Game: Bowl Mania
From: ESPN
Link to Play: Bowl Mania
How does it work?: The College Football bowl season runs from the beginning of December until the National Championship game in early January. There are 40+ bowl games that the contestant must select a winner. For Bowl Mania, there are two possible scoring systems that can be chosen. We describe each below.
Strategy: Our numbers in the analysis table are based on the strategy of maximizing score. Thus, we always take the favorites and assign the confidence level by giving the most points to the team with highest odds of winning. In the case of ties, we present the confidence level as the average and leave you to choose which game to assign higher confidence.
How to Play
The college bowl pick’em game can be played under two scoring systems on ESPN. The simplest approach is to make picks for the winner of each game, and you are scored based on the number of correct picks. The second scoring system requires you to both make picks and provide your confidence by ranking the games in the order of most to least likely to be correct. This adds a little more of a twist in the scoring to makes things more interesting.
In our analysis table below, we have provided you with a good starting point for making your own picks. These are our recommended picks based on a combination of odds for each game using DRatings.
For those using the confidence based scoring system, be aware that you must make your pick and confidence before each game begins.
There is obviously some strategy involved in picking confidence since we do not know who will play in the National Championship game. For our pick on that game, we used a weighted average of all the possible scenarios to provide you with the current expectation on who is likely to win in case you want to go ahead and make all your picks and confidence selections now. Of course it’s likely better to wait on this game as far as the winner goes, but you may want to go ahead and lock the confidence position ahead of time or if you’re fully uncertain then you can always make this one have the lowest confidence.
2022-2023 College Football Bowl Mania Predictions
Confidence |
Team |
 |
Implied Odds |
 |
Win Prob |
N/A |
Miami (OH) RedHawks |
+345 |
21.9% |
25% |
22.8% |
39 |
UAB Blazers |
-400 |
78.1% |
75% |
77.2% |
N/A |
UTSA Roadrunners |
+106 |
46.8% |
54% |
49% |
2 |
Troy Trojans |
-123 |
53.2% |
46% |
51% |
N/A |
Cincinnati Bearcats |
+105 |
47.4% |
50.4% |
48.3% |
3 |
Louisville Cardinals |
-118 |
52.6% |
49.6% |
51.7% |
43 |
Jackson State Tigers |
-715 |
85.6% |
91.5% |
87.4% |
N/A |
North Carolina Central Eagles |
+575 |
14.4% |
8.5% |
12.6% |
N/A |
Florida Gators |
+300 |
24.2% |
33.8% |
27.1% |
34 |
Oregon State Beavers |
-360 |
75.8% |
66.2% |
72.9% |
N/A |
Washington State Cougars |
+145 |
39.9% |
52.3% |
43.6% |
10 |
Fresno State Bulldogs |
-160 |
60.1% |
47.7% |
56.4% |
N/A |
Rice Owls |
+215 |
30.9% |
41.5% |
34.1% |
26 |
Southern Miss Golden Eagles |
-245 |
69.1% |
58.5% |
65.9% |
20 |
SMU Mustangs |
-200 |
65.1% |
62.1% |
64.2% |
N/A |
BYU Cougars |
+180 |
34.9% |
37.9% |
35.8% |
N/A |
North Texas Mean Green |
+315 |
23.4% |
18.5% |
21.9% |
40 |
Boise State Broncos |
-375 |
76.6% |
81.5% |
78.1% |
41 |
Marshall Thundering Herd |
-360 |
76.5% |
84.1% |
78.8% |
N/A |
Connecticut Huskies |
+315 |
23.5% |
15.9% |
21.2% |
N/A |
Eastern Michigan Eagles |
+155 |
38.1% |
27.3% |
34.9% |
23 |
San Jose State Spartans |
-175 |
61.9% |
72.7% |
65.1% |
N/A |
Liberty Flames |
+175 |
35.5% |
39.7% |
36.8% |
19 |
Toledo Rockets |
-195 |
64.5% |
60.3% |
63.2% |
N/A |
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers |
