Pigskin Pick’em Analysis

Game: Pigskin Pick’em
From: ESPN
Link to Play: Pigskin Pick’Em
Join our Public Group: StreakEdge

How does it work?: The NFL regular season runs from early September to the beginning of January. There are eighteen weeks in total with the number of games varying depending on which teams are on byes. Each week there is also a score tiebreaker for one of the games. The following is an explanation of the scoring breakdown:

Each week the contestant is provided with the week’s games and must pick the winner of each. Every game must then be assigned a point value between 1 and however many games there are in that given week (16 when there are no byes).

Strategy: Our numbers below are based on the strategy of maximizing score. Thus, we always take the favorites (or the side with the highest % chance of winning the proposition.)

Week 9 Pigskin Pick’em Analysis

Confidence Team Implied Odds DRatings Small Win Prob
13
 Jacksonville Jaguars
-460
79.4%
83.1%
80.5%
N/A
 Baltimore Ravens
+370
20.6%
16.9%
19.5%
4
 Cincinnati Bengals
-160
59.8%
66.6%
61.8%
N/A
 Atlanta Falcons
+142
40.2%
33.4%
38.2%
8
 Dallas Cowboys
-250
69.6%
65.1%
68.3%
N/A
 Indianapolis Colts
+220
30.4%
34.9%
31.8%
N/A
 New York Jets
+350
21.5%
54.5%
31.4%
9
 Kansas City Chiefs
-430
78.5%
45.5%
68.6%
12
 Detroit Lions
-310
73.1%
82%
75.8%
N/A
 Miami Dolphins
+260
26.9%
18%
24.2%
N/A
 Cleveland Browns
+125
43.2%
45.7%
44%
1
 New Orleans Saints
-140
56.8%
54.3%
56.1%
5
 New York Giants
-170
62.1%
62.9%
62.3%
N/A
 Philadelphia Eagles
+160
37.9%
37.1%
37.7%
11
 Los Angeles Rams
-245
68.8%
78.3%
71.7%
N/A
 Washington Commanders
+210
31.2%
21.7%
28.4%
3
 Denver Broncos
-150
58.5%
64.3%
60.2%
N/A
 Carolina Panthers
+135
41.5%
35.7%
39.8%
7
 Houston Texans
-210
66.3%
70.7%
67.6%
N/A
 Los Angeles Chargers
+190
33.7%
29.3%
32.4%
N/A
 Las Vegas Raiders
+420
19%
16.7%
18.3%
14
 San Francisco 49ers
-460
81%
83.3%
81.7%
N/A
 Green Bay Packers
+135
41.5%
38.2%
40.5%
2
 New England Patriots
-150
58.5%
61.8%
59.5%
N/A
 Arizona Cardinals
+450
17.5%
14.4%
16.6%
15
 Seattle Seahawks
-600
82.5%
85.6%
83.4%
N/A
 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
+227
29.5%
28.8%
29.3%
10
 Chicago Bears
-270
70.5%
71.2%
70.7%
6
 Buffalo Bills
-175
62.1%
63.8%
62.6%
N/A
 Minnesota Vikings
+158
37.9%
36.2%
37.4%

Results

Last Week (Week 8): Straight Up: 10-4, Points: 87.
2026-2027 Season: Straight Up: 68-38, Points: 574.
2025-2026 Season: Straight Up: 176-95-1, Points: 1554.
2024-2025 Season: Straight Up: 199-73, Points: 1691.
2023-2024 Season: Straight Up: 175-98, Points: 1493.
2022-2023 Season: Straight Up: 172-97-2, Points: 1515.
2021-2022 Season: Straight Up: 171-100, Points: 1517.
2020-2021 Season: Straight Up: 159-69, Points: 1388.
2019-2020 Season: Straight Up: 166-89, Points: 1446.
2018-2019 Season: Straight Up: 158-80-2, Points: 1400.
2017-2018 Season: Straight Up: 180-76, Points: 1537.
2016-2017 Season: Straight Up: 153-85-2, Points: 1288.

