Bowl Mania Analysis


Game: Bowl Mania
From: ESPN
Link to Play: Bowl Mania
Join Our Public Group: Fans of StreakEdge

How does it work?: The College Football bowl season runs from the beginning of December until the National Championship game in early January. There are 40+ bowl games that the contestant must select a winner. For Bowl Mania, there are two possible scoring systems that can be chosen. We describe each below.

Strategy: Our numbers in the analysis table are based on the strategy of maximizing score. Thus, we always take the favorites and assign the confidence level by giving the most points to the team with highest odds of winning. In the case of ties, we present the confidence level as the average and leave you to choose which game to assign higher confidence.

How to Play

The college bowl pick’em game can be played under two scoring systems on ESPN. The simplest approach is to make picks for the winner of each game, and you are scored based on the number of correct picks. The second scoring system requires you to both make picks and provide your confidence by ranking the games in the order of most to least likely to be correct. This adds a little more of a twist in the scoring to makes things more interesting. Click here for more information on how to sign up and play.

In our analysis table below, we have provided you with a good starting point for making your own picks. These are our recommended picks based on a combination of odds for each game using DRatings and 5Dimes.

For those using the confidence based scoring system, be aware that you must make your pick and confidence before each game begins. Be sure to read the rules here for more information on scoring, when the games lock, and how ties will be handled.

There is obviously some strategy involved in picking confidence since we do not know who will play in the National Championship game. For our pick on that game, we used a weighted average of all the possible scenarios to provide you with the current expectation on who is likely to win in case you want to go ahead and make all your picks and confidence selections now. Of course it’s likely better to wait on this game as far as the winner goes, but you may want to go ahead and lock the confidence position ahead of time or if you’re fully uncertain then you can always make this one have the lowest confidence.

2018-2019 College Football Bowl Mania Predictions

Confidence Team Implied Odds DRatings Small Win Prob
33
North Carolina A&T Aggies
-280
72.3%
63.9%
69.8%
N/A
Alcorn State Braves
+255
27.7%
36.1%
30.2%
17
Tulane Green Wave
-160
60.6%
62.3%
61.1%
N/A
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns
+150
39.4%
37.7%
38.9%
N/A
North Texas Mean Green
+305
24.3%
29.3%
25.8%
37
Utah State Aggies
-335
75.7%
70.7%
74.2%
N/A
Arizona State Sun Devils
+167
36.9%
43.9%
39%
16
Fresno State Bulldogs
-178
63.1%
56.1%
61%
2
Georgia Southern Eagles
-112
51.6%
50.6%
51.3%
N/A
Eastern Michigan Eagles
+102
48.4%
49.4%
48.7%
N/A
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
+240
28.9%
34.8%
30.7%
32
Appalachian State Mountaineers
-260
71.1%
65.2%
69.3%
7
UAB Blazers
-135
56.4%
48.8%
54.1%
N/A
Northern Illinois Huskies
+125
43.6%
51.2%
45.9%
N/A
San Diego State Aztecs
+140
41%
40.5%
40.9%
14
Ohio Bobcats
-150
59%
59.5%
59.2%
6
Marshall Thundering Herd
-130
55.4%
49.5%
53.6%
N/A
South Florida Bulls
+120
44.6%
50.5%
46.4%
N/A
Florida International Golden Panthers
+195
33.2%
42%
35.8%
25
Toledo Rockets
-215
66.8%
58%
64.2%
N/A
Western Michigan Broncos
+395
19.8%
39%
25.6%
38
Brigham Young Cougars
-445
80.2%
61%
74.4%
21
Memphis Tigers
-200
65.5%
56.6%
62.8%
N/A
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
+185
34.5%
43.4%
37.2%
N/A
Houston Cougars
+145
40.2%
50.7%
43.4%
8
Army Black Knights
-155
59.8%
49.3%
56.7%
10
Buffalo Bulls
-135
56.4%
58.5%
57%
N/A
Troy Trojans
+125
43.6%
41.5%
43%
1
Hawaii Warriors
-115
52.3%
48.1%
51%
N/A
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
+105
47.7%
51.9%
49%
N/A
Boston College Eagles
+135
41.8%
45.1%
42.8%
11
Boise State Broncos
-145
58.2%
54.9%
57.2%
N/A
Minnesota Golden Gophers
+155
38.1%
39.1%
38.4%
18
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
-175
61.9%
60.9%
61.6%
N/A
California Golden Bears
-107
50.5%
43.6%
48.4%
3
TCU Horned Frogs
-103
49.5%
56.4%
51.6%
12
Temple Owls
-170
62.1%
46.3%
57.4%
N/A
Duke Blue Devils
+160
37.9%
53.7%
42.6%
13
Miami (FL) Hurricanes
-190
64.3%
46.6%
59%
N/A
Wisconsin Badgers
+175
35.7%
53.4%
41%
N/A
Baylor Bears
+160
37.9%
33.9%
36.7%
22
Vanderbilt Commodores
-170
62.1%
66.1%
63.3%
N/A
Purdue Boilermakers
+155
38.1%
31.2%
36%
24
Auburn Tigers
-175
61.9%
68.8%
64%
4
West Virginia Mountaineers
-120
53.4%
49.7%
52.3%
N/A
Syracuse Orange
+110
46.6%
50.3%
47.7%
N/A
Iowa State Cyclones
+155
38.6%
35.3%
37.6%
20
Washington State Cougars
-165
61.4%
64.7%
62.4%
N/A
Florida Gators
+265
26.8%
29.6%
27.6%
36
Michigan Wolverines
-295
73.2%
70.4%
72.4%
19
South Carolina Gamecocks
-185
63.7%
58.8%
62.2%
N/A
Virginia Cavaliers
+170
36.3%
41.2%
37.8%
5
Arkansas State Red Wolves
-117
52.7%
55.5%
53.5%
N/A
Nevada Wolf Pack
+107
47.3%
44.5%
46.5%
N/A
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
+375
20.7%
19.3%
20.3%
39
Clemson Tigers
-420
79.3%
80.7%
79.7%
N/A
Oklahoma Sooners
+480
16.9%
9.4%
14.7%
41
Alabama Crimson Tide
-570
83.1%
90.6%
85.4%
23
Cincinnati Bearcats
-200
65.5%
58.7%
63.5%
N/A
Virginia Tech Hokies
+185
34.5%
41.3%
36.5%
27
Stanford Cardinal
-250
68.9%
55.2%
64.8%
N/A
Pittsburgh Panthers
+210
31.1%
44.8%
35.2%
N/A
Michigan State Spartans
+138
41.3%
47.2%
43.1%
9
Oregon Ducks
-148
58.7%
52.8%
56.9%
35
Missouri Tigers
-300
73.5%
62.4%
70.2%
N/A
Oklahoma State Cowboys
+270
26.5%
37.6%
29.8%
N/A
Northwestern Wildcats
+235
29.4%
31.2%
29.9%
34
Utah Utes
-255
70.6%
68.8%
70.1%
N/A
North Carolina State Wolfpack
+175
35.7%
33.3%
35%
28
Texas A&M Aggies
-190
64.3%
66.7%
65%
29
Mississippi State Bulldogs
-260
71.1%
53.4%
65.8%
N/A
Iowa Hawkeyes
+240
28.9%
46.6%
34.2%
N/A
Kentucky Wildcats
+210
31.6%
37.6%
33.4%
30
Penn State Nittany Lions
-230
68.4%
62.4%
66.6%
26
LSU Tigers
-290
72.8%
45%
64.5%
N/A
UCF Knights
+260
27.2%
55%
35.5%
N/A
Washington Huskies
+215
31.2%
32.9%
31.7%
31
Ohio State Buckeyes
-235
68.8%
67.1%
68.3%
N/A
Texas Longhorns
+380
20.4%
13.2%
18.2%
40
Georgia Bulldogs
-430
79.6%
86.8%
81.8%
N/A
Winner of ND/CLEM
40%
40%
15
Winner of OKLA/ALA
60%
60%

