Pigskin Pick’em Analysis

Game: Pigskin Pick’em
From: ESPN
Link to Play: Pigskin Pick’Em
Join our Public Group: StreakEdge

How does it work?: The NFL regular season runs from early September to the beginning of January. There are eighteen weeks in total with the number of games varying depending on which teams are on byes. Each week there is also a score tiebreaker for one of the games. The following is an explanation of the scoring breakdown:

Each week the contestant is provided with the week’s games and must pick the winner of each. Every game must then be assigned a point value between 1 and however many games there are in that given week (16 when there are no byes).

Strategy: Our numbers below are based on the strategy of maximizing score. Thus, we always take the favorites (or the side with the highest % chance of winning the proposition.)

Week 17 Pigskin Pick’em Analysis

Confidence Team Implied Odds DRatings Small Win Prob
12
 Dallas Cowboys
-315
73.2%
71.2%
72.6%
N/A
 Washington Commanders
+260
26.8%
28.8%
27.4%
9
 Detroit Lions
-260
70.8%
66.6%
69.5%
N/A
 Minnesota Vikings
+235
29.2%
33.4%
30.5%
16
 Denver Broncos
-900
87.3%
85.9%
86.9%
N/A
 Kansas City Chiefs
+661
12.7%
14.1%
13.1%
N/A
 Houston Texans
+117
44.9%
48.7%
46%
2
 Los Angeles Chargers
-130
55.1%
51.3%
54%
N/A
 Baltimore Ravens
+132
42.1%
40.7%
41.7%
5
 Green Bay Packers
-145
57.9%
59.3%
58.3%
N/A
 Arizona Cardinals
+280
25.4%
32.5%
27.5%
11
 Cincinnati Bengals
-340
74.6%
67.5%
72.5%
13
 Seattle Seahawks
-320
74.6%
78.2%
75.7%
N/A
 Carolina Panthers
+285
25.4%
21.8%
24.3%
7
 Pittsburgh Steelers
-180
62.7%
71.5%
65.3%
N/A
 Cleveland Browns
+161
37.3%
28.5%
34.7%
4
 New Orleans Saints
-145
58.2%
54.5%
57.1%
N/A
 Tennessee Titans
+135
41.8%
45.5%
42.9%
10
 Jacksonville Jaguars
-290
71.7%
65.2%
69.8%
N/A
 Indianapolis Colts
+240
28.3%
34.8%
30.3%
8
 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
-235
68.5%
65%
67.5%
N/A
 Miami Dolphins
+210
31.5%
35%
32.6%
15
 New England Patriots
-900
87.5%
84.7%
86.7%
N/A
 New York Jets
+680
12.5%
15.3%
13.3%
N/A
 New York Giants
+111
46%
49.3%
47%
1
 Las Vegas Raiders
-125
54%
50.7%
53%
N/A
 Philadelphia Eagles
+115
45.6%
41.1%
44.3%
3
 Buffalo Bills
-125
54.4%
58.9%
55.8%
N/A
 Chicago Bears
+155
38.9%
40%
39.2%
6
 San Francisco 49ers
-160
61.1%
60%
60.8%
14
 Los Angeles Rams
-410
78.3%
80%
78.8%
N/A
 Atlanta Falcons
+350
21.7%
20%
21.2%

Results

Last Week (Week 16): Straight Up: 8-8, Points: 84.
2025-2026 Season: Straight Up: 158-81-1, Points: 1373.
2024-2025 Season: Straight Up: 199-73, Points: 1691.
2023-2024 Season: Straight Up: 175-98, Points: 1493.
2022-2023 Season: Straight Up: 172-97-2, Points: 1515.
2021-2022 Season: Straight Up: 171-100, Points: 1517.
2020-2021 Season: Straight Up: 159-69, Points: 1388.
2019-2020 Season: Straight Up: 166-89, Points: 1446.
2018-2019 Season: Straight Up: 158-80-2, Points: 1400.
2017-2018 Season: Straight Up: 180-76, Points: 1537.
2016-2017 Season: Straight Up: 153-85-2, Points: 1288.
2015-2016 Season: Straight Up: 162-94.

