College Football Pick’em Analysis


Game: College Football Pick’em
From: ESPN
Link to Play: College Football Pick’Em
Join our Public Group: StreakEdge

How does it work?: The College Football regular season runs from the beginning of September to the end of November. There are 14 weeks in total with 10 games each week plus a score tiebreaker. The following is an explanation of the scoring breakdown:

Each week the contestant is provided with 10 games and must pick the winner. The contestant must also assign a confidence level (1-10) to each game. Each confidence level can only be used once. Points are awarded by multiplying the confidence level points assigned by 1 if the contestant chooses the winner correctly.

Strategy: Our numbers below are based on the strategy of maximizing score. Thus, we always take the favorites and assign the confidence level by giving the most points to the team with highest odds of winning. In the case of ties, we present the confidence level as the average and leave you to choose which game to assign higher confidence.

Week 1 College Football Pick’em Analysis

Confidence Team Implied Odds DRatings Small Win Prob

Results

Last Week (Week 14): Straight Up: 6-4 (60.0%), Points: 36.
2023-2024 Season: Straight Up: 89-51 (63.6%), Points: 514.
2022-2023 Season: Straight Up: 87-51 (63.0%), Points: 500.
2021-2022 Season: Straight Up: 88-52 (62.9%), Points: 530.
2020-2021 Season: Straight Up: 64-25 (69.9%), Points: 325.
2019-2020 Season: Straight Up: 113-37 (74.3%), Points: 680.
2018-2019 Season: Straight Up: 102-37 (73.4%), Points: 575.
2017-2018 Season: Straight Up: 102-38 (72.9%), Points: 608.
2016-2017 Season: Straight Up: 95-45 (67.9%), Points: 570.
2015-2016 Season: Straight Up: 89-41 (68.5%), Points: 511.