Results

2017-2018 Bowl Season Pick Results

Pick Probability Confidence Result
North Carolina A&T Aggies 53.4% 6 Win
Troy Trojans 70% 31 Win
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 65.7% 26 Loss
Oregon Ducks 66.8% 28 Loss
Colorado State Rams 64.5% 22 Loss
Arkansas State Red Wolves 61% 19 Loss
Florida Atlantic Owls 88.4% 41 Win
Southern Methodist Mustangs 67.1% 29 Loss
Temple Owls 72.3% 34 Win
Ohio Bobcats 76.1% 39 Win
Wyoming Cowboys 50.2% 1 Win
South Florida Bulls 56.7% 13 Win
San Diego State Aztecs 70.3% 32 Loss
Toledo Rockets 72.6% 35 Loss
Houston Cougars 57.6% 16 Loss
Utah Utes 65% 24 Win
Duke Blue Devils 65.6% 25 Win
Kansas State Wildcats 54.9% 9 Win
Florida State Seminoles 86.2% 40 Win
Iowa Hawkeyes 57.9% 17 Win
Arizona Wildcats 56% 11 Loss
Missouri Tigers 51.9% 3 Loss
Navy Midshipmen 52% 4 Win
Oklahoma State Cowboys 64.1% 21 Win
TCU Horned Frogs 56.9% 15 Win
Washington State Cougars 54.7% 8 Loss
Wake Forest Demon Deacons 59.9% 18 Win
North Carolina State Wolfpack 69.9% 30 Win
Northwestern Wildcats 73.2% 36 Win
Utah State Aggies 63.4% 20 Loss
Ohio State Buckeyes 71.3% 33 Win
Louisville Cardinals 66.3% 27 Loss
Memphis Tigers 56.8% 14 Loss
Penn State Nittany Lions 56.6% 12 Win
Wisconsin Badgers 64.6% 23 Win
Michigan Wolverines 73.9% 37 Loss
Auburn Tigers 74.9% 38 Loss
LSU Tigers 50.4% 2 Loss
Georgia Bulldogs 53.2% 5 Win
Alabama Crimson Tide 53.7% 7 Win
Alabama vs Clemson Win 55% 10 Win

2017-2018 College Football Bowl Mania Results

Total Possible Points (TPP): 861
Expected Points: 589.4 Actual Points: 494 Point Diff: -95.4
Projected Wins: 26.0 Actual Wins: 24 Win Diff: -2.0
Projected Losses: 15.0 Actual Losses: 17

2016-2017 College Football Bowl Mania Results

Total Possible Points (TPP): 903
Expected Points: 645.2 Actual Points: 615 Point Diff: -30.2
Projected Wins: 28.0 Actual Wins: 26 Win Diff: -2.0
Projected Losses: 14.0 Actual Losses: 16

2015-2016 College Football Bowl Mania Results

Total Possible Points (TPP): 903
Expected Points: 626.3 Actual Points: 678 Point Diff: +51.7
Projected Wins: 27.3 Actual Wins: 29 Win Diff: +1.7
Projected Losses: 14.7 Actual Losses: 13