Pigskin Pick’em Analysis


Game: Pigskin Pick’em
From: ESPN
Link to Play: Pigskin Pick’Em
Join our Public Group: StreakEdge

How does it work?: The NFL regular season runs from early September to the beginning of January. There are 17 weeks in total with the number of games varying depending on which teams are on byes. Each week there is also a score tiebreaker for one of the games. The following is an explanation of the scoring breakdown:

Each week the contestant is provided with the week’s games and must pick the winner of each. Every game must then be assigned a point value between 1 and however many games there are in that given week (16 when there are no byes).

Strategy: Our numbers below are based on the strategy of maximizing score. Thus, we always take the favorites (or the side with the highest % chance of winning the proposition.)

Pigskin Pick’em Analysis – Week 17

Confidence Team Implied Odds DRatings Small Win Prob
4
Buffalo Bills
-175
61.9%
56.1%
60.2%
N/A
New York Jets
+155
38.1%
43.9%
39.8%
N/A
Chicago Bears
+180
34.2%
28.2%
32.4%
10
Minnesota Vikings
-220
65.8%
71.8%
67.6%
N/A
Baltimore Ravens
+115
44.7%
46.9%
45.4%
2
Cincinnati Bengals
-135
55.3%
53.1%
54.6%
N/A
Cleveland Browns
+200
32.1%
18.9%
28.1%
13
Pittsburgh Steelers
-240
67.9%
81.1%
71.9%
N/A
Dallas Cowboys
+170
35.7%
49.2%
39.8%
5
Philadelphia Eagles
-200
64.3%
50.8%
60.3%
N/A
Houston Texans
+145
39.6%
39.6%
39.6%
6
Tennessee Titans
-165
60.4%
60.4%
60.4%
N/A
Jacksonville Jaguars
+180
34.2%
30.4%
33.1%
8
Indianapolis Colts
-220
65.8%
69.6%
66.9%
15
New England Patriots
-475
79.9%
65.3%
75.5%
N/A
Miami Dolphins
+380
20.1%
34.7%
24.5%
N/A
Carolina Panthers
+200
32.1%
31.4%
31.9%
11
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
-240
67.9%
68.6%
68.1%
N/A
New Orleans Saints
+235
28.9%
30.4%
29.4%
12
Atlanta Falcons
-275
71.1%
69.6%
70.7%
N/A
Oakland Raiders
+108
46.1%
49.8%
47.2%
1
Denver Broncos
-128
53.9%
50.2%
52.8%
9
Kansas City Chiefs
-235
67.4%
66.5%
67.1%
N/A
San Diego Chargers
+195
32.6%
33.5%
32.9%
7
Arizona Cardinals
-265
70.2%
56.2%
66%
N/A
Los Angeles Rams
+225
29.8%
43.8%
34%
N/A
New York Giants
+325
22.7%
30.5%
25%
14
Washington Redskins
-400
77.3%
69.5%
75%
16
Seattle Seahawks
-475
79.9%
78.4%
79.5%
N/A
San Francisco 49ers
+380
20.1%
21.6%
20.6%
3
Green Bay Packers
-175
61.9%
51.9%
58.9%
N/A
Detroit Lions
+155
38.1%
48.1%
41.1%

Results

Last Week (Week 16): Straight Up: 10-6 (62.5%), Points: 84.
2016-2017 Season: Straight Up: 153-85-2 (64.3%), Points: 1288.
2015-2016 Season: Straight Up: 162-94 (63.3%).

