Pigskin Pick’em Analysis


Game: Pigskin Pick’em
From: ESPN
Link to Play: Pigskin Pick’Em
Join our Public Group: StreakEdge

How does it work?: The NFL regular season runs from early September to the beginning of January. There are 17 weeks in total with the number of games varying depending on which teams are on byes. Each week there is also a score tiebreaker for one of the games. The following is an explanation of the scoring breakdown:

Each week the contestant is provided with the week’s games and must pick the winner of each. Every game must then be assigned a point value between 1 and however many games there are in that given week (16 when there are no byes).

Strategy: Our numbers below are based on the strategy of maximizing score. Thus, we always take the favorites (or the side with the highest % chance of winning the proposition.)

Week 15 Pigskin Pick’em Analysis

Confidence Team Implied Odds DRatings Small Win Prob
4
Denver Broncos
-135
56.4%
51.9%
55.1%
N/A
Indianapolis Colts
+125
43.6%
48.1%
45%
N/A
Chicago Bears
+210
31.6%
29.8%
31.1%
11
Detroit Lions
-230
68.4%
70.2%
68.9%
N/A
Los Angeles Chargers
-113
51.9%
40.6%
48.5%
2
Kansas City Chiefs
+103
48.1%
59.4%
51.5%
N/A
Miami Dolphins
35.6%
35.6%
8
Buffalo Bills
64.4%
64.4%
N/A
Cincinnati Bengals
+425
18.4%
16.9%
18%
15
Minnesota Vikings
-550
81.6%
83.1%
82.1%
13
Baltimore Ravens
-320
73.3%
83.3%
76.3%
N/A
Cleveland Browns
+260
26.7%
16.7%
23.7%
N/A
Green Bay Packers
+138
40.7%
30.4%
37.6%
7
Carolina Panthers
-158
59.3%
69.6%
62.4%
N/A
New York Jets
+850
10.2%
10.4%
10.3%
16
New Orleans Saints
-1300
89.8%
89.6%
89.7%
12
Philadelphia Eagles
-335
74.3%
78.4%
75.5%
N/A
New York Giants
+275
25.7%
21.6%
24.5%
N/A
Arizona Cardinals
+180
34.2%
30.4%
33.1%
9
Washington Redskins
-220
65.8%
69.6%
66.9%
N/A
Houston Texans
+425
18.4%
21%
19.2%
14
Jacksonville Jaguars
-550
81.6%
79%
80.8%
N/A
Los Angeles Rams
+113
45.1%
45%
45.1%
3
Seattle Seahawks
-133
54.9%
55%
54.9%
N/A
Tennessee Titans
+107
46.3%
57.3%
49.6%
1
San Francisco 49ers
-127
53.7%
42.7%
50.4%
5
New England Patriots
-158
59.3%
50%
56.5%
N/A
Pittsburgh Steelers
+138
40.7%
50%
43.5%
6
Dallas Cowboys
-162
59.9%
50.2%
57%
N/A
Oakland Raiders
+142
40.1%
49.8%
43%
10
Atlanta Falcons
-255
69.4%
67.4%
68.8%
N/A
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
+215
30.6%
32.6%
31.2%

Results

Last Week (Week 13): Straight Up: 9-7, Points: 81.
2017-2018 Season: Straight Up: 141-67, Points: 1187.
2016-2017 Season: Straight Up: 153-85-2 (64.3%), Points: 1288.
2015-2016 Season: Straight Up: 162-94 (63.3%).

