College Football Pick’em Analysis

Game: College Football Pick’em
From: ESPN
Link to Play: College Football Pick’Em
Join our Public Group: StreakEdge

How does it work?: The College Football regular season runs from the beginning of September to the end of November. There are 14 weeks in total with 10 games each week plus a score tiebreaker. The following is an explanation of the scoring breakdown:

Each week the contestant is provided with 10 games and must pick the winner. The contestant must also assign a confidence level (1-10) to each game. Each confidence level can only be used once. Points are awarded by multiplying the confidence level points assigned by 1 if the contestant chooses the winner correctly.

Strategy: Our numbers below are based on the strategy of maximizing score. Thus, we always take the favorites and assign the confidence level by giving the most points to the team with highest odds of winning. In the case of ties, we present the confidence level as the average and leave you to choose which game to assign higher confidence.

Week 1 College Football Pick’em Analysis

Confidence Team Implied Odds DRatings Small Win Prob
N/A
 Tulane Green Wave
+265
26.7%
32.1%
28.3%
9
 Duke Blue Devils
-305
73.3%
67.9%
71.7%
N/A
 Boston College Eagles
+245
28.2%
29%
28.4%
8
 Cincinnati Bearcats
-280
71.8%
71%
71.6%
N/A
 Baylor Bears
+245
28.2%
29.2%
28.5%
7
 Auburn Tigers
-280
71.8%
70.8%
71.5%
N/A
 Wyoming Cowboys
+140
40.4%
40.8%
40.5%
4
 Colorado State Rams
-160
59.6%
59.2%
59.5%
N/A
 Clemson Tigers
+303
23.9%
22.8%
23.6%
10
 LSU Tigers
-380
76.1%
77.2%
76.4%
2
 UNLV Rebels
-140
57.3%
47.3%
54.3%
N/A
 Hawaii Rainbow Warriors
+130
42.7%
52.7%
45.7%
3
 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers
-133
55.1%
58.6%
56.2%
N/A
 Nevada Wolf Pack
+115
44.9%
41.4%
43.9%
1
 UCLA Bruins
-125
53.8%
53.4%
53.7%
N/A
 California Golden Bears
+110
46.2%
46.6%
46.3%
N/A
 Louisville Cardinals
+226
29.5%
31.6%
30.1%
6
 Ole Miss Rebels
-275
70.5%
68.4%
69.9%
5
 SMU Mustangs
-158
59.3%
61.1%
59.8%
N/A
 Florida State Seminoles
+138
40.7%
38.9%
40.2%

Results

Last Week (Week 15): Straight Up: 6-3 (66.7%), Points: 33.
2025-2026 Season: Straight Up: 94-55 (63.1%), Points: 545.
2024-2025 Season: Straight Up: 93-46 (66.9%), Points: 560.
2023-2024 Season: Straight Up: 89-51 (63.6%), Points: 514.
2022-2023 Season: Straight Up: 87-51 (63.0%), Points: 500.
2021-2022 Season: Straight Up: 88-52 (62.9%), Points: 530.
2020-2021 Season: Straight Up: 64-25 (69.9%), Points: 325.
2019-2020 Season: Straight Up: 113-37 (74.3%), Points: 680.
2018-2019 Season: Straight Up: 102-37 (73.4%), Points: 575.
2017-2018 Season: Straight Up: 102-38 (72.9%), Points: 608.
2016-2017 Season: Straight Up: 95-45 (67.9%), Points: 570.
2015-2016 Season: Straight Up: 89-41 (68.5%), Points: 511.

