Pigskin Pick’em Analysis

Game: Pigskin Pick’em
From: ESPN
Link to Play: Pigskin Pick’Em
Join our Public Group: StreakEdge

How does it work?: The NFL regular season runs from early September to the beginning of January. There are 17 weeks in total with the number of games varying depending on which teams are on byes. Each week there is also a score tiebreaker for one of the games. The following is an explanation of the scoring breakdown:

Each week the contestant is provided with the week’s games and must pick the winner of each. Every game must then be assigned a point value between 1 and however many games there are in that given week (16 when there are no byes).

Strategy: Our numbers below are based on the strategy of maximizing score. Thus, we always take the favorites (or the side with the highest % chance of winning the proposition.)

Week 10 Pigskin Pick’em Analysis

Confidence Team Implied Odds DRatings Small Win Prob
1
 Los Angeles Chargers
-120
53.4%
47.6%
51.7%
N/A
 Oakland Raiders
+110
46.6%
52.4%
48.3%
N/A
 Atlanta Falcons
+535
15.4%
14%
15%
13
 New Orleans Saints
-650
84.6%
86%
85%
N/A
 Buffalo Bills
+135
41.8%
43.5%
42.3%
4
 Cleveland Browns
-145
58.2%
56.5%
57.7%
N/A
 Detroit Lions
+120
44.6%
32.9%
41.1%
6
 Chicago Bears
-130
55.4%
67.1%
58.9%
11
 Baltimore Ravens
-475
81.1%
74.5%
79.1%
N/A
 Cincinnati Bengals
+420
18.9%
25.5%
20.9%
7
 Kansas City Chiefs
-250
70.2%
56.2%
66%
N/A
 Tennessee Titans
+230
29.8%
43.8%
34%
2
 New York Giants
-130
55.4%
48.8%
53.4%
N/A
 New York Jets
+120
44.6%
51.2%
46.6%
N/A
 Arizona Cardinals
+195
33.2%
30.4%
32.4%
8
 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
-215
66.8%
69.6%
67.6%
N/A
 Miami Dolphins
+420
18.9%
16.6%
18.2%
12
 Indianapolis Colts
-475
81.1%
83.4%
81.8%
N/A
 Carolina Panthers
+210
31.6%
33.8%
32.3%
9
 Green Bay Packers
-230
68.4%
66.2%
67.7%
5
 Los Angeles Rams
-185
63.7%
45%
58.1%
N/A
 Pittsburgh Steelers
+170
36.3%
55%
41.9%
N/A
 Minnesota Vikings
+148
39.7%
49.3%
42.6%
3
 Dallas Cowboys
-158
60.3%
50.7%
57.4%
N/A
 Seattle Seahawks
+240
28.9%
22.4%
27%
10
 San Francisco 49ers
-260
71.1%
77.6%
73.1%

Results

Last Week (Week 9): Straight Up: 10-4, Points: 77.
2019-2020 Season: Straight Up: 89-45, Points: 765.
2018-2019 Season: Straight Up: 158-80-2, Points: 1400.
2017-2018 Season: Straight Up: 180-76, Points: 1537.
2016-2017 Season: Straight Up: 153-85-2 (64.3%), Points: 1288.
2015-2016 Season: Straight Up: 162-94 (63.3%).

