Pigskin Pick’em Analysis

Game: Pigskin Pick’em
From: ESPN
Link to Play: Pigskin Pick’Em
Join our Public Group: StreakEdge

How does it work?: The NFL regular season runs from early September to the beginning of January. There are 17 weeks in total with the number of games varying depending on which teams are on byes. Each week there is also a score tiebreaker for one of the games. The following is an explanation of the scoring breakdown:

Each week the contestant is provided with the week’s games and must pick the winner of each. Every game must then be assigned a point value between 1 and however many games there are in that given week (16 when there are no byes).

Strategy: Our numbers below are based on the strategy of maximizing score. Thus, we always take the favorites (or the side with the highest % chance of winning the proposition.)

Week 17 Pigskin Pick’em Analysis

Confidence Team Odds Implied Odds DRatings Small Win Prob
N/A
 Atlanta Falcons
+235
28.6%
22.2%
26.7%
11
 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
-290
71.4%
77.8%
73.3%
N/A
 Miami Dolphins
+145
39.6%
33.7%
37.8%
7
 Buffalo Bills
-165
60.4%
66.3%
62.2%
15
 Baltimore Ravens
-800
86.2%
80.4%
84.5%
N/A
 Cincinnati Bengals
+600
13.8%
19.6%
15.5%
N/A
 Pittsburgh Steelers
+380
20.1%
26.1%
21.9%
14
 Cleveland Browns
-480
79.9%
73.9%
78.1%
4
 Dallas Cowboys
-160
59.6%
50.1%
56.8%
N/A
 New York Giants
+140
40.4%
49.9%
43.3%
3
 Minnesota Vikings
56.2%
56.2%
N/A
 Detroit Lions
43.8%
43.8%
N/A
 New York Jets
+150
38.8%
31.2%
36.5%
8
 New England Patriots
-170
61.2%
68.8%
63.5%
10
 Green Bay Packers
-240
67.9%
70.3%
68.6%
N/A
 Chicago Bears
+200
32.1%
29.7%
31.4%
5
 Las Vegas Raiders
-140
56.2%
59.3%
57.1%
N/A
 Denver Broncos
+120
43.8%
40.7%
42.9%
12
 Tennessee Titans
-355
74.5%
72.5%
73.9%
N/A
 Houston Texans
+275
25.5%
27.5%
26.1%
N/A
 Jacksonville Jaguars
+725
11.7%
7.8%
10.5%
16
 Indianapolis Colts
-1100
88.3%
92.2%
89.5%
1
 Los Angeles Chargers
51.2%
51.2%
N/A
 Kansas City Chiefs
48.8%
48.8%
N/A
 Arizona Cardinals
38.2%
38.2%
6
 Los Angeles Rams
61.8%
61.8%
13
 New Orleans Saints
-300
71.8%
79.4%
74.1%
N/A
 Carolina Panthers
+240
28.2%
20.6%
25.9%
9
 Seattle Seahawks
-250
68.9%
66.6%
68.2%
N/A
 San Francisco 49ers
+210
31.1%
33.4%
31.8%
2
 Washington
-125
53.2%
58.7%
54.9%
N/A
 Philadelphia Eagles
+105
46.8%
41.3%
45.2%

Results

Last Week (Week 17): Straight Up: 15-1, Points: 136.
2020-2021 Season: Straight Up: 180-76-1, Points: 1570.
2019-2020 Season: Straight Up: 166-89, Points: 1446.
2018-2019 Season: Straight Up: 158-80-2, Points: 1400.
2017-2018 Season: Straight Up: 180-76, Points: 1537.
2016-2017 Season: Straight Up: 153-85-2, Points: 1288.
2015-2016 Season: Straight Up: 162-94.