2016-2017 Results

Week Pick Probability Confidence Result
Week 16 New York Giants 54.1% 2 Loss
Week 16 Atlanta Falcons 54.2% 3 Win
Week 16 Buffalo Bills 65% 8 Loss
Week 16 Washington Redskins 63.2% 5 Win
Week 16 San Diego Chargers 70.9% 12 Loss
Week 16 Green Bay Packers 71% 13 Win
Week 16 Tennessee Titans 63.3% 6 Loss
Week 16 New England Patriots 90.4% 16 Win
Week 16 Oakland Raiders 65.1% 9 Win
Week 16 Los Angeles Rams 65.5% 10 Loss
Week 16 New Orleans Saints 59.9% 4 Win
Week 16 Seattle Seahawks 74.9% 14 Loss
Week 16 Houston Texans 52.4% 1 Win
Week 16 Pittsburgh Steelers 68% 11 Win
Week 16 Kansas City Chiefs 63.7% 7 Win
Week 16 Dallas Cowboys 75.1% 15 Win
Week 15 Seattle Seahawks 86.2% 15 Win
Week 15 Miami Dolphins 54.9% 2 Win
Week 15 Buffalo Bills 83.6% 14 Win
Week 15 Green Bay Packers 67.3% 10 Win
Week 15 Pittsburgh Steelers 58.8% 6 Win
Week 15 New York Giants 65.6% 7 Win
Week 15 Kansas City Chiefs 71.5% 12 Loss
Week 15 Minnesota Vikings 66.1% 8 Loss
Week 15 Baltimore Ravens 50.7% 1 Win
Week 15 Houston Texans 70.1% 11 Win
Week 15 Atlanta Falcons 86.5% 16 Win
Week 15 Arizona Cardinals 58.1% 5 Loss
Week 15 New England Patriots 57.2% 4 Win
Week 15 Oakland Raiders 55.7% 3 Win
Week 15 Dallas Cowboys 73.7% 13 Win
Week 15 Washington Redskins 66.5% 9 Loss
Week 14 Kansas City Chiefs 62.1% 10 Win
Week 14 Pittsburgh Steelers 53.1% 4 Win
Week 14 Detroit Lions 77% 16 Win
Week 14 Cincinnati Bengals 72.3% 14 Win
Week 14 Denver Broncos 53% 3 Loss
Week 14 Indianapolis Colts 67.6% 12 Loss
Week 14 Miami Dolphins 52.4% 1 Win
Week 14 Minnesota Vikings 63.6% 11 Win
Week 14 Philadelphia Eagles 52.6% 2 Loss
Week 14 Carolina Panthers 59.4% 8 Win
Week 14 San Francisco 49ers 53.6% 5 Loss
Week 14 Atlanta Falcons 69.5% 13 Win
Week 14 Seattle Seahawks 55.9% 7 Loss
Week 14 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 55.2% 6 Win
Week 14 Dallas Cowboys 60.1% 9 Loss
Week 14 New England Patriots 74.6% 15 Win
Week 13 Dallas Cowboys 59.5% 5 Win
Week 13 Atlanta Falcons 61.9% 7 Loss
Week 13 Chicago Bears 58.1% 4 Win
Week 13 Cincinnati Bengals 52.2% 2 Win
Week 13 Denver Broncos 69.6% 11 Win
Week 13 New Orleans Saints 68.4% 10 Loss
Week 13 Green Bay Packers 70.9% 13 Win
Week 13 New England Patriots 85.2% 15 Win
Week 13 Baltimore Ravens 60.4% 6 Win
Week 13 Oakland Raiders 62.7% 8 Win
Week 13 Pittsburgh Steelers 69.7% 12 Win
Week 13 Arizona Cardinals 55.5% 3 Win
Week 13 San Diego Chargers 65.3% 9 Loss
Week 13 Seattle Seahawks 71.5% 14 Win
Week 13 Indianapolis Colts 52.1% 1 Win
Week 12 Detroit Lions 53.3% 2 Win
Week 12 Dallas Cowboys 72.2% 11 Win
Week 12 Pittsburgh Steelers 71.3% 10 Win
Week 12 Atlanta Falcons 65.8% 8 Win
Week 12 Buffalo Bills 76.1% 14 Win
Week 12 Tennessee Titans 60.7% 3 Win
Week 12 Baltimore Ravens 60.9% 4 Win
Week 12 New York Giants 73.6% 13 Win
Week 12 New Orleans Saints 72.4% 12 Win
Week 12 Miami Dolphins 76.7% 15 Win
Week 12 San Diego Chargers 51.2% 1 Win
Week 12 Seattle Seahawks 69.5% 9 Loss
Week 12 Oakland Raiders 63.2% 6 Loss
Week 12 New England Patriots 77.9% 16 Win
Week 12 Denver Broncos 61.9% 5 Loss
Week 12 Philadelphia Eagles 63.7% 7 Loss
