College Football Pick’em Analysis

Game: College Football Pick’em
From: ESPN
Link to Play: College Football Pick’Em
Join our Public Group: StreakEdge

How does it work?: The College Football regular season runs from the beginning of September to the end of November. There are 14 weeks in total with 10 games each week plus a score tiebreaker. The following is an explanation of the scoring breakdown:

Each week the contestant is provided with 10 games and must pick the winner. The contestant must also assign a confidence level (1-10) to each game. Each confidence level can only be used once. Points are awarded by multiplying the confidence level points assigned by 1 if the contestant chooses the winner correctly.

Strategy: Our numbers below are based on the strategy of maximizing score. Thus, we always take the favorites and assign the confidence level by giving the most points to the team with highest odds of winning. In the case of ties, we present the confidence level as the average and leave you to choose which game to assign higher confidence.

Week 12 College Football Pick’em Analysis

Confidence Team Implied Odds DRatings Small Win Prob
10
 Notre Dame Fighting Irish
-405
77.7%
85.6%
80.1%
N/A
 Pittsburgh Panthers
+335
22.3%
14.4%
19.9%
N/A
 Arizona Wildcats
+189
33.3%
32.5%
33.1%
6
 Cincinnati Bearcats
-225
66.7%
67.5%
66.9%
N/A
 Oklahoma Sooners
+195
32.9%
26.7%
31%
9
 Alabama Crimson Tide
-225
67.1%
73.3%
69%
N/A
 Virginia Cavaliers
+192
32.9%
33.1%
33%
7
 Duke Blue Devils
-230
67.1%
66.9%
67%
N/A
 Iowa Hawkeyes
+192
32.9%
32.6%
32.8%
8
 USC Trojans
-230
67.1%
67.4%
67.2%
N/A
 Memphis Tigers
+130
42%
49.1%
44.1%
2
 East Carolina Pirates
-150
58%
50.9%
55.9%
N/A
 Texas Longhorns
+183
34.1%
31%
33.2%
5
 Georgia Bulldogs
-215
65.9%
69%
66.8%
1
 Kennesaw State Owls
-145
57.4%
51.2%
55.5%
N/A
 Jacksonville State Gamecocks
+128
42.6%
48.8%
44.5%
N/A
 TCU Horned Frogs
+177
34.9%
31.2%
33.8%
4
 BYU Cougars
-205
65.1%
68.8%
66.2%
N/A
 Boise State Broncos
+120
43.8%
43.3%
43.7%
3
 San Diego State Aztecs
-140
56.2%
56.7%
56.4%

Results

Last Week (Week 11): Straight Up: 7-3 (70.0%), Points: 37.
2025-2026 Season: Straight Up: 64-36 (60.0%), Points: 405.
2024-2025 Season: Straight Up: 93-46 (66.9%), Points: 560.
2023-2024 Season: Straight Up: 89-51 (63.6%), Points: 514.
2022-2023 Season: Straight Up: 87-51 (63.0%), Points: 500.
2021-2022 Season: Straight Up: 88-52 (62.9%), Points: 530.
2020-2021 Season: Straight Up: 64-25 (69.9%), Points: 325.
2019-2020 Season: Straight Up: 113-37 (74.3%), Points: 680.
2018-2019 Season: Straight Up: 102-37 (73.4%), Points: 575.
2017-2018 Season: Straight Up: 102-38 (72.9%), Points: 608.
2016-2017 Season: Straight Up: 95-45 (67.9%), Points: 570.
2015-2016 Season: Straight Up: 89-41 (68.5%), Points: 511.

