Pigskin Pick’em Analysis

Game: Pigskin Pick’em
From: ESPN
Link to Play: Pigskin Pick’Em
Join our Public Group: StreakEdge

How does it work?: The NFL regular season runs from early September to the beginning of January. There are eighteen weeks in total with the number of games varying depending on which teams are on byes. Each week there is also a score tiebreaker for one of the games. The following is an explanation of the scoring breakdown:

Each week the contestant is provided with the week’s games and must pick the winner of each. Every game must then be assigned a point value between 1 and however many games there are in that given week (16 when there are no byes).

Strategy: Our numbers below are based on the strategy of maximizing score. Thus, we always take the favorites (or the side with the highest % chance of winning the proposition.)

Week 6 Pigskin Pick’em Analysis

Confidence Team Implied Odds DRatings Small Win Prob
9
 San Francisco 49ers
-180
63%
59.8%
62%
N/A
 Seattle Seahawks
+165
37%
40.2%
38%
N/A
 Jacksonville Jaguars
+118
44.8%
45.3%
45%
2
 Chicago Bears
-130
55.2%
54.7%
55.1%
N/A
 Arizona Cardinals
+205
31.9%
31.5%
31.8%
10
 Green Bay Packers
-235
68.1%
68.5%
68.2%
1
 Indianapolis Colts
-115
51.1%
47.6%
50.1%
N/A
 Tennessee Titans
-105
48.9%
52.4%
50%
13
 Houston Texans
-315
73.7%
74.3%
73.9%
N/A
 New England Patriots
+270
26.3%
25.7%
26.1%
3
 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
-180
63%
41.4%
56.5%
N/A
 New Orleans Saints
+165
37%
58.6%
43.5%
N/A
 Cleveland Browns
+350
21.5%
28.6%
23.6%
14
 Philadelphia Eagles
-430
78.5%
71.4%
76.4%
N/A
 Washington Commanders
+235
29.1%
23.9%
27.5%
12
 Baltimore Ravens
-265
70.9%
76.1%
72.5%
5
 Los Angeles Chargers
-155
58.8%
54.5%
57.5%
N/A
 Denver Broncos
+135
41.2%
45.5%
42.5%
6
 Pittsburgh Steelers
-150
59%
59.4%
59.1%
N/A
 Las Vegas Raiders
+140
41%
40.6%
40.9%
7
 Detroit Lions
-163
60.3%
57.5%
59.5%
N/A
 Dallas Cowboys
+145
39.7%
42.5%
40.5%
11
 Atlanta Falcons
-260
69.8%
71.8%
70.4%
N/A
 Carolina Panthers
+220
30.2%
28.2%
29.6%
8
 Cincinnati Bengals
-170
61.6%
59.9%
61.1%
N/A
 New York Giants
+155
38.4%
40.1%
38.9%
4
 Buffalo Bills
-140
56.2%
60.1%
57.4%
N/A
 New York Jets
+120
43.8%
39.9%
42.6%

Results

Last Week (Week 5): Straight Up: 9-5, Points: 70.
2024-2025 Season: Straight Up: 48-30, Points: 395.
2023-2024 Season: Straight Up: 175-98, Points: 1493.
2022-2023 Season: Straight Up: 172-97-2, Points: 1515.
2021-2022 Season: Straight Up: 171-100, Points: 1517.
2020-2021 Season: Straight Up: 159-69, Points: 1388.
2019-2020 Season: Straight Up: 166-89, Points: 1446.
2018-2019 Season: Straight Up: 158-80-2, Points: 1400.
2017-2018 Season: Straight Up: 180-76, Points: 1537.
2016-2017 Season: Straight Up: 153-85-2, Points: 1288.
2015-2016 Season: Straight Up: 162-94.

