College Football Pick’em Analysis

Game: College Football Pick’em
From: ESPN
Link to Play: College Football Pick’Em
Join our Public Group: StreakEdge

How does it work?: The College Football regular season runs from the beginning of September to the end of November. There are 14 weeks in total with 10 games each week plus a score tiebreaker. The following is an explanation of the scoring breakdown:

Each week the contestant is provided with 10 games and must pick the winner. The contestant must also assign a confidence level (1-10) to each game. Each confidence level can only be used once. Points are awarded by multiplying the confidence level points assigned by 1 if the contestant chooses the winner correctly.

Strategy: Our numbers below are based on the strategy of maximizing score. Thus, we always take the favorites and assign the confidence level by giving the most points to the team with highest odds of winning. In the case of ties, we present the confidence level as the average and leave you to choose which game to assign higher confidence.

Week 11 College Football Pick’em Analysis

Confidence Team Implied Odds DRatings Small Win Prob
5
 Penn State Nittany Lions
-255
69.4%
68%
69%
N/A
 Minnesota Golden Gophers
+215
30.6%
32%
31%
2
 Baylor Bears
-135
55.3%
48.1%
53.1%
N/A
 TCU Horned Frogs
+115
44.7%
51.9%
46.9%
N/A
 USC Trojans
+105
46.8%
51.9%
48.3%
1
 Arizona State Sun Devils
-125
53.2%
48.1%
51.7%
N/A
 LSU Tigers
+185
33.6%
30.4%
32.6%
3
 Alabama Crimson Tide
-225
66.4%
69.6%
67.4%
N/A
 Kansas State Wildcats
+210
31.1%
32.3%
31.5%
4
 Texas Longhorns
-250
68.9%
67.7%
68.5%
N/A
 Iowa Hawkeyes
+255
27.1%
30.4%
28.1%
7
 Wisconsin Badgers
-310
72.9%
69.6%
71.9%
6
 Notre Dame Fighting Irish
-300
72.4%
65.9%
70.5%
N/A
 Duke Blue Devils
+250
27.6%
34.1%
29.6%
10
 Clemson Tigers
-15000
98.4%
90%
95.9%
N/A
 North Carolina State Wolfpack
+6000
1.6%
10%
4.1%
N/A
 Iowa State Cyclones
+415
18.8%
22%
19.8%
9
 Oklahoma Sooners
-525
81.2%
78%
80.2%
N/A
 Wyoming Cowboys
+400
19.4%
21.9%
20.2%
8
 Boise State Broncos
-500
80.6%
78.1%
79.9%

Results

Last Week (Week 10): Straight Up: 7-3 (70.0%), Points: 43.
2019-2020 Season: Straight Up: 71-29 (71.0%), Points: 384.
2018-2019 Season: Straight Up: 102-37 (73.4%), Points: 575.
2017-2018 Season: Straight Up: 102-38 (72.9%), Points: 608.
2016-2017 Season: Straight Up: 95-45 (67.9%), Points: 570.
2015-2016 Season: Straight Up: 89-41 (68.5%), Points: 511.