+255 |
27.1% |
36.2% |
29.8% |
30 |
South Alabama Jaguars |
-310 |
72.9% |
63.8% |
70.2% |
29 |
Baylor Bears |
-230 |
67.6% |
70.6% |
68.5% |
N/A |
Air Force Falcons |
+200 |
32.4% |
29.4% |
31.5% |
N/A |
Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns |
+210 |
31.1% |
25.8% |
29.5% |
31 |
Houston Cougars |
-250 |
68.9% |
74.2% |
70.5% |
8 |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons |
-118 |
52% |
60% |
54.4% |
N/A |
Missouri Tigers |
+100 |
48% |
40% |
45.6% |
N/A |
MTSU Blue Raiders |
+230 |
29.6% |
37.9% |
32.1% |
28 |
San Diego State Aztecs |
-260 |
70.4% |
62.1% |
67.9% |
N/A |
New Mexico State Aggies |
+145 |
39.9% |
46.7% |
41.9% |
14 |
Bowling Green Falcons |
-160 |
60.1% |
53.3% |
58.1% |
15 |
Georgia Southern Eagles |
-165 |
61.4% |
56.4% |
59.9% |
N/A |
Buffalo Bulls |
+155 |
38.6% |
43.6% |
40.1% |
35 |
Memphis Tigers |
-270 |
71.3% |
77.8% |
73.3% |
N/A |
Utah State Aggies |
+240 |
28.7% |
22.2% |
26.8% |
N/A |
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers |
+275 |
25.9% |
25.8% |
25.9% |
36 |
East Carolina Pirates |
-325 |
74.1% |
74.2% |
74.1% |
13 |
Wisconsin Badgers |
-150 |
58% |
58% |
58% |
N/A |
Oklahoma State Cowboys |
+130 |
42% |
42% |
42% |
N/A |
UCF Knights |
+110 |
46.2% |
57.6% |
49.6% |
1 |
Duke Blue Devils |
-125 |
53.8% |
42.4% |
50.4% |
N/A |
Kansas Jayhawks |
+140 |
41% |
33% |
38.6% |
16 |
Arkansas Razorbacks |
-150 |
59% |
67% |
61.4% |
N/A |
North Carolina Tar Heels |
+425 |
18.4% |
20.3% |
19% |
42 |
Oregon Ducks |
-540 |
81.6% |
79.7% |
81% |
N/A |
Texas Tech Red Raiders |
+155 |
38.6% |
35.6% |
37.7% |
17 |
Ole Miss Rebels |
-165 |
61.4% |
64.4% |
62.3% |
N/A |
Syracuse Orange |
+250 |
27.8% |
26.4% |
27.4% |
33 |
Minnesota Golden Gophers |
-290 |
72.2% |
73.6% |
72.6% |
N/A |
Oklahoma Sooners |
+255 |
27.3% |
32.5% |
28.9% |
32 |
Florida State Seminoles |
-300 |
72.7% |
67.5% |
71.1% |
24 |
Texas Longhorns |
-210 |
65.5% |
64.4% |
65.2% |
N/A |
Washington Huskies |
+180 |
34.5% |
35.6% |
34.8% |
11 |
Maryland Terrapins |
-123 |
53.1% |
64.5% |
56.5% |
N/A |
NC State Wolfpack |
+105 |
46.9% |
35.5% |
43.5% |
N/A |
Pittsburgh Panthers |
+195 |
33% |
41.8% |
35.6% |
22 |
UCLA Bruins |
-220 |
67% |
58.2% |
64.4% |
12 |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish |
-135 |
55.3% |
61.5% |
57.2% |
N/A |
South Carolina Gamecocks |
+115 |
44.7% |
38.5% |
42.8% |
4 |
Ohio Bobcats |
-118 |
52% |
54.7% |
52.8% |
N/A |
Wyoming Cowboys |
+100 |
48% |
45.3% |
47.2% |
N/A |
Tennessee Volunteers |
+210 |
31.1% |
42.2% |
34.4% |
25 |
Clemson Tigers |
-250 |
68.9% |
57.8% |
65.6% |
18 |
Alabama Crimson Tide |
-150 |
59% |
71.3% |
62.7% |
N/A |
Kansas State Wildcats |
+140 |
41% |
28.7% |
37.3% |
7 |
Iowa Hawkeyes |
-123 |
53.7% |
54.8% |
54% |
N/A |
Kentucky Wildcats |
+110 |
46.3% |
45.2% |
46% |
N/A |
TCU Horned Frogs |
+250 |
27.8% |
13.2% |
23.4% |
38 |
Michigan Wolverines |
-285 |
72.2% |
86.8% |
76.6% |
N/A |
Ohio State Buckeyes |
+220 |
30.3% |
41.3% |
33.6% |
27 |
Georgia Bulldogs |
-255 |
69.7% |
58.7% |
66.4% |
N/A |
Mississippi State Bulldogs |
+115 |
45.1% |
51.8% |
47.1% |
5 |
Illinois Fighting Illini |
-130 |
54.9% |
48.2% |
52.9% |
N/A |
Tulane Green Wave |
+100 |
48% |
42.6% |
46.4% |
6 |
USC Trojans |
-118 |
52% |
57.4% |
53.6% |
37 |
LSU Tigers |
-380 |
76.7% |
70.5% |
74.8% |
N/A |
Purdue Boilermakers |
+315 |
23.3% |
29.5% |
25.2% |
N/A |
Penn State Nittany Lions |
+120 |
44.2% |
47.5% |
45.2% |
9 |
Utah Utes |
-135 |
55.8% |
52.5% |
54.8% |
N/A |
TCU/Michigan |
+170 |
35.7% |
35.7% |
35.7% |
21 |
Ohio State/Georgia |
-200 |
64.3% |
64.3% |
64.3% |
Results
2022-2023 Bowl Season Pick Results
Pick |
Probability |
