College Football Pick’em Analysis


Game: College Football Pick’em
From: ESPN
Link to Play: College Football Pick’Em
Join our Public Group: StreakEdge

How does it work?: The College Football regular season runs from the beginning of September to the end of November. There are 14 weeks in total with 10 games each week plus a score tiebreaker. The following is an explanation of the scoring breakdown:

Each week the contestant is provided with 10 games and must pick the winner. The contestant must also assign a confidence level (1-10) to each game. Each confidence level can only be used once. Points are awarded by multiplying the confidence level points assigned by 1 if the contestant chooses the winner correctly.

Strategy: Our numbers below are based on the strategy of maximizing score. Thus, we always take the favorites and assign the confidence level by giving the most points to the team with highest odds of winning. In the case of ties, we present the confidence level as the average and leave you to choose which game to assign higher confidence.

Week 5 College Football Pick’em Analysis

Confidence Team Implied Odds DRatings Small Win Prob
N/A
Florida Gators
+125
43.2%
41.1%
42.6%
3
Kentucky Wildcats
-140
56.8%
58.9%
57.4%
9
Clemson Tigers
-245
69.1%
71.9%
69.9%
N/A
Syracuse Orange
+215
30.9%
28.1%
30.1%
8
Texas A&M Aggies
-240
68.6%
64.1%
67.3%
N/A
Arkansas Razorbacks
+210
31.4%
35.9%
32.8%
N/A
South Alabama Jaguars
+140
40.7%
39.9%
40.5%
5
James Madison Dukes
-155
59.3%
60.1%
59.5%
N/A
South Florida Bulls
+160
37.4%
34.8%
36.6%
7
Navy Midshipmen
-180
62.6%
65.2%
63.4%
N/A
Boise State Broncos
+145
39.6%
47.5%
42%
4
Memphis Tigers
-165
60.4%
52.5%
58%
2
LSU Tigers
-135
56.4%
51.1%
54.8%
N/A
Ole Miss Rebels
+125
43.6%
48.9%
45.2%
N/A
Troy Trojans
+105
47.7%
47.3%
47.6%
1
Georgia State Panthers
-115
52.3%
52.7%
52.4%
6
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
-195
64.9%
57.5%
62.7%
N/A
Duke Blue Devils
+180
35.1%
42.5%
37.3%
N/A
West Virginia Mountaineers
+345
21.7%
20.9%
21.5%
10
TCU Horned Frogs
-435
78.3%
79.1%
78.5%

Results

Last Week (Week 4): Straight Up: 9-1 (90.0%), Points: 53.
2023-2024 Season: Straight Up: 30-10 (75.0%), Points: 173.
2022-2023 Season: Straight Up: 87-51 (63.0%), Points: 500.
2021-2022 Season: Straight Up: 88-52 (62.9%), Points: 530.
2020-2021 Season: Straight Up: 64-25 (69.9%), Points: 325.
2019-2020 Season: Straight Up: 113-37 (74.3%), Points: 680.
2018-2019 Season: Straight Up: 102-37 (73.4%), Points: 575.
2017-2018 Season: Straight Up: 102-38 (72.9%), Points: 608.
2016-2017 Season: Straight Up: 95-45 (67.9%), Points: 570.
2015-2016 Season: Straight Up: 89-41 (68.5%), Points: 511.

2023-2024 Results

Week Pick Probability Confidence Result
Week 1 Purdue Boilermakers 60.6% 3 Loss
Week 1 TCU Horned Frogs 87.3% 9 Loss
Week 1 California Golden Bears 69.5% 5 Win
Week 1 UTSA Roadrunners 52.9% 2 Loss
Week 1 Army Black Knights 73.8% 7 Loss
Week 1 North Carolina Tar Heels 52.3% 1 Win
Week 1 Illinois Fighting Illini 76.6% 8 Win
Week 1 Penn State Nittany Lions 88.5% 10 Win
Week 1 Tulane Green Wave 70.1% 6 Win
Week 1 Rutgers Scarlet Knights 68.1% 4 Win
Week 2 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 71% 9 Win
Week 2 Utah Utes 72.1% 10 Win
Week 2 Colorado Buffaloes 53.8% 1 Win
Week 2 Iowa Hawkeyes 62.3% 4 Win
Week 2 Ole Miss Rebels 68.6% 6 Win
Week 2 Texas A&M Aggies 63.6% 5 Loss
Week 2 Alabama Crimson Tide 70.6% 8 Loss
Week 2 Oregon Ducks 69% 7 Win
Week 2 UCF Knights 60.1% 3 Win
Week 2 Oklahoma State Cowboys 58% 2 Win
Week 3 Kansas State Wildcats 64.5% 4 Loss
Week 3 LSU Tigers 74.7% 9 Win
Week 3 North Carolina Tar Heels 69.5% 8 Win
Week 3 Rutgers Scarlet Knights 66.1% 5 Win
Week 3 Tennessee Volunteers 68.7% 6 Loss
Week 3 Pittsburgh Panthers 52.1% 1 Loss
Week 3 Syracuse Orange 54.3% 2 Win
Week 3 TCU Horned Frogs 69.3% 7 Win
Week 3 Colorado Buffaloes 90% 10 Win
Week 3 Fresno State Bulldogs 55.5% 3 Win
Week 4 Texas A&M Aggies 70.7% 8 Win
Week 4 Florida State Seminoles 52.7% 1 Win
Week 4 Utah Utes 67.9% 6 Win
Week 4 Alabama Crimson Tide 74% 10 Win
Week 4 Kansas Jayhawks 72.4% 9 Win
Week 4 Oregon State Beavers 56.9% 2 Loss
Week 4 Ohio State Buckeyes 63.7% 3 Win
Week 4 Missouri Tigers 65% 4 Win
Week 4 Kansas State Wildcats 68.3% 7 Win
Week 4 North Carolina Tar Heels 67.3% 5 Win