Bowl Mania Analysis

Game: Bowl Mania
From: ESPN
Link to Play: Bowl Mania

How does it work?: The College Football bowl season runs from the beginning of December until the National Championship game in early January. There are 40+ bowl games that the contestant must select a winner. For Bowl Mania, there are two possible scoring systems that can be chosen. We describe each below.

Strategy: Our numbers in the analysis table are based on the strategy of maximizing score. Thus, we always take the favorites and assign the confidence level by giving the most points to the team with highest odds of winning. In the case of ties, we present the confidence level as the average and leave you to choose which game to assign higher confidence.

How to Play

The college bowl pick’em game can be played under two scoring systems on ESPN. The simplest approach is to make picks for the winner of each game, and you are scored based on the number of correct picks. The second scoring system requires you to both make picks and provide your confidence by ranking the games in the order of most to least likely to be correct. This adds a little more of a twist in the scoring to makes things more interesting.

In our analysis table below, we have provided you with a good starting point for making your own picks. These are our recommended picks based on a combination of odds for each game using DRatings.

For those using the confidence based scoring system, be aware that you must make your pick and confidence before each game begins.

There is obviously some strategy involved in picking confidence since we do not know who will play in the National Championship game. For our pick on that game, we used a weighted average of all the possible scenarios to provide you with the current expectation on who is likely to win in case you want to go ahead and make all your picks and confidence selections now. Of course it’s likely better to wait on this game as far as the winner goes, but you may want to go ahead and lock the confidence position ahead of time or if you’re fully uncertain then you can always make this one have the lowest confidence.