2025-2026 Results

Week Pick Probability Confidence Result
Week 1 Philadelphia Eagles 76% 15 Win
Week 1 Kansas City Chiefs 61.1% 10 Loss
Week 1 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 52.4% 3 Win
Week 1 Cincinnati Bengals 69.2% 12 Win
Week 1 Indianapolis Colts 52.8% 4 Win
Week 1 New England Patriots 57.8% 8 Loss
Week 1 Arizona Cardinals 71.5% 13 Win
Week 1 Pittsburgh Steelers 58.2% 9 Win
Week 1 Washington Commanders 71.8% 14 Win
Week 1 Jacksonville Jaguars 62.7% 11 Win
Week 1 Denver Broncos 76.5% 16 Win
Week 1 San Francisco 49ers 57.2% 7 Win
Week 1 Green Bay Packers 54.5% 5 Win
Week 1 Los Angeles Rams 55.3% 6 Win
Week 1 Buffalo Bills 50.7% 1 Win
Week 1 Minnesota Vikings 52.2% 2 Win
Week 2 Green Bay Packers 64.9% 6 Win
Week 2 Cincinnati Bengals 65.1% 7 Win
Week 2 Dallas Cowboys 69.9% 12 Win
Week 2 Detroit Lions 70.5% 13 Win
Week 2 Los Angeles Rams 67.9% 10 Win
Week 2 Miami Dolphins 53.4% 2 Loss
Week 2 San Francisco 49ers 68.8% 11 Win
Week 2 Buffalo Bills 74.8% 14 Win
Week 2 Pittsburgh Steelers 54% 3 Loss
Week 2 Baltimore Ravens 87.2% 16 Win
Week 2 Denver Broncos 55.8% 4 Loss
Week 2 Arizona Cardinals 75.6% 15 Win
Week 2 Philadelphia Eagles 50.4% 1 Win
Week 2 Minnesota Vikings 66.1% 9 Loss
Week 2 Houston Texans 56.7% 5 Loss
Week 2 Los Angeles Chargers 65.9% 8 Win
Week 3 Buffalo Bills 86.4% 16 Win
Week 3 Green Bay Packers 77.7% 15 Loss
Week 3 Indianapolis Colts 62.4% 6 Win
Week 3 Minnesota Vikings 63.6% 7 Win
Week 3 Pittsburgh Steelers 55.1% 4 Win
Week 3 Philadelphia Eagles 64.5% 8 Win
Week 3 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 65.5% 10 Win
Week 3 Washington Commanders 65.2% 9 Win
Week 3 Atlanta Falcons 69.2% 11 Loss
Week 3 Houston Texans 50.6% 3 Loss
Week 3 Los Angeles Chargers 56.5% 5 Win
Week 3 Seattle Seahawks 77.3% 14 Win
Week 3 Chicago Bears 50.5% 2 Win
Week 3 San Francisco 49ers 50% 1 Win
Week 3 Kansas City Chiefs 73.1% 13 Win
Week 3 Baltimore Ravens 69.6% 12 Loss
Week 4 Arizona Cardinals 50.5% 1 Loss
Week 4 Minnesota Vikings 59.4% 5 Loss
Week 4 Washington Commanders 55.2% 3 Loss
Week 4 Buffalo Bills 91.7% 16 Win
Week 4 Detroit Lions 80.2% 15 Win
Week 4 New England Patriots 67.4% 11 Win
Week 4 Los Angeles Chargers 71.1% 12 Loss
Week 4 Philadelphia Eagles 62.7% 7 Win
Week 4 Houston Texans 66.1% 10 Win
Week 4 Los Angeles Rams 63.7% 9 Win
Week 4 San Francisco 49ers 62.8% 8 Loss
Week 4 Baltimore Ravens 59.8% 6 Loss
Week 4 Chicago Bears 50.6% 2 Win
Week 4 Green Bay Packers 73.4% 13 Loss
Week 4 Miami Dolphins 59% 4 Win
Week 4 Denver Broncos 77.1% 14 Win
Week 5 Los Angeles Rams 69.8% 11 Loss
Week 5 Minnesota Vikings 65.3% 8 Win
Week 5 Indianapolis Colts 73.3% 12 Win
Week 5 New Orleans Saints 52.6% 1 Win
Week 5 Dallas Cowboys 56.8% 3 Win
Week 5 Philadelphia Eagles 67.6% 9 Loss
Week 5 Miami Dolphins 52.8% 2 Loss
Week 5 Baltimore Ravens 62.9% 7 Loss
Week 5 Arizona Cardinals 69.5% 10 Loss
Week 5 Seattle Seahawks 61.1% 5 Loss
Week 5 Detroit Lions 82.4% 14 Win
Week 5 Los Angeles Chargers 59.3% 4 Loss
Week 5 Buffalo Bills 78.9% 13 Loss
Week 5 Kansas City Chiefs 62.8% 6 Win
Week 6 Philadelphia Eagles 78.7% 14 Loss
Week 6 Denver Broncos 77.4% 13 Win