2020-2021 Results

Week Pick Probability Confidence Result
Week 1 Kansas City Chiefs 81.4% 16 Win
Week 1 Seattle Seahawks 54.7% 3 Win
Week 1 Buffalo Bills 73.3% 10 Win
Week 1 Detroit Lions 56% 4 Loss
Week 1 Baltimore Ravens 78% 14 Win
Week 1 Minnesota Vikings 57.2% 5 Loss
Week 1 Indianapolis Colts 78.6% 15 Loss
Week 1 Las Vegas Raiders 53.2% 2 Win
Week 1 New England Patriots 74.4% 12 Win
Week 1 Philadelphia Eagles 73.5% 11 Loss
Week 1 Los Angeles Chargers 62.7% 7 Win
Week 1 New Orleans Saints 63% 8 Win
Week 1 San Francisco 49ers 75.7% 13 Loss
Week 1 Dallas Cowboys 59.3% 6 Loss
Week 1 Pittsburgh Steelers 69.9% 9 Win
Week 1 Tennessee Titans 51.9% 1 Win
Week 2 Cleveland Browns 70.3% 7 Win
Week 2 Dallas Cowboys 67.6% 4 Win
Week 2 Buffalo Bills 67.7% 5 Win
Week 2 Chicago Bears 69.2% 6 Win
Week 2 Pittsburgh Steelers 73.8% 11 Win
Week 2 Green Bay Packers 71.3% 8 Win
Week 2 Tennessee Titans 81.5% 16 Win
Week 2 Indianapolis Colts 58.1% 2 Win
Week 2 Philadelphia Eagles 52% 1 Loss
Week 2 San Francisco 49ers 75% 13 Win
Week 2 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 79% 15 Win
Week 2 Arizona Cardinals 72.5% 10 Win
Week 2 Kansas City Chiefs 75.5% 14 Win
Week 2 Baltimore Ravens 74.5% 12 Win
Week 2 Seattle Seahawks 61.1% 3 Win
Week 2 New Orleans Saints 72.3% 9 Loss
Week 3 Jacksonville Jaguars 60.2% 5 Loss
Week 3 Atlanta Falcons 61.4% 6 Loss
Week 3 Buffalo Bills 58.5% 2 Win
Week 3 Philadelphia Eagles 72.4% 14 Loss
Week 3 Cleveland Browns 73.5% 15 Win
Week 3 Tennessee Titans 54% 1 Win
Week 3 New England Patriots 68.3% 9 Win
Week 3 San Francisco 49ers 71% 13 Win
Week 3 Pittsburgh Steelers 68.5% 10 Win
Week 3 Indianapolis Colts 80.5% 16 Win
Week 3 Los Angeles Chargers 70.2% 12 Loss
Week 3 Seattle Seahawks 62.5% 7 Win
Week 3 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 69.3% 11 Win
Week 3 Arizona Cardinals 67.4% 8 Loss
Week 3 New Orleans Saints 59.4% 4 Loss
Week 3 Baltimore Ravens 59.2% 3 Loss
Week 4 Denver Broncos 55.8% 1 Win
Week 4 Indianapolis Colts 57.6% 3 Win
Week 4 Cincinnati Bengals 57.5% 2 Win
Week 4 Dallas Cowboys 65.2% 7 Loss
Week 4 New Orleans Saints 68.1% 8 Win
Week 4 Seattle Seahawks 71.3% 10 Win
Week 4 Houston Texans 60.3% 4 Loss
Week 4 Arizona Cardinals 63.7% 6 Win
Week 4 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 74.1% 12 Win
Week 4 Baltimore Ravens 87.3% 15 Win
Week 4 Los Angeles Rams 83.4% 14 Win
Week 4 Buffalo Bills 61.3% 5 Win
Week 4 Kansas City Chiefs 74.6% 13 Win
Week 4 San Francisco 49ers 71.6% 11 Loss
Week 4 Green Bay Packers 71.2% 9 Win