2025-2026 Results

Week Pick Probability Confidence Result
Week 1 Ohio State Buckeyes 56.8% 3 Win
Week 1 Tulane Green Wave 69.6% 8 Win
Week 1 Utah State Aggies 60.8% 5 Win
Week 1 Clemson Tigers 64.5% 6 Loss
Week 1 Fresno State Bulldogs 51.6% 1 Win
Week 1 Arizona Wildcats 82.2% 10 Win
Week 1 Oregon State Beavers 59.3% 4 Loss
Week 1 Utah Utes 67.6% 7 Win
Week 1 South Carolina Gamecocks 73% 9 Win
Week 1 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 54.1% 2 Loss
Week 2 Iowa State Cyclones 58.7% 6 Win
Week 2 Syracuse Orange 70.6% 9 Win
Week 2 Illinois Fighting Illini 58.1% 5 Win
Week 2 SMU Mustangs 57.3% 2 Loss
Week 2 NC State Wolfpack 58% 4 Win
Week 2 Missouri Tigers 65.8% 8 Win
Week 2 West Virginia Mountaineers 57.9% 3 Loss
Week 2 Oklahoma Sooners 64.6% 7 Win
Week 2 Arizona State Sun Devils 72.3% 10 Loss
Week 2 Virginia Tech Hokies 51.8% 1 Loss
Week 3 Clemson Tigers 65% 7 Loss
Week 3 Memphis Tigers 65.3% 8 Win
Week 3 Georgia Bulldogs 62.2% 4 Win
Week 3 North Texas Mean Green 64.6% 5 Win
Week 3 Pittsburgh Panthers 64.7% 6 Loss
Week 3 Appalachian State Mountaineers 51.1% 1 Loss
Week 3 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 68.5% 10 Loss
Week 3 South Carolina Gamecocks 66.5% 9 Loss
Week 3 Tulane Green Wave 59.1% 3 Win
Week 3 Minnesota Golden Gophers 56% 2 Loss
Week 4 Utah Utes 61.5% 4 Loss
Week 4 Arkansas Razorbacks 70.4% 8 Loss
Week 4 TCU Horned Frogs 68.5% 7 Win
Week 4 Michigan Wolverines 55.7% 2 Win
Week 4 UCF Knights 66.7% 6 Win
Week 4 Duke Blue Devils 57.3% 3 Win
Week 4 Miami Hurricanes 73.2% 10 Win
Week 4 Indiana Hoosiers 65.5% 5 Win
Week 4 Baylor Bears 53.6% 1 Loss
Week 4 BYU Cougars 70.9% 9 Win
Week 5 USC Trojans 68.8% 10 Loss
Week 5 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 64.7% 6 Win
Week 5 Minnesota Golden Gophers 63.5% 5 Win
Week 5 Kansas State Wildcats 66.6% 8 Win
Week 5 Kansas Jayhawks 66.5% 7 Loss
Week 5 Louisville Cardinals 60% 3 Win
Week 5 Ole Miss Rebels 54.6% 1 Win
Week 5 Penn State Nittany Lions 60.3% 4 Loss
Week 5 Georgia Bulldogs 58.5% 2 Loss
Week 5 BYU Cougars 67.5% 9 Win
Week 6 Cincinnati Bearcats 52% 1 Win
Week 6 Baylor Bears 66.6% 7 Win
Week 6 Alabama Crimson Tide 78.3% 10 Win
Week 6 Texas Longhorns 69.4% 8 Loss
Week 6 Louisville Cardinals 71.1% 9 Loss
Week 6 Washington Huskies 66.2% 6 Win
Week 6 UNLV Rebels 63.7% 4 Win
Week 6 Miami Hurricanes 64.4% 5 Win
Week 6 Kansas Jayhawks 62.4% 3 Win
Week 6 Duke Blue Devils 57.6% 2 Win
Week 7 Alabama Crimson Tide 59% 5 Win
Week 7 Oregon Ducks 73% 10 Loss
Week 7 Texas Longhorns 57.9% 4 Win
Week 7 TCU Horned Frogs 51.3% 1 Loss
Week 7 Iowa State Cyclones 62.3% 6 Loss
Week 7 Nebraska Cornhuskers 67.4% 9 Win
Week 7 Georgia Bulldogs 62.7% 7 Win
Week 7 USC Trojans 55% 2 Win
Week 7 BYU Cougars 55.8% 3 Win
Week 7 Utah Utes 63.7% 8 Win
Week 8 Vanderbilt Commodores 50.3% 1 Win
Week 8 Duke Blue Devils 55.2% 6 Loss
Week 8 Houston Cougars 53.7% 3 Win
Week 8 TCU Horned Frogs 58.5% 8 Win
Week 8 Oklahoma Sooners 68.3% 10 Win
