Pigskin Pick’em Analysis


Game: Pigskin Pick’em
From: ESPN
Link to Play: Pigskin Pick’Em
Join our Public Group: StreakEdge

How does it work?: The NFL regular season runs from early September to the beginning of January. There are eighteen weeks in total with the number of games varying depending on which teams are on byes. Each week there is also a score tiebreaker for one of the games. The following is an explanation of the scoring breakdown:

Each week the contestant is provided with the week’s games and must pick the winner of each. Every game must then be assigned a point value between 1 and however many games there are in that given week (16 when there are no byes).

Strategy: Our numbers below are based on the strategy of maximizing score. Thus, we always take the favorites (or the side with the highest % chance of winning the proposition.)

Week 3 Pigskin Pick’em Analysis

Confidence Team Implied Odds DRatings Small Win Prob
N/A
New England Patriots
+235
28.8%
26.4%
28.1%
14
New York Jets
-280
71.2%
73.6%
71.9%
N/A
New York Giants
+230
29.2%
28.3%
28.9%
12
Cleveland Browns
-275
70.8%
71.7%
71.1%
N/A
Green Bay Packers
+143
40.7%
40.4%
40.6%
7
Tennessee Titans
-150
59.3%
59.6%
59.4%
N/A
Chicago Bears
+115
45.6%
50%
46.9%
3
Indianapolis Colts
-125
54.4%
50%
53.1%
5
Houston Texans
-137
56%
54.5%
55.6%
N/A
Minnesota Vikings
+120
44%
45.5%
44.5%
N/A
Philadelphia Eagles
+103
47.2%
50.9%
48.3%
1
New Orleans Saints
-123
52.8%
49.1%
51.7%
N/A
Los Angeles Chargers
+110
45.9%
47.8%
46.5%
4
Pittsburgh Steelers
-128
54.1%
52.2%
53.5%
N/A
Denver Broncos
+250
27.8%
29.5%
28.3%
13
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
-285
72.2%
70.5%
71.7%
N/A
Carolina Panthers
+205
31.7%
28.5%
30.7%
10
Las Vegas Raiders
-240
68.3%
71.5%
69.3%
N/A
Miami Dolphins
+200
32.2%
27.6%
30.8%
9
Seattle Seahawks
-235
67.8%
72.4%
69.2%
2
Baltimore Ravens
-115
51.7%
52.6%
52%
N/A
Dallas Cowboys
+100
48.3%
47.4%
48%
15
San Francisco 49ers
-350
75.7%
75.3%
75.6%
N/A
Los Angeles Rams
+300
24.3%
24.7%
24.4%
6
Detroit Lions
-145
57.1%
59.9%
57.9%
N/A
Arizona Cardinals
+125
42.9%
40.1%
42.1%
8
Kansas City Chiefs
-175
63.6%
62.8%
63.4%
N/A
Atlanta Falcons
+175
36.4%
37.2%
36.6%
N/A
Jacksonville Jaguars
+215
30.9%
28.2%
30.1%
11
Buffalo Bills
-245
69.1%
71.8%
69.9%
N/A
Washington Commanders
+305
23.9%
22%
23.3%
16
Cincinnati Bengals
-365
76.1%
78%
76.7%

Results

Last Week (Week 2): Straight Up: 8-8, Points: 59.
2024-2025 Season: Straight Up: 21-11, Points: 172.
2023-2024 Season: Straight Up: 175-98, Points: 1493.
2022-2023 Season: Straight Up: 172-97-2, Points: 1515.
2021-2022 Season: Straight Up: 171-100, Points: 1517.
2020-2021 Season: Straight Up: 159-69, Points: 1388.
2019-2020 Season: Straight Up: 166-89, Points: 1446.
2018-2019 Season: Straight Up: 158-80-2, Points: 1400.
2017-2018 Season: Straight Up: 180-76, Points: 1537.
2016-2017 Season: Straight Up: 153-85-2, Points: 1288.
2015-2016 Season: Straight Up: 162-94.

2024-2025 Results

Week Pick Probability Confidence Result
Week 1 Kansas City Chiefs 57.3% 5 Win
Week 1 Philadelphia Eagles 57.1% 4 Win
Week 1 Atlanta Falcons 57.4% 6 Loss
Week 1 Buffalo Bills 73.5% 15 Win
Week 1 Chicago Bears 64.2% 11 Win
Week 1 Cincinnati Bengals 78.2% 16 Loss
Week 1 Houston Texans 55.4% 3 Win
Week 1 Miami Dolphins 60.5% 7 Win
Week 1 New Orleans Saints 66.9% 13 Win
Week 1 Minnesota Vikings 52.5% 2 Win
Week 1 Los Angeles Chargers 62.1% 8 Win
Week 1 Seattle Seahawks 68.7% 14 Win
Week 1 Cleveland Browns 52.2% 1 Loss
Week 1 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 63% 10 Win
Week 1 Detroit Lions 62.4% 9 Win
Week 1 San Francisco 49ers 66% 12 Win
Week 2 Miami Dolphins 54.3% 3 Loss
Week 2 Dallas Cowboys 69.4% 10 Loss
Week 2 Detroit Lions 72.7% 15 Loss
Week 2 Indianapolis Colts 59.6% 5 Loss
Week 2 New York Jets 63% 8 Win
Week 2 San Francisco 49ers 68.5% 9 Loss
Week 2 Seattle Seahawks 62.4% 7 Win
Week 2 Washington Commanders 52.8% 1 Win
Week 2 Los Angeles Chargers 70.8% 14 Win
Week 2 Jacksonville Jaguars 61% 6 Loss
Week 2 Baltimore Ravens 79.2% 16 Loss
Week 2 Arizona Cardinals 53.4% 2 Win
Week 2 Pittsburgh Steelers 57.6% 4 Win
Week 2 Kansas City Chiefs 70.1% 12 Win
Week 2 Houston Texans 69.6% 11 Win
Week 2 Philadelphia Eagles 70.6% 13 Loss