Week 5 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 67.3% 4 Loss
Week 5 Atlanta Falcons 60% 3 Loss
Week 5 Tennessee Titans 54.3% 1 Win
Week 5 Baltimore Ravens 89% 13 Win
Week 5 Kansas City Chiefs 92.9% 14 Loss
Week 5 Los Angeles Rams 80% 11 Win
Week 5 Arizona Cardinals 72.8% 6 Win
Week 5 Pittsburgh Steelers 73.6% 8 Win
Week 5 Houston Texans 70.7% 5 Win
Week 5 San Francisco 49ers 77% 10 Loss
Week 5 Indianapolis Colts 57.6% 2 Loss
Week 5 Dallas Cowboys 80.5% 12 Win
Week 5 Seattle Seahawks 73.3% 7 Win
Week 5 New Orleans Saints 75.1% 9 Win
Week 6 Minnesota Vikings 61.8% 6 Loss
Week 6 Carolina Panthers 53.9% 2 Loss
Week 6 Indianapolis Colts 78.2% 14 Win
Week 6 Pittsburgh Steelers 65.4% 9 Win
Week 6 New England Patriots 75.9% 12 Loss
Week 6 Detroit Lions 64.6% 7 Win
Week 6 Tennessee Titans 65.3% 8 Win
Week 6 New York Giants 56.3% 4 Win
Week 6 Baltimore Ravens 77.3% 13 Win
Week 6 Miami Dolphins 74.7% 11 Win
Week 6 Green Bay Packers 52.5% 1 Loss
Week 6 Los Angeles Rams 59.3% 5 Loss
Week 6 Kansas City Chiefs 65.9% 10 Win
Week 6 Arizona Cardinals 56% 3 Win
Week 7 Philadelphia Eagles 68.3% 10 Win
Week 7 Atlanta Falcons 54.9% 3 Loss
Week 7 Buffalo Bills 86.1% 14 Win
Week 7 Cleveland Browns 65.2% 7 Win
Week 7 Dallas Cowboys 58.5% 4 Loss
Week 7 Green Bay Packers 66.5% 8 Win
Week 7 New Orleans Saints 75.8% 11 Win
Week 7 Pittsburgh Steelers 54.8% 2 Win
Week 7 Seattle Seahawks 64.7% 6 Loss
Week 7 Kansas City Chiefs 82.1% 13 Win
Week 7 New England Patriots 53.5% 1 Loss
Week 7 Los Angeles Chargers 76.2% 12 Win
Week 7 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 61.2% 5 Win
Week 7 Los Angeles Rams 67.2% 9 Win
Week 8 Carolina Panthers 57.5% 1 Loss
Week 8 Buffalo Bills 64% 7 Win
Week 8 Tennessee Titans 75% 11 Loss
Week 8 Cleveland Browns 58.9% 2 Loss
Week 8 Indianapolis Colts 59.3% 3 Win
Week 8 Green Bay Packers 74.4% 10 Loss
Week 8 Kansas City Chiefs 93.8% 14 Win
Week 8 Los Angeles Rams 66.2% 9 Loss
Week 8 Baltimore Ravens 62.8% 6 Loss
Week 8 Los Angeles Chargers 59.8% 4 Loss
Week 8 New Orleans Saints 64.7% 8 Win
Week 8 Seattle Seahawks 60.3% 5 Win
Week 8 Philadelphia Eagles 76.6% 12 Win
Week 8 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 83.6% 13 Win
Week 9 Green Bay Packers 68.1% 9 Win
Week 9 Atlanta Falcons 62.9% 6 Win
Week 9 Seattle Seahawks 57.1% 2 Loss
Week 9 Tennessee Titans 69.2% 10 Win
Week 9 Minnesota Vikings 64.3% 7 Win
Week 9 Baltimore Ravens 62% 4 Win
Week 9 Kansas City Chiefs 83.4% 13 Win
Week 9 Washington 62.3% 5 Loss
Week 9 Houston Texans 71.9% 11 Win
Week 9 Las Vegas Raiders 51.4% 1 Win