2025-2026 Results

Week Pick Probability Confidence Result
Week 1 Seattle Seahawks 60.5% 7 Win
Week 1 Los Angeles Rams 64.5% 11 Loss
Week 1 Cincinnati Bengals 64.6% 12 Win
Week 1 Detroit Lions 74.5% 14 Win
Week 1 Tennessee Titans 50.5% 1 Loss
Week 1 Baltimore Ravens 62.9% 9 Win
Week 1 Pittsburgh Steelers 61.5% 8 Win
Week 1 Chicago Bears 58.4% 5 Win
Week 1 Jacksonville Jaguars 78.2% 15 Win
Week 1 Buffalo Bills 50.9% 2 Win
Week 1 Las Vegas Raiders 64% 10 Win
Week 1 Minnesota Vikings 51.1% 3 Win
Week 1 Philadelphia Eagles 67.6% 13 Win
Week 1 Los Angeles Chargers 81.6% 16 Loss
Week 1 Dallas Cowboys 59.6% 6 Loss
Week 1 Kansas City Chiefs 57.8% 4 Win
Week 2 Buffalo Bills 66% 6 Win
Week 2 Carolina Panthers 53.5% 1 Win
Week 2 Chicago Bears 67.4% 9 Loss
Week 2 Philadelphia Eagles 68.7% 10 Win
Week 2 New England Patriots 67.2% 8 Win
Week 2 Green Bay Packers 65% 5 Win
Week 2 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 78.1% 14 Loss
Week 2 Baltimore Ravens 79.6% 15 Loss
Week 2 Houston Texans 57.6% 3 Loss
Week 2 Denver Broncos 56.8% 2 Win
Week 2 Los Angeles Chargers 73.8% 11 Loss
Week 2 Dallas Cowboys 63.5% 4 Win
Week 2 Seattle Seahawks 67% 7 Win
Week 2 San Francisco 49ers 87.2% 16 Win
Week 2 Kansas City Chiefs 73.9% 12 Win
Week 2 Los Angeles Rams 75.3% 13 Win
Week 3 Green Bay Packers 71.8% 11 Loss
Week 3 Buffalo Bills 73.4% 13 Win
Week 3 Carolina Panthers 57% 4 Loss
Week 3 Detroit Lions 74.7% 14 Win
Week 3 Houston Texans 56% 3 Loss
Week 3 Kansas City Chiefs 86% 16 Win
Week 3 New York Giants 61.8% 9 Win
Week 3 Cincinnati Bengals 62.4% 10 Loss
Week 3 Seattle Seahawks 73.1% 12 Loss
Week 3 Jacksonville Jaguars 59.1% 5 Win
Week 3 San Francisco 49ers 78.6% 15 Win
Week 3 Minnesota Vikings 52.3% 1 Win
Week 3 Baltimore Ravens 59.5% 6 Win
Week 3 New Orleans Saints 60.2% 7 Loss
Week 3 Los Angeles Rams 54.9% 2 Loss
Week 3 Philadelphia Eagles 61.2% 8 Loss
Week 6 Seattle Seahawks 58.2% 4 Loss
Week 6 Jacksonville Jaguars 58.4% 5 Loss
Week 6 Chicago Bears 61.5% 7 Win
Week 6 Baltimore Ravens 66.7% 8 Loss
Week 6 Indianapolis Colts 74.4% 10 Loss
Week 6 New England Patriots 76.2% 11 Win
Week 6 New Orleans Saints 50.9% 1 Win
Week 6 Philadelphia Eagles 53.1% 3 Loss
Week 6 Pittsburgh Steelers 59.2% 6 Win
Week 6 Los Angeles Rams 85.9% 14 Loss
Week 6 Kansas City Chiefs 77.9% 12 Win
Week 6 Buffalo Bills 71.2% 9 Win
Week 6 Green Bay Packers 51.8% 2 Win
Week 6 San Francisco 49ers 78.5% 13 Win
Week 7 Chicago Bears 58% 4 Win
Week 7 Pittsburgh Steelers 63.8% 8 Win
Week 7 San Francisco 49ers 62.9% 7 Loss
Week 7 Cleveland Browns 55.2% 2 Win
Week 7 Minnesota Vikings 70.1% 13 Win
Week 7 New York Jets 66.3% 11 Loss
Week 7 Carolina Panthers 62.7% 6 Loss
Week 7 Baltimore Ravens 54.1% 1 Loss
Week 7 Houston Texans 79.6% 14 Loss
Week 7 Denver Broncos 68.1% 12 Win
Week 7 Detroit Lions 61.2% 5 Win
Week 7 Los Angeles Rams 66.2% 10 Win
Week 7 Seattle Seahawks 57.1% 3 Win
Week 7 Dallas Cowboys 65.7% 9 Win
Week 8 Green Bay Packers 64.4% 8 Win
Week 8 Buffalo Bills 64.3% 7 Win
Week 8 Cincinnati Bengals 83.3% 14 Win
Week 8 Dallas Cowboys 73.3% 10 Loss
Week 8 Detroit Lions 57.4% 4 Win
Week 8 New York Jets 50.5% 1 Loss
Week 8 Pittsburgh Steelers 63.5% 6 Win
Week 8 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 56.5% 3 Win
Week 8 Jacksonville Jaguars 79.4% 13 Win
Week 8 Los Angeles Rams 74.2% 11 Win
Week 8 Kansas City Chiefs 51.8% 2 Loss
Week 8 New England Patriots 76.5% 12 Win
Week 8 Washington Commanders 67% 9 Win
Week 8 Seattle Seahawks 63.3% 5 Loss