College Football Pick’em Analysis

Game: College Football Pick’em
From: ESPN
Link to Play: College Football Pick’Em
Join our Public Group: StreakEdge

How does it work?: The College Football regular season runs from the beginning of September to the end of November. There are 14 weeks in total with 10 games each week plus a score tiebreaker. The following is an explanation of the scoring breakdown:

Each week the contestant is provided with 10 games and must pick the winner. The contestant must also assign a confidence level (1-10) to each game. Each confidence level can only be used once. Points are awarded by multiplying the confidence level points assigned by 1 if the contestant chooses the winner correctly.

Strategy: Our numbers below are based on the strategy of maximizing score. Thus, we always take the favorites and assign the confidence level by giving the most points to the team with highest odds of winning. In the case of ties, we present the confidence level as the average and leave you to choose which game to assign higher confidence.

Week 11 College Football Pick’em Analysis

Confidence Team Odds Implied Odds DRatings Small Win Prob
3
 Texas A&M Aggies
-250
68.9%
64.8%
67.7%
N/A
 Auburn Tigers
+210
31.1%
35.2%
32.3%
2
 Oklahoma State Cowboys
-135
55.3%
50.4%
53.8%
N/A
 TCU Horned Frogs
+115
44.7%
49.6%
46.2%
7
 Texas Longhorns
-360
74.8%
64.5%
71.7%
N/A
 Kansas State Wildcats
+280
25.2%
35.5%
28.3%
N/A
 Liberty Flames
+220
30%
21.6%
27.5%
8
 Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
-270
70%
78.4%
72.5%
N/A
 Fresno State Bulldogs
+240
28.3%
35.2%
30.4%
4
 Nevada Wolf Pack
-290
71.7%
64.8%
69.6%
N/A
 Memphis Tigers
+105
46.8%
46.9%
46.8%
1
 Tulane Green Wave
-125
53.2%
53.1%
53.2%
N/A
 Indiana Hoosiers
+425
18%
18.9%
18.3%
9
 Wisconsin Badgers
-650
82%
81.1%
81.7%
N/A
 West Virginia Mountaineers
+215
30.5%
24.2%
28.6%
6
 Iowa State Cyclones
-260
69.5%
75.8%
71.4%
5
 Colorado Buffaloes
-270
70%
73.3%
71%
N/A
 Arizona Wildcats
+220
30%
26.7%
29%
10
 Clemson Tigers
-1300
88.5%
76.7%
85%
N/A
 Virginia Tech Hokies
+725
11.5%
23.3%
15%

Results

Last Week (Week 10): Straight Up: 6-0 (100.0%), Points: 21.
2020-2021 Season: Straight Up: 64-25 (69.9%), Points: 325.
2019-2020 Season: Straight Up: 113-37 (74.3%), Points: 680.
2018-2019 Season: Straight Up: 102-37 (73.4%), Points: 575.
2017-2018 Season: Straight Up: 102-38 (72.9%), Points: 608.
2016-2017 Season: Straight Up: 95-45 (67.9%), Points: 570.
2015-2016 Season: Straight Up: 89-41 (68.5%), Points: 511.

