Pigskin Pick’em Analysis


Game: Pigskin Pick’em
From: ESPN
Link to Play: Pigskin Pick’Em
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How does it work?: The NFL regular season runs from early September to the beginning of January. There are eighteen weeks in total with the number of games varying depending on which teams are on byes. Each week there is also a score tiebreaker for one of the games. The following is an explanation of the scoring breakdown:

Each week the contestant is provided with the week’s games and must pick the winner of each. Every game must then be assigned a point value between 1 and however many games there are in that given week (16 when there are no byes).

Strategy: Our numbers below are based on the strategy of maximizing score. Thus, we always take the favorites (or the side with the highest % chance of winning the proposition.)

Week 3 Pigskin Pick’em Analysis

Confidence Team Implied Odds DRatings Small Win Prob
N/A
Miami Dolphins
+550
16.3%
10.5%
14.6%
16
Green Bay Packers
-380
83.7%
89.5%
85.4%
11
Green Bay Packers
-380
65%
78.7%
69.1%
N/A
Cincinnati Bengals
+135
35%
21.3%
30.9%
6
Indianapolis Colts
-180
55.1%
61.6%
57.1%
N/A
Dallas Cowboys
-110
44.9%
38.4%
43%
N/A
Cincinnati Bengals
+135
57%
25.1%
47.4%
4
Detroit Lions
+211
43%
74.9%
52.6%
7
Pittsburgh Steelers
-125
59.2%
58.1%
58.9%
N/A
Tennessee Titans
+161
40.8%
41.9%
41.1%
N/A
Los Angeles Rams
+160
37.4%
31.1%
35.5%
8
Philadelphia Eagles
-180
62.6%
68.9%
64.5%
N/A
New York Jets
+275
25.9%
54.5%
34.5%
10
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
-320
74.1%
45.5%
65.5%
N/A
Las Vegas Raiders
+165
37.2%
29.1%
34.8%
9
Washington Commanders
-175
62.8%
70.9%
65.2%
12
Atlanta Falcons
-230
67.6%
72.9%
69.2%
N/A
Carolina Panthers
+200
32.4%
27.1%
30.8%
3
Houston Texans
-105
48.9%
54.7%
50.6%
N/A
Jacksonville Jaguars
-115
51.1%
45.3%
49.4%
N/A
Denver Broncos
+135
41.8%
47.6%
43.5%
5
Los Angeles Chargers
-145
58.2%
52.4%
56.5%
N/A
New Orleans Saints
+316
23.2%
21.5%
22.7%
15
Seattle Seahawks
-385
76.8%
78.5%
77.3%
N/A
Dallas Cowboys
-110
50.6%
46.9%
49.5%
2
Chicago Bears
-105
49.4%
53.1%
50.5%
N/A
Arizona Cardinals
+115
45.6%
60.2%
50%
1
San Francisco 49ers
-125
54.4%
39.8%
50%
14
Kansas City Chiefs
-275
71.1%
77.7%
73.1%
N/A
New York Giants
+235
28.9%
22.3%
26.9%
N/A
Detroit Lions
+211
31.3%
28.3%
30.4%
13
Baltimore Ravens
-240
68.7%
71.7%
69.6%

Results

Last Week (Week 2): Straight Up: 11-6, Points: 113.
2025-2026 Season: Straight Up: 25-7, Points: 231.
2024-2025 Season: Straight Up: 199-73, Points: 1691.
2023-2024 Season: Straight Up: 175-98, Points: 1493.
2022-2023 Season: Straight Up: 172-97-2, Points: 1515.
2021-2022 Season: Straight Up: 171-100, Points: 1517.
2020-2021 Season: Straight Up: 159-69, Points: 1388.
2019-2020 Season: Straight Up: 166-89, Points: 1446.
2018-2019 Season: Straight Up: 158-80-2, Points: 1400.
2017-2018 Season: Straight Up: 180-76, Points: 1537.
2016-2017 Season: Straight Up: 153-85-2, Points: 1288.
2015-2016 Season: Straight Up: 162-94.

2024-2025 Results

Week Pick Probability Confidence Result
Week 1 Philadelphia Eagles 76% 15 Win
Week 1 Kansas City Chiefs 61.1% 10 Loss
Week 1 Tampa Bay Buccaneers 52.4% 3 Win
Week 1 Cincinnati Bengals 69.2% 12 Win
Week 1 Indianapolis Colts 52.8% 4 Win
Week 1 New England Patriots 57.8% 8 Loss
Week 1 Arizona Cardinals 71.5% 13 Win
Week 1 Pittsburgh Steelers 58.2% 9 Win
Week 1 Washington Commanders 71.8% 14 Win
Week 1 Jacksonville Jaguars 62.7% 11 Win
Week 1 Denver Broncos 76.5% 16 Win
Week 1 San Francisco 49ers 57.2% 7 Win
Week 1 Green Bay Packers 54.5% 5 Win
Week 1 Los Angeles Rams 55.3% 6 Win
Week 1 Buffalo Bills 50.7% 1 Win
Week 1 Minnesota Vikings 52.2% 2 Win
Week 2 Green Bay Packers 64.9% 6 Win
Week 2 Cincinnati Bengals 65.1% 7 Win
Week 2 Dallas Cowboys 69.9% 12 Win
Week 2 Detroit Lions 70.5% 13 Win
Week 2 Los Angeles Rams 67.9% 10 Win
Week 2 Miami Dolphins 53.4% 2 Loss
Week 2 San Francisco 49ers 68.8% 11 Win
Week 2 Buffalo Bills 74.8% 14 Win
Week 2 Pittsburgh Steelers 54% 3 Loss
Week 2 Baltimore Ravens 87.2% 16 Win
Week 2 Denver Broncos 55.8% 4 Loss
Week 2 Arizona Cardinals 75.6% 15 Win
Week 2 Philadelphia Eagles 50.4% 1 Win
Week 2 Minnesota Vikings 66.1% 9 Loss
Week 2 Houston Texans 56.7% 5 Loss
Week 2 Los Angeles Chargers 65.9% 8 Win