Bowl Mania Analysis


Game: Bowl Mania
From: ESPN
Link to Play: Bowl Mania
Join Our Public Group: Fans of StreakEdge

How does it work?: The College Football bowl season runs from the beginning of December until the National Championship game in early January. There are 40+ bowl games that the contestant must select a winner. For Bowl Mania, there are two possible scoring systems that can be chosen. We describe each below.

Strategy: Our numbers in the analysis table are based on the strategy of maximizing score. Thus, we always take the favorites and assign the confidence level by giving the most points to the team with highest odds of winning. In the case of ties, we present the confidence level as the average and leave you to choose which game to assign higher confidence.

How to Play

The college bowl pick’em game can be played under two scoring systems on ESPN. The simplest approach is to make picks for the winner of each game, and you are scored based on the number of correct picks. The second scoring system requires you to both make picks and provide your confidence by ranking the games in the order of most to least likely to be correct. This adds a little more of a twist in the scoring to makes things more interesting. Click here for more information on how to sign up and play.

In our analysis table below, we have provided you with a good starting point for making your own picks. These are our recommended picks based on a combination of odds for each game using DRatings and 5Dimes.

For those using the confidence based scoring system, be aware that you must make your pick and confidence before each game begins. Be sure to read the rules here for more information on scoring, when the games lock, and how ties will be handled.

There is obviously some strategy involved in picking confidence since we do not know who will play in the National Championship game. For our pick on that game, we used a weighted average of all the possible scenarios to provide you with the current expectation on who is likely to win in case you want to go ahead and make all your picks and confidence selections now. Of course it’s likely better to wait on this game as far as the winner goes, but you may want to go ahead and lock the confidence position ahead of time or if you’re fully uncertain then you can always make this one have the lowest confidence.

2019-2020 College Football Bowl Mania Predictions

Confidence Team Implied Odds DRatings Small Win Prob
24
Buffalo Bulls
-240
69.3%
67%
68.6%
N/A
Charlotte 49ers
+220
30.7%
33%
31.4%
33
Utah State Aggies
-265
71.5%
76.1%
72.9%
N/A
Kent State Golden Flashes
+245
28.5%
23.9%
27.1%
N/A
Alcorn State Braves
+125
43.6%
43.6%
10
North Carolina A&T Aggies
-135
56.4%
56.4%
N/A
Central Michigan Chippewas
+160
37.9%
32.4%
36.3%
19
San Diego State Aztecs
-170
62.1%
67.6%
63.8%
N/A
Liberty Flames
+175
35.7%
24.6%
32.4%
21
Georgia Southern Eagles
-190
64.3%
75.4%
67.6%
12
Southern Methodist Mustangs
-155
59.8%
51.9%
57.4%
N/A
Florida Atlantic Owls
+145
40.2%
48.1%
42.6%
N/A
FIU Golden Panthers
+115
44.7%
38.6%
42.9%
11
Arkansas State Red Wolves
-135
55.3%
61.4%
57.1%
N/A
Boise State Broncos
+160
37.9%
43.7%
39.6%
14
Washington Huskies
-170
62.1%
56.3%
60.4%
40
Appalachian State Mountaineers
-750
86.1%
88.6%
86.9%
N/A
UAB Blazers
+600
13.9%
11.4%
13.2%
41
UCF Knights
-840
87.2%
86.4%
87%
N/A
Marshall Thundering Herd
+660
12.8%
13.6%
13%
3
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
-125
50%
52.2%
50.7%
N/A
Brigham Young Cougars
-125
50%
47.8%
49.3%
N/A
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs
+195
33.2%
25.9%
31%
25
Miami Hurricanes
-215
66.8%
74.1%
69%
36
Pittsburgh Panthers
-400
78.4%
77.1%
78%
N/A
Eastern Michigan Eagles
+355
21.6%
22.9%
22%
16
North Carolina Tar Heels
-185
63.7%
60.2%
62.7%
N/A
Temple Owls
+170
36.3%
39.8%
37.4%
17
Michigan State Spartans
-190
64.3%
59.8%
63%
N/A
Wake Forest Demon Deacons
+175
35.7%
40.2%
37.1%
N/A
Oklahoma State Cowboys
+235
29.4%
36.9%
31.7%
23
Texas A&M Aggies
-255
70.6%
63.1%
68.4%
N/A
USC Trojans
+115
45.6%
45.5%
45.6%
6
Iowa Hawkeyes
-125
54.4%
54.5%
54.4%
9
Air Force Falcons
-145
58.2%
50.1%
55.8%
N/A
Washington State Cougars
+135
41.8%
49.9%
44.2%
18
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
-170
62.1%
65.3%
63.1%
N/A
Iowa State Cyclones
+160
37.9%
34.7%
36.9%
N/A
Memphis Tigers
+210
31.6%
31.8%
31.7%
22
Penn State Nittany Lions
-230
68.4%
68.2%
68.3%
N/A
Oklahoma Sooners
+410
19.3%
20.2%
19.6%
37
LSU Tigers
-460
80.7%
79.8%
80.4%
4
Clemson Tigers
-127
54.8%
44.2%
51.6%
N/A
Ohio State Buckeyes
+117
45.2%
55.8%
48.4%
13
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
-170
62.1%
50.8%
58.7%
N/A
Western Michigan Broncos
+160
37.9%
49.2%
41.3%
20
Mississippi State Bulldogs
-185
63.7%
65.8%
64.3%
N/A
Louisville Cardinals
+170
36.3%
34.2%
35.7%
28
California Golden Bears
-255
70.6%
69.6%
70.3%
N/A
Illinois Fighting Illini
+235
29.4%
30.4%
29.7%
39
Florida Gators
-570
83.1%
83.2%
83.1%
N/A
Virginia Cavaliers
+480
16.9%
16.8%
16.9%
7
Virginia Tech Hokies
-140
57.3%
50.2%
55.2%
N/A
Kentucky Wildcats
+130
42.7%
49.8%
44.8%
N/A
Florida State Seminoles
+175
35.7%
43.3%
38%
15
Arizona State Sun Devils
-190
64.3%
56.7%
62%
5
Navy Midshipmen
-127
54.8%
48.7%
53%
N/A
Kansas State Wildcats
+117
45.2%
51.3%
47%
29
Wyoming Cowboys
-255
70.6%
70.8%
70.7%
N/A
Georgia State Panthers
+235
29.4%
29.2%
29.3%
31
Utah Utes
-270
71.7%
71.7%
71.7%
N/A
Texas Longhorns
+248
28.3%
28.3%
28.3%
N/A
Michigan Wolverines
+235
29.4%
19.4%
26.4%
35
Alabama Crimson Tide
-255
70.6%
80.6%
73.6%
N/A
Minnesota Golden Gophers
+245
28.5%
25.1%
27.5%
32
Auburn Tigers
-265
71.5%
74.9%
72.5%
N/A
Oregon Ducks
+130
42.7%
47.9%
44.3%
8
Wisconsin Badgers
-140
57.3%
52.1%
55.7%
34
Georgia Bulldogs
-280
72.3%
76.4%
73.5%
N/A
Baylor Bears
+255
27.7%
23.6%
26.5%
N/A
Boston College Eagles
+230
29.8%
30.3%
30%
27
Cincinnati Bearcats
-250
70.2%
69.7%
70.1%
N/A
Indiana Hoosiers
+108
47%
56.2%
49.8%
2
Tennessee Volunteers
-118
53%
43.8%
50.2%
26
Ohio Bobcats
-270
71.7%
65.8%
69.9%
N/A
Nevada Wolf Pack
+248
28.3%
34.2%
30.1%
N/A
Southern Miss Golden Eagles
+240
28.9%
29.6%
29.1%
30
Tulane Green Wave
-260
71.1%
70.4%
70.9%
38
Louisiana Ragin’ Cajuns
-525
82.2%
83.5%
82.6%
N/A
Miami (OH) RedHawks
+450
17.8%
16.5%
17.4%
N/A
Clemson/Ohio State
50%
50%
1
Oklahoma/LSU
50%
50%