Week 9 Pittsburgh Steelers 93.7% 14 Win
Week 9 Arizona Cardinals 61.8% 3 Loss
Week 9 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 65.4% 8 Loss
Week 9 New England Patriots 76.1% 12 Win
Week 10 Tennessee Titans 57.7% 4 Loss
Week 10 Cleveland Browns 60.4% 6 Win
Week 10 Detroit Lions 64.7% 8 Win
Week 10 Green Bay Packers 89.2% 14 Win
Week 10 Philadelphia Eagles 64.5% 7 Loss
Week 10 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 68.7% 9 Win
Week 10 Arizona Cardinals 52.1% 1 Win
Week 10 Las Vegas Raiders 69.4% 10 Win
Week 10 Miami Dolphins 58% 5 Win
Week 10 Pittsburgh Steelers 78.8% 12 Win
Week 10 Los Angeles Rams 52.7% 2 Win
Week 10 New Orleans Saints 80% 13 Win
Week 10 Baltimore Ravens 74.1% 11 Loss
Week 10 Minnesota Vikings 57% 3 Win
Week 11 Seattle Seahawks 61.6% 6 Win
Week 11 New Orleans Saints 68.4% 9 Win
Week 11 Washington 54.2% 2 Win
Week 11 Cleveland Browns 64.3% 8 Win
Week 11 Carolina Panthers 52.2% 1 Win
Week 11 Baltimore Ravens 70.5% 10 Loss
Week 11 New England Patriots 54.8% 3 Loss
Week 11 Pittsburgh Steelers 81.6% 14 Win
Week 11 Miami Dolphins 61% 5 Loss
Week 11 Los Angeles Chargers 78.3% 13 Win
Week 11 Minnesota Vikings 71.9% 11 Loss
Week 11 Indianapolis Colts 56% 4 Win
Week 11 Kansas City Chiefs 72.2% 12 Win
Week 11 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 62.7% 7 Loss
Week 12 Houston Texans 55.1% 2 Win
Week 12 Dallas Cowboys 60% 5 Loss
Week 12 Pittsburgh Steelers 64% 6 Win
Week 12 Las Vegas Raiders 57.6% 3 Loss
Week 12 Buffalo Bills 69.4% 11 Win
Week 12 New York Giants 66.4% 9 Win
Week 12 Cleveland Browns 73.8% 13 Win
Week 12 Indianapolis Colts 65.2% 8 Loss
Week 12 Miami Dolphins 74.3% 14 Win
Week 12 Minnesota Vikings 65.1% 7 Win
Week 12 Arizona Cardinals 54.7% 1 Loss
Week 12 New Orleans Saints 70% 12 Win
Week 12 Los Angeles Rams 76.9% 15 Win
Week 12 Kansas City Chiefs 59.4% 4 Win
Week 12 Green Bay Packers 78.3% 16 Loss
Week 12 Seattle Seahawks 67.4% 10 Win
Week 13 New Orleans Saints 58.5% 5 Win
Week 13 Chicago Bears 57.7% 4 Loss
Week 13 Miami Dolphins 82.6% 12 Win
Week 13 Tennessee Titans 66.1% 7 Loss
Week 13 Indianapolis Colts 64.3% 6 Win
Week 13 Las Vegas Raiders 78.1% 10 Win
Week 13 Minnesota Vikings 80.1% 11 Win
Week 13 Los Angeles Rams 57% 3 Win
Week 13 Seattle Seahawks 83.4% 13 Loss
Week 13 Green Bay Packers 77% 9 Win
Week 13 New England Patriots 52.5% 1 Win
Week 13 Kansas City Chiefs 88.7% 15 Win
Week 13 Pittsburgh Steelers 87% 14 Loss
Week 13 Buffalo Bills 53.4% 2 Win
Week 13 Baltimore Ravens 72.1% 8 Win
Week 14 Los Angeles Rams 68.1% 9 Win