2017-2018 Results

Week Pick Probability Confidence Result
Week 14 Atlanta Falcons 51.6% 3 Win
Week 14 Buffalo Bills 75.9% 15 Win
Week 14 Cincinnati Bengals 70% 14 Loss
Week 14 Green Bay Packers 65.8% 10 Win
Week 14 Dallas Cowboys 62.5% 9 Win
Week 14 Detroit Lions 51% 2 Win
Week 14 Kansas City Chiefs 65.9% 11 Win
Week 14 Minnesota Vikings 55.3% 5 Loss
Week 14 Houston Texans 61.5% 8 Loss
Week 14 New York Jets 50.2% 1 Loss
Week 14 Tennessee Titans 57.9% 7 Loss
Week 14 Los Angeles Chargers 68.4% 13 Win
Week 14 Los Angeles Rams 53.8% 4 Loss
Week 14 Jacksonville Jaguars 55.4% 6 Win
Week 14 Pittsburgh Steelers 66.9% 12 Win
Week 14 New England Patriots 81.2% 16 Loss
Week 13 Washington Redskins 58.7% 6 Loss
Week 13 Atlanta Falcons 55.4% 3 Loss
Week 13 New England Patriots 81.1% 15 Win
Week 13 Chicago Bears 66.4% 8 Loss
Week 13 Miami Dolphins 53.2% 1 Win
Week 13 Baltimore Ravens 55.3% 2 Win
Week 13 Green Bay Packers 55.8% 5 Win
Week 13 Tennessee Titans 73.8% 12 Win
Week 13 Jacksonville Jaguars 74.8% 13 Win
Week 13 Kansas City Chiefs 66.8% 9 Loss
Week 13 Los Angeles Chargers 85% 16 Win
Week 13 Oakland Raiders 75% 14 Win
Week 13 Los Angeles Rams 65.2% 7 Win
Week 13 New Orleans Saints 55.5% 4 Win
Week 13 Philadelphia Eagles 72% 11 Loss
Week 13 Pittsburgh Steelers 71.3% 10 Win
Week 12 Minnesota Vikings 56.1% 3 Win
Week 12 Dallas Cowboys 52.2% 1 Loss
Week 12 Washington Redskins 73% 8 Win
Week 12 Atlanta Falcons 78% 12 Win
Week 12 Kansas City Chiefs 79.1% 13 Loss
Week 12 Philadelphia Eagles 85.6% 14 Win
Week 12 Cincinnati Bengals 77.4% 11 Win
Week 12 Tennessee Titans 60.9% 4 Win
Week 12 New England Patriots 90.7% 16 Win
Week 12 Carolina Panthers 66.5% 5 Win
Week 12 Seattle Seahawks 73.9% 9 Win
Week 12 Oakland Raiders 67.7% 7 Win
Week 12 Los Angeles Rams 54.5% 2 Win
Week 12 Jacksonville Jaguars 67.4% 6 Loss
Week 12 Pittsburgh Steelers 86% 15 Win
Week 12 Baltimore Ravens 74.4% 10 Win
Week 11 Pittsburgh Steelers 74.3% 11 Win
Week 11 Detroit Lions 56.4% 7 Win
Week 11 Jacksonville Jaguars 77.1% 13 Win
Week 11 Baltimore Ravens 52% 3 Win
Week 11 Kansas City Chiefs 77.2% 14 Loss
Week 11 Minnesota Vikings 55.4% 4 Win
Week 11 New Orleans Saints 77% 12 Win
Week 11 Arizona Cardinals 51.7% 1 Loss
Week 11 Miami Dolphins 51.8% 2 Loss
Week 11 Los Angeles Chargers 56.5% 8 Win
Week 11 Denver Broncos 56.3% 6 Loss
Week 11 New England Patriots 73.9% 10 Win
Week 11 Philadelphia Eagles 58.5% 9 Win
Week 11 Seattle Seahawks 56.2% 5 Loss
Week 10 Seattle Seahawks 67.2% 9 Win
Week 10 New Orleans Saints 56.7% 5 Win
Week 10 Chicago Bears 64.9% 6 Loss
Week 10 Tennessee Titans 66.9% 8 Win
Week 10 Detroit Lions 83.9% 14 Win
Week 10 Pittsburgh Steelers 79.8% 12 Win
Week 10 Minnesota Vikings 52.6% 2 Win