2024-2025 Results

Week Pick Probability Confidence Result
Week 1 Kansas City Chiefs 57.3% 5 Win
Week 1 Philadelphia Eagles 57.1% 4 Win
Week 1 Atlanta Falcons 57.4% 6 Loss
Week 1 Buffalo Bills 73.5% 15 Win
Week 1 Chicago Bears 64.2% 11 Win
Week 1 Cincinnati Bengals 78.2% 16 Loss
Week 1 Houston Texans 55.4% 3 Win
Week 1 Miami Dolphins 60.5% 7 Win
Week 1 New Orleans Saints 66.9% 13 Win
Week 1 Minnesota Vikings 52.5% 2 Win
Week 1 Los Angeles Chargers 62.1% 8 Win
Week 1 Seattle Seahawks 68.7% 14 Win
Week 1 Cleveland Browns 52.2% 1 Loss
Week 1 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 63% 10 Win
Week 1 Detroit Lions 62.4% 9 Win
Week 1 San Francisco 49ers 66% 12 Win
Week 2 Miami Dolphins 54.3% 3 Loss
Week 2 Dallas Cowboys 69.4% 10 Loss
Week 2 Detroit Lions 72.7% 15 Loss
Week 2 Indianapolis Colts 59.6% 5 Loss
Week 2 New York Jets 63% 8 Win
Week 2 San Francisco 49ers 68.5% 9 Loss
Week 2 Seattle Seahawks 62.4% 7 Win
Week 2 Washington Commanders 52.8% 1 Win
Week 2 Los Angeles Chargers 70.8% 14 Win
Week 2 Jacksonville Jaguars 61% 6 Loss
Week 2 Baltimore Ravens 79.2% 16 Loss
Week 2 Arizona Cardinals 53.4% 2 Win
Week 2 Pittsburgh Steelers 57.6% 4 Win
Week 2 Kansas City Chiefs 70.1% 12 Win
Week 2 Houston Texans 69.6% 11 Win
Week 2 Philadelphia Eagles 70.6% 13 Loss
Week 3 New York Jets 71.9% 14 Win
Week 3 Cleveland Browns 71.1% 12 Loss
Week 3 Tennessee Titans 59.4% 7 Loss
Week 3 Indianapolis Colts 53.1% 3 Win
Week 3 Houston Texans 55.6% 5 Loss
Week 3 New Orleans Saints 51.7% 1 Loss
Week 3 Pittsburgh Steelers 53.5% 4 Win
Week 3 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 71.7% 13 Loss
Week 3 Las Vegas Raiders 69.3% 10 Loss
Week 3 Seattle Seahawks 69.2% 9 Win
Week 3 Baltimore Ravens 52% 2 Win
Week 3 San Francisco 49ers 75.6% 15 Loss
Week 3 Detroit Lions 57.9% 6 Win
Week 3 Kansas City Chiefs 63.4% 8 Win
Week 3 Buffalo Bills 69.9% 11 Win
Week 3 Cincinnati Bengals 76.7% 16 Loss
Week 4 Dallas Cowboys 65.9% 11 Win
Week 4 Atlanta Falcons 54.1% 4 Win
Week 4 Chicago Bears 60.5% 8 Win
Week 4 Green Bay Packers 54.6% 5 Loss
Week 4 Pittsburgh Steelers 54% 3 Loss
Week 4 New York Jets 73.7% 14 Loss
Week 4 Philadelphia Eagles 55.8% 7 Loss
Week 4 Cincinnati Bengals 66.2% 12 Win
Week 4 Houston Texans 68.8% 13 Win
Week 4 Arizona Cardinals 64.8% 10 Loss
Week 4 San Francisco 49ers 81.6% 16 Win
Week 4 Las Vegas Raiders 50.9% 2 Win
Week 4 Kansas City Chiefs 74.8% 15 Win
Week 4 Baltimore Ravens 55.7% 6 Win
Week 4 Miami Dolphins 50.7% 1 Loss
Week 4 Detroit Lions 63.6% 9 Win
Week 5 Atlanta Falcons 53.6% 3 Win
Week 5 Minnesota Vikings 56.2% 6 Win
Week 5 Chicago Bears 66.4% 11 Win
Week 5 Baltimore Ravens 58% 8 Win
Week 5 New England Patriots 51.1% 1 Loss
Week 5 Washington Commanders 58.6% 9 Win
Week 5 Jacksonville Jaguars 57.6% 7 Win
Week 5 Buffalo Bills 51.3% 2 Loss
Week 5 Denver Broncos 53.8% 4 Win
Week 5 San Francisco 49ers 76.1% 14 Loss
Week 5 Green Bay Packers 63.6% 10 Win
Week 5 Seattle Seahawks 70.4% 13 Loss
Week 5 Pittsburgh Steelers 54.5% 5 Loss
Week 5 Kansas City Chiefs 69.2% 12 Win