2019-2020 Results

Week Pick Probability Confidence Result
Week 1 Chicago Bears 58.7% 5 Loss
Week 1 Minnesota Vikings 64.3% 8 Win
Week 1 New York Jets 59.3% 6 Loss
Week 1 Cleveland Browns 67.2% 9 Loss
Week 1 Kansas City Chiefs 61.2% 7 Win
Week 1 Los Angeles Rams 54.8% 3 Win
Week 1 Baltimore Ravens 70.6% 11 Win
Week 1 Philadelphia Eagles 79.4% 16 Win
Week 1 Seattle Seahawks 78.2% 15 Win
Week 1 Los Angeles Chargers 70.9% 12 Win
Week 1 Dallas Cowboys 75% 14 Win
Week 1 Detroit Lions 55.1% 4 Push
Week 1 San Francisco 49ers 50.4% 1 Win
Week 1 New England Patriots 69% 10 Win
Week 1 New Orleans Saints 71.8% 13 Win
Week 1 Denver Broncos 51.2% 2 Loss
Week 2 Carolina Panthers 72.3% 12 Loss
Week 2 Buffalo Bills 52.7% 2 Win
Week 2 Cincinnati Bengals 51.4% 1 Loss
Week 2 Dallas Cowboys 62.4% 11 Win
Week 2 Los Angeles Chargers 58.6% 6 Loss
Week 2 Green Bay Packers 61% 9 Win
Week 2 Tennessee Titans 59.8% 8 Loss
Week 2 New England Patriots 87.9% 16 Win
Week 2 Baltimore Ravens 81.4% 15 Win
Week 2 Pittsburgh Steelers 61.2% 10 Loss
Week 2 Houston Texans 77.4% 14 Win
Week 2 Kansas City Chiefs 73.5% 13 Win
Week 2 Chicago Bears 54.7% 5 Win
Week 2 Los Angeles Rams 59.4% 7 Win
Week 2 Philadelphia Eagles 52.8% 3 Loss
Week 2 Cleveland Browns 54.3% 4 Win
Week 3 Tennessee Titans 54% 1 Loss
Week 3 Indianapolis Colts 58.9% 4 Win
Week 3 Buffalo Bills 70% 8 Win
Week 3 Dallas Cowboys 91.6% 15 Win
Week 3 Green Bay Packers 76.6% 14 Win
Week 3 Philadelphia Eagles 71.6% 11 Loss
Week 3 Kansas City Chiefs 73.5% 12 Win
Week 3 Minnesota Vikings 76.1% 13 Win
Week 3 New England Patriots 93.5% 16 Win
Week 3 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 70.9% 10 Loss
Week 3 Carolina Panthers 55% 2 Win
Week 3 Seattle Seahawks 65.4% 7 Win
Week 3 San Francisco 49ers 70.6% 9 Win
Week 3 Los Angeles Chargers 64.2% 5 Loss
Week 3 Los Angeles Rams 58.4% 3 Win
Week 3 Chicago Bears 64.7% 6 Win
Week 4 Green Bay Packers 66.7% 8 Loss
Week 4 Atlanta Falcons 61.2% 5 Loss
Week 4 New England Patriots 71.8% 11 Win
Week 4 Baltimore Ravens 72.2% 12 Loss
Week 4 Kansas City Chiefs 68.8% 10 Win
Week 4 Indianapolis Colts 74% 13 Loss
Week 4 Los Angeles Chargers 85.4% 15 Win
Week 4 New York Giants 57.6% 3 Win
Week 4 Houston Texans 66.5% 6 Loss
Week 4 Los Angeles Rams 81.3% 14 Loss
Week 4 Seattle Seahawks 66.6% 7 Win
Week 4 Chicago Bears 54.4% 2 Win
Week 4 Denver Broncos 58.3% 4 Loss
Week 4 Dallas Cowboys 50.9% 1 Loss
Week 4 Pittsburgh Steelers 67.4% 9 Win
Week 4 0% Loss
Week 6 New England Patriots 88.8% 14 Win
Week 6 Carolina Panthers 54.4% 5 Win
Week 6 Baltimore Ravens 80.9% 13 Win
Week 6 Seattle Seahawks 54% 3 Win
Week 6 Kansas City Chiefs 68% 10 Loss
Week 6 Washington Redskins 60.1% 7 Win
Week 6 Minnesota Vikings 62.2% 8 Win
Week 6 Jacksonville Jaguars 51.7% 1 Loss
Week 6 Atlanta Falcons 54.1% 4 Loss
Week 6 Los Angeles Rams 59.8% 6 Loss
Week 6 Dallas Cowboys 76.3% 12 Loss
Week 6 Denver Broncos 53.1% 2 Win
Week 6 Los Angeles Chargers 71.1% 11 Loss
Week 6 Green Bay Packers 67.3% 9 Win
Week 7 Kansas City Chiefs 57.6% 4 Win
Week 7 Los Angeles Rams 60.8% 7 Win
Week 7 Buffalo Bills 89.9% 14 Win
Week 7 Jacksonville Jaguars 59.8% 6 Win
Week 7 Minnesota Vikings 54% 2 Win
Week 7 Green Bay Packers 69% 11 Win
Week 7 Houston Texans 50.7% 1 Loss
Week 7 New York Giants 61.2% 8 Loss
Week 7 San Francisco 49ers 80.3% 12 Win
Week 7 Tennessee Titans 54.3% 3 Win
Week 7 Chicago Bears 63.6% 9 Loss
Week 7 Seattle Seahawks 63.7% 10 Loss
Week 7 Dallas Cowboys 59.5% 5 Win
Week 7 New England Patriots 82.7% 13 Win
Week 8 Minnesota Vikings 88.5% 15 Win
Week 8 Seattle Seahawks 60.8% 4 Win
Week 8 Buffalo Bills 57% 2 Loss
Week 8 Chicago Bears 66.7% 5 Loss
Week 8 Los Angeles Rams 82.1% 12 Win
Week 8 Indianapolis Colts 70.5% 7 Win
Week 8 Detroit Lions 71.8% 9 Win
Week 8 Tennessee Titans 53.9% 1 Win
Week 8 New Orleans Saints 79.3% 11 Win
Week 8 Jacksonville Jaguars 72.4% 10 Win
Week 8 San Francisco 49ers 69% 6 Win
Week 8 New England Patriots 84.4% 13 Win
Week 8 Houston Texans 70.9% 8 Win
Week 8 Green Bay Packers 57.4% 3 Win
Week 8 Pittsburgh Steelers 86.9% 14 Win
Week 9 San Francisco 49ers 81.2% 14 Win
Week 9 Houston Texans 53.3% 2 Win
Week 9 Buffalo Bills 77.3% 13 Win
Week 9 Philadelphia Eagles 62.5% 7 Win
Week 9 Carolina Panthers 66.7% 10 Win
Week 9 Pittsburgh Steelers 54.6% 3 Win
Week 9 Kansas City Chiefs 50% 1 Win
Week 9 New York Jets 57.9% 6 Loss
Week 9 Oakland Raiders 55.1% 4 Win
Week 9 Seattle Seahawks 68.6% 11 Win
Week 9 Cleveland Browns 56.4% 5 Loss
Week 9 Green Bay Packers 63.9% 9 Loss
Week 9 New England Patriots 63.8% 8 Loss
Week 9 Dallas Cowboys 71.9% 12 Win