College Football Pick’em Analysis

Game: College Football Pick’em
From: ESPN
Link to Play: College Football Pick’Em
Join our Public Group: StreakEdge

How does it work?: The College Football regular season runs from the beginning of September to the end of November. There are 14 weeks in total with 10 games each week plus a score tiebreaker. The following is an explanation of the scoring breakdown:

Each week the contestant is provided with 10 games and must pick the winner. The contestant must also assign a confidence level (1-10) to each game. Each confidence level can only be used once. Points are awarded by multiplying the confidence level points assigned by 1 if the contestant chooses the winner correctly.

Strategy: Our numbers below are based on the strategy of maximizing score. Thus, we always take the favorites and assign the confidence level by giving the most points to the team with highest odds of winning. In the case of ties, we present the confidence level as the average and leave you to choose which game to assign higher confidence.

Week 3 College Football Pick’em Analysis

Confidence Team Implied Odds DRatings Small Win Prob
N/A
 Kansas State Wildcats
+245
28%
21.9%
26.2%
6
 Mississippi State Bulldogs
-290
72%
78.1%
73.8%
8
 Ohio State Buckeyes
-800
85.2%
70.2%
80.7%
N/A
 Indiana Hoosiers
+550
14.8%
29.8%
19.3%
N/A
 Stanford Cardinal
+250
27.6%
21.7%
25.8%
7
 UCF Knights
-300
72.4%
78.3%
74.2%
3
 USC Trojans
-185
62.8%
58%
61.4%
N/A
 Brigham Young Cougars
+160
37.2%
42%
38.6%
9
 Alabama Crimson Tide
-3500
94.7%
81.1%
90.6%
N/A
 South Carolina Gamecocks
+1750
5.3%
18.9%
9.4%
N/A
 Iowa Hawkeyes
-135
55.3%
36.5%
49.7%
1
 Iowa State Cyclones
+115
44.7%
63.5%
50.3%
4
 Florida Gators
-300
72.4%
51.4%
66.1%
N/A
 Kentucky Wildcats
+250
27.6%
48.6%
33.9%
N/A
 Florida State Seminoles
+230
29.3%
30.3%
29.6%
5
 Virginia Cavaliers
-270
70.7%
69.7%
70.4%
10
 Clemson Tigers
-5000
96.2%
79.6%
91.2%
N/A
 Syracuse Orange
+2500
3.8%
20.4%
8.8%
2
 Texas Tech Red Raiders
-130
54.3%
50.5%
53.2%
N/A
 Arizona Wildcats
+110
45.7%
49.5%
46.8%

Results

Last Week (Week 2): Straight Up: 6-4 (60.0%), Points: 32.
2019-2020 Season: Straight Up: 13-7 (65.0%), Points: 77.
2018-2019 Season: Straight Up: 102-37 (73.4%), Points: 575.
2017-2018 Season: Straight Up: 102-38 (72.9%), Points: 608.
2016-2017 Season: Straight Up: 95-45 (67.9%), Points: 570.
2015-2016 Season: Straight Up: 89-41 (68.5%), Points: 511.

2019-2020 Results

Week Pick Probability Confidence Result
Week 1 Memphis Tigers 67.7% 4 Loss
Week 1 Nebraska Cornhuskers 98.2% 10 Loss
Week 1 Washington Huskies 88.2% 9 Loss
Week 1 South Carolina Gamecocks 68.9% 6 Loss
Week 1 Virginia Tech Hokies 54.1% 1 Loss
Week 1 Stanford Cardinal 68.7% 5 Loss
Week 1 Florida State Seminoles 66.3% 3 Loss
Week 1 Auburn Tigers 63.3% 2 Loss
Week 1 Georgia Bulldogs 86.3% 8 Loss
Week 1 USC Trojans 77.2% 7 Loss
Week 2 Missouri Tigers 78% 7 Win
Week 2 Michigan Wolverines 91.7% 10 Win
Week 2 Maryland Terrapins 52.2% 1 Win
Week 2 Clemson Tigers 90% 9 Win
Week 2 Nebraska Cornhuskers 59.9% 5 Loss
Week 2 Tennessee Volunteers 58.6% 4 Loss
Week 2 LSU Tigers 56.1% 2 Win
Week 2 Miami Hurricanes 60.6% 6 Loss
Week 2 USC Trojans 57% 3 Win
Week 2 Washington Huskies 82.5% 8 Loss