Pigskin Pick’em Analysis


Game: Pigskin Pick’em
From: ESPN
Link to Play: Pigskin Pick’Em
Join our Public Group: StreakEdge

How does it work?: The NFL regular season runs from early September to the beginning of January. There are 17 weeks in total with the number of games varying depending on which teams are on byes. Each week there is also a score tiebreaker for one of the games. The following is an explanation of the scoring breakdown:

Each week the contestant is provided with the week’s games and must pick the winner of each. Every game must then be assigned a point value between 1 and however many games there are in that given week (16 when there are no byes).

Strategy: Our numbers below are based on the strategy of maximizing score. Thus, we always take the favorites (or the side with the highest % chance of winning the proposition.)

Week 2 Pigskin Pick’em Analysis

Confidence Team Implied Odds DRatings Small Win Prob
2
Baltimore Ravens
-105
50%
55.6%
51.7%
N/A
Cincinnati Bengals
-105
50%
44.4%
48.3%
N/A
Carolina Panthers
+200
32.1%
34.1%
32.7%
11
Atlanta Falcons
-240
67.9%
65.9%
67.3%
12
Los Angeles Chargers
-300
72.4%
57.6%
68%
N/A
Buffalo Bills
+250
27.6%
42.4%
32%
N/A
Cleveland Browns
+330
22.4%
17.3%
20.9%
15
New Orleans Saints
-410
77.6%
82.7%
79.1%
N/A
Minnesota Vikings
+100
47.8%
50%
48.5%
1
Green Bay Packers
-120
52.2%
50%
51.5%
N/A
Houston Texans
35.3%
35.3%
9
Tennessee Titans
64.7%
64.7%
N/A
Indianapolis Colts
+210
31.1%
30.4%
30.9%
14
Washington Redskins
-250
68.9%
69.6%
69.1%
N/A
Kansas City Chiefs
+170
35.7%
30.5%
34.1%
10
Pittsburgh Steelers
-200
64.3%
69.5%
65.9%
N/A
Miami Dolphins
+135
41.2%
49%
43.5%
4
New York Jets
-155
58.8%
51%
56.5%
7
Philadelphia Eagles
-165
60.4%
66.8%
62.3%
N/A
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
+145
39.6%
33.2%
37.7%
N/A
Detroit Lions
+210
31.1%
31.7%
31.3%
13
San Francisco 49ers
-250
68.9%
68.3%
68.7%
N/A
Arizona Cardinals
+600
13.7%
20.4%
15.7%
16
Los Angeles Rams
-900
86.3%
79.6%
84.3%
N/A
Oakland Raiders
+200
32.1%
46.9%
36.5%
8
Denver Broncos
-240
67.9%
53.1%
63.5%
3
New England Patriots
-125
53.2%
53.8%
53.4%
N/A
Jacksonville Jaguars
+105
46.8%
46.2%
46.6%
N/A
New York Giants
+133
41.5%
30.5%
38.2%
6
Dallas Cowboys
-153
58.5%
69.5%
61.8%
N/A
Seattle Seahawks
+155
38.1%
50.2%
41.7%
5
Chicago Bears
-175
61.9%
49.8%
58.3%

Results

Last Week (Week 1): Straight Up: 9-6-1, Points: 83.
2017-2018 Season: Straight Up: 180-76, Points: 1537.
2016-2017 Season: Straight Up: 153-85-2 (64.3%), Points: 1288.
2015-2016 Season: Straight Up: 162-94 (63.3%).

2018-2019 Results

Week Pick Probability Confidence Result
Week 1 Philadelphia Eagles 59.3% 6 Win
Week 1 Baltimore Ravens 72.7% 13 Win
Week 1 Indianapolis Colts 57% 4 Loss
Week 1 Pittsburgh Steelers 68.3% 10 Loss
Week 1 Tennessee Titans 52.2% 2 Loss
Week 1 Minnesota Vikings 71.8% 11 Win
Week 1 New England Patriots 73.6% 14 Win
Week 1 New Orleans Saints 78.9% 16 Loss
Week 1 Jacksonville Jaguars 57.9% 5 Win
Week 1 Los Angeles Chargers 63.4% 9 Loss
Week 1 Carolina Panthers 60.8% 7 Win
Week 1 Denver Broncos 55.8% 3 Win
Week 1 Arizona Cardinals 50.6% 1 Loss
Week 1 Green Bay Packers 73.9% 15 Win
Week 1 Detroit Lions 72.5% 12 Loss
Week 1 Los Angeles Rams 61.6% 8 Win