Week 10 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 51.2% 1 Win
Week 10 Jacksonville Jaguars 65.9% 7 Win
Week 10 Los Angeles Rams 81.5% 13 Win
Week 10 Atlanta Falcons 56.3% 4 Win
Week 10 New York Giants 55.6% 3 Loss
Week 10 New England Patriots 72.8% 10 Win
Week 10 Carolina Panthers 76.6% 11 Win
Week 9 Buffalo Bills 80.6% 12 Loss
Week 9 Carolina Panthers 51.7% 1 Win
Week 9 Jacksonville Jaguars 66.9% 8 Win
Week 9 Philadelphia Eagles 75.4% 11 Win
Week 9 Tennessee Titans 54.7% 5 Win
Week 9 Houston Texans 83.8% 13 Loss
Week 9 Los Angeles Rams 58.8% 7 Win
Week 9 New Orleans Saints 74.3% 10 Win
Week 9 Arizona Cardinals 53.8% 3 Win
Week 9 Seattle Seahawks 73.9% 9 Loss
Week 9 Kansas City Chiefs 52% 2 Loss
Week 9 Oakland Raiders 57.3% 6 Win
Week 9 Detroit Lions 54.3% 4 Win
Week 8 Baltimore Ravens 57.6% 5 Win
Week 8 Minnesota Vikings 79.2% 11 Win
Week 8 Atlanta Falcons 65.1% 6 Win
Week 8 Buffalo Bills 57.2% 4 Win
Week 8 New Orleans Saints 77.5% 10 Win
Week 8 Cincinnati Bengals 80.2% 12 Win
Week 8 New England Patriots 76.3% 9 Win
Week 8 Philadelphia Eagles 85.5% 13 Win
Week 8 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 53.4% 2 Loss
Week 8 Seattle Seahawks 68.8% 7 Win
Week 8 Dallas Cowboys 53% 1 Win
Week 8 Pittsburgh Steelers 56% 3 Win
Week 8 Kansas City Chiefs 74.6% 8 Win
Week 7 Kansas City Chiefs 58.4% 2 Loss
Week 7 Buffalo Bills 68% 11 Win
Week 7 Carolina Panthers 62.7% 4 Loss
Week 7 Tennessee Titans 69.1% 14 Win
Week 7 New Orleans Saints 67.4% 10 Win
Week 7 Jacksonville Jaguars 63.4% 6 Win
Week 7 Los Angeles Rams 60.1% 3 Win
Week 7 Miami Dolphins 64.2% 7 Win
Week 7 Minnesota Vikings 68.7% 12 Win
Week 7 Dallas Cowboys 69.6% 15 Win
Week 7 Pittsburgh Steelers 68.8% 13 Win
Week 7 Los Angeles Chargers 51.9% 1 Win
Week 7 Seattle Seahawks 63.1% 5 Win
Week 7 New England Patriots 64.6% 8 Win
Week 7 Philadelphia Eagles 67.3% 9 Win
Week 6 Carolina Panthers 61.2% 4 Loss
Week 6 Atlanta Falcons 84.2% 14 Loss
Week 6 Baltimore Ravens 69.4% 7 Loss
Week 6 Houston Texans 77.9% 9 Loss
Week 6 New Orleans Saints 66.2% 6 Win
Week 6 Green Bay Packers 56.7% 2 Loss
Week 6 New England Patriots 78.4% 10 Win
Week 6 Washington Redskins 79.9% 12 Win
Week 6 Jacksonville Jaguars 58.3% 3 Loss
Week 6 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 53.6% 1 Loss
Week 6 Kansas City Chiefs 65.5% 5 Loss
Week 6 Oakland Raiders 69.6% 8 Loss
Week 6 Denver Broncos 80.2% 13 Win
Week 6 Tennessee Titans 79% 11 Win
Week 5 New England Patriots 67.9% 12 Win
Week 5 Cincinnati Bengals 56.5% 9 Win
Week 5 Cleveland Browns 52.2% 3 Loss
Week 5 Detroit Lions 54.6% 6 Loss
Week 5 Miami Dolphins 52.7% 4 Win
Week 5 Indianapolis Colts 54.2% 5 Win
Week 5 New York Giants 64.2% 11 Loss
