Bowl Mania Analysis


Game: Bowl Mania
From: ESPN
Link to Play: Bowl Mania
Join Our Public Group: Fans of StreakEdge

How does it work?: The College Football bowl season runs from the beginning of December until the National Championship game in early January. There are 40+ bowl games that the contestant must select a winner. For Bowl Mania, there are two possible scoring systems that can be chosen. We describe each below.

Strategy: Our numbers in the analysis table are based on the strategy of maximizing score. Thus, we always take the favorites and assign the confidence level by giving the most points to the team with highest odds of winning. In the case of ties, we present the confidence level as the average and leave you to choose which game to assign higher confidence.

How to Play

The college bowl pick’em game can be played under two scoring systems on ESPN. The simplest approach is to make picks for the winner of each game, and you are scored based on the number of correct picks. The second scoring system requires you to both make picks and provide your confidence by ranking the games in the order of most to least likely to be correct. This adds a little more of a twist in the scoring to makes things more interesting. Click here for more information on how to sign up and play.

In our analysis table below, we have provided you with a good starting point for making your own picks. These are our recommended picks based on a combination of odds for each game using DRatings and YouWager.

For those using the confidence based scoring system, be aware that you must make your pick and confidence before each game begins. Be sure to read the rules here for more information on scoring, when the games lock, and how ties will be handled.

There is obviously some strategy involved in picking confidence since we do not know who will play in the National Championship game. For our pick on that game, we used a weighted average of all the possible scenarios to provide you with the current expectation on who is likely to win in case you want to go ahead and make all your picks and confidence selections now. Of course it’s likely better to wait on this game as far as the winner goes, but you may want to go ahead and lock the confidence position ahead of time or if you’re fully uncertain then you can always make this one have the lowest confidence.

2020-2021 College Football Bowl Mania Predictions

Confidence Team YouWager Implied Odds DRatings Small Win Prob
29
Appalachian State Mountaineers
-1200
89.5%
86.8%
88.7%
N/A
North Texas Mean Green
+825
10.5%
13.2%
11.3%
5
Tulane Green Wave
-145
57.1%
60.3%
58.1%
N/A
Nevada Wolf Pack
+125
42.9%
39.7%
41.9%
N/A
UCF Knights
+225
29.7%
40.7%
33%
13
BYU Cougars
-270
70.3%
59.3%
67%
N/A
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
+200
32.1%
36.3%
33.4%
12
Georgia Southern Eagles
-240
67.9%
63.7%
66.6%
23
Memphis Tigers
-325
72.9%
73%
72.9%
N/A
Florida Atlantic Owls
+252
27.1%
27%
27.1%
N/A
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
+415
18.8%
14.7%
17.6%
25
Houston Cougars
-525
81.2%
85.3%
82.4%
N/A
Marshall Thundering Herd
+130
42%
35.6%
40.1%
7
Buffalo Bulls
-150
58%
64.4%
59.9%
N/A
South Carolina Gamecocks
+210
31.1%
26.9%
29.8%
19
UAB Blazers
-250
68.9%
73.1%
70.2%
N/A
Liberty Flames
+210
31.1%
24.5%
29.1%
21
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
-250
68.9%
75.5%
70.9%
26
Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns
-525
81.2%
85.4%
82.5%
N/A
UT San Antonio Roadrunners
+415
18.8%
14.6%
17.5%
N/A
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
+165
36.5%
41.2%
37.9%
8
Georgia State Panthers
-190
63.5%
58.8%
62.1%
2
Oklahoma State Cowboys
-135
55.3%
51.9%
54.3%
N/A
Miami Hurricanes
+115
44.7%
48.1%
45.7%
24
Texas Longhorns
-525
81.2%
81.8%
81.4%
N/A
Colorado Buffaloes
+415
18.8%
18.2%
18.6%
N/A
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
+205
31.6%
34%
32.3%
15
Wisconsin Badgers
-245
68.4%
66%
67.7%
27
Iowa Hawkeyes
-700
84.5%
88.3%
85.6%
N/A
Missouri Tigers
+525
15.5%
11.7%
14.4%
6
Florida Gators
-160
59.6%
57.5%
59%
N/A
Oklahoma Sooners
+140
40.4%
42.5%
41%
4
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
-145
57.1%
59.8%
57.9%
N/A
Mississippi State Bulldogs
+125
42.9%
40.2%
42.1%
N/A
Ball State Cardinals
+235
28.6%
37.9%
31.4%
18
San Jose State Spartans
-290
71.4%
62.1%
68.6%
11
West Virginia Mountaineers
-165
60.4%
67.2%
62.4%
N/A
Tennessee Volunteers
+145
39.6%
32.8%
37.6%
N/A
Arkansas Razorbacks
+180
34.2%
26.2%
31.8%
17
TCU Horned Frogs
-220
65.8%
73.8%
68.2%
16
Georgia Bulldogs
-275
70.6%
62.1%
68.1%
N/A
Cincinnati Bearcats
+227
29.4%
37.9%
32%
N/A
Auburn Tigers
+155
38.1%
37%
37.8%
9
Northwestern Wildcats
-175
61.9%
63%
62.2%
N/A
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
+850
10.2%
23.2%
14.1%
28
Alabama Crimson Tide
-1250
89.8%
76.8%
85.9%
N/A
Ohio State Buckeyes
+250
27.3%
29.2%
27.9%
22
Clemson Tigers
-320
72.7%
70.8%
72.1%
N/A
NC State Wolfpack
+115
44.7%
51.1%
46.6%
1
Kentucky Wildcats
-135
55.3%
48.9%
53.4%
N/A
Mississippi Rebels
+210
31.1%
25.2%
29.3%
20
Indiana Hoosiers
-250
68.9%
74.8%
70.7%
N/A
Oregon Ducks
+172
35.4%
43.1%
37.7%
10
Iowa State Cyclones
-205
64.6%
56.9%
62.3%
14
Texas A&M Aggies
-260
69.8%
61%
67.2%
N/A
North Carolina Tar Heels
+220
30.2%
39%
32.8%
N/A
Clemson/Ohio State
45%
45%
3
Alabama/Notre Dame
55%
55%

