Bowl Mania Analysis

Game: Bowl Mania
From: ESPN
Link to Play: Bowl Mania
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How does it work?: The College Football bowl season runs from the beginning of December until the National Championship game in early January. There are 40+ bowl games that the contestant must select a winner. For Bowl Mania, there are two possible scoring systems that can be chosen. We describe each below.

Strategy: Our numbers in the analysis table are based on the strategy of maximizing score. Thus, we always take the favorites and assign the confidence level by giving the most points to the team with highest odds of winning. In the case of ties, we present the confidence level as the average and leave you to choose which game to assign higher confidence.

How to Play

The college bowl pick’em game can be played under two scoring systems on ESPN. The simplest approach is to make picks for the winner of each game, and you are scored based on the number of correct picks. The second scoring system requires you to both make picks and provide your confidence by ranking the games in the order of most to least likely to be correct. This adds a little more of a twist in the scoring to makes things more interesting. Click here for more information on how to sign up and play.

In our analysis table below, we have provided you with a good starting point for making your own picks. These are our recommended picks based on a combination of odds for each game using DRatings and 5Dimes.

For those using the confidence based scoring system, be aware that you must make your pick and confidence before each game begins. Be sure to read the rules here for more information on scoring, when the games lock, and how ties will be handled.

There is obviously some strategy involved in picking confidence since we do not know who will play in the National Championship game. For our pick on that game, we used a weighted average of all the possible scenarios to provide you with the current expectation on who is likely to win in case you want to go ahead and make all your picks and confidence selections now. Of course it’s likely better to wait on this game as far as the winner goes, but you may want to go ahead and lock the confidence position ahead of time or if you’re fully uncertain then you can always make this one have the lowest confidence.