2022-2023 College Football Bowl Mania Predictions

Confidence	Team		Implied Odds		Win Prob
N/A	Miami (OH) RedHawks	+345	21.9%	25%	22.8%
39	UAB Blazers	-400	78.1%	75%	77.2%
N/A	UTSA Roadrunners	+106	46.8%	54%	49%
2	Troy Trojans	-123	53.2%	46%	51%
N/A	Cincinnati Bearcats	+105	47.4%	50.4%	48.3%
3	Louisville Cardinals	-118	52.6%	49.6%	51.7%
43	Jackson State Tigers	-715	85.6%	91.5%	87.4%
N/A	North Carolina Central Eagles	+575	14.4%	8.5%	12.6%
N/A	Florida Gators	+300	24.2%	33.8%	27.1%
34	Oregon State Beavers	-360	75.8%	66.2%	72.9%
N/A	Washington State Cougars	+145	39.9%	52.3%	43.6%
10	Fresno State Bulldogs	-160	60.1%	47.7%	56.4%
N/A	Rice Owls	+215	30.9%	41.5%	34.1%
26	Southern Miss Golden Eagles	-245	69.1%	58.5%	65.9%
20	SMU Mustangs	-200	65.1%	62.1%	64.2%
N/A	BYU Cougars	+180	34.9%	37.9%	35.8%
N/A	North Texas Mean Green	+315	23.4%	18.5%	21.9%
40	Boise State Broncos	-375	76.6%	81.5%	78.1%
41	Marshall Thundering Herd	-360	76.5%	84.1%	78.8%
N/A	Connecticut Huskies	+315	23.5%	15.9%	21.2%
N/A	Eastern Michigan Eagles	+155	38.1%	27.3%	34.9%
23	San Jose State Spartans	-175	61.9%	72.7%	65.1%
N/A	Liberty Flames	+175	35.5%	39.7%	36.8%
19	Toledo Rockets	-195	64.5%	60.3%	63.2%
N/A	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	+255	27.1%	36.2%	29.8%
30	South Alabama Jaguars	-310	72.9%	63.8%	70.2%
29	Baylor Bears	-230	67.6%	70.6%	68.5%
N/A	Air Force Falcons	+200	32.4%	29.4%	31.5%
N/A	Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns	+210	31.1%	25.8%	29.5%
31	Houston Cougars	-250	68.9%	74.2%	70.5%
8	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	-118	52%	60%	54.4%
N/A	Missouri Tigers	+100	48%	40%	45.6%
N/A	MTSU Blue Raiders	+230	29.6%	37.9%	32.1%
28	San Diego State Aztecs	-260	70.4%	62.1%	67.9%
N/A	New Mexico State Aggies	+145	39.9%	46.7%	41.9%
14	Bowling Green Falcons	-160	60.1%	53.3%	58.1%
15	Georgia Southern Eagles	-165	61.4%	56.4%	59.9%
N/A	Buffalo Bulls	+155	38.6%	43.6%	40.1%
35	Memphis Tigers	-270	71.3%	77.8%	73.3%
N/A	Utah State Aggies	+240	28.7%	22.2%	26.8%
N/A	Coastal Carolina Chanticleers	+275	25.9%	25.8%	25.9%
36	East Carolina Pirates	-325	74.1%	74.2%	74.1%
13	Wisconsin Badgers	-150	58%	58%	58%
N/A	Oklahoma State Cowboys	+130	42%	42%	42%
N/A	UCF Knights	+110	46.2%	57.6%	49.6%
1	Duke Blue Devils	-125	53.8%	42.4%	50.4%
N/A	Kansas Jayhawks	+140	41%	33%	38.6%
16	Arkansas Razorbacks	-150	59%	67%	61.4%
N/A	North Carolina Tar Heels	+425	18.4%	20.3%	19%
42	Oregon Ducks	-540	81.6%	79.7%	81%
N/A	Texas Tech Red Raiders	+155	38.6%	35.6%	37.7%
17	Ole Miss Rebels	-165	61.4%	64.4%	62.3%
N/A	Syracuse Orange	+250	27.8%	26.4%	27.4%
33	Minnesota Golden Gophers	-290	72.2%	73.6%	72.6%
N/A	Oklahoma Sooners	+255	27.3%	32.5%	28.9%
32	Florida State Seminoles	-300	72.7%	67.5%	71.1%
24	Texas Longhorns	-210	65.5%	64.4%	65.2%
N/A	Washington Huskies	+180	34.5%	35.6%	34.8%
11	Maryland Terrapins	-123	53.1%	64.5%	56.5%
N/A	NC State Wolfpack	+105	46.9%	35.5%	43.5%
N/A	Pittsburgh Panthers	+195	33%	41.8%	35.6%
22	UCLA Bruins	-220	67%	58.2%	64.4%
12	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	-135	55.3%	61.5%	57.2%
N/A	South Carolina Gamecocks	+115	44.7%	38.5%	42.8%
4	Ohio Bobcats	-118	52%	54.7%	52.8%
N/A	Wyoming Cowboys	+100	48%	45.3%	47.2%
N/A	Tennessee Volunteers	+210	31.1%	42.2%	34.4%
25	Clemson Tigers	-250	68.9%	57.8%	65.6%
18	Alabama Crimson Tide	-150	59%	71.3%	62.7%
N/A	Kansas State Wildcats	+140	41%	28.7%	37.3%
7	Iowa Hawkeyes	-123	53.7%	54.8%	54%
N/A	Kentucky Wildcats	+110	46.3%	45.2%	46%
N/A	TCU Horned Frogs	+250	27.8%	13.2%	23.4%
38	Michigan Wolverines	-285	72.2%	86.8%	76.6%
N/A	Ohio State Buckeyes	+220	30.3%	41.3%	33.6%
27	Georgia Bulldogs	-255	69.7%	58.7%	66.4%
N/A	Mississippi State Bulldogs	+115	45.1%	51.8%	47.1%
5	Illinois Fighting Illini	-130	54.9%	48.2%	52.9%
N/A	Tulane Green Wave	+100	48%	42.6%	46.4%
6	USC Trojans	-118	52%	57.4%	53.6%
37	LSU Tigers	-380	76.7%	70.5%	74.8%
N/A	Purdue Boilermakers	+315	23.3%	29.5%	25.2%
N/A	Penn State Nittany Lions	+120	44.2%	47.5%	45.2%
9	Utah Utes	-135	55.8%	52.5%	54.8%
N/A	TCU/Michigan	+170	35.7%	35.7%	35.7%
21	Ohio State/Georgia	-200	64.3%	64.3%	64.3%

Results

2022-2023 Bowl Season Pick Results

2022-2023 College Football Bowl Mania Results

2018-2019 College Football Bowl Mania Results

2019-2020 College Football Bowl Mania Results

2018-2019 College Football Bowl Mania Results

2017-2018 College Football Bowl Mania Results

2016-2017 College Football Bowl Mania Results

2015-2016 College Football Bowl Mania Results