Week 11 Carolina Panthers 63.7% 6 Win
Week 11 Cincinnati Bengals 54.5% 3 Loss
Week 11 New York Giants 75.1% 12 Win
Week 11 Pittsburgh Steelers 76.3% 13 Win
Week 11 Dallas Cowboys 73.6% 10 Win
Week 11 Detroit Lions 69.7% 8 Win
Week 11 Indianapolis Colts 59.8% 5 Win
Week 11 Kansas City Chiefs 74.9% 11 Loss
Week 11 Minnesota Vikings 52.4% 2 Win
Week 11 Los Angeles Rams 52.2% 1 Loss
Week 11 New England Patriots 86.5% 14 Win
Week 11 Seattle Seahawks 70.7% 9 Win
Week 11 Washington Redskins 56.8% 4 Win
Week 11 Oakland Raiders 67.3% 7 Win
Week 10 Baltimore Ravens 82.1% 13 Win
Week 10 Philadelphia Eagles 50.7% 1 Win
Week 10 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 65.6% 10 Win
Week 10 New Orleans Saints 52.8% 2 Loss
Week 10 Green Bay Packers 59.3% 9 Loss
Week 10 Carolina Panthers 57.4% 7 Loss
Week 10 New York Jets 57.8% 8 Loss
Week 10 Washington Redskins 56.8% 6 Win
Week 10 Houston Texans 53.3% 3 Win
Week 10 San Diego Chargers 65.9% 11 Loss
Week 10 Pittsburgh Steelers 54.9% 5 Loss
Week 10 Arizona Cardinals 87.6% 14 Win
Week 10 New England Patriots 73.9% 12 Loss
Week 10 New York Giants 54.1% 4 Win
Week 9 Atlanta Falcons 63.6% 6 Win
Week 9 Dallas Cowboys 75.4% 11 Win
Week 9 Minnesota Vikings 75.6% 12 Loss
Week 9 Kansas City Chiefs 81.7% 13 Win
Week 9 Miami Dolphins 60.7% 4 Win
Week 9 New York Giants 53.8% 3 Win
Week 9 Pittsburgh Steelers 50.2% 1 Loss
Week 9 Carolina Panthers 61.8% 5 Win
Week 9 New Orleans Saints 64.6% 7 Win
Week 9 Green Bay Packers 74.7% 10 Loss
Week 9 San Diego Chargers 70.5% 9 Win
Week 9 Denver Broncos 51.9% 2 Loss
Week 9 Seattle Seahawks 69.8% 8 Win
Week 8 Tennessee Titans 64% 9 Win
Week 8 Cincinnati Bengals 56.7% 4 Loss
Week 8 New England Patriots 64.4% 10 Win
Week 8 New York Jets 68.1% 12 Win
Week 8 Houston Texans 56.2% 3 Win
Week 8 Kansas City Chiefs 59.7% 7 Win
Week 8 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 50.7% 1 Loss
Week 8 Seattle Seahawks 59% 6 Loss
Week 8 Carolina Panthers 55.8% 2 Win
Week 8 Denver Broncos 66.9% 11 Win
Week 8 Atlanta Falcons 57.8% 5 Win
Week 8 Dallas Cowboys 62% 8 Win
Week 8 Minnesota Vikings 71.6% 13 Loss
Week 7 Green Bay Packers 79% 14 Push
Week 7 New York Giants 56.4% 5 Loss
Week 7 Buffalo Bills 62.1% 8 Win
Week 7 Cincinnati Bengals 80.1% 15 Win
Week 7 Washington Redskins 51.2% 1 Win
Week 7 Tennessee Titans 56.7% 6 Loss
Week 7 Kansas City Chiefs 71.3% 12 Win
Week 7 Oakland Raiders 65% 9 Loss
Week 7 Minnesota Vikings 55.5% 3 Loss
Week 7 New York Jets 51.8% 2 Win
Week 7 Atlanta Falcons 70.4% 11 Loss
Week 7 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 55.6% 4 Win
Week 7 New England Patriots 65.1% 10 Loss
Week 7 Arizona Cardinals 57.1% 7 Win
Week 7 Denver Broncos 73.4% 13 Win
Week 6 Denver Broncos 63.2% 7 Loss
Week 6 Buffalo Bills 77.8% 15 Win
Week 6 Chicago Bears 60% 3 Loss
Week 6 New England Patriots 74.9% 13 Win
Week 6 Tennessee Titans 74.5% 12 Win
Week 6 Detroit Lions 62.1% 5 Win
Week 6 Pittsburgh Steelers 77.4% 14 Loss
Week 6 Carolina Panthers 63.4% 8 Loss
Week 6 New York Giants 61.2% 4 Win
Week 6 Philadelphia Eagles 54.7% 2 Win