2018-2019 College Football Bowl Mania Predictions

Confidence	Team		Implied Odds		Win Prob
33	North Carolina A&T Aggies	-280	72.3%	63.9%	69.8%
N/A	Alcorn State Braves	+255	27.7%	36.1%	30.2%
17	Tulane Green Wave	-160	60.6%	62.3%	61.1%
N/A	Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns	+150	39.4%	37.7%	38.9%
N/A	North Texas Mean Green	+305	24.3%	29.3%	25.8%
37	Utah State Aggies	-335	75.7%	70.7%	74.2%
N/A	Arizona State Sun Devils	+167	36.9%	43.9%	39%
16	Fresno State Bulldogs	-178	63.1%	56.1%	61%
2	Georgia Southern Eagles	-112	51.6%	50.6%	51.3%
N/A	Eastern Michigan Eagles	+102	48.4%	49.4%	48.7%
N/A	Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	+240	28.9%	34.8%	30.7%
32	Appalachian State Mountaineers	-260	71.1%	65.2%	69.3%
7	UAB Blazers	-135	56.4%	48.8%	54.1%
N/A	Northern Illinois Huskies	+125	43.6%	51.2%	45.9%
N/A	San Diego State Aztecs	+140	41%	40.5%	40.9%
14	Ohio Bobcats	-150	59%	59.5%	59.2%
6	Marshall Thundering Herd	-130	55.4%	49.5%	53.6%
N/A	South Florida Bulls	+120	44.6%	50.5%	46.4%
N/A	Florida International Golden Panthers	+195	33.2%	42%	35.8%
25	Toledo Rockets	-215	66.8%	58%	64.2%
N/A	Western Michigan Broncos	+395	19.8%	39%	25.6%
38	Brigham Young Cougars	-445	80.2%	61%	74.4%
21	Memphis Tigers	-200	65.5%	56.6%	62.8%
N/A	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	+185	34.5%	43.4%	37.2%
N/A	Houston Cougars	+145	40.2%	50.7%	43.4%
8	Army Black Knights	-155	59.8%	49.3%	56.7%
10	Buffalo Bulls	-135	56.4%	58.5%	57%
N/A	Troy Trojans	+125	43.6%	41.5%	43%
1	Hawaii Warriors	-115	52.3%	48.1%	51%
N/A	Louisiana Tech Bulldogs	+105	47.7%	51.9%	49%
N/A	Boston College Eagles	+135	41.8%	45.1%	42.8%
11	Boise State Broncos	-145	58.2%	54.9%	57.2%
N/A	Minnesota Golden Gophers	+155	38.1%	39.1%	38.4%
18	Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	-175	61.9%	60.9%	61.6%
N/A	California Golden Bears	-107	50.5%	43.6%	48.4%
3	TCU Horned Frogs	-103	49.5%	56.4%	51.6%
12	Temple Owls	-170	62.1%	46.3%	57.4%
N/A	Duke Blue Devils	+160	37.9%	53.7%	42.6%
13	Miami (FL) Hurricanes	-190	64.3%	46.6%	59%
N/A	Wisconsin Badgers	+175	35.7%	53.4%	41%
N/A	Baylor Bears	+160	37.9%	33.9%	36.7%
22	Vanderbilt Commodores	-170	62.1%	66.1%	63.3%
N/A	Purdue Boilermakers	+155	38.1%	31.2%	36%
24	Auburn Tigers	-175	61.9%	68.8%	64%
4	West Virginia Mountaineers	-120	53.4%	49.7%	52.3%
N/A	Syracuse Orange	+110	46.6%	50.3%	47.7%
N/A	Iowa State Cyclones	+155	38.6%	35.3%	37.6%
20	Washington State Cougars	-165	61.4%	64.7%	62.4%
N/A	Florida Gators	+265	26.8%	29.6%	27.6%
36	Michigan Wolverines	-295	73.2%	70.4%	72.4%
19	South Carolina Gamecocks	-185	63.7%	58.8%	62.2%
N/A	Virginia Cavaliers	+170	36.3%	41.2%	37.8%
5	Arkansas State Red Wolves	-117	52.7%	55.5%	53.5%
N/A	Nevada Wolf Pack	+107	47.3%	44.5%	46.5%
N/A	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	+375	20.7%	19.3%	20.3%
39	Clemson Tigers	-420	79.3%	80.7%	79.7%
N/A	Oklahoma Sooners	+480	16.9%	9.4%	14.7%
41	Alabama Crimson Tide	-570	83.1%	90.6%	85.4%
23	Cincinnati Bearcats	-200	65.5%	58.7%	63.5%
N/A	Virginia Tech Hokies	+185	34.5%	41.3%	36.5%
27	Stanford Cardinal	-250	68.9%	55.2%	64.8%
N/A	Pittsburgh Panthers	+210	31.1%	44.8%	35.2%
N/A	Michigan State Spartans	+138	41.3%	47.2%	43.1%
9	Oregon Ducks	-148	58.7%	52.8%	56.9%
35	Missouri Tigers	-300	73.5%	62.4%	70.2%
N/A	Oklahoma State Cowboys	+270	26.5%	37.6%	29.8%
N/A	Northwestern Wildcats	+235	29.4%	31.2%	29.9%
34	Utah Utes	-255	70.6%	68.8%	70.1%
N/A	North Carolina State Wolfpack	+175	35.7%	33.3%	35%
28	Texas A&M Aggies	-190	64.3%	66.7%	65%
29	Mississippi State Bulldogs	-260	71.1%	53.4%	65.8%
N/A	Iowa Hawkeyes	+240	28.9%	46.6%	34.2%
N/A	Kentucky Wildcats	+210	31.6%	37.6%	33.4%
30	Penn State Nittany Lions	-230	68.4%	62.4%	66.6%
26	LSU Tigers	-290	72.8%	45%	64.5%
N/A	UCF Knights	+260	27.2%	55%	35.5%
N/A	Washington Huskies	+215	31.2%	32.9%	31.7%
31	Ohio State Buckeyes	-235	68.8%	67.1%	68.3%
N/A	Texas Longhorns	+380	20.4%	13.2%	18.2%
40	Georgia Bulldogs	-430	79.6%	86.8%	81.8%
N/A	Winner of ND/CLEM			40%	40%
15	Winner of OKLA/ALA			60%	60%

Results

2017-2018 Bowl Season Pick Results

2017-2018 College Football Bowl Mania Results

2016-2017 College Football Bowl Mania Results

2015-2016 College Football Bowl Mania Results