Week 8 Georgia Bulldogs 67.2% 9 Win
Week 8 James Madison Dukes 54.5% 5 Win
Week 8 Iowa Hawkeyes 54.1% 4 Win
Week 8 Auburn Tigers 50.8% 2 Loss
Week 8 Utah Utes 57.5% 7 Loss
Week 9 Oklahoma Sooners 61.7% 7 Loss
Week 9 South Florida Bulls 61.6% 6 Loss
Week 9 Missouri Tigers 51.3% 1 Loss
Week 9 Iowa State Cyclones 55.9% 3 Loss
Week 9 Washington Huskies 64.4% 8 Win
Week 9 Iowa Hawkeyes 75% 10 Win
Week 9 San Diego State Aztecs 59.5% 5 Win
Week 9 Cincinnati Bearcats 65.4% 9 Win
Week 9 Texas A&M Aggies 57.3% 4 Win
Week 9 North Dakota State Bison 51.9% 2 Win
Week 10 Texas Longhorns 57.7% 1 Win
Week 10 Clemson Tigers 59.6% 3 Loss
Week 10 North Texas Mean Green 66% 6 Win
Week 10 Iowa State Cyclones 65.7% 5 Loss
Week 10 Texas Tech Red Raiders 72.1% 9 Win
Week 10 Virginia Cavaliers 64.6% 4 Win
Week 10 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 67.1% 7 Loss
Week 10 Tennessee Volunteers 59% 2 Loss
Week 10 USC Trojans 71.3% 8 Win
Week 10 Utah Utes 72.4% 10 Win
Week 11 Texas Tech Red Raiders 75.5% 10 Win
Week 11 Southern Miss Golden Eagles 66.5% 5 Win
Week 11 Jacksonville State Gamecocks 51.8% 2 Win
Week 11 Texas A&M Aggies 70.6% 9 Win
Week 11 Oregon Ducks 67.6% 6 Win
Week 11 TCU Horned Frogs 67.9% 7 Loss
Week 11 Arizona Wildcats 65.1% 4 Win
Week 11 Virginia Cavaliers 69.1% 8 Loss
Week 11 Clemson Tigers 51.4% 1 Win
Week 11 UCLA Bruins 54.7% 3 Loss
Week 12 Notre Dame Fighting Irish 80.1% 10 Win
Week 12 Cincinnati Bearcats 66.9% 6 Loss
Week 12 Alabama Crimson Tide 69% 9 Loss
Week 12 Duke Blue Devils 67% 7 Loss
Week 12 USC Trojans 67.2% 8 Win
Week 12 East Carolina Pirates 55.9% 2 Win
Week 12 Georgia Bulldogs 66.8% 5 Win
Week 12 Kennesaw State Owls 55.5% 1 Loss
Week 12 BYU Cougars 66.2% 4 Win
Week 12 San Diego State Aztecs 56.4% 3 Win
Week 13 SMU Mustangs 56.8% 4 Win
Week 13 Kennesaw State Owls 67.6% 9 Win
Week 13 Oregon Ducks 73.7% 10 Win
Week 13 FIU Panthers 53.5% 1 Win
Week 13 East Carolina Pirates 57% 5 Loss
Week 13 Southern Miss Golden Eagles 59.3% 7 Loss
Week 13 Houston Cougars 54.6% 2 Loss
Week 13 Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets 57.1% 6 Loss
Week 13 Tennessee Volunteers 61.4% 8 Win
Week 13 BYU Cougars 55.4% 3 Win
Week 14 Ole Miss Rebels 74.9% 10 Win
Week 14 San Diego State Aztecs 53.4% 2 Loss
Week 14 Texas A&M Aggies 56.6% 4 Loss
Week 14 Arizona State Sun Devils 51.1% 1 Loss
Week 14 Ohio State Buckeyes 74.8% 9 Win
Week 14 Miami Hurricanes 72.2% 8 Win
Week 14 Western Kentucky Hilltoppers 57.1% 5 Loss
Week 14 Oregon Ducks 70.6% 7 Win
Week 14 Tennessee Volunteers 54.8% 3 Loss
Week 14 Alabama Crimson Tide 69.3% 6 Win
Week 15 Jacksonville State Gamecocks 50.7% 1 Loss
Week 15 James Madison Dukes 92.1% 9 Win
Week 15 North Texas Mean Green 55.7% 4 Loss
Week 15 Boise State Broncos 58.6% 6 Win
Week 15 Texas Tech Red Raiders 80.2% 8 Win
Week 15 Western Michigan Broncos 54.6% 2 Win
Week 15 Georgia Bulldogs 55.2% 3 Win
Week 15 Ohio State Buckeyes 64.6% 7 Loss
Week 15 Virginia Cavaliers 57.3% 5 Win