Week 14 Houston Texans 51.9% 1 Loss
Week 14 Dallas Cowboys 66.9% 8 Win
Week 14 Carolina Panthers 66.2% 7 Loss
Week 14 Tennessee Titans 76.5% 15 Win
Week 14 Kansas City Chiefs 76.1% 14 Win
Week 14 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 72% 10 Win
Week 14 Arizona Cardinals 72.8% 11 Win
Week 14 Indianapolis Colts 59.3% 5 Win
Week 14 Seattle Seahawks 91.6% 16 Win
Week 14 Atlanta Falcons 56.5% 4 Loss
Week 14 Green Bay Packers 75.6% 13 Win
Week 14 New Orleans Saints 72.9% 12 Loss
Week 14 San Francisco 49ers 63.9% 6 Loss
Week 14 Buffalo Bills 55.4% 3 Win
Week 14 Cleveland Browns 54.2% 2 Loss
Week 15 Las Vegas Raiders 63.4% 4 Loss
Week 15 Buffalo Bills 71.9% 10 Win
Week 15 Green Bay Packers 77.3% 13 Win
Week 15 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 69% 8 Win
Week 15 Minnesota Vikings 61.9% 3 Loss
Week 15 San Francisco 49ers 56.5% 2 Loss
Week 15 Tennessee Titans 72.7% 11 Win
Week 15 Indianapolis Colts 74.2% 12 Win
Week 15 Miami Dolphins 55.2% 1 Win
Week 15 Seattle Seahawks 68.8% 7 Win
Week 15 Baltimore Ravens 91.3% 15 Win
Week 15 Los Angeles Rams 91.8% 16 Loss
Week 15 Arizona Cardinals 71.7% 9 Win
Week 15 Kansas City Chiefs 65.5% 6 Win
Week 15 Cleveland Browns 65.3% 5 Win
Week 15 Pittsburgh Steelers 86.9% 14 Loss
Week 16 New Orleans Saints 74.7% 12 Win
Week 16 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 76.4% 13 Win
Week 16 Arizona Cardinals 66.3% 8 Loss
Week 16 Miami Dolphins 56.4% 5 Win
Week 16 Kansas City Chiefs 82.6% 15 Win
Week 16 Chicago Bears 74% 11 Win
Week 16 Houston Texans 68.8% 9 Loss
Week 16 Cleveland Browns 78.6% 14 Loss
Week 16 Indianapolis Colts 52.5% 2 Loss
Week 16 Baltimore Ravens 83.5% 16 Win
Week 16 Los Angeles Chargers 62.4% 6 Win
Week 16 Washington 50.9% 1 Loss
Week 16 Philadelphia Eagles 53% 3 Loss
Week 16 Seattle Seahawks 53.4% 4 Win
Week 16 Green Bay Packers 63.4% 7 Win
Week 16 Buffalo Bills 70.7% 10 Win
Week 17 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 73.3% 11 Win
Week 17 Buffalo Bills 62.2% 7 Win
Week 17 Baltimore Ravens 84.5% 15 Win
Week 17 Cleveland Browns 78.1% 14 Win
Week 17 Dallas Cowboys 56.8% 4 Loss
Week 17 Minnesota Vikings 56.2% 3 Win
Week 17 New England Patriots 63.5% 8 Win
Week 17 Green Bay Packers 68.6% 10 Win
Week 17 Las Vegas Raiders 57.1% 5 Win
Week 17 Tennessee Titans 73.9% 12 Win
Week 17 Indianapolis Colts 89.5% 16 Win
Week 17 Los Angeles Chargers 51.2% 1 Win
Week 17 Los Angeles Rams 61.8% 6 Win
Week 17 New Orleans Saints 74.1% 13 Win
Week 17 Seattle Seahawks 68.2% 9 Win
Week 17 Washington 54.9% 2 Win