2020-2021 Results

Week Pick Probability Confidence Result
Week 1 Auburn Tigers 72% 3 Loss
Week 1 Florida Gators 80.1% 7 Loss
Week 1 Oklahoma Sooners 94.2% 10 Win
Week 1 Virginia Tech Hokies 76.4% 5 Loss
Week 1 Miami (FL) Hurricanes 73.7% 4 Loss
Week 1 Iowa State Cyclones 59.4% 2 Loss
Week 1 Cincinnati Bearcats 78.5% 6 Loss
Week 1 Louisiana Ragin’ Cagins 81.8% 8 Loss
Week 1 LSU Tigers 84.3% 9 Win
Week 1 Tennessee Volunteers 56.2% 1 Loss
Week 2 Texas Longhorns 82.8% 7 Win
Week 2 Alabama Crimson Tide 88.2% 9 Win
Week 2 Southern Methodist Mustangs 52.4% 1 Win
Week 2 Oklahoma State Cowboys 90.2% 10 Win
Week 2 North Carolina Tar Heels 78.3% 6 Win
Week 2 Kentucky Wildcats 69.9% 4 Loss
Week 2 Navy Midshipmen 64% 2 Loss
Week 2 Georgia Bulldogs 73.6% 5 Win
Week 2 Oklahoma Sooners 68.3% 3 Loss
Week 2 Mississippi State Bulldogs 87% 8 Loss
Week 3 Florida Gators 67.7% 4 Loss
Week 3 Georgia Bulldogs 81.5% 6 Win
Week 3 Oklahoma Sooners 54.2% 2 Win
Week 3 North Carolina Tar Heels 65.1% 3 Win
Week 3 Brigham Young Cougars 94.3% 9 Win
Week 3 TCU Horned Frogs 73% 5 Loss
Week 3 Clemson Tigers 82.6% 7 Win
Week 3 Kentucky Wildcats 54.1% 1 Win
Week 3 Louisiana Tech Bulldogs 86.3% 8 Win
Week 4 Tennessee Volunteers 68.5% 4 Loss
Week 4 Miami (FL) Hurricanes 76.5% 6 Win
Week 4 Auburn Tigers 62.4% 2 Loss
Week 4 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 86.4% 8 Win
Week 4 UCF Knights 56.4% 1 Loss
Week 4 Texas A&M Aggies 67.5% 3 Win
Week 4 North Carolina Tar Heels 77% 7 Loss
Week 4 Alabama Crimson Tide 69.2% 5 Win
Week 5 Oklahoma Sooners 70.2% 7 Win
Week 5 North Carolina Tar Heels 85.9% 8 Win
Week 5 Auburn Tigers 61.5% 3 Win
Week 5 Ohio State Buckeyes 91% 10 Win
Week 5 Oklahoma State Cowboys 64.6% 5 Win
Week 5 Alabama Crimson Tide 90.2% 9 Win
Week 5 Iowa Hawkeyes 64.9% 6 Loss
Week 5 Wyoming Cowboys 61.6% 4 Loss
Week 5 Michigan Wolverines 59.6% 2 Win
Week 5 SMU Mustangs 56.8% 1 Loss
Week 6 West Virginia Mountaineers 57.6% 5 Win
Week 6 Cincinnati Bearcats 69.6% 7 Win
Week 6 Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 56.2% 4 Win
Week 6 UCF Knights 55.6% 2 Win
Week 6 Iowa Hawkeyes 56.1% 3 Loss
Week 6 LSU Tigers 54.5% 1 Loss
Week 6 Indiana Hoosiers 72.9% 8 Win
Week 6 Oklahoma State Cowboys 62.1% 6 Loss
Week 6 Ohio State Buckeyes 79.9% 9 Win
Week 7 Texas Longhorns 70% 6 Win
Week 7 Michigan Wolverines 57% 2 Loss
Week 7 Virginia Tech Hokies 84.1% 9 Loss
Week 7 Georgia Bulldogs 60.4% 3 Loss
Week 7 Oklahoma State Cowboys 76% 8 Win
Week 7 Clemson Tigers 64.1% 4 Loss
Week 7 UCLA Bruins 66.9% 5 Loss
Week 7 Oregon Ducks 75.9% 7 Win
Week 7 Oregon State Beavers 51.7% 1 Loss
Week 8 Virginia Tech Hokies 53.9% 1 Loss
Week 8 Penn State Nittany Lions 58.4% 4 Loss
Week 8 Indiana Hoosiers 71.6% 7 Win
Week 8 West Virginia Mountaineers 59.5% 5 Win
Week 8 Stanford Cardinal 69.8% 6 Loss
Week 8 Tulsa Golden Hurricane 56.8% 2 Win
Week 8 Oregon Ducks 76.2% 8 Win
Week 8 Northwestern Wildcats 57.7% 3 Win
Week 9 Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 64.4% 6 Win
Week 9 Army Black Knights 61.1% 4 Win
Week 9 Ohio State Buckeyes 89.3% 10 Win
Week 9 Cincinnati Bearcats 62% 5 Win
Week 9 Wisconsin Badgers 70.4% 7 Loss
Week 9 San Diego State Aztecs 52.4% 1 Loss
Week 9 Iowa State Cyclones 78.3% 9 Win
Week 9 Oklahoma Sooners 71.3% 8 Win
Week 9 North Carolina State Wolfpack 59.1% 3 Win
Week 9 USC Trojans 58.8% 2 Win
Week 10 Indiana Hoosiers 80.4% 3 Win
Week 10 Oklahoma State Cowboys 78.1% 2 Win
Week 10 Buffalo Bulls 74.6% 1 Win
Week 10 Alabama Crimson Tide 89% 6 Win
Week 10 Texas A&M Aggies 83.3% 4 Win
Week 10 Georgia Bulldogs 88.9% 5 Win
Week 11 Texas A&M Aggies 67.7% 3 Win
Week 11 Oklahoma State Cowboys 53.8% 2 Loss
Week 11 Texas Longhorns 71.7% 7 Win
Week 11 Nevada Wolf Pack 69.6% 4 Win
Week 11 Tulane Green Wave 53.2% 1 Win
Week 11 Wisconsin Badgers 81.7% 8 Loss
Week 11 Iowa State Cyclones 71.4% 6 Win
Week 11 Colorado Buffaloes 71% 5 Win
Week 11 Clemson Tigers 85% 9 Win