Confidence |
Result |
UAB Blazers |
77.2% |
39 |
Win |
Troy Trojans |
51% |
2 |
Win |
Louisville Cardinals |
51.7% |
3 |
Win |
Jackson State Tigers |
87.4% |
43 |
Loss |
Oregon State Beavers |
72.9% |
34 |
Win |
Fresno State Bulldogs |
56.4% |
10 |
Win |
Southern Miss Golden Eagles |
65.9% |
26 |
Win |
SMU Mustangs |
64.2% |
20 |
Loss |
Boise State Broncos |
78.1% |
40 |
Win |
Marshall Thundering Herd |
78.8% |
41 |
Win |
San Jose State Spartans |
65.1% |
23 |
Loss |
Toledo Rockets |
63.2% |
19 |
Win |
South Alabama Jaguars |
70.2% |
30 |
Loss |
Baylor Bears |
68.5% |
29 |
Loss |
Houston Cougars |
70.5% |
31 |
Win |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons |
54.4% |
8 |
Win |
San Diego State Aztecs |
67.9% |
28 |
Loss |
Bowling Green Falcons |
58.1% |
14 |
Loss |
Georgia Southern Eagles |
59.9% |
15 |
Loss |
Memphis Tigers |
73.3% |
35 |
Win |
East Carolina Pirates |
74.1% |
36 |
Win |
Wisconsin Badgers |
58% |
13 |
Win |
Duke Blue Devils |
50.4% |
1 |
Win |
Arkansas Razorbacks |
61.4% |
16 |
Win |
Oregon Ducks |
81% |
42 |
Win |
Ole Miss Rebels |
62.3% |
17 |
Loss |
Minnesota Golden Gophers |
72.6% |
33 |
Win |
Florida State Seminoles |
71.1% |
32 |
Win |
Texas Longhorns |
65.2% |
24 |
Loss |
Maryland Terrapins |
56.5% |
11 |
Win |
UCLA Bruins |
64.4% |
22 |
Loss |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish |
57.2% |
12 |
Win |
Ohio Bobcats |
52.8% |
4 |
Win |
Clemson Tigers |
65.6% |
25 |
Loss |
Alabama Crimson Tide |
62.7% |
18 |
Win |
Iowa Hawkeyes |
54% |
7 |
Win |
Michigan Wolverines |
76.6% |
38 |
Loss |
Georgia Bulldogs |
66.4% |
27 |
Win |
Illinois Fighting Illini |
52.9% |
5 |
Loss |
USC Trojans |
53.6% |
6 |
Loss |
LSU Tigers |
74.8% |
37 |
Win |
Utah Utes |
54.8% |
9 |
Loss |
Ohio State/Georgia |
64.3% |
21 |
Win |
2022-2023 College Football Bowl Mania Results
Total Possible Points (TPP): |
946 |
Expected Points: |
661.5 |
Actual Points: |
598 |
Point Diff: |
-63.5 |
Projected Wins: |
27.9 |
Actual Wins: |
27 |
Win Diff: |
-0.9 |
Projected Losses: |
15.1 |
Actual Losses: |
16 |
2018-2019 College Football Bowl Mania Results
Total Possible Points (TPP): |
861 |
Expected Points: |
583.9 |
Actual Points: |
461 |
Point Diff: |
-122.9 |
Projected Wins: |
26.0 |
Actual Wins: |
20 |
Win Diff: |
-6.0 |
Projected Losses: |
15.0 |
Actual Losses: |
20 |
2019-2020 College Football Bowl Mania Results
Total Possible Points (TPP): |
861 |
Expected Points: |
615.1 |
Actual Points: |
672 |
Point Diff: |
+56.9 |
Projected Wins: |
27.0 |
Actual Wins: |
32 |
Win Diff: |
-5.0 |
Projected Losses: |
14.0 |
Actual Losses: |
9 |
2018-2019 College Football Bowl Mania Results
Total Possible Points (TPP): |
861 |
Expected Points: |
583.9 |
Actual Points: |
461 |
Point Diff: |
-122.9 |
Projected Wins: |
26.0 |
Actual Wins: |
20 |
Win Diff: |
-6.0 |
Projected Losses: |
15.0 |
Actual Losses: |
20 |
2017-2018 College Football Bowl Mania Results
Total Possible Points (TPP): |
861 |
Expected Points: |
589.4 |
Actual Points: |
494 |
Point Diff: |
-95.4 |
Projected Wins: |
26.0 |
Actual Wins: |
24 |
Win Diff: |
-2.0 |
Projected Losses: |
15.0 |
Actual Losses: |
17 |
2016-2017 College Football Bowl Mania Results
Total Possible Points (TPP): |
903 |
Expected Points: |
645.2 |
Actual Points: |
615 |
Point Diff: |
-30.2 |
Projected Wins: |
28.0 |
Actual Wins: |
26 |
Win Diff: |
-2.0 |
Projected Losses: |
14.0 |
Actual Losses: |
16 |
2015-2016 College Football Bowl Mania Results
Total Possible Points (TPP): |
903 |
Expected Points: |
626.3 |
Actual Points: |
678 |
Point Diff: |
+51.7 |
Projected Wins: |
27.3 |
Actual Wins: |
29 |
Win Diff: |
+1.7 |
Projected Losses: |
14.7 |
Actual Losses: |
13 |