College Football Pick’em Analysis

Game: College Football Pick’em
From: ESPN
Link to Play: College Football Pick’Em
Join our Public Group: StreakEdge

How does it work?: The College Football regular season runs from the beginning of September to the end of November. There are 14 weeks in total with 10 games each week plus a score tiebreaker. The following is an explanation of the scoring breakdown:

Each week the contestant is provided with 10 games and must pick the winner. The contestant must also assign a confidence level (1-10) to each game. Each confidence level can only be used once. Points are awarded by multiplying the confidence level points assigned by 1 if the contestant chooses the winner correctly.

Strategy: Our numbers below are based on the strategy of maximizing score. Thus, we always take the favorites and assign the confidence level by giving the most points to the team with highest odds of winning. In the case of ties, we present the confidence level as the average and leave you to choose which game to assign higher confidence.

Week 4 College Football Pick’em Analysis

Confidence Team Implied Odds DRatings Small Win Prob
6
 Virginia Cavaliers
-165
59.9%
55.1%
58.5%
N/A
 Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
+140
40.1%
44.9%
41.5%
9
 USC Trojans
-235
67.4%
67.8%
67.5%
N/A
 Michigan Wolverines
+195
32.6%
32.2%
32.5%
N/A
 Rutgers Scarlet Knights
+130
42%
28.6%
38%
8
 Virginia Tech Hokies
-150
58%
71.4%
62%
N/A
 Arizona State Sun Devils
+135
40.9%
39.9%
40.6%
7
 Texas Tech Red Raiders
-160
59.1%
60.1%
59.4%
N/A
 Utah Utes
-125
53.2%
39.2%
49%
2
 Oklahoma State Cowboys
+105
46.8%
60.8%
51%
4
 TCU Horned Frogs
-140
56.2%
51.1%
54.7%
N/A
 SMU Mustangs
+120
43.8%
48.9%
45.3%
N/A
 California Golden Bears
+100
47.8%
29.7%
42.4%
5
 Florida State Seminoles
-120
52.2%
70.3%
57.6%
1
 Toledo Rockets
-115
51.1%
50.1%
50.8%
N/A
 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
-105
48.9%
49.9%
49.2%
10
 Tennessee Volunteers
-290
71.7%
69.3%
71%
N/A
 Oklahoma Sooners
+240
28.3%
30.7%
29%
3
 Iowa Hawkeyes
-130
54.3%
54.8%
54.5%
N/A
 Minnesota Golden Gophers
+110
45.7%
45.2%
45.6%

Results

Last Week (Week 3): Straight Up: 6-4 (60.0%), Points: 35.
2024-2025 Season: Straight Up: 19-11 (63.3%), Points: 116.
2023-2024 Season: Straight Up: 89-51 (63.6%), Points: 514.
2022-2023 Season: Straight Up: 87-51 (63.0%), Points: 500.
2021-2022 Season: Straight Up: 88-52 (62.9%), Points: 530.
2020-2021 Season: Straight Up: 64-25 (69.9%), Points: 325.
2019-2020 Season: Straight Up: 113-37 (74.3%), Points: 680.
2018-2019 Season: Straight Up: 102-37 (73.4%), Points: 575.
2017-2018 Season: Straight Up: 102-38 (72.9%), Points: 608.
2016-2017 Season: Straight Up: 95-45 (67.9%), Points: 570.
2015-2016 Season: Straight Up: 89-41 (68.5%), Points: 511.

2024-2025 Results

Week Pick Probability Confidence Result
Week 1 Penn State Nittany Lions 73.7% 6 Win
Week 1 Virginia Tech Hokies 84.1% 10 Loss
Week 1 Georgia Bulldogs 81.4% 9 Win
Week 1 Oklahoma State Cowboys 74.2% 7 Win
Week 1 Northwestern Wildcats 64.7% 3 Win
Week 1 Miami Hurricanes 54.6% 2 Win
Week 1 Boise State Broncos 78.1% 8 Win
Week 1 South Alabama Jaguars 68.1% 4 Loss
Week 1 Texas A&M Aggies 52% 1 Loss
Week 1 Arizona State Sun Devils 69.4% 5 Win
Week 2 Texas Longhorns 75.1% 9 Win
Week 2 Oklahoma State Cowboys 76.1% 10 Win
Week 2 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 56.4% 3 Loss
Week 2 Cincinnati Bearcats 55.5% 2 Loss
Week 2 Iowa Hawkeyes 57.1% 4 Loss
Week 2 Kansas Jayhawks 65.2% 5 Loss
Week 2 Tennessee Volunteers 69.5% 6 Win
Week 2 Nebraska Cornhuskers 71.5% 8 Win
Week 2 Washington State Cougars 53.1% 1 Win
Week 2 Arizona State Sun Devils 70.5% 7 Win
Week 3 LSU Tigers 71.6% 10 Win
Week 3 Florida State Seminoles 68.4% 8 Loss
Week 3 Texas A&M Aggies 65.6% 7 Win
Week 3 Washington Huskies 58.3% 6 Loss
Week 3 West Virginia Mountaineers 56.6% 5 Loss
Week 3 Appalachian State Mountaineers 56.3% 4 Win
Week 3 Indiana Hoosiers 54.2% 2 Win
Week 3 TCU Horned Frogs 53.3% 1 Loss
Week 3 Colorado Buffaloes 71.2% 9 Win
Week 3 Maryland Terrapins 55.1% 3 Win