Pigskin Pick’em Analysis


Game: Pigskin Pick’em
From: ESPN
Link to Play: Pigskin Pick’Em
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How does it work?: The NFL regular season runs from early September to the beginning of January. There are eighteen weeks in total with the number of games varying depending on which teams are on byes. Each week there is also a score tiebreaker for one of the games. The following is an explanation of the scoring breakdown:

Each week the contestant is provided with the week’s games and must pick the winner of each. Every game must then be assigned a point value between 1 and however many games there are in that given week (16 when there are no byes).

Strategy: Our numbers below are based on the strategy of maximizing score. Thus, we always take the favorites (or the side with the highest % chance of winning the proposition.)

Week 2 Pigskin Pick’em Analysis

Confidence Team Implied Odds DRatings Small Win Prob
N/A
Detroit Lions
+190
33.4%
35.4%
34%
6
Buffalo Bills
-220
66.6%
64.6%
66%
1
Carolina Panthers
-120
54.5%
51.2%
53.5%
N/A
Atlanta Falcons
+120
45.5%
48.8%
46.5%
N/A
Minnesota Vikings
+210
31.5%
35.1%
32.6%
9
Chicago Bears
-235
68.5%
64.9%
67.4%
10
Philadelphia Eagles
-320
74.8%
54.5%
68.7%
N/A
Tennessee Titans
+290
25.2%
45.5%
31.3%
N/A
Pittsburgh Steelers
+200
32.2%
34.2%
32.8%
8
New England Patriots
-235
67.8%
65.8%
67.2%
5
Green Bay Packers
-190
64.3%
66.7%
65%
N/A
New York Jets
+175
35.7%
33.3%
35%
N/A
Cleveland Browns
+350
21.6%
22.5%
21.9%
14
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
-420
78.4%
77.5%
78.1%
N/A
New Orleans Saints
+350
21.6%
17.6%
20.4%
15
Baltimore Ravens
-420
78.4%
82.4%
79.6%
N/A
Cincinnati Bengals
+135
41.8%
43.9%
42.4%
3
Houston Texans
-145
58.2%
56.1%
57.6%
N/A
Jacksonville Jaguars
+130
43.1%
43.6%
43.3%
2
Denver Broncos
-135
56.9%
56.4%
56.8%
N/A
Las Vegas Raiders
+265
26.4%
25.6%
26.2%
11
Los Angeles Chargers
-320
73.6%
74.4%
73.8%
N/A
Washington Commanders
+170
36.1%
37.4%
36.5%
4
Dallas Cowboys
-190
63.9%
62.6%
63.5%
7
Seattle Seahawks
-215
66.8%
67.5%
67%
N/A
Arizona Cardinals
+195
33.2%
32.5%
33%
N/A
Miami Dolphins
+650
12.9%
12.5%
12.8%
16
San Francisco 49ers
-900
87.1%
87.5%
87.2%
N/A
Indianapolis Colts
+260
27%
24.1%
26.1%
12
Kansas City Chiefs
-300
73%
75.9%
73.9%
N/A
New York Giants
+290
24.9%
24.3%
24.7%
13
Los Angeles Rams
-340
75.1%
75.7%
75.3%

Results

Last Week (Week 1): Straight Up: 12-4, Points: 106.
2025-2026 Season: Straight Up: 176-95-1, Points: 1554.
2024-2025 Season: Straight Up: 199-73, Points: 1691.
2023-2024 Season: Straight Up: 175-98, Points: 1493.
2022-2023 Season: Straight Up: 172-97-2, Points: 1515.
2021-2022 Season: Straight Up: 171-100, Points: 1517.
2020-2021 Season: Straight Up: 159-69, Points: 1388.
2019-2020 Season: Straight Up: 166-89, Points: 1446.
2018-2019 Season: Straight Up: 158-80-2, Points: 1400.
2017-2018 Season: Straight Up: 180-76, Points: 1537.
2016-2017 Season: Straight Up: 153-85-2, Points: 1288.

2025-2026 Results

Week Pick Probability Confidence Result
Week 1 Seattle Seahawks 60.5% 7 Win
Week 1 Los Angeles Rams 64.5% 11 Loss
Week 1 Cincinnati Bengals 64.6% 12 Win
Week 1 Detroit Lions 74.5% 14 Win
Week 1 Tennessee Titans 50.5% 1 Loss
Week 1 Baltimore Ravens 62.9% 9 Win
Week 1 Pittsburgh Steelers 61.5% 8 Win
Week 1 Chicago Bears 58.4% 5 Win
Week 1 Jacksonville Jaguars 78.2% 15 Win
Week 1 Buffalo Bills 50.9% 2 Win
Week 1 Las Vegas Raiders 64% 10 Win
Week 1 Minnesota Vikings 51.1% 3 Win
Week 1 Philadelphia Eagles 67.6% 13 Win
Week 1 Los Angeles Chargers 81.6% 16 Loss
Week 1 Dallas Cowboys 59.6% 6 Loss
Week 1 Kansas City Chiefs 57.8% 4 Win