Week 6 Indianapolis Colts 70.4% 11 Win
Week 6 Los Angeles Chargers 63.9% 6 Win
Week 6 Pittsburgh Steelers 68.6% 10 Win
Week 6 Dallas Cowboys 61.4% 4 Loss
Week 6 Jacksonville Jaguars 51.5% 1 Loss
Week 6 Los Angeles Rams 75.6% 12 Win
Week 6 New England Patriots 60.7% 3 Win
Week 6 Las Vegas Raiders 65.9% 8 Win
Week 6 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 61.6% 5 Win
Week 6 Green Bay Packers 89.1% 15 Win
Week 6 Kansas City Chiefs 53.6% 2 Win
Week 6 Buffalo Bills 64.7% 7 Loss
Week 6 Washington Commanders 67.3% 9 Loss
Week 7 Pittsburgh Steelers 71.5% 11 Loss
Week 7 Los Angeles Rams 60% 7 Win
Week 7 Chicago Bears 66.4% 9 Win
Week 7 Cleveland Browns 56.2% 5 Win
Week 7 New England Patriots 74.6% 13 Win
Week 7 Kansas City Chiefs 83.3% 15 Win
Week 7 Philadelphia Eagles 56.8% 6 Win
Week 7 Carolina Panthers 54.1% 3 Win
Week 7 Denver Broncos 75.3% 14 Win
Week 7 Los Angeles Chargers 51% 1 Loss
Week 7 Washington Commanders 55.4% 4 Loss
Week 7 Green Bay Packers 72.4% 12 Win
Week 7 San Francisco 49ers 52.4% 2 Win
Week 7 Detroit Lions 67% 10 Win
Week 7 Seattle Seahawks 62% 8 Win
Week 8 Los Angeles Chargers 61.5% 2 Win
Week 8 Atlanta Falcons 77% 11 Loss
Week 8 Cincinnati Bengals 73.9% 7 Loss
Week 8 New England Patriots 75.1% 8 Win
Week 8 Philadelphia Eagles 76.7% 10 Win
Week 8 Buffalo Bills 76.6% 9 Win
Week 8 Baltimore Ravens 71.3% 6 Win
Week 8 Houston Texans 53.6% 1 Win
Week 8 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 63% 3 Win
Week 8 Denver Broncos 63.2% 4 Win
Week 8 Indianapolis Colts 88.3% 13 Win
Week 8 Green Bay Packers 63.5% 5 Win
Week 8 Kansas City Chiefs 82.7% 12 Win
Week 9 Baltimore Ravens 76.6% 11 Win
Week 9 Chicago Bears 56.2% 3 Win
Week 9 Detroit Lions 81% 12 Loss
Week 9 Green Bay Packers 85.8% 13 Loss
Week 9 Los Angeles Chargers 73.5% 10 Win
Week 9 New England Patriots 69.8% 9 Win
Week 9 San Francisco 49ers 57.9% 4 Win
Week 9 Indianapolis Colts 59.9% 6 Win
Week 9 Houston Texans 50.3% 1 Loss
Week 9 Jacksonville Jaguars 61.4% 7 Win
Week 9 Los Angeles Rams 88.3% 14 Win
Week 9 Kansas City Chiefs 52.4% 2 Loss
Week 9 Seattle Seahawks 62.7% 8 Win
Week 9 Dallas Cowboys 58.2% 5 Loss
Week 10 Denver Broncos 80% 13 Win
Week 10 Indianapolis Colts 70.4% 10 Win
Week 10 Chicago Bears 57.9% 5 Win
Week 10 Buffalo Bills 81.5% 14 Loss
Week 10 Baltimore Ravens 66.4% 8 Win
Week 10 New York Jets 52.3% 1 Win
Week 10 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 57.6% 4 Loss
Week 10 Carolina Panthers 66.8% 9 Loss
Week 10 Houston Texans 53.8% 2 Win
Week 10 Seattle Seahawks 73.8% 11 Win
Week 10 Los Angeles Rams 65% 7 Win
Week 10 Detroit Lions 77.3% 12 Win
Week 10 Los Angeles Chargers 60% 6 Win
Week 10 Green Bay Packers 57.2% 3 Loss
Week 11 New England Patriots 83.6% 15 Win
Week 11 Miami Dolphins 58.9% 5 Win
Week 11 Atlanta Falcons 63% 8 Loss
Week 11 Buffalo Bills 67% 10 Win
Week 11 Houston Texans 78.4% 14 Win
Week 11 Minnesota Vikings 58.4% 4 Loss
Week 11 Green Bay Packers 76.5% 12 Win
Week 11 Pittsburgh Steelers 69.2% 11 Win
Week 11 Los Angeles Chargers 57.3% 3 Loss
Week 11 Los Angeles Rams 59.9% 6 Win
Week 11 San Francisco 49ers 57.2% 2 Win
Week 11 Baltimore Ravens 76.7% 13 Win
