College Football Pick’em Analysis

Game: College Football Pick’em
From: ESPN
Link to Play: College Football Pick’Em
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How does it work?: The College Football regular season runs from the beginning of September to the end of November. There are 14 weeks in total with 10 games each week plus a score tiebreaker. The following is an explanation of the scoring breakdown:

Each week the contestant is provided with 10 games and must pick the winner. The contestant must also assign a confidence level (1-10) to each game. Each confidence level can only be used once. Points are awarded by multiplying the confidence level points assigned by 1 if the contestant chooses the winner correctly.

Strategy: Our numbers below are based on the strategy of maximizing score. Thus, we always take the favorites and assign the confidence level by giving the most points to the team with highest odds of winning. In the case of ties, we present the confidence level as the average and leave you to choose which game to assign higher confidence.

Week 6 College Football Pick’em Analysis

Confidence Team Implied Odds DRatings Small Win Prob
N/A
 Texas A&M Aggies
+150
38.8%
45.4%
40.8%
5
 Missouri Tigers
-170
61.2%
54.6%
59.2%
N/A
 North Carolina Tar Heels
+165
36.8%
35.4%
36.4%
8
 Pittsburgh Panthers
-185
63.2%
64.6%
63.6%
6
 Arizona Wildcats
-155
59.3%
60.8%
59.8%
N/A
 West Virginia Mountaineers
+140
40.7%
39.2%
40.3%
7
 Wake Forest Demon Deacons
-170
61.2%
57.2%
60%
N/A
 NC State Wolfpack
+150
38.8%
42.8%
40%
10
 Texas Longhorns
-300
73%
72.7%
72.9%
N/A
 Oklahoma Sooners
+260
27%
27.3%
27.1%
N/A
 Houston Cougars
+125
42.9%
47.3%
44.2%
3
 Kansas State Wildcats
-145
57.1%
52.7%
55.8%
4
 North Dakota State Bison
-155
58.8%
49.8%
56.1%
N/A
 UNLV Rebels
+135
41.2%
50.2%
43.9%
N/A
 Georgia Bulldogs
+105
47.2%
51.3%
48.4%
2
 Alabama Crimson Tide
-120
52.8%
48.7%
51.6%
N/A
 USC Trojans
+105
47.2%
51.4%
48.5%
1
 Penn State Nittany Lions
-120
52.8%
48.6%
51.5%
9
 Boise State Broncos
-250
69.2%
65%
67.9%
N/A
 Fresno State Bulldogs
+215
30.8%
35%
32.1%

Results

Last Week (Week 5): Straight Up: 5-5 (50.0%), Points: 37.
2026-2027 Season: Straight Up: 34-16 (68.0%), Points: 201.
2025-2026 Season: Straight Up: 94-55 (63.1%), Points: 545.
2024-2025 Season: Straight Up: 93-46 (66.9%), Points: 560.
2023-2024 Season: Straight Up: 89-51 (63.6%), Points: 514.
2022-2023 Season: Straight Up: 87-51 (63.0%), Points: 500.
2021-2022 Season: Straight Up: 88-52 (62.9%), Points: 530.
2020-2021 Season: Straight Up: 64-25 (69.9%), Points: 325.
2019-2020 Season: Straight Up: 113-37 (74.3%), Points: 680.
2018-2019 Season: Straight Up: 102-37 (73.4%), Points: 575.
2017-2018 Season: Straight Up: 102-38 (72.9%), Points: 608.
2016-2017 Season: Straight Up: 95-45 (67.9%), Points: 570.
2015-2016 Season: Straight Up: 89-41 (68.5%), Points: 511.

2025-2026 Results

Week Pick Probability Confidence Result
Week 1 Duke Blue Devils 71.7% 9 Win
Week 1 Cincinnati Bearcats 71.6% 8 Win
Week 1 Auburn Tigers 71.5% 7 Win
Week 1 Colorado State Rams 59.5% 4 Win
Week 1 LSU Tigers 76.4% 10 Win
Week 1 UNLV Rebels 54.3% 2 Win
Week 1 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 56.2% 3 Loss
Week 1 UCLA Bruins 53.7% 1 Win
Week 1 Ole Miss Rebels 69.9% 6 Win
Week 1 SMU Mustangs 59.8% 5 Win
Week 2 Oklahoma Sooners 64.2% 7 Loss
Week 2 Wake Forest Demon Deacons 61.2% 6 Win
Week 2 Army Black Knights 60% 5 Loss
Week 2 Mississippi State Bulldogs 50.5% 1 Win
Week 2 Pittsburgh Panthers 71% 9 Win
Week 2 Syracuse Orange 58.1% 4 Loss
Week 2 Illinois Fighting Illini 66.7% 8 Loss
Week 2 Boise State Broncos 74.3% 10 Win
Week 2 Texas Longhorns 52.4% 2 Win
Week 2 North Dakota State Bison 53.3% 3 Win
Week 3 Arizona State Sun Devils 64.9% 8 Win
Week 3 Clemson Tigers 65.2% 9 Win
Week 3 Vanderbilt Commodores 61.4% 7 Win
Week 3 Louisville Cardinals 50.5% 1 Win
Week 3 South Carolina Gamecocks 57.3% 4 Loss
Week 3 Florida Gators 52.9% 3 Win
Week 3 LSU Tigers 58.1% 5 Loss
Week 3 Northwestern Wildcats 65.3% 10 Win
Week 3 Virginia Tech Hokies 59% 6 Win
Week 3 San Diego State Aztecs 52.3% 2 Loss
Week 4 Texas Longhorns 65.9% 6 Win
Week 4 Florida Gators 57.9% 3 Win
Week 4 Michigan Wolverines 66.5% 8 Loss
Week 4 Boise State Broncos 69.7% 10 Win
Week 4 Nebraska Cornhuskers 66.4% 7 Win
Week 4 James Madison Dukes 60.9% 4 Win
Week 4 Kansas State Wildcats 68.4% 9 Loss
Week 4 West Virginia Mountaineers 54.5% 1 Loss
Week 4 Oregon Ducks 57.6% 2 Win
Week 4 Mississippi State Bulldogs 61.2% 5 Win
Week 5 Alabama Crimson Tide 68% 8 Win
Week 5 Iowa State Cyclones 60.2% 3 Win
Week 5 Michigan Wolverines 66.9% 6 Loss
Week 5 Ohio State Buckeyes 80.5% 10 Win
Week 5 Florida Gators 64.5% 5 Loss
Week 5 Virginia Cavaliers 53.5% 1 Loss
Week 5 South Carolina Gamecocks 56.1% 2 Loss
Week 5 BYU Cougars 67.6% 7 Win
Week 5 Arizona State Sun Devils 62.8% 4 Loss
Week 5 Arizona Wildcats 71.6% 9 Win