Pigskin Pick’em Analysis


Game: Pigskin Pick’em
From: ESPN
Link to Play: Pigskin Pick’Em
Join our Public Group: StreakEdge

How does it work?: The NFL regular season runs from early September to the beginning of January. There are 17 weeks in total with the number of games varying depending on which teams are on byes. Each week there is also a score tiebreaker for one of the games. The following is an explanation of the scoring breakdown:

Each week the contestant is provided with the week’s games and must pick the winner of each. Every game must then be assigned a point value between 1 and however many games there are in that given week (16 when there are no byes).

Strategy: Our numbers below are based on the strategy of maximizing score. Thus, we always take the favorites (or the side with the highest % chance of winning the proposition.)

Pigskin Pick’em Analysis – Week 7

Confidence Team Implied Odds DRatings Small Win Prob
2
Kansas City Chiefs
-152
59.3%
56.2%
58.4%
N/A
Oakland Raiders
+142
40.7%
43.8%
41.6%
N/A
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
32%
32%
11
Buffalo Bills
68%
68%
4
Carolina Panthers
-173
61.6%
65.3%
62.7%
N/A
Chicago Bears
+153
38.4%
34.7%
37.3%
14
Tennessee Titans
-250
68.9%
69.6%
69.1%
N/A
Cleveland Browns
+210
31.1%
30.4%
30.9%
10
New Orleans Saints
-245
68.4%
65%
67.4%
N/A
Green Bay Packers
+205
31.6%
35%
32.6%
6
Jacksonville Jaguars
-180
62.4%
65.6%
63.4%
N/A
Indianapolis Colts
+158
37.6%
34.4%
36.6%
N/A
Arizona Cardinals
+155
38.1%
44.1%
39.9%
3
Los Angeles Rams
-175
61.9%
55.9%
60.1%
N/A
New York Jets
+155
38.1%
30.4%
35.8%
7
Miami Dolphins
-175
61.9%
69.6%
64.2%
N/A
Baltimore Ravens
+205
31.6%
30.5%
31.3%
12
Minnesota Vikings
-245
68.4%
69.5%
68.7%
15
Dallas Cowboys
-270
70.7%
67.1%
69.6%
N/A
San Francisco 49ers
+230
29.3%
32.9%
30.4%
N/A
Cincinnati Bengals
+200
32.1%
29.3%
31.3%
13
Pittsburgh Steelers
-240
67.9%
70.8%
68.8%
N/A
Denver Broncos
+100
47.8%
48.8%
48.1%
1
Los Angeles Chargers
-120
52.2%
51.2%
51.9%
5
Seattle Seahawks
-240
67.9%
51.9%
63.1%
N/A
New York Giants
+200
32.1%
48.1%
36.9%
N/A
Atlanta Falcons
+160
37.2%
31.1%
35.4%
8
New England Patriots
-185
62.8%
68.9%
64.6%
N/A
Washington Redskins
+185
33.6%
30.5%
32.7%
9
Philadelphia Eagles
-225
66.4%
69.5%
67.3%

Results

Last Week (Week 6): Straight Up: 5-9, Points: 52.
2017-2018 Season: Straight Up: 53-38, Points: 460.
2016-2017 Season: Straight Up: 153-85-2 (64.3%), Points: 1288.
2015-2016 Season: Straight Up: 162-94 (63.3%).

