Loss
Week 11 Baltimore Ravens 66.7% 7 Win
Week 11 San Francisco 49ers 85% 14 Win
Week 11 Oakland Raiders 80.1% 12 Win
Week 11 New England Patriots 66.1% 6 Win
Week 11 Los Angeles Rams 71.8% 11 Win
Week 11 Kansas City Chiefs 61% 5 Win
Week 12 Houston Texans 65.1% 8 Win
Week 12 Atlanta Falcons 62.6% 5 Loss
Week 12 Buffalo Bills 65.6% 9 Win
Week 12 Chicago Bears 74.7% 12 Win
Week 12 Pittsburgh Steelers 73.9% 10 Win
Week 12 Cleveland Browns 83% 14 Win
Week 12 Detroit Lions 64% 7 Loss
Week 12 Oakland Raiders 61.6% 4 Loss
Week 12 New Orleans Saints 76.6% 13 Win
Week 12 Philadelphia Eagles 51.2% 1 Loss
Week 12 Tennessee Titans 60.7% 3 Win
Week 12 New England Patriots 74% 11 Win
Week 12 San Francisco 49ers 63.9% 6 Win
Week 12 Baltimore Ravens 57.8% 2 Win
Week 13 Chicago Bears 57.8% 5 Win
Week 13 Dallas Cowboys 72.7% 12 Loss
Week 13 New Orleans Saints 70.9% 11 Win
Week 13 New York Jets 57.9% 6 Loss
Week 13 Pittsburgh Steelers 52.1% 2 Win
Week 13 Green Bay Packers 74.5% 13 Win
Week 13 Indianapolis Colts 58.6% 7 Loss
Week 13 Philadelphia Eagles 79.6% 14 Loss
Week 13 Jacksonville Jaguars 50.8% 1 Loss
Week 13 Carolina Panthers 82.7% 16 Loss
Week 13 Baltimore Ravens 64.4% 8 Win
Week 13 Los Angeles Rams 65% 9 Win
Week 13 Los Angeles Chargers 55.6% 3 Loss
Week 13 Kansas City Chiefs 79.7% 15 Win
Week 13 New England Patriots 65.3% 10 Loss
Week 13 Seattle Seahawks 57% 4 Win
Week 14 Dallas Cowboys 56.4% 4 Loss
Week 14 Atlanta Falcons 56.4% 5 Win
Week 14 Baltimore Ravens 68.6% 11 Win
Week 14 Cleveland Browns 77.5% 13 Win
Week 14 Houston Texans 77.2% 12 Loss
Week 14 Minnesota Vikings 85.2% 15 Win
Week 14 Green Bay Packers 86.6% 16 Win
Week 14 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 61.3% 8 Win
Week 14 New York Jets 67.8% 10 Win
Week 14 New Orleans Saints 53.2% 1 Loss
Week 14 Los Angeles Chargers 58.6% 6 Win
Week 14 Tennessee Titans 55.7% 3 Win
Week 14 New England Patriots 65.1% 9 Loss
Week 14 Pittsburgh Steelers 60.2% 7 Win
Week 14 Los Angeles Rams 54.1% 2 Win
Week 14 Philadelphia Eagles 78.5% 14 Win
Week 15 Baltimore Ravens 90.4% 16 Win
Week 15 Green Bay Packers 67.2% 10 Win
Week 15 New England Patriots 81.9% 14 Win
Week 15 Kansas City Chiefs 80.1% 13 Win
Week 15 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 64.1% 7 Win
Week 15 Tennessee Titans 60% 4 Loss
Week 15 New York Giants 63.5% 6 Win
Week 15 Philadelphia Eagles 66.5% 8 Win
Week 15 Seattle Seahawks 69.4% 11 Win
Week 15 Cleveland Browns 60.6% 5 Loss
Week 15 Oakland Raiders 66.8% 9 Loss
Week 15 Minnesota Vikings 55.3% 2 Win
Week 15 San Francisco 49ers 83.5% 15 Loss
Week 15 Los Angeles Rams 52.2% 1 Loss
Week 15 Pittsburgh Steelers 55.5% 3 Loss
Week 15 New Orleans Saints 77.1% 12 Win
Week 16 Houston Texans 55% 4 Win
Week 16 New England Patriots 72.5% 11 Win
Week 16 San Francisco 49ers 70.6% 10 Win
Week 16 Atlanta Falcons 74.5% 13 Win
Week 16 Cincinnati Bengals 51.3% 1 Loss
Week 16 Baltimore Ravens 79.3% 15 Win
Week 16 New Orleans Saints 56.5% 5 Win
Week 16 Indianapolis Colts 69.5% 9 Win
Week 16 Washington Redskins 53.5% 2 Loss
Week 16 Pittsburgh Steelers 63.3% 6 Loss
Week 16 Denver Broncos 72.6% 12 Win
Week 16 Los Angeles Chargers 74.9% 14 Loss
Week 16 Dallas Cowboys 54.8% 3 Loss
Week 16 Seattle Seahawks 80.2% 16 Loss
Week 16 Kansas City Chiefs 66.4% 7 Win
Week 16 Minnesota Vikings 69% 8 Loss
Week 17 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 54.2% 2 Loss
Week 17 Buffalo Bills 60.7% 7 Loss
Week 17 Chicago Bears 50.6% 1 Win
Week 17 Cleveland Browns 60.5% 6 Loss
Week 17 Green Bay Packers 82.8% 14 Win
Week 17 Kansas City Chiefs 78.1% 12 Win
Week 17 New England Patriots 91.6% 16 Loss
Week 17 New Orleans Saints 81.6% 13 Win
Week 17 Dallas Cowboys 85.2% 15 Win
Week 17 Denver Broncos 64.3% 9 Win
Week 17 Tennessee Titans 59.6% 5 Win
Week 17 Indianapolis Colts 63.6% 8 Loss
Week 17 Los Angeles Rams 72.6% 11 Win
Week 17 Philadelphia Eagles 64.8% 10 Win
Week 17 Baltimore Ravens 57.6% 3 Win
Week 17 San Francisco 49ers 59.5% 4 Win