2025-2026 Results

Week Pick Probability Confidence Result
Week 1 Ohio State Buckeyes 56.8% 3 Win
Week 1 Tulane Green Wave 69.6% 8 Win
Week 1 Utah State Aggies 60.8% 5 Win
Week 1 Clemson Tigers 64.5% 6 Loss
Week 1 Fresno State Bulldogs 51.6% 1 Win
Week 1 Arizona Wildcats 82.2% 10 Win
Week 1 Oregon State Beavers 59.3% 4 Loss
Week 1 Utah Utes 67.6% 7 Win
Week 1 South Carolina Gamecocks 73% 9 Win
Week 1 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 54.1% 2 Loss
Week 2 Iowa State Cyclones 58.7% 6 Win
Week 2 Syracuse Orange 70.6% 9 Win
Week 2 Illinois Fighting Illini 58.1% 5 Win
Week 2 SMU Mustangs 57.3% 2 Loss
Week 2 NC State Wolfpack 58% 4 Win
Week 2 Missouri Tigers 65.8% 8 Win
Week 2 West Virginia Mountaineers 57.9% 3 Loss
Week 2 Oklahoma Sooners 64.6% 7 Win
Week 2 Arizona State Sun Devils 72.3% 10 Loss
Week 2 Virginia Tech Hokies 51.8% 1 Loss
Week 3 Clemson Tigers 65% 7 Loss
Week 3 Memphis Tigers 65.3% 8 Win
Week 3 Georgia Bulldogs 62.2% 4 Win
Week 3 North Texas Mean Green 64.6% 5 Win
Week 3 Pittsburgh Panthers 64.7% 6 Loss
Week 3 Appalachian State Mountaineers 51.1% 1 Loss
Week 3 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 68.5% 10 Loss
Week 3 South Carolina Gamecocks 66.5% 9 Loss
Week 3 Tulane Green Wave 59.1% 3 Win
Week 3 Minnesota Golden Gophers 56% 2 Loss
Week 4 Utah Utes 61.5% 4 Loss
Week 4 Arkansas Razorbacks 70.4% 8 Loss
Week 4 TCU Horned Frogs 68.5% 7 Win
Week 4 Michigan Wolverines 55.7% 2 Win
Week 4 UCF Knights 66.7% 6 Win
Week 4 Duke Blue Devils 57.3% 3 Win
Week 4 Miami Hurricanes 73.2% 10 Win
Week 4 Indiana Hoosiers 65.5% 5 Win
Week 4 Baylor Bears 53.6% 1 Loss
Week 4 BYU Cougars 70.9% 9 Win
Week 5 USC Trojans 68.8% 10 Loss
Week 5 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 64.7% 6 Win
Week 5 Minnesota Golden Gophers 63.5% 5 Win
Week 5 Kansas State Wildcats 66.6% 8 Win
Week 5 Kansas Jayhawks 66.5% 7 Loss
Week 5 Louisville Cardinals 60% 3 Win
Week 5 Ole Miss Rebels 54.6% 1 Win
Week 5 Penn State Nittany Lions 60.3% 4 Loss
Week 5 Georgia Bulldogs 58.5% 2 Loss
Week 5 BYU Cougars 67.5% 9 Win
Week 6 Cincinnati Bearcats 52% 1 Win
Week 6 Baylor Bears 66.6% 7 Win
Week 6 Alabama Crimson Tide 78.3% 10 Win
Week 6 Texas Longhorns 69.4% 8 Loss
Week 6 Louisville Cardinals 71.1% 9 Loss
Week 6 Washington Huskies 66.2% 6 Win
Week 6 UNLV Rebels 63.7% 4 Win
Week 6 Miami Hurricanes 64.4% 5 Win
Week 6 Kansas Jayhawks 62.4% 3 Win
Week 6 Duke Blue Devils 57.6% 2 Win
Week 7 Alabama Crimson Tide 59% 5 Win
Week 7 Oregon Ducks 73% 10 Loss
Week 7 Texas Longhorns 57.9% 4 Win
Week 7 TCU Horned Frogs 51.3% 1 Loss
Week 7 Iowa State Cyclones 62.3% 6 Loss
Week 7 Nebraska Cornhuskers 67.4% 9 Win
Week 7 Georgia Bulldogs 62.7% 7 Win
Week 7 USC Trojans 55% 2 Win
Week 7 BYU Cougars 55.8% 3 Win
Week 7 Utah Utes 63.7% 8 Win
Week 8 Vanderbilt Commodores 50.3% 1 Win
Week 8 Duke Blue Devils 55.2% 6 Loss
Week 8 Houston Cougars 53.7% 3 Win
Week 8 TCU Horned Frogs 58.5% 8 Win
Week 8 Oklahoma Sooners 68.3% 10 Win
Week 8 Georgia Bulldogs 67.2% 9 Win
Week 8 James Madison Dukes 54.5% 5 Win
Week 8 Iowa Hawkeyes 54.1% 4 Win
Week 8 Auburn Tigers 50.8% 2 Loss
Week 8 Utah Utes 57.5% 7 Loss
Week 9 Oklahoma Sooners 61.7% 7 Loss
Week 9 South Florida Bulls 61.6% 6 Loss
Week 9 Missouri Tigers 51.3% 1 Loss
Week 9 Iowa State Cyclones 55.9% 3 Loss
Week 9 Washington Huskies 64.4% 8 Win
Week 9 Iowa Hawkeyes 75% 10 Win
Week 9 San Diego State Aztecs 59.5% 5 Win
Week 9 Cincinnati Bearcats 65.4% 9 Win
Week 9 Texas A&M Aggies 57.3% 4 Win
Week 9 North Dakota State Bison 51.9% 2 Win
Week 10 Texas Longhorns 57.7% 1 Win
Week 10 Clemson Tigers 59.6% 3 Loss
Week 10 North Texas Mean Green 66% 6 Win
Week 10 Iowa State Cyclones 65.7% 5 Loss
Week 10 Texas Tech Red Raiders 72.1% 9 Win
Week 10 Virginia Cavaliers 64.6% 4 Win
Week 10 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 67.1% 7 Loss
Week 10 Tennessee Volunteers 59% 2 Loss
Week 10 USC Trojans 71.3% 8 Win
Week 10 Utah Utes 72.4% 10 Win
Week 11 Texas Tech Red Raiders 75.5% 10 Win
Week 11 Southern Miss Golden Eagles 66.5% 5 Win
Week 11 Jacksonville State Gamecocks 51.8% 2 Win
Week 11 Texas A&M Aggies 70.6% 9 Win
Week 11 Oregon Ducks 67.6% 6 Win
Week 11 TCU Horned Frogs 67.9% 7 Loss
Week 11 Arizona Wildcats 65.1% 4 Win
Week 11 Virginia Cavaliers 69.1% 8 Loss
Week 11 Clemson Tigers 51.4% 1 Win
Week 11 UCLA Bruins 54.7% 3 Loss