2019-2020 Results

Week Pick Probability Confidence Result
Week 1 Memphis Tigers 67.7% 4 Loss
Week 1 Nebraska Cornhuskers 98.2% 10 Loss
Week 1 Washington Huskies 88.2% 9 Loss
Week 1 South Carolina Gamecocks 68.9% 6 Loss
Week 1 Virginia Tech Hokies 54.1% 1 Loss
Week 1 Stanford Cardinal 68.7% 5 Loss
Week 1 Florida State Seminoles 66.3% 3 Loss
Week 1 Auburn Tigers 63.3% 2 Loss
Week 1 Georgia Bulldogs 86.3% 8 Loss
Week 1 USC Trojans 77.2% 7 Loss
Week 2 Missouri Tigers 78% 7 Win
Week 2 Michigan Wolverines 91.7% 10 Win
Week 2 Maryland Terrapins 52.2% 1 Win
Week 2 Clemson Tigers 90% 9 Win
Week 2 Nebraska Cornhuskers 59.9% 5 Loss
Week 2 Tennessee Volunteers 58.6% 4 Loss
Week 2 LSU Tigers 56.1% 2 Win
Week 2 Miami Hurricanes 60.6% 6 Loss
Week 2 USC Trojans 57% 3 Win
Week 2 Washington Huskies 82.5% 8 Loss
Week 3 Mississippi State Bulldogs 73.8% 6 Loss
Week 3 Ohio State Buckeyes 80.7% 8 Win
Week 3 UCF Knights 74.2% 7 Win
Week 3 USC Trojans 61.4% 3 Loss
Week 3 Alabama Crimson Tide 90.6% 9 Win
Week 3 Iowa State Cyclones 50.3% 1 Loss
Week 3 Florida Gators 66.1% 4 Win
Week 3 Virginia Cavaliers 70.4% 5 Win
Week 3 Clemson Tigers 91.2% 10 Win
Week 3 Texas Tech Red Raiders 53.2% 2 Loss
Week 4 Wisconsin Badgers 63.7% 3 Win
Week 4 Florida Gators 85.2% 10 Win
Week 4 Michigan State Spartans 67.6% 5 Win
Week 4 Texas A&M Aggies 67.3% 4 Loss
Week 4 Washington Huskies 62.2% 2 Win
Week 4 Oregon Ducks 68.5% 6 Win
Week 4 Texas Longhorns 70% 7 Win
Week 4 Georgia Bulldogs 84.5% 9 Win
Week 4 Arizona State Sun Devils 73% 8 Loss
Week 4 Utah State Aggies 60.7% 1 Win
Week 5 Texas A&M Aggies 91% 9 Win
Week 5 Wisconsin Badgers 91.8% 10 Win
Week 5 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 80.6% 8 Win
Week 5 Washington Huskies 77.2% 5 Win
Week 5 Iowa State Cyclones 53.8% 1 Loss
Week 5 Auburn Tigers 79.7% 7 Win
Week 5 Oklahoma State Cowboys 65.4% 3 Win
Week 5 Ohio State Buckeyes 77.5% 6 Win
Week 5 Utah Utes 67.1% 4 Win
Week 5 Nevada Wolf Pack 54.6% 2 Loss
Week 6 Michigan Wolverines 59% 2 Win
Week 6 Oklahoma State Cowboys 73.9% 4 Loss
Week 6 Auburn Tigers 56.6% 1 Loss
Week 6 Texas Longhorns 77.4% 5 Win
Week 6 Miami Hurricanes 79.8% 6 Loss
Week 6 Air Force Falcons 59.7% 3 Loss
Week 6 Georgia Bulldogs 93.1% 10 Win
Week 6 Ohio State Buckeyes 88.7% 9 Win
Week 6 Oregon Ducks 85.1% 8 Win
Week 6 Washington Huskies 83.4% 7 Loss
Week 7 Oklahoma Sooners 76.5% 5 Win
Week 7 Memphis Tigers 68.4% 2 Loss
Week 7 Clemson Tigers 96.3% 10 Win
Week 7 Wisconsin Badgers 75.8% 4 Win
Week 7 Alabama Crimson Tide 86.9% 9 Win
Week 7 Baylor Bears 74.3% 3 Win
Week 7 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 78.2% 6 Win
Week 7 Penn State Nittany Lions 60.9% 1 Win
Week 7 LSU Tigers 79.9% 8 Win
Week 7 Boise State Broncos 78.8% 7 Win
Week 8 Florida Gators 67.5% 4 Win
Week 8 Iowa State Cyclones 68.9% 5 Win
Week 8 Clemson Tigers 92.5% 10 Win
Week 8 Oregon Ducks 55.2% 1 Win
Week 8 LSU Tigers 88.1% 9 Win
Week 8 Oklahoma State Cowboys 62.6% 2 Loss
Week 8 Utah Utes 79.3% 8 Win
Week 8 Memphis Tigers 64.8% 3 Win
Week 8 Penn State Nittany Lions 74.7% 7 Win
Week 8 Boise State Broncos 69.1% 6 Loss
Week 9 Oklahoma Sooners 92.2% 10 Loss
Week 9 Ohio State Buckeyes 82.2% 9 Win
Week 9 Virginia Cavaliers 62.1% 4 Loss
Week 9 Penn State Nittany Lions 67.8% 5 Win
Week 9 Texas Longhorns 53.1% 2 Loss
Week 9 LSU Tigers 77.2% 6 Win
Week 9 UCF Knights 78% 7 Win
Week 9 Michigan Wolverines 50.5% 1 Win
Week 9 Air Force Falcons 58.1% 3 Win
Week 9 Oregon Ducks 81.1% 8 Win
Week 10 Michigan Wolverines 87.1% 10 Win
Week 10 Wake Forest Demon Deacons 71.3% 9 Win
Week 10 Oklahoma State Cowboys 59.7% 3 Win
Week 10 Georgia Bulldogs 63.6% 6 Win
Week 10 Florida State Seminoles 62.9% 5 Loss
Week 10 Utah Utes 58.6% 2 Win
Week 10 Memphis Tigers 65.4% 8 Win
Week 10 North Carolina Tar Heels 53.7% 1 Loss
Week 10 Oregon Ducks 61.2% 4 Win
Week 10 Utah State Aggies 64.2% 7 Loss