Pigskin Pick’em Analysis

Game: Pigskin Pick’em
From: ESPN
Link to Play: Pigskin Pick’Em
Join our Public Group: StreakEdge

How does it work?: The NFL regular season runs from early September to the beginning of January. There are eighteen weeks in total with the number of games varying depending on which teams are on byes. Each week there is also a score tiebreaker for one of the games. The following is an explanation of the scoring breakdown:

Each week the contestant is provided with the week’s games and must pick the winner of each. Every game must then be assigned a point value between 1 and however many games there are in that given week (16 when there are no byes).

Strategy: Our numbers below are based on the strategy of maximizing score. Thus, we always take the favorites (or the side with the highest % chance of winning the proposition.)

Week 8 Pigskin Pick’em Analysis

Confidence Team Implied Odds DRatings Small Win Prob
N/A
 Minnesota Vikings
+160
38.2%
39.1%
38.5%
2
 Los Angeles Chargers
-165
61.8%
60.9%
61.5%
N/A
 Miami Dolphins
+295
24.6%
19.3%
23%
11
 Atlanta Falcons
-350
75.4%
80.7%
77%
N/A
 New York Jets
+265
26.8%
24.4%
26.1%
7
 Cincinnati Bengals
-300
73.2%
75.6%
73.9%
N/A
 Cleveland Browns
+290
24.8%
25.3%
25%
8
 New England Patriots
-350
75.2%
74.7%
75.1%
N/A
 New York Giants
+300
24.4%
20.7%
23.3%
10
 Philadelphia Eagles
-345
75.6%
79.3%
76.7%
9
 Buffalo Bills
-395
77%
75.6%
76.6%
N/A
 Carolina Panthers
+320
23%
24.4%
23.4%
N/A
 Chicago Bears
+260
27%
32.8%
28.7%
6
 Baltimore Ravens
-300
73%
67.2%
71.3%
N/A
 San Francisco 49ers
+105
47.2%
44.6%
46.4%
1
 Houston Texans
-120
52.8%
55.4%
53.6%
3
 Tampa Bay Buccaneers
-223
66.7%
54.5%
63%
N/A
 New Orleans Saints
+190
33.3%
45.5%
37%
N/A
 Dallas Cowboys
+150
38.8%
32.2%
36.8%
4
 Denver Broncos
-170
61.2%
67.8%
63.2%
N/A
 Tennessee Titans
+754
11.4%
12.5%
11.7%
13
 Indianapolis Colts
-1010
88.6%
87.5%
88.3%
5
 Green Bay Packers
-175
62.8%
65.2%
63.5%
N/A
 Pittsburgh Steelers
+165
37.2%
34.8%
36.5%
N/A
 Washington Commanders
+475
17%
17.9%
17.3%
12
 Kansas City Chiefs
-555
83%
82.1%
82.7%

Results

Last Week (Week 5): Straight Up: 12-3, Points: 104.
2025-2026 Season: Straight Up: 73-33-1, Points: 641.
2024-2025 Season: Straight Up: 199-73, Points: 1691.
2023-2024 Season: Straight Up: 175-98, Points: 1493.
2022-2023 Season: Straight Up: 172-97-2, Points: 1515.
2021-2022 Season: Straight Up: 171-100, Points: 1517.
2020-2021 Season: Straight Up: 159-69, Points: 1388.
2019-2020 Season: Straight Up: 166-89, Points: 1446.
2018-2019 Season: Straight Up: 158-80-2, Points: 1400.
2017-2018 Season: Straight Up: 180-76, Points: 1537.
2016-2017 Season: Straight Up: 153-85-2, Points: 1288.
2015-2016 Season: Straight Up: 162-94.