Week 5 Philadelphia Eagles 70.6% 13 Win
Week 5 Pittsburgh Steelers 77.5% 14 Loss
Week 5 Oakland Raiders 60.9% 10 Loss
Week 5 Seattle Seahawks 51.7% 1 Win
Week 5 Dallas Cowboys 54.7% 7 Loss
Week 5 Kansas City Chiefs 56% 8 Win
Week 5 Minnesota Vikings 52.1% 2 Win
Week 4 Green Bay Packers 78.4% 14 Win
Week 4 New Orleans Saints 58% 5 Win
Week 4 Atlanta Falcons 77.6% 13 Loss
Week 4 Cincinnati Bengals 64.6% 8 Win
Week 4 Dallas Cowboys 75.7% 11 Loss
Week 4 Minnesota Vikings 65.6% 9 Loss
Week 4 Tennessee Titans 52.1% 2 Loss
Week 4 New England Patriots 78.6% 15 Loss
Week 4 Jacksonville Jaguars 58.6% 6 Loss
Week 4 Pittsburgh Steelers 57.8% 4 Win
Week 4 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 59.5% 7 Win
Week 4 Los Angeles Chargers 51.7% 1 Loss
Week 4 Arizona Cardinals 76.7% 12 Win
Week 4 Denver Broncos 56.2% 3 Win
Week 4 Seattle Seahawks 85.4% 16 Win
Week 4 Kansas City Chiefs 71.6% 10 Win
Week 3 Los Angeles Rams 55.8% 4 Win
Week 3 Baltimore Ravens 65.1% 10 Loss
Week 3 Atlanta Falcons 61.5% 8 Win
Week 3 Denver Broncos 57.2% 5 Loss
Week 3 Pittsburgh Steelers 75.6% 14 Loss
Week 3 Indianapolis Colts 53.7% 1 Win
Week 3 Miami Dolphins 69.1% 12 Loss
Week 3 Minnesota Vikings 54.7% 3 Win
Week 3 New England Patriots 85.8% 16 Win
Week 3 Carolina Panthers 68.3% 11 Loss
Week 3 Philadelphia Eagles 69.9% 13 Win
Week 3 Tennessee Titans 54.2% 2 Win
Week 3 Green Bay Packers 76.7% 15 Win
Week 3 Kansas City Chiefs 62.7% 9 Win
Week 3 Oakland Raiders 57.4% 6 Loss
Week 3 Dallas Cowboys 58.4% 7 Win
Week 2 Cincinnati Bengals 68.5% 9 Loss
Week 2 Carolina Panthers 70.7% 11 Win
Week 2 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 73.2% 13 Win
Week 2 Baltimore Ravens 78.6% 14 Win
Week 2 Tennessee Titans 52.5% 2 Win
Week 2 Arizona Cardinals 66.8% 8 Win
Week 2 Kansas City Chiefs 66.5% 7 Win
Week 2 Pittsburgh Steelers 71.3% 12 Win
Week 2 New England Patriots 70.5% 10 Win
Week 2 Oakland Raiders 86% 15 Win
Week 2 Los Angeles Chargers 63.5% 5 Loss
Week 2 Dallas Cowboys 53.7% 3 Loss
Week 2 Washington Redskins 51.3% 1 Win
Week 2 Seattle Seahawks 86.1% 16 Win
Week 2 Atlanta Falcons 59.4% 4 Win
Week 2 New York Giants 64.6% 6 Loss
Week 1 New England Patriots 76.3% 14 Loss
Week 1 Atlanta Falcons 71.5% 12 Win
Week 1 Buffalo Bills 75.5% 13 Win
Week 1 Cincinnati Bengals 57.8% 5 Loss
Week 1 Pittsburgh Steelers 77.8% 15 Win
Week 1 Arizona Cardinals 52.5% 2 Loss
Week 1 Tennessee Titans 52.4% 1 Loss
Week 1 Washington Redskins 56.7% 3 Loss
Week 1 Houston Texans 67.7% 11 Loss
Week 1 Los Angeles Rams 56.8% 4 Win
Week 1 Green Bay Packers 61.5% 7 Win
Week 1 Carolina Panthers 67.1% 10 Win
Week 1 Dallas Cowboys 65.9% 9 Win
Week 1 Minnesota Vikings 59.3% 6 Win
Week 1 Denver Broncos 63.7% 8 Win