Week 11 Kansas City Chiefs 63.8% 9 Loss
Week 11 Philadelphia Eagles 54.8% 1 Win
Week 11 Dallas Cowboys 62.4% 7 Win
Week 12 Buffalo Bills 67.9% 7 Loss
Week 12 Chicago Bears 57.1% 3 Win
Week 12 New England Patriots 76.5% 11 Win
Week 12 Detroit Lions 82.4% 12 Win
Week 12 Green Bay Packers 73.7% 8 Win
Week 12 Seattle Seahawks 87.8% 14 Win
Week 12 Kansas City Chiefs 63.4% 6 Win
Week 12 Baltimore Ravens 86.7% 13 Win
Week 12 Las Vegas Raiders 62.6% 5 Loss
Week 12 Jacksonville Jaguars 56.7% 2 Win
Week 12 Philadelphia Eagles 61% 4 Loss
Week 12 New Orleans Saints 53.2% 1 Loss
Week 12 Los Angeles Rams 75.3% 9 Win
Week 12 San Francisco 49ers 75.4% 10 Win
Week 13 Detroit Lions 50.2% 1 Loss
Week 13 Kansas City Chiefs 63.6% 5 Loss
Week 13 Baltimore Ravens 77.6% 13 Loss
Week 13 Philadelphia Eagles 73.4% 8 Loss
Week 13 San Francisco 49ers 73.5% 9 Win
Week 13 Jacksonville Jaguars 76.7% 11 Win
Week 13 Indianapolis Colts 66.5% 6 Loss
Week 13 Miami Dolphins 63.1% 4 Win
Week 13 Atlanta Falcons 56.6% 2 Loss
Week 13 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 62.5% 3 Win
Week 13 Los Angeles Rams 83% 15 Loss
Week 13 Seattle Seahawks 83.2% 16 Win
Week 13 Buffalo Bills 67.3% 7 Win
Week 13 Los Angeles Chargers 81.8% 14 Win
Week 13 Denver Broncos 73.8% 10 Win
Week 13 New England Patriots 77.4% 12 Win
Week 14 Detroit Lions 59.9% 5 Win
Week 14 Seattle Seahawks 78% 12 Win
Week 14 Cleveland Browns 64.6% 8 Loss
Week 14 Minnesota Vikings 51.9% 1 Win
Week 14 Miami Dolphins 58.4% 4 Win
Week 14 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 79% 14 Loss
Week 14 Indianapolis Colts 53.7% 2 Loss
Week 14 Baltimore Ravens 70.7% 9 Loss
Week 14 Buffalo Bills 63.3% 6 Win
Week 14 Denver Broncos 77.9% 11 Win
Week 14 Green Bay Packers 71.3% 10 Win
Week 14 Los Angeles Rams 78.8% 13 Win
Week 14 Kansas City Chiefs 63.6% 7 Loss
Week 14 Philadelphia Eagles 58% 3 Loss
Week 15 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 67.6% 8 Loss
Week 15 Chicago Bears 78.2% 11 Win
Week 15 Baltimore Ravens 56.3% 4 Win
Week 15 Kansas City Chiefs 67.2% 7 Loss
Week 15 Buffalo Bills 51.7% 1 Win
Week 15 New York Giants 52.4% 2 Loss
Week 15 Philadelphia Eagles 86.2% 15 Win
Week 15 Jacksonville Jaguars 85.7% 13 Win
Week 15 Houston Texans 79.9% 12 Win
Week 15 Green Bay Packers 52.5% 3 Loss
Week 15 Los Angeles Rams 72.6% 10 Win
Week 15 Carolina Panthers 57.1% 5 Loss
Week 15 San Francisco 49ers 86.1% 14 Win
Week 15 Seattle Seahawks 86.5% 16 Win
Week 15 Dallas Cowboys 70% 9 Loss
Week 15 Pittsburgh Steelers 63% 6 Win
Week 16 Los Angeles Rams 50.1% 1 Loss
Week 16 Philadelphia Eagles 72.8% 14 Win
Week 16 Green Bay Packers 51.5% 2 Loss
Week 16 Buffalo Bills 83.6% 15 Win
Week 16 Dallas Cowboys 52.1% 3 Loss
Week 16 Kansas City Chiefs 62.7% 10 Loss
Week 16 New Orleans Saints 66.2% 11 Win
Week 16 Minnesota Vikings 59.8% 7 Win
Week 16 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 60% 8 Loss
Week 16 Cincinnati Bengals 52.2% 4 Win
Week 16 Denver Broncos 60.8% 9 Loss
Week 16 Atlanta Falcons 53.3% 5 Win
Week 16 Detroit Lions 71.7% 13 Loss
Week 16 Houston Texans 89% 16 Win
Week 16 Baltimore Ravens 58% 6 Loss
Week 16 San Francisco 49ers 68.1% 12 Win