2023-2024 Results

Week Pick Probability Confidence Result
Week 1 Purdue Boilermakers 60.6% 3 Loss
Week 1 TCU Horned Frogs 87.3% 9 Loss
Week 1 California Golden Bears 69.5% 5 Win
Week 1 UTSA Roadrunners 52.9% 2 Loss
Week 1 Army Black Knights 73.8% 7 Loss
Week 1 North Carolina Tar Heels 52.3% 1 Win
Week 1 Illinois Fighting Illini 76.6% 8 Win
Week 1 Penn State Nittany Lions 88.5% 10 Win
Week 1 Tulane Green Wave 70.1% 6 Win
Week 1 Rutgers Scarlet Knights 68.1% 4 Win
Week 2 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 71% 9 Win
Week 2 Utah Utes 72.1% 10 Win
Week 2 Colorado Buffaloes 53.8% 1 Win
Week 2 Iowa Hawkeyes 62.3% 4 Win
Week 2 Ole Miss Rebels 68.6% 6 Win
Week 2 Texas A&M Aggies 63.6% 5 Loss
Week 2 Alabama Crimson Tide 70.6% 8 Loss
Week 2 Oregon Ducks 69% 7 Win
Week 2 UCF Knights 60.1% 3 Win
Week 2 Oklahoma State Cowboys 58% 2 Win
Week 3 Kansas State Wildcats 64.5% 4 Loss
Week 3 LSU Tigers 74.7% 9 Win
Week 3 North Carolina Tar Heels 69.5% 8 Win
Week 3 Rutgers Scarlet Knights 66.1% 5 Win
Week 3 Tennessee Volunteers 68.7% 6 Loss
Week 3 Pittsburgh Panthers 52.1% 1 Loss
Week 3 Syracuse Orange 54.3% 2 Win
Week 3 TCU Horned Frogs 69.3% 7 Win
Week 3 Colorado Buffaloes 90% 10 Win
Week 3 Fresno State Bulldogs 55.5% 3 Win
Week 4 Texas A&M Aggies 70.7% 8 Win
Week 4 Florida State Seminoles 52.7% 1 Win
Week 4 Utah Utes 67.9% 6 Win
Week 4 Alabama Crimson Tide 74% 10 Win
Week 4 Kansas Jayhawks 72.4% 9 Win
Week 4 Oregon State Beavers 56.9% 2 Loss
Week 4 Ohio State Buckeyes 63.7% 3 Win
Week 4 Missouri Tigers 65% 4 Win
Week 4 Kansas State Wildcats 68.3% 7 Win
Week 4 North Carolina Tar Heels 67.3% 5 Win
Week 5 Kentucky Wildcats 57.4% 3 Win
Week 5 Clemson Tigers 69.9% 9 Win
Week 5 Texas A&M Aggies 67.3% 8 Win
Week 5 James Madison Dukes 59.5% 5 Win
Week 5 Navy Midshipmen 63.4% 7 Loss
Week 5 Memphis Tigers 58% 4 Win
Week 5 LSU Tigers 54.8% 2 Loss
Week 5 Georgia State Panthers 52.4% 1 Loss
Week 5 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 62.7% 6 Win
Week 5 TCU Horned Frogs 78.5% 10 Loss
Week 6 Texas Longhorns 67% 9 Loss
Week 6 LSU Tigers 69.5% 10 Win
Week 6 NC State Wolfpack 66.7% 7 Win
Week 6 UCLA Bruins 65.8% 5 Win
Week 6 Alabama Crimson Tide 59.6% 2 Win
Week 6 Iowa Hawkeyes 60.1% 3 Win
Week 6 Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns 52.5% 1 Win
Week 6 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 66.6% 6 Loss
Week 6 Fresno State Bulldogs 65.3% 4 Loss
Week 6 TCU Horned Frogs 66.9% 8 Loss
Week 7 James Madison Dukes 66% 10 Win
Week 7 Washington Huskies 61.3% 4 Win
Week 7 Tennessee Volunteers 62.3% 5 Win
Week 7 Kansas Jayhawks 63.1% 6 Loss
Week 7 Marshall Thundering Herd 50.8% 1 Loss
Week 7 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 54.9% 2 Win
Week 7 North Carolina Tar Heels 64% 8 Win
Week 7 Kentucky Wildcats 59.7% 3 Loss
Week 7 Oregon State Beavers 65.7% 9 Win
Week 7 Duke Blue Devils 63.3% 7 Win
Week 8 Ohio State Buckeyes 64% 6 Win
Week 8 Memphis Tigers 66.8% 9 Win
Week 8 Iowa Hawkeyes 65.4% 8 Loss
Week 8 West Virginia Mountaineers 61.2% 5 Loss
Week 8 Toledo Rockets 53.6% 1 Win
Week 8 UTSA Roadrunners 58.7% 3 Win
Week 8 Ole Miss Rebels 70.2% 10 Win
Week 8 USC Trojans 65% 7 Loss
Week 8 Clemson Tigers 57.7% 2 Loss
Week 8 Louisiana Ragin’ Caguns 59.5% 4 Loss
Week 9 Louisville Cardinals 63.3% 4 Win
Week 9 Iowa State Cyclones 55% 1 Win
Week 9 Ohio Bobcats 70.4% 9 Loss
Week 9 Nebraska Cornhuskers 55.7% 2 Win
Week 9 Oregon Ducks 69.2% 8 Win
Week 9 Boise State Broncos 66.1% 6 Win
Week 9 Tennessee Volunteers 61.3% 3 Win
Week 9 Troy Trojans 66.4% 7 Win
Week 9 Oregon State Beavers 65.1% 5 Loss
Week 9 Fresno State Bulldogs 76.3% 10 Win
Week 10 Ole Miss Rebels 62.2% 6 Win
Week 10 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 58.5% 3 Loss
Week 10 Texas Longhorns 66.9% 8 Win
Week 10 Oklahoma Sooners 73.4% 10 Loss
Week 10 James Madison Dukes 69% 9 Win
Week 10 Iowa State Cyclones 52.6% 1 Loss
Week 10 Washington Huskies 62% 5 Win
Week 10 Alabama Crimson Tide 61.9% 4 Win
Week 10 Miami Hurricanes 65.2% 7 Loss
Week 10 UCLA Bruins 57.2% 2 Loss
Week 11 Michigan Wolverines 62.1% 8 Win
Week 11 Kansas Jayhawks 62% 7 Loss
Week 11 Boston College Eagles 53.7% 4 Loss
Week 11 Iowa Hawkeyes 54.3% 6 Win
Week 11 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 66.3% 9 Loss
Week 11 Texas State Bobcats 52.8% 3 Loss
Week 11 Tennessee Volunteers 50.4% 1 Loss
Week 11 Oklahoma State Cowboys 52.1% 2 Loss
Week 11 Georgia Bulldogs 78.4% 10 Win
Week 11 Fresno State Bulldogs 54% 5 Loss
Week 12 Miami Hurricanes 50.4% 1 Loss
Week 12 SMU Mustangs 70.6% 8 Win
Week 12 James Madison Dukes 78.1% 10 Loss
Week 12 Arizona Wildcats 51.1% 2 Win
Week 12 Iowa Hawkeyes 63.4% 5 Win
Week 12 Clemson Tigers 66.6% 6 Win
Week 12 Air Force Falcons 62.7% 4 Loss
Week 12 Kansas State Wildcats 69.6% 7 Win
Week 12 Washington Huskies 52.3% 3 Win
Week 12 Texas Longhorns 77.2% 9 Win
Week 13 Michigan Wolverines 64.3% 6 Win
Week 13 Louisville Cardinals 71.9% 10 Loss
Week 13 UNLV Rebels 61.3% 5 Loss
Week 13 Illinois Fighting Illini 65.2% 7 Loss
Week 13 Wisconsin Badgers 52% 1 Win
Week 13 Virginia Tech Hokies 59.6% 4 Win
Week 13 New Mexico State Aggies 59.2% 3 Win
Week 13 Kansas Jayhawks 68.7% 8 Win
Week 13 Clemson Tigers 70.6% 9 Win
Week 13 North Carolina Tar Heels 57.6% 2 Loss
Week 14 Liberty Flames 80.8% 8 Win
Week 14 Oregon Ducks 71.9% 7 Loss
Week 14 Texas Longhorns 85.4% 9 Win
Week 14 Toledo Rockets 71.4% 5 Loss
Week 14 Boise State Broncos 55% 1 Win
Week 14 Georgia Bulldogs 66.8% 4 Loss
Week 14 Tulane Green Wave 63.5% 3 Loss
Week 14 Troy Trojans 71.6% 6 Win
Week 14 Michigan Wolverines 94.4% 10 Win
Week 14 Florida State Seminoles 58.9% 2 Win