2017-2018 Results

Week Pick Probability Confidence Result
Week 6 Carolina Panthers 61.2% 4 Loss
Week 6 Atlanta Falcons 84.2% 14 Loss
Week 6 Baltimore Ravens 69.4% 7 Loss
Week 6 Houston Texans 77.9% 9 Loss
Week 6 New Orleans Saints 66.2% 6 Win
Week 6 Green Bay Packers 56.7% 2 Loss
Week 6 New England Patriots 78.4% 10 Win
Week 6 Washington Redskins 79.9% 12 Win
Week 6 Jacksonville Jaguars 58.3% 3 Loss
Week 6 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 53.6% 1 Loss
Week 6 Kansas City Chiefs 65.5% 5 Loss
Week 6 Oakland Raiders 69.6% 8 Loss
Week 6 Denver Broncos 80.2% 13 Win
Week 6 Tennessee Titans 79% 11 Win
Week 5 New England Patriots 67.9% 12 Win
Week 5 Cincinnati Bengals 56.5% 9 Win
Week 5 Cleveland Browns 52.2% 3 Loss
Week 5 Detroit Lions 54.6% 6 Loss
Week 5 Miami Dolphins 52.7% 4 Win
Week 5 Indianapolis Colts 54.2% 5 Win
Week 5 New York Giants 64.2% 11 Loss
Week 5 Philadelphia Eagles 70.6% 13 Win
Week 5 Pittsburgh Steelers 77.5% 14 Loss
Week 5 Oakland Raiders 60.9% 10 Loss
Week 5 Seattle Seahawks 51.7% 1 Win
Week 5 Dallas Cowboys 54.7% 7 Loss
Week 5 Kansas City Chiefs 56% 8 Win
Week 5 Minnesota Vikings 52.1% 2 Win
Week 4 Green Bay Packers 78.4% 14 Win
Week 4 New Orleans Saints 58% 5 Win
Week 4 Atlanta Falcons 77.6% 13 Loss
Week 4 Cincinnati Bengals 64.6% 8 Win
Week 4 Dallas Cowboys 75.7% 11 Loss
Week 4 Minnesota Vikings 65.6% 9 Loss
Week 4 Tennessee Titans 52.1% 2 Loss
Week 4 New England Patriots 78.6% 15 Loss
Week 4 Jacksonville Jaguars 58.6% 6 Loss
Week 4 Pittsburgh Steelers 57.8% 4 Win
Week 4 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 59.5% 7 Win
Week 4 Los Angeles Chargers 51.7% 1 Loss
Week 4 Arizona Cardinals 76.7% 12 Win
Week 4 Denver Broncos 56.2% 3 Win
Week 4 Seattle Seahawks 85.4% 16 Win
Week 4 Kansas City Chiefs 71.6% 10 Win
Week 3 Los Angeles Rams 55.8% 4 Win
Week 3 Baltimore Ravens 65.1% 10 Loss
Week 3 Atlanta Falcons 61.5% 8 Win
Week 3 Denver Broncos 57.2% 5 Loss
Week 3 Pittsburgh Steelers 75.6% 14 Loss
Week 3 Indianapolis Colts 53.7% 1 Win
Week 3 Miami Dolphins 69.1% 12 Loss
Week 3 Minnesota Vikings 54.7% 3 Win
Week 3 New England Patriots 85.8% 16 Win
Week 3 Carolina Panthers 68.3% 11 Loss
Week 3 Philadelphia Eagles 69.9% 13 Win
Week 3 Tennessee Titans 54.2% 2 Win
Week 3 Green Bay Packers 76.7% 15 Win
Week 3 Kansas City Chiefs 62.7% 9 Win
Week 3 Oakland Raiders 57.4% 6 Loss
Week 3 Dallas Cowboys 58.4% 7 Win
Week 2 Cincinnati Bengals 68.5% 9 Loss
Week 2 Carolina Panthers 70.7% 11 Win
Week 2 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 73.2% 13 Win
Week 2 Baltimore Ravens 78.6% 14 Win
Week 2 Tennessee Titans 52.5% 2 Win
Week 2 Arizona Cardinals 66.8% 8 Win
Week 2 Kansas City Chiefs 66.5% 7 Win
Week 2 Pittsburgh Steelers 71.3% 12 Win
Week 2 New England Patriots 70.5% 10 Win
Week 2 Oakland Raiders 86% 15 Win
Week 2 Los Angeles Chargers 63.5% 5 Loss
Week 2 Dallas Cowboys 53.7% 3 Loss
Week 2 Washington Redskins 51.3% 1 Win
Week 2 Seattle Seahawks 86.1% 16 Win
Week 2 Atlanta Falcons 59.4% 4 Win
Week 2 New York Giants 64.6% 6 Loss
Week 1 New England Patriots 76.3% 14 Loss
Week 1 Atlanta Falcons 71.5% 12 Win
Week 1 Buffalo Bills 75.5% 13 Win
Week 1 Cincinnati Bengals 57.8% 5 Loss
Week 1 Pittsburgh Steelers 77.8% 15 Win
Week 1 Arizona Cardinals 52.5% 2 Loss
Week 1 Tennessee Titans 52.4% 1 Loss
Week 1 Washington Redskins 56.7% 3 Loss
Week 1 Houston Texans 67.7% 11 Loss
Week 1 Los Angeles Rams 56.8% 4 Win
Week 1 Green Bay Packers 61.5% 7 Win
Week 1 Carolina Panthers 67.1% 10 Win
Week 1 Dallas Cowboys 65.9% 9 Win
Week 1 Minnesota Vikings 59.3% 6 Win
Week 1 Denver Broncos 63.7% 8 Win