2024-2025 Results

Week Pick Probability Confidence Result
Week 1 Philadelphia Eagles 76% 15 Win
Week 1 Kansas City Chiefs 61.1% 10 Loss
Week 1 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 52.4% 3 Win
Week 1 Cincinnati Bengals 69.2% 12 Win
Week 1 Indianapolis Colts 52.8% 4 Win
Week 1 New England Patriots 57.8% 8 Loss
Week 1 Arizona Cardinals 71.5% 13 Win
Week 1 Pittsburgh Steelers 58.2% 9 Win
Week 1 Washington Commanders 71.8% 14 Win
Week 1 Jacksonville Jaguars 62.7% 11 Win
Week 1 Denver Broncos 76.5% 16 Win
Week 1 San Francisco 49ers 57.2% 7 Win
Week 1 Green Bay Packers 54.5% 5 Win
Week 1 Los Angeles Rams 55.3% 6 Win
Week 1 Buffalo Bills 50.7% 1 Win
Week 1 Minnesota Vikings 52.2% 2 Win
Week 2 Green Bay Packers 64.9% 6 Win
Week 2 Cincinnati Bengals 65.1% 7 Win
Week 2 Dallas Cowboys 69.9% 12 Win
Week 2 Detroit Lions 70.5% 13 Win
Week 2 Los Angeles Rams 67.9% 10 Win
Week 2 Miami Dolphins 53.4% 2 Loss
Week 2 San Francisco 49ers 68.8% 11 Win
Week 2 Buffalo Bills 74.8% 14 Win
Week 2 Pittsburgh Steelers 54% 3 Loss
Week 2 Baltimore Ravens 87.2% 16 Win
Week 2 Denver Broncos 55.8% 4 Loss
Week 2 Arizona Cardinals 75.6% 15 Win
Week 2 Philadelphia Eagles 50.4% 1 Win
Week 2 Minnesota Vikings 66.1% 9 Loss
Week 2 Houston Texans 56.7% 5 Loss
Week 2 Los Angeles Chargers 65.9% 8 Win
Week 3 Buffalo Bills 86.4% 16 Win
Week 3 Green Bay Packers 77.7% 15 Loss
Week 3 Indianapolis Colts 62.4% 6 Win
Week 3 Minnesota Vikings 63.6% 7 Win
Week 3 Pittsburgh Steelers 55.1% 4 Win
Week 3 Philadelphia Eagles 64.5% 8 Win
Week 3 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 65.5% 10 Win
Week 3 Washington Commanders 65.2% 9 Win
Week 3 Atlanta Falcons 69.2% 11 Loss
Week 3 Houston Texans 50.6% 3 Loss
Week 3 Los Angeles Chargers 56.5% 5 Win
Week 3 Seattle Seahawks 77.3% 14 Win
Week 3 Chicago Bears 50.5% 2 Win
Week 3 San Francisco 49ers 50% 1 Win
Week 3 Kansas City Chiefs 73.1% 13 Win
Week 3 Baltimore Ravens 69.6% 12 Loss
Week 4 Arizona Cardinals 50.5% 1 Loss
Week 4 Minnesota Vikings 59.4% 5 Loss
Week 4 Washington Commanders 55.2% 3 Loss
Week 4 Buffalo Bills 91.7% 16 Win
Week 4 Detroit Lions 80.2% 15 Win
Week 4 New England Patriots 67.4% 11 Win
Week 4 Los Angeles Chargers 71.1% 12 Loss
Week 4 Philadelphia Eagles 62.7% 7 Win
Week 4 Houston Texans 66.1% 10 Win
Week 4 Los Angeles Rams 63.7% 9 Win
Week 4 San Francisco 49ers 62.8% 8 Loss
Week 4 Baltimore Ravens 59.8% 6 Loss
Week 4 Chicago Bears 50.6% 2 Win
Week 4 Green Bay Packers 73.4% 13 Loss
Week 4 Miami Dolphins 59% 4 Win
Week 4 Denver Broncos 77.1% 14 Win
Week 5 Los Angeles Rams 69.8% 11 Loss
Week 5 Minnesota Vikings 65.3% 8 Win
Week 5 Indianapolis Colts 73.3% 12 Win
Week 5 New Orleans Saints 52.6% 1 Win
Week 5 Dallas Cowboys 56.8% 3 Win
Week 5 Philadelphia Eagles 67.6% 9 Loss
Week 5 Miami Dolphins 52.8% 2 Loss
Week 5 Baltimore Ravens 62.9% 7 Loss
Week 5 Arizona Cardinals 69.5% 10 Loss
Week 5 Seattle Seahawks 61.1% 5 Loss
Week 5 Detroit Lions 82.4% 14 Win
Week 5 Los Angeles Chargers 59.3% 4 Loss
Week 5 Buffalo Bills 78.9% 13 Loss
Week 5 Kansas City Chiefs 62.8% 6 Win
Week 6 Philadelphia Eagles 78.7% 14 Loss
Week 6 Denver Broncos 77.4% 13 Win
Week 6 Indianapolis Colts 70.4% 11 Win
Week 6 Los Angeles Chargers 63.9% 6 Win
Week 6 Pittsburgh Steelers 68.6% 10 Win
Week 6 Dallas Cowboys 61.4% 4 Loss
Week 6 Jacksonville Jaguars 51.5% 1 Loss
Week 6 Los Angeles Rams 75.6% 12 Win
Week 6 New England Patriots 60.7% 3 Win
Week 6 Las Vegas Raiders 65.9% 8 Win
Week 6 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 61.6% 5 Win
Week 6 Green Bay Packers 89.1% 15 Win
Week 6 Kansas City Chiefs 53.6% 2 Win
Week 6 Buffalo Bills 64.7% 7 Loss
Week 6 Washington Commanders 67.3% 9 Loss
Week 7 Pittsburgh Steelers 71.5% 11 Loss
Week 7 Los Angeles Rams 60% 7 Win
Week 7 Chicago Bears 66.4% 9 Win
Week 7 Cleveland Browns 56.2% 5 Win
Week 7 New England Patriots 74.6% 13 Win
Week 7 Kansas City Chiefs 83.3% 15 Win
Week 7 Philadelphia Eagles 56.8% 6 Win
Week 7 Carolina Panthers 54.1% 3 Win
Week 7 Denver Broncos 75.3% 14 Win
Week 7 Los Angeles Chargers 51% 1 Loss
Week 7 Washington Commanders 55.4% 4 Loss
Week 7 Green Bay Packers 72.4% 12 Win
Week 7 San Francisco 49ers 52.4% 2 Win
Week 7 Detroit Lions 67% 10 Win
Week 7 Seattle Seahawks 62% 8 Win