Results

2019-2020 Bowl Season Pick Results

Pick Probability Confidence Result
Buffalo Bulls 68.6% 24 Win
Utah State Aggies 72.9% 33 Loss
North Carolina A&T Aggies 56.4% 10 Win
San Diego State Aztecs 63.8% 19 Win
Georgia Southern Eagles 67.6% 21 Loss
Southern Methodist Mustangs 57.4% 12 Loss
Arkansas State Red Wolves 57.1% 11 Win
Washington Huskies 60.4% 14 Win
Appalachian State Mountaineers 86.9% 40 Win
UCF Knights 87% 41 Win
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors 50.7% 3 Win
Miami Hurricanes 69% 25 Loss
Pittsburgh Panthers 78% 36 Win
North Carolina Tar Heels 62.7% 16 Win
Michigan State Spartans 63% 17 Win
Texas A&M Aggies 68.4% 23 Win
Iowa Hawkeyes 54.4% 6 Win
Air Force Falcons 55.8% 9 Win
Notre Dame Fighting Irish 63.1% 18 Win
Penn State Nittany Lions 68.3% 22 Win
LSU Tigers 80.4% 37 Win
Clemson Tigers 51.6% 4 Win
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 58.7% 13 Win
Mississippi State Bulldogs 64.3% 20 Loss
California Golden Bears 70.3% 28 Win
Florida Gators 83.1% 39 Win
Virginia Tech Hokies 55.2% 7 Loss
Arizona State Sun Devils 62% 15 Win
Navy Midshipmen 53% 5 Win
Wyoming Cowboys 70.7% 29 Win
Utah Utes 71.7% 31 Loss
Alabama Crimson Tide 73.6% 35 Win
Auburn Tigers 72.5% 32 Loss
Wisconsin Badgers 55.7% 8 Loss
Georgia Bulldogs 73.5% 34 Win
Cincinnati Bearcats 70.1% 27 Win
Tennessee Volunteers 50.2% 2 Win
Ohio Bobcats 69.9% 26 Win
Tulane Green Wave 70.9% 30 Win
Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns 82.6% 38 Win
Oklahoma/LSU 50% 1 Win

2019-2020 College Football Bowl Mania Results

Total Possible Points (TPP): 861
Expected Points: 615.1 Actual Points: 672 Point Diff: +56.9
Projected Wins: 27.0 Actual Wins: 32 Win Diff: -5.0
Projected Losses: 14.0 Actual Losses: 9

2018-2019 College Football Bowl Mania Results

Total Possible Points (TPP): 861
Expected Points: 583.9 Actual Points: 461 Point Diff: -122.9
Projected Wins: 26.0 Actual Wins: 20 Win Diff: -6.0
Projected Losses: 15.0 Actual Losses: 20

2017-2018 College Football Bowl Mania Results

Total Possible Points (TPP): 861
Expected Points: 589.4 Actual Points: 494 Point Diff: -95.4
Projected Wins: 26.0 Actual Wins: 24 Win Diff: -2.0
Projected Losses: 15.0 Actual Losses: 17

2016-2017 College Football Bowl Mania Results

Total Possible Points (TPP): 903
Expected Points: 645.2 Actual Points: 615 Point Diff: -30.2
Projected Wins: 28.0 Actual Wins: 26 Win Diff: -2.0
Projected Losses: 14.0 Actual Losses: 16

2015-2016 College Football Bowl Mania Results

Total Possible Points (TPP): 903
Expected Points: 626.3 Actual Points: 678 Point Diff: +51.7
Projected Wins: 27.3 Actual Wins: 29 Win Diff: +1.7
Projected Losses: 14.7 Actual Losses: 13