Results

2018-2019 Bowl Season Pick Results

Pick Probability Confidence Result
North Carolina A&T Aggies 69.8% 33 Win
Tulane Green Wave 61.1% 17 Loss
Utah State Aggies 74.2% 37 Win
Fresno State Bulldogs 61% 16 Win
Georgia Southern Eagles 51.3% 2 Win
Appalachian State Mountaineers 69.3% 32 Win
UAB Blazers 54.1% 7 Win
Ohio Bobcats 59.2% 14 Win
Marshall Thundering Herd 53.6% 6 Win
Toledo Rockets 64.2% 25 Loss
Brigham Young Cougars 74.4% 38 Win
Memphis Tigers 62.8% 21 Loss
Army Black Knights 56.7% 8 Win
Buffalo Bulls 57% 10 Loss
Hawaii Warriors 51% 1 Loss
Boise State Broncos 57.2% 11 Loss
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 61.6% 18 Loss
TCU Horned Frogs 51.6% 3 Loss
Temple Owls 57.4% 12 Loss
Miami (FL) Hurricanes 59% 13 Loss
Vanderbilt Commodores 63.3% 22 Loss
Auburn Tigers 64% 24 Win
West Virginia Mountaineers 52.3% 4 Loss
Washington State Cougars 62.4% 20 Win
Michigan Wolverines 72.4% 36 Loss
South Carolina Gamecocks 62.2% 19 Loss
Arkansas State Red Wolves 53.5% 5 Loss
Clemson Tigers 79.7% 39 Win
Alabama Crimson Tide 85.4% 41 Win
Cincinnati Bearcats 63.5% 23 Win
Stanford Cardinal 64.8% 27 Win
Oregon Ducks 56.9% 9 Win
Missouri Tigers 70.2% 35 Loss
Utah Utes 70.1% 34 Loss
Texas A&M Aggies 65% 28 Win
Mississippi State Bulldogs 65.8% 29 Loss
Penn State Nittany Lions 66.6% 30 Loss
LSU Tigers 64.5% 26 Win
Ohio State Buckeyes 68.3% 31 Win
Georgia Bulldogs 81.8% 40 Loss
Winner of OKLA/ALA 60% 15 Loss

2018-2019 College Football Bowl Mania Results

Total Possible Points (TPP): 861
Expected Points: 583.9 Actual Points: 461 Point Diff: -122.9
Projected Wins: 26.0 Actual Wins: 20 Win Diff: -6.0
Projected Losses: 15.0 Actual Losses: 20

2017-2018 College Football Bowl Mania Results

Total Possible Points (TPP): 861
Expected Points: 589.4 Actual Points: 494 Point Diff: -95.4
Projected Wins: 26.0 Actual Wins: 24 Win Diff: -2.0
Projected Losses: 15.0 Actual Losses: 17

2016-2017 College Football Bowl Mania Results

Total Possible Points (TPP): 903
Expected Points: 645.2 Actual Points: 615 Point Diff: -30.2
Projected Wins: 28.0 Actual Wins: 26 Win Diff: -2.0
Projected Losses: 14.0 Actual Losses: 16

2015-2016 College Football Bowl Mania Results

Total Possible Points (TPP): 903
Expected Points: 626.3 Actual Points: 678 Point Diff: +51.7
Projected Wins: 27.3 Actual Wins: 29 Win Diff: +1.7
Projected Losses: 14.7 Actual Losses: 13