College Football Pick’em Analysis

Game: College Football Pick’em
From: ESPN
Link to Play: College Football Pick’Em
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How does it work?: The College Football regular season runs from the beginning of September to the end of November. There are 14 weeks in total with 10 games each week plus a score tiebreaker. The following is an explanation of the scoring breakdown:

Each week the contestant is provided with 10 games and must pick the winner. The contestant must also assign a confidence level (1-10) to each game. Each confidence level can only be used once. Points are awarded by multiplying the confidence level points assigned by 1 if the contestant chooses the winner correctly.

Strategy: Our numbers below are based on the strategy of maximizing score. Thus, we always take the favorites and assign the confidence level by giving the most points to the team with highest odds of winning. In the case of ties, we present the confidence level as the average and leave you to choose which game to assign higher confidence.

Week 7 College Football Pick’em Analysis

Confidence Team Implied Odds DRatings Small Win Prob
N/A
 Washington Huskies
+130
42.1%
42.4%
42.2%
3
 Iowa Hawkeyes
-148
57.9%
57.6%
57.8%
N/A
 Wisconsin Badgers
+125
43.2%
47.4%
44.5%
1
 Rutgers Scarlet Knights
-140
56.8%
52.6%
55.5%
9
 Penn State Nittany Lions
-205
65.3%
66.3%
65.6%
N/A
 USC Trojans
+180
34.7%
33.7%
34.4%
N/A
 California Golden Bears
+160
37.7%
35.1%
36.9%
7
 Pittsburgh Panthers
-175
62.3%
64.9%
63.1%
N/A
 Arizona Wildcats
+170
36.3%
37.4%
36.6%
8
 BYU Cougars
-185
63.7%
62.6%
63.4%
6
 Washington State Cougars
-175
62.3%
63.9%
62.8%
N/A
 Fresno State Bulldogs
+160
37.7%
36.1%
37.2%
5
 Ohio State Buckeyes
-168
61%
60.4%
60.8%
N/A
 Oregon Ducks
+150
39%
39.6%
39.2%
2
 Ole Miss Rebels
-145
57.1%
52.1%
55.6%
N/A
 LSU Tigers
+125
42.9%
47.9%
44.4%
4
 Iowa State Cyclones
-150
58.5%
63.7%
60.1%
N/A
 West Virginia Mountaineers
+135
41.5%
36.3%
39.9%
10
 Kansas State Wildcats
-190
63.9%
69.9%
65.7%
N/A
 Colorado Buffaloes
+170
36.1%
30.1%
34.3%

Results

Last Week (Week 6): Straight Up: 7-3 (70.0%), Points: 39.
2024-2025 Season: Straight Up: 38-21 (64.4%), Points: 225.
2023-2024 Season: Straight Up: 89-51 (63.6%), Points: 514.
2022-2023 Season: Straight Up: 87-51 (63.0%), Points: 500.
2021-2022 Season: Straight Up: 88-52 (62.9%), Points: 530.
2020-2021 Season: Straight Up: 64-25 (69.9%), Points: 325.
2019-2020 Season: Straight Up: 113-37 (74.3%), Points: 680.
2018-2019 Season: Straight Up: 102-37 (73.4%), Points: 575.
2017-2018 Season: Straight Up: 102-38 (72.9%), Points: 608.
2016-2017 Season: Straight Up: 95-45 (67.9%), Points: 570.
2015-2016 Season: Straight Up: 89-41 (68.5%), Points: 511.

2024-2025 Results

Week Pick Probability Confidence Result
Week 1 Penn State Nittany Lions 73.7% 6 Win
Week 1 Virginia Tech Hokies 84.1% 10 Loss
Week 1 Georgia Bulldogs 81.4% 9 Win
Week 1 Oklahoma State Cowboys 74.2% 7 Win
Week 1 Northwestern Wildcats 64.7% 3 Win
Week 1 Miami Hurricanes 54.6% 2 Win
Week 1 Boise State Broncos 78.1% 8 Win
Week 1 South Alabama Jaguars 68.1% 4 Loss
Week 1 Texas A&M Aggies 52% 1 Loss
Week 1 Arizona State Sun Devils 69.4% 5 Win
Week 2 Texas Longhorns 75.1% 9 Win
Week 2 Oklahoma State Cowboys 76.1% 10 Win
Week 2 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 56.4% 3 Loss
Week 2 Cincinnati Bearcats 55.5% 2 Loss
Week 2 Iowa Hawkeyes 57.1% 4 Loss
Week 2 Kansas Jayhawks 65.2% 5 Loss
Week 2 Tennessee Volunteers 69.5% 6 Win
Week 2 Nebraska Cornhuskers 71.5% 8 Win
Week 2 Washington State Cougars 53.1% 1 Win
Week 2 Arizona State Sun Devils 70.5% 7 Win
Week 3 LSU Tigers 71.6% 10 Win
Week 3 Florida State Seminoles 68.4% 8 Loss
Week 3 Texas A&M Aggies 65.6% 7 Win
Week 3 Washington Huskies 58.3% 6 Loss
Week 3 West Virginia Mountaineers 56.6% 5 Loss
Week 3 Appalachian State Mountaineers 56.3% 4 Win
Week 3 Indiana Hoosiers 54.2% 2 Win
Week 3 TCU Horned Frogs 53.3% 1 Loss
Week 3 Colorado Buffaloes 71.2% 9 Win
Week 3 Maryland Terrapins 55.1% 3 Win
Week 4 Virginia Cavaliers 58.5% 6 Win
Week 4 USC Trojans 67.5% 9 Loss
Week 4 Virginia Tech Hokies 62% 8 Loss
Week 4 Texas Tech Red Raiders 59.4% 7 Win
Week 4 Oklahoma State Cowboys 51% 2 Loss
Week 4 TCU Horned Frogs 54.7% 4 Loss
Week 4 Florida State Seminoles 57.6% 5 Win
Week 4 Toledo Rockets 50.8% 1 Loss
Week 4 Tennessee Volunteers 71% 10 Win
Week 4 Iowa Hawkeyes 54.5% 3 Win
Week 5 Kansas State Wildcats 65.6% 7 Loss
Week 5 Baylor Bears 56.5% 4 Loss
Week 5 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 67.8% 8 Loss
Week 5 Texas A&M Aggies 60.9% 6 Loss
Week 5 UNLV Rebels 58.4% 5 Loss
Week 5 Oklahoma Sooners 51.9% 1 Loss
Week 5 Duke Blue Devils 56.3% 3 Loss
Week 5 Georgia Bulldogs 54.9% 2 Loss
Week 5 Boise State Broncos 72.3% 9 Loss
Week 6 Pittsburgh Panthers 53.6% 2 Win
Week 6 Virginia Cavaliers 57.3% 5 Win
Week 6 Texas A&M Aggies 50.1% 1 Win
Week 6 Oklahoma State Cowboys 63.7% 6 Loss
Week 6 Nebraska Cornhuskers 71.3% 8 Win
Week 6 Washington Huskies 56.4% 4 Win
Week 6 UCF Knights 53.7% 3 Loss
Week 6 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 71.5% 9 Win
Week 6 Miami Hurricanes 76.7% 10 Win
Week 6 Arizona Wildcats 65.3% 7 Loss