Week 6 Oakland Raiders 50.1% 1 Loss
Week 6 Seattle Seahawks 69.7% 10 Win
Week 6 Green Bay Packers 67.5% 9 Loss
Week 6 Houston Texans 63.1% 6 Win
Week 6 Arizona Cardinals 74.4% 11 Win
Week 5 Arizona Cardinals 68.7% 8 Win
Week 5 Indianapolis Colts 67.3% 7 Win
Week 5 New England Patriots 81.8% 13 Win
Week 5 Philadelphia Eagles 58.5% 3 Loss
Week 5 Miami Dolphins 64.2% 4 Loss
Week 5 Minnesota Vikings 71.8% 10 Win
Week 5 Pittsburgh Steelers 74.6% 11 Win
Week 5 Baltimore Ravens 64.4% 5 Loss
Week 5 Denver Broncos 69.9% 9 Loss
Week 5 Los Angeles Rams 54.6% 1 Loss
Week 5 Cincinnati Bengals 57.3% 2 Loss
Week 5 Oakland Raiders 64.9% 6 Win
Week 5 Green Bay Packers 76% 12 Win
Week 5 Carolina Panthers 83.9% 14 Loss
Week 4 Cincinnati Bengals 73.7% 11 Win
Week 4 Indianapolis Colts 58.6% 6 Loss
Week 4 Carolina Panthers 69.2% 7 Loss
Week 4 New England Patriots 77.6% 13 Loss
Week 4 Detroit Lions 52.6% 2 Win
Week 4 Washington Redskins 74.3% 12 Win
Week 4 Houston Texans 78% 14 Win
Week 4 Baltimore Ravens 57.3% 4 Loss
Week 4 Seattle Seahawks 54.3% 3 Win
Week 4 Denver Broncos 69.5% 8 Win
Week 4 Dallas Cowboys 51.7% 1 Loss
Week 4 Arizona Cardinals 80.2% 15 Loss
Week 4 San Diego Chargers 69.6% 9 Loss
Week 4 Pittsburgh Steelers 58% 5 Win
Week 4 Minnesota Vikings 70.5% 10 Win
Week 3 New England Patriots 54.6% 4 Win
Week 3 Arizona Cardinals 66% 10 Loss
Week 3 Cincinnati Bengals 67.1% 11 Loss
Week 3 Miami Dolphins 80.3% 15 Win
Week 3 Green Bay Packers 74.9% 14 Win
Week 3 Tennessee Titans 52.6% 2 Loss
Week 3 Carolina Panthers 74.4% 13 Loss
Week 3 New York Giants 67.3% 12 Loss
Week 3 Baltimore Ravens 51.2% 1 Win
Week 3 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 63% 8 Loss
Week 3 Seattle Seahawks 80.5% 16 Win
Week 3 Indianapolis Colts 57.8% 6 Win
Week 3 Kansas City Chiefs 62.6% 7 Win
Week 3 Pittsburgh Steelers 63.6% 9 Loss
Week 3 Dallas Cowboys 55.6% 5 Win
Week 3 New Orleans Saints 53.3% 3 Loss
Week 2 Buffalo Bills 63.2% 5 Loss
Week 2 Pittsburgh Steelers 63.5% 6 Win
Week 2 Baltimore Ravens 66.1% 9 Win
Week 2 Washington Redskins 53.9% 3 Loss
Week 2 Detroit Lions 72.2% 13 Loss
Week 2 Houston Texans 52.5% 1 Win
Week 2 New England Patriots 73.8% 14 Win
Week 2 New York Giants 66.9% 10 Win
Week 2 Carolina Panthers 86.5% 16 Win
Week 2 Seattle Seahawks 65% 8 Loss
Week 2 Arizona Cardinals 74% 15 Win
Week 2 Oakland Raiders 67.4% 11 Loss
Week 2 Denver Broncos 70% 12 Win
Week 2 San Diego Chargers 64.8% 7 Win
Week 2 Green Bay Packers 52.6% 2 Loss
Week 2 Chicago Bears 58.8% 4 Loss
Week 1 Carolina Panthers 59% 5 Loss
Week 1 Atlanta Falcons 62% 8 Loss
Week 1 Baltimore Ravens 58.1% 4 Win
Week 1 Houston Texans 68.5% 13 Win
Week 1 Cincinnati Bengals 59.1% 6 Win
Week 1 Philadelphia Eagles 65.9% 11 Win
Week 1 Green Bay Packers 68.1% 12 Win
Week 1 Minnesota Vikings 59.8% 7 Win
Week 1 Kansas City Chiefs 73.3% 15 Win
Week 1 Oakland Raiders 50.4% 1 Win
Week 1 Seattle Seahawks 80.8% 16 Win
Week 1 New York Giants 51.4% 2 Win
Week 1 Indianapolis Colts 62.2% 9 Loss
Week 1 Arizona Cardinals 68.9% 14 Loss
Week 1 Pittsburgh Steelers 64.5% 10 Win
Week 1 Los